How many games will the Spurs win this season?

[baseline bum]

?

[baseline bum]

I think Vegas still has the Spurs winning 43 games this season, but I'm expecting them to go 38W - 44L. So pretty well out of the playoff hunt but also pretty well out of the high lottery.

[Uriel]

I had them at 50-55 wins and 3-4 seed before all the injures. But now I'm expecting about 40-45 and the 6-7 seed.

[phxspurfan]

lol everyone agrees team is now snakebitten. RIP

[offset formation]

43-39.

I've come down by 12 wins due to the injuries and delayed gelling.

[phxspurfan]

I had them at 50-55 wins and 3-4 seed before all the injures. But now I'm expecting about 40-45 and the 6-7 seed.

40-45 wins puts a team at 10-9th place, and not in the playoffs at all in the current super strong West. In the super shitty Celtics-Raps East, that would be 6-7 seed.

[baseline bum]

I had them at 50-55 wins and 3-4 seed before all the injures. But now I'm expecting about 40-45 and the 6-7 seed.

I think I was guessing 51-31 before the Murray injury, especially after hearing how much his jumper has improved. I know it sounds crazy at first to drop the team's win total 13 games to 38 for an injury to its third best player, but Murray literally was the perimeter defense with Fathead, Nephew, and LDN gone.

[phxspurfan]

I think I was guessing 51-31 before the Murray injury, especially after hearing how much his jumper has improved. I know it sounds crazy at first to drop the team's win total 13 games to 38 for an injury to its third best player, but Murray literally was the perimeter defense with Fathead, Nephew, and LDN gone.

Not a stretch. Best case now is the team to start *shudder* Mills at PG, or *chortle* Forbes or pick up a Chalmers. (best case). Which means our pals are doomed

5ceqLNUow4M

[RD2191]

No more than 45

[fusionjazzman72]

37-45

[alpha_HaZE]

I am still an optimist, thinking they can win 50+ games and make the playoffs. But, I wouldn't be to upset if you end up in the draft lottery.

[sig]

If the Spurs have a down year which seems possible, I am really hoping they can land Romeo Langford.

[james evans]

We'll win about 54 games

[BackHome]

33 games to many hurt guys and to many new guys not a good for winning combination.

[Mr. Body]

I don't think people recognize how good Aldridge and DeRozan are.

[baseline bum]

I don't think people recognize how good Aldridge and DeRozan are.

I think people don't realize how awful this team looks defensively outside of Aldridge.

[tlongII]

25 wins.

[Amuseddaysleeper]

I think Vegas still has the Spurs winning 43 games this season, but I'm expecting them to go 38W - 44L. So pretty well out of the playoff hunt but also pretty well out of the high lottery.

Which is the worst scenario. They should be tanking hard at this point.

[TDMVPDPOY]

get 8th seed with the lowest team record, and lower compared to the easts, to get at least a mid teens draft pick?

[SAGirl]

Not sure tbh. I change my mind frequently. I think they will be better than expected and not fall off as much as people think so long as Lamarcus gives them a season like last year.

[Darius Bieber]

Why's there no 0-25 wins option? That's the most likely.

[Darius Bieber]

Which is the worst scenario. They should be tanking hard at this point.

Exactly. Bring out the guns.


https://media0.giphy.com/media/d8FJ7Fqef3o2c/giphy.gif?cid=3640f6095bc4bd463933554b456cf7b5

[baseline bum]

Why's there no 0-25 wins option? That's the most likely.

Why? Is Aldridge going to blow out his knee too?

[313]

hopefully trade lma and aldridge for picks and tank for a top 10 pick


I don't think people recognize how good Aldridge and DeRozan are.pretty sure Murray’s defensive box plus minus of 4 was the highest on the team, by far, last year.

[spurs10]

hopefully trade lma and aldridge for picks and tank for a top 10 pick

Trade both LMA and Aldridge? How about just one of them? :spin

[BackHome]

Guys we know will miss significant time. White, Walker

Guys who miss 10 to 15 games : Rudy, Gasol, Bertans

Never was in the Trade everyone and Tank camp but damn with all the injuries and season hasn’t started this looks like a good year to get us a top 10 prospect.

[Mark in Austin]

44-38

[Leetonidas]

45-37

[Mugen]

39-41 sounds about right

[Amuseddaysleeper]

39-41 sounds about right

You're missing 2 games

[Mr. Body]

I think people don't realize how awful this team looks defensively outside of Aldridge.

So the fuck what? They will still win a boatload of games.

[Mugen]

You're missing 2 games

Answering OPs question, meant 39-41 wins. Anything more would probably put it as one of Pop's best coached seasons tbh.

[baseline bum]

So the fuck what? They will still win a boatload of games.

You think so? With Mills and Forbes guarding Curry, CP3, Westbrook, Lillard, Holiday, Conley all game in this conference? The entire defense other than Aldridge that dragged this team to 47 wins last season is gone. If Pop can get this team into the playoffs without a major trade it'll be a miracle.

[baseline bum]

timvp man I see you browsing the thread. How many wins do you see this team getting barring a major trade? Please tell me I'm way off base guessing this is a 38 win Spurs team.

[Mugen]

It's honestly impossible to overstate how bad the Spurs defense is on paper tbh. They were gonna be bad when Murray/White were still healthy...now that the perimeter D consists of Forbes, Fatty, Derozan, Beli, Gay......lmao holy fuck.....

[sasaint]

about a .500 ballclub playing in the West.

[LaMarcus Bryant]

I think Vegas still has the Spurs winning 43 games this season, but I'm expecting them to go 38W - 44L. So pretty well out of the playoff hunt but also pretty well out of the high lottery.

That 42.5 O/U for total wins...seemed like such easy ass money coming into the preseason...man how does Vegas ALWAYS know

[Ed Helicopter Jones]

I was thinking 50-52 before the injuries. I'm guessing 46 now...and that will be an over-achieving 46 wins should they make it there. Pop should get COY should that happen in this western conference.

[BatManu20]

42-41 tbh.

[coachmac87]

Didn’t know cliff jumpers relied so much on unproven players in Walker and White....

Everyone seems they all tore their ACL’s...

It’s crazy man how people knee jerk and don’t want things to play out before they off themselves...

50 wins

[baseline bum]

Didn’t know cliff jumpers relied so much on unproven players in Walker and White....

Everyone seems they all tore their ACL’s...

It’s crazy man how people knee jerk and don’t want things to play out before they off themselves...

50 wins

Relying on unproven players like Forbes and White instead of having a second team All-NBA defender in the backcourt is the reason I'm expecting a huge falloff.

[Keepin' it real]

How many games? That depends. Was LMA's heart problem a couple of years ago legit, or was it his version of Kawhi's fake "tendinopathy" because he wanted out?

Clearly, if LMA misses significant time, we're looking at 20-30 wins best-case scenario.

[Cry Havoc]

I still think we could win 50. Even with losing Murray, having DeRozan is a huge shot in the arm to the offense, and that's going to carry us on some nights.

Right now I'd bank on 49 wins. Remember guys, there are a lot of HORRIBLE teams in the West that should give us a healthy number of wins.

[NK123]

I think that we can still win 49-53 wins This year, even with these injuries.

[slick'81]

As long as demar&aldridge are upright probably 7-8th seed

[NASpurs]

Pop himself is going to cost the Spurs about five games when he rests LMA and DDR... so 40 seems about right.

[mystargtr34]

52-30

[TDomination]

51 and 31

[spurs1990]

I'm way too optimistic and frankly just not trained on seeing win totals below 50 so I'm still predicting that:
1) LA is still an all star caliber player
2) DeRozan, though I never liked him even a bit in Toronto, has offensive game.. maybe even a lot
3) Gay could be ready to show out on his likely last contact year
4) system. System. System. No other team implements what SA does. I firmly believe that equates to lots of wins. I mean they won 47 last year with LA and nobody plus lots of drama all year

52-30. 4th/5th seed. 2nd round exit to the same team as last two years.

[BackHome]

Yeah but we lost Green, and Manu and Murray is out for the year. Add that our second PG is also out and our first round is just going under the knife. We added DeRozan who I really like and JP a big and we all know bigs take a full year to finally fit in.

I think will play with a lot of heart but more guys are going to get hurt and dinged up so not expecting much hopefully Metu and Bertans can grow and make the next leap.

[Russ]

45-50 wins. (?) :reading

[baseline bum]

45-50 wins. (?) :reading

I'd love to see it happen, but when I see people saying this team will win 50 what it really sounds like to me is saying Dejounte Murray doesn't matter. White and Walker getting hurt is no big deal but Murray's progression was the main reason I had this a 50 win team before he tore his ACL.

[TheCerebral1]

40. If they're lucky.

[Amuseddaysleeper]

Answering OPs question, meant 39-41 wins. Anything more would probably put it as one of Pop's best coached seasons tbh.

ahhh my bad

[Rick Von Braun]

40 wins

[emanueldavidginobili]

Around 45-48 wins. I mean last year Spurs won 47 without Kawhi and now they add Demar. Also there’s no Kawhi drama and uncertainty if he’s coming back or not.

[manufan10]

Somewhere in the range of 0-82.



Realistically, I'm thinking in the 38-43 range. Before Murray tore his ACL I thought they would win between 50-55 games.

[Spursfanfromafar]

They will still win at least 45 games methinks.

[bigfan]

Not sure how many games but just wanted to add this is the first time in decades the Mavs have a better starting five than we do. Bummer.

[NASpurs]

I voted 40 wins a few days ago but 37 wins wouldn't surprise me.

Some people here (looking at the poll numbers) are in for a rude awakening. :lol

https://twitter.com/JMcDonald_SAEN/status/1052591674898214913

[timtonymanu]

No more than 45 wins imo

[Danny B]

The Sporks will win 35. Mostly due to lying, cheating and stealing.

[timvp]

timvp man I see you browsing the thread. How many wins do you see this team getting barring a major trade? Please tell me I'm way off base guessing this is a 38 win Spurs team.

It's tough. This is probably the most difficult season to predict since, what, 1989-90?

With Dejounte, I thought the Spurs could win 50+ pretty easily as long as a few things broke in their favor. Dejounte isn't the best player on the team but there's a chance he was going to be the most impactful, especially on a per minute basis. The team's defense would have been a lock for the top ten as long as he played 30+ minutes per game.

It wasn't the end of the world when Dejounte got hurt because Derrick White projects to possibly be better than any Spurs guard in quite a while. He put up better stats in Austin and summer league than Kyle Anderson, Dejounte, Cory Joseph, etc.

But now with Dejounte and White out? Damn.

I think the Spurs are about a 47-win team if Aldridge plays at the same level as last season, DeRozan plays at the same level as last season, the Spurs can get somewhere in the neighborhood of league average production out of their point guard position as a whole (Mills, Forbes, the return of White) and they stay reasonably healthy. Those are four pretty big question marks -- Aldridge is getting up there in age, DeRozan will be adjusting, the PGs on paper look to be quite a bit below average and injuries are already mounting up.

So, after thinking about this a whole lot, I see it as follows:

38 wins if most everything goes wrong
44 wins with average luck
47 wins with good luck
50 wins with good luck and a re-energized and determined Pop coaching the Spurs to three extra wins

My official prediction will thus be 50 wins because I think Pop is up for the challenge, will be relieved without the Nephew drama and the other question marks will break in the Spurs favor.

:smokin

[baseline bum]

It's tough. This is probably the most difficult season to predict since, what, 1989-90?

With Dejounte, I thought the Spurs could win 50+ pretty easily as long as a few things broke in their favor. Dejounte isn't the best player on the team but there's a chance he was going to be the most impactful, especially on a per minute basis. The team's defense would have been a lock for the top ten as long as he played 30+ minutes per game.

It wasn't the end of the world when Dejounte got hurt because Derrick White projects to possibly be better than any Spurs guard in quite a while. He put up better stats in Austin and summer league than Kyle Anderson, Dejounte, Cory Joseph, etc.

But now with Dejounte and White out? Damn.

I think the Spurs are about a 47-win team if Aldridge plays at the same level as last season, DeRozan plays at the same level as last season, the Spurs can get somewhere in the neighborhood of league average production out of their point guard position as a whole (Mills, Forbes, the return of White) and they stay reasonably healthy. Those are four pretty big question marks -- Aldridge is getting up there in age, DeRozan will be adjusting, the PGs on paper look to be quite a bit below average and injuries are already mounting up.

So, after thinking about this a whole lot, I see it as follows:

38 wins if most everything goes wrong
44 wins with average luck
47 wins with good luck
50 wins with good luck and a re-energized and determined Pop coaching the Spurs to three extra wins

My official prediction will thus be 50 wins because I think Pop is up for the challenge, will be relieved without the Nephew drama and the other question marks will break in the Spurs favor.

:smokin

Damn with Dejounte I was expecting 50 wins even without Aldridge and DeRozan having the seasons they did last year. My biggest concern without Dejounte though is this is a team that has always been about defense that is now completely lacking defensive talent, especially in the backcourt. I'd be thrilled to see Pop take this team to the playoffs and I suppose I shouldn't write him off after how much he has delivered to this city. But I gotta take issue with your 89-90 take man. You didn't know Robinson + Cummings was going to be lethal? Watching David toy with college kids every weekend on CBS in his Navy days was crazy. I knew the second they won the lottery that the team was going to be a title contender after David's Naval commitment was up.

[Spurminator]

They still look like a team that can win 50, but it might be one of those 50-win, 8th seed type years.

[anon]

The Spurs looked like the road team in the opener, tbh

[skin27]

55 wins and pop will win coach of the year. Book it

[NASpurs]

Pop himself is going to cost the Spurs about five games when he rests LMA and DDR... so 40 seems about right.

Oof, I'm like 5 games or so over.

[Robz4000]

Voted 35-39. Said in another thread I thought they'd win 37/38 games max, but now it looks like it'll be closer to 27/28.

[Ed Helicopter Jones]

No Murray, no Pau, Manu’s retirement all impact things. I think the killer this season compared to last though is the decline of LMA. He was the heart and soul of last year’s success. This year he’s back to the pouty, half-ass effort Aldridge we saw when he was second-fiddle to Kawhi. Sad.

[baseline bum]

So far the Spurs record projects out to 38-44. Where is the kluby when I need it?

[Arcadian]

Worst Spurs team since '96-97, except this time we don't have the "David Robinson has a slipped disc" excuse :lol

So scratch that - a team with its best player injured isn't a fair comparison. If you look for the most recent Spurs team this bad with its best player healthy, you have to go back to the '88-89 Spurs who finished 21-61.

Since Robinson was drafted in '87 but stayed in the Navy for 2 more years, that might be unfair too. If you look at the most recent Spurs team this bad without its best player forced to stay in the military, you have to go back to '86-87 (28-54).

[Harry Callahan]

I was at 40-42. Now it looks like 35-47.

[slick'81]

I said 7-8th seed now it looks like scratching for 30 wins

[timvp]

It's tough. This is probably the most difficult season to predict since, what, 1989-90?

With Dejounte, I thought the Spurs could win 50+ pretty easily as long as a few things broke in their favor. Dejounte isn't the best player on the team but there's a chance he was going to be the most impactful, especially on a per minute basis. The team's defense would have been a lock for the top ten as long as he played 30+ minutes per game.

It wasn't the end of the world when Dejounte got hurt because Derrick White projects to possibly be better than any Spurs guard in quite a while. He put up better stats in Austin and summer league than Kyle Anderson, Dejounte, Cory Joseph, etc.

But now with Dejounte and White out? Damn.

I think the Spurs are about a 47-win team if Aldridge plays at the same level as last season, DeRozan plays at the same level as last season, the Spurs can get somewhere in the neighborhood of league average production out of their point guard position as a whole (Mills, Forbes, the return of White) and they stay reasonably healthy. Those are four pretty big question marks -- Aldridge is getting up there in age, DeRozan will be adjusting, the PGs on paper look to be quite a bit below average and injuries are already mounting up.

So, after thinking about this a whole lot, I see it as follows:

38 wins if most everything goes wrong
44 wins with average luck
47 wins with good luck
50 wins with good luck and a re-energized and determined Pop coaching the Spurs to three extra wins

My official prediction will thus be 50 wins because I think Pop is up for the challenge, will be relieved without the Nephew drama and the other question marks will break in the Spurs favor.

:smokin

Hmmm, I guess the roller coaster ride of the regular season ended somewhat as expected.

[R. DeMurre]

Answering OPs question, meant 39-41 wins. Anything more would probably put it as one of Pop's best coached seasons tbh.


You think so? With Mills and Forbes guarding Curry, CP3, Westbrook, Lillard, Holiday, Conley all game in this conference? The entire defense other than Aldridge that dragged this team to 47 wins last season is gone. If Pop can get this team into the playoffs without a major trade it'll be a miracle.

[spurs10]

Pop certainly does deserve a lot of credit for this season outperforming what most skeptics believed. Many people were saying we wouldn't make the playoffs all together.
:flag:

[baseline bum]

Damn beat my prediction by 10 games. :toast

[baseline bum]

If Pop could drag this team to 48 wins they could win the division next season with DeJounte back.

[GreekSpursfan]

If Pop could drag this team to 48 wins they could win the division next season with DeJounte back.

As long as Hardenrefs exist, no.