2020 presidential odds

[InRareForm]

https://www.oddschecker.com/us/insight/specials/politics/20190306-2020-election-odds-who-will-be-the-next-us-president

[in2deep]

Tulzi is really good bet

[phxspurfan]

Gregg Popovich +10000

which one of you neckbeards put this in

[rmt]

https://www.oddschecker.com/us/insight/specials/politics/20190306-2020-election-odds-who-will-be-the-next-us-president

Isn't that from a month ago? Things have changed since.

[Spurtacular]

:lol @ the TDS of these fake odds makers.

Trump only at +150

[Will Hunting]

How did the odds for Trump not move at all after the Mueller report? At the very least 2020 is a coin flip but imo Trump is the favorite over whoever wins the Dem primary.

[ducks]

Wall Street insiders say over 70 percent trump wins 2020

[Spurtacular]

Wall Street insiders say over 70 percent trump wins 2020

:cry But +150 :cry

[Spurtacular]

How did the odds for Trump not move at all after the Mueller report? At the very least 2020 is a coin flip but imo Trump is the favorite over whoever wins the Dem primary.

Cos they're fake odds, bruh. Media always doing narrative. Have you not learned this yet?

[Will Hunting]

Cos they're fake odds, bruh. Media always doing narrative. Have you not learned this yet?
The bookmakers have formulas they use based off where the money is going, they’re not going to throw money away for a media narrative.

i think they’re probably getting a lot of action in the other direction. The whole point of their odds are to get action on both sides.

[Spurtacular]

The bookmakers have formulas they use based off where the money is going, they’re not going to throw money away for a media narrative.

i think they’re probably getting a lot of action in the other direction. The whole point of their odds are to get action on both sides.

Sure, real book makers. That has nothing to do with this fake odds page.

[ElNono]

The bookmakers have formulas they use based off where the money is going, they’re not going to throw money away for a media narrative.

i think they’re probably getting a lot of action in the other direction. The whole point of their odds are to get action on both sides.

Yeah, plus at 150, he’s still 4+ times favorite over second best (700, Bernie)

[Spurtacular]

Yeah, plus at 150, he’s still 4+ times favorite over second best (700, Bernie)

And your point is?

[Pavlov]

And your point is?You're upset that Trump is the favorite.

[ElNono]

And your point is?

That they don’t look like entirely unrealistic odds

[ElNono]

Bovada odds, pretty much in-line:

https://www.oddsshark.com/other/2020-usa-presidential-odds-futures

[ducks]

https://scontent-lax3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/fr/cp0/e15/q65/56337146_1108191769520828_184014905974718464_n.jpg ?_nc_cat=1&efg=eyJpIjoidCJ9&_nc_ht=scontent-lax3-1.xx&oh=fe64fe95a3d8063b0de912114b3dc3da&oe=5D4B2214

[LaSíSí]

That they don’t look like entirely unrealistic odds

An incumbent with a 50 percent approval rating and no threat from his party and against a weak field at 3-2 is realistic?

:lmao Partisan hack
:lmao Your not even half-hearted attempt at justifying the BS odds coming into focus.

[Pavlov]

An incumbent with a 50 percent approval rating and no threat from his party and against a weak field at 3-2 is realistic?

:lmao Partisan hack
:lmao Your not even half-hearted attempt at justifying the BS odds coming into focus.Why did you change your screen name for that?

[Spurtacular]

Bovada odds, pretty much in-line:

https://www.oddsshark.com/other/2020-usa-presidential-odds-futures

Then I guess if those odds are real, then the odds makers are not very smart. Trump's chances are basically north of 50 percent.

At Republicans +120 and Trump +175, they seem to be building way too much into the idea that Trump won't run for re-election and/or get beaten in a primary.

[Millennial_Messiah]

How did the odds for Trump not move at all after the Mueller report? At the very least 2020 is a coin flip but imo Trump is the favorite over whoever wins the Dem primary.

President Bernie would be awesome, but Trump winning would be better than many of the Dems.

Trump is the favorite simply because he's the incumbent. IIRC most people in 2011 thought Obama was going down, especially after Benghazi. But... he was just fine in Nov. 2012. Incumbency is a real thing. If Trump can win 35-40% of the Latino vote like Bush did in 2004, the Dems have zero chance.

[ducks]

There are more registered Republicans in California than in any other state. In the 2016 election, Trump received more votes in California than in every state except Texas and Florida. The press apparently doesn't like to visit the counties in California where Trump is popular

[ducks]

43% of the counties in Calif voted in favor of Trump/Pence. Hardly wildly unpopular.

[Will Hunting]

Then I guess if those odds are real, then the odds makers are not very smart. Trump's chances are basically north of 50 percent.

At Republicans +120 and Trump +175, they seem to be building way too much into the idea that Trump won't run for re-election and/or get beaten in a primary.
It’s an especially stupid idea since the incumbent losing his own primary (Trump or anyone else for that matter) would mean an extremely divided base that has no chance at winning a general.

[ElNono]

Then I guess if those odds are real, then the odds makers are not very smart. Trump's chances are basically north of 50 percent.

At Republicans +120 and Trump +175, they seem to be building way too much into the idea that Trump won't run for re-election and/or get beaten in a primary.


Do you understand how betting lines work? Those odds give Trump way over 50% odds. 2nd best odds pay 12x as much.

[ElNono]

An incumbent with a 50 percent approval rating and no threat from his party and against a weak field at 3-2 is realistic?

:lmao Partisan hack
:lmao Your not even half-hearted attempt at justifying the BS odds coming into focus.


what?

[ElNono]

+150 means you get $50 back for every $100 you bet.

Bernie is 2nd best at +700, meaning you get back $600 for every $100 you bet.

Obviously the lesser return has the better odds.

[Spurtacular]

Do you understand how betting lines work? Those odds give Trump way over 50% odds. 2nd best odds pay 12x as much.

That's not how it works. If they thought Trump was > 50% he'd probably be coming in at 4-5. As another poster said, there is some room for alterations based on getting people to vote on both sides. But +175 is way too high. If even 40 percent were betting on Trump and he won, the sites would take a bath.

[ElNono]

I mean, we’re still a year out, lots of things can happen between now and then. Those are probably fairly conservative odds.

[ElNono]

That's not how it works. If they thought Trump was > 50% he'd probably be coming in at 4-5. As another poster said, there is some room for alterations based on getting people to vote on both sides. But +175 is way too high. If even 40 percent were betting on Trump and he won, the sites would take a bath.

This early, the odds are stacked towards making big gambles, which end up being the biggest losers too. ie: anything past trump pays 12x or more, that’s the bait the casinos are interested in. Only one Democrat will survive the primary, so they’ll make their money with that field alone.

[Will Hunting]

+150 means you get $50 back for every $100 you bet.

Bernie is 2nd best at +700, meaning you get back $600 for every $100 you bet.

Obviously the lesser return has the better odds.

He’s actually right here, tbh.

+150 means you get 150 for every 100 you bet. Getting $50 for every $100 you bet would be a line of -200.

[Spurtacular]

He’s actually right here, tbh.

+150 means you get 150 for every 100 you bet. Getting $50 for every $100 you bet would be a line of -200.
ElNono

Typically 50/50 would be -110.

If it's 55/45 Trump, the line would be around -120, -130.

[ElNono]

He’s actually right here, tbh.

+150 means you get 150 for every 100 you bet. Getting $50 for every $100 you bet would be a line of -200.


ElNono

Typically 50/50 would be -110.

If it's 55/45 Trump, the line would be around -120, -130.

You guys are correct and I'm wrong. Apologies. I did look up the lines and those I posted are for Bovada.

I do still think it's way too early to form any kind of opinion based on the lines, and I also do think they'll make most of their money from the Dem field.

[Spurtacular]

You guys are correct and I'm wrong. Apologies. I did look up the lines and those I posted are for Bovada.

I do still think it's way too early to form any kind of opinion based on the lines, and I also do think they'll make most of their money from the Dem field.

I put Trump's odds of winning at 60 percent or better. So, I just wonder if a legit site is really offering +175. If I was at a Vegas Sports Book, I'd put maybe the largest bet I've ever done on that.

[ElNono]

I don't do online betting on presidential stuff b/c I don't know if these sites cut and run or whatever. But if I was at a Vegas sports book and Trump was +175, I'd put maybe the biggest bet I've ever done. I question whether a site is truly giving those bets. Maybe they're factoring in mortality / health or something at this point / people betting heavy on Dems or something.

There's only a few reputable online sites, like, say, BWin, which have a large euro presence. I don't do political gambling either.

[Spurtacular]

I had to check and see if some Vegas sports book was taking political bets just in case...

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/they-wont-take-your-bet-on-the-election-in-las-vegas/

[Spurtacular]

There's only a few reputable online sites, like, say, BWin, which have a large euro presence. I don't do political gambling either.

What's the full web address of bwin?

[ElNono]

What's the full web address of bwin?

https://www.bwin.com/

[ElNono]

They won't take US bettors tho

[ElNono]

https://sports.bwin.com/en/sports/61/betting/politics#sportId=61

[Spurtacular]

https://www.bwin.com/

Looks good. I have stayed away from online cos I hear stuff about not having protections from the feds/banks.

[apalisoc_9]

Lets go Bernie!!!!!

[Spurtacular]

Lets go Bernie!!!!!

:lol Faggot troll.

[ducks]

Damm I might have to drop 10k on trump

[Spurtacular]

Damm I might have to drop 10k on trump

Trump at +135 to win on https://sports.bwin.com/en/sports/61/betting/politics#sportId=61

I'd be willing to drop a couple bills on that if I did online betting, tbh.

[ducks]

Make 13k

[JokicParty]

If Dems were smart they would run Klobuchar. She's smart as a whip and wouldn't alienate moderates in swing states - I think she would beat Trump.

[baseline bum]

If Dems were smart they would run Klobuchar. She's smart as a whip and wouldn't alienate moderates in swing states - I think she would beat Trump.

That worked so well running an intelligent female moderate in 2016.

[JokicParty]

That worked so well running an intelligent female moderate in 2016.

Clinton is quite far to the left of Klobuchar.

I would also trust Amy to campaign more in Pennsylvania, Michigan, etc.

[baseline bum]

Clinton is quite far to the left of Klobuchar.


:lmao at center right Clinton being too far to the left

[spurraider21]

Yeah, plus at 150, he’s still 4+ times favorite over second best (700, Bernie)
its misleading at this point because you're splitting democrat votes quite a bit among the candidates while the incumbent has party unity at this point

[Will Hunting]

Clinton is quite far to the left of Klobuchar.
:lmao what a crock of shit

[ElNono]

Clinton is quite far to the left of Klobuchar.

:rollin

[Spurtacular]

:lmao Chumpettes pretending Democrats are centrists at this point.

[Chris]

Odds to be the 2020 Democratic Presidential Nominee:

Bernie Sanders +300
Kamala Harris +350
Joe Biden +400
Beto O'Rourke +450
Andrew Yang +900
Amy Klobuchar +1000
Pete Buttigieg +1400
Cory Booker/Elizabeth Warren +1800
Kirsten Gillibrand/Tulsi Gabbard +2000

[Spurtacular]

Odds to be the 2020 Democratic Presidential Nominee:

Bernie Sanders +300
Kamala Harris +350
Joe Biden +400
Beto O'Rourke +450
Andrew Yang +900
Amy Klobuchar +1000
Pete Buttigieg +1400
Cory Booker/Elizabeth Warren +1800
Kirsten Gillibrand/Tulsi Gabbard +2000

These candidates are so sorry. It's no wonder Dems went all in on the illusion of their groomed felon in 2016.

[CosmicCowboy]

Media is sure loving Buttigieg. He could be a fun throwaway bet at 1400.

[CosmicCowboy]

I honestly don't see how Trump wins again. That's the sucker bet.

[Nbadan]

I honestly don't see how Trump wins again. That's the sucker bet.

I could see it given the right third party candidate tbh

[apalisoc_9]

These numbers are misleading. Once the Democrats can figure out who they would want to run, its most likely going to be -110 moneyline for trump and a something very close for the democrat candidate.

Democrats will win the popular vote no question.

I still cant believe hillary won the popular vote. One of the all time Worst candidate.

Shes like demar derozan trying to win MVP votes.

[CosmicCowboy]

These numbers are misleading. Once the Democrats can figure out who they would want to run, its most likely going to be -110 moneyline for trump and a something very close for the democrat candidate.

Democrats will win the popular vote no question.

I still cant believe hillary won the popular vote. One of the all time Worst candidate.

Shes like demar derozan trying to win MVP votes.

It was literally just two states that gave her the popular vote. New York and California.

[Spurtacular]

These numbers are misleading. Once the Democrats can figure out who they would want to run, its most likely going to be -110 moneyline for trump and a something very close for the democrat candidate.

Democrats will win the popular vote no question.

I still cant believe hillary won the popular vote. One of the all time Worst candidate.

Shes like demar derozan trying to win MVP votes.

You think whatever scrub the Dems nominate will get the same odds as a successful sitting president and businessman?

[CosmicCowboy]

You think whatever scrub the Dems nominate will get the same odds as a successful sitting president and businessman?

Yes

[Spurtacular]

Yes

Wouldn't be surprised. It's sad though.

[spurraider21]

It was literally just two states that gave her the popular vote. New York and California.
and?

that doesn't diminish it.

california is just 1 state but it contains millions of individuals. they dont vote as a collective, so thats a really dumb way of looking at it imo. why would you diminish the relevance of somebody's vote because of where they live?

[boutons_deux]

Trash would solidly repeat if

he exposed everything's he is and has been hiding

tax returns

Mueller report

health records

one-on-one conversations with Pootin

and they all confirmed what his has been saying

a slam fucking, backboard-smashing dunk

[CosmicCowboy]

and?

that doesn't diminish it.

california is just 1 state but it contains millions of individuals. they dont vote as a collective, so thats a really dumb way of looking at it imo. why would you diminish the relevance of somebody's vote because of where they live?

I didn't diminish it, the US Constitution did. As the name implies, the US is a union of STATES. The whole system was set up so that the largest and most populous states didn't automatically rule the other states.

[spurraider21]

I didn't diminish it, the US Constitution did. As the name implies, the US is a union of STATES. The whole system was set up so that the largest and most populous states didn't automatically rule the other states.
im not talking about the electoral college

you brushed off the popular vote difference as "it came from 2 states"

who cares if it was from 2 states or 22?

[CosmicCowboy]

im not talking about the electoral college

you brushed off the popular vote difference as "it came from 2 states"

who cares if it was from 2 states or 22?

Apparently you do. I was just stating a fact. FWIW it's happened at least 8 times before.

[spurraider21]

Apparently you do. I was just stating a fact. FWIW it's happened at least 8 times before.
i'm not talking about the electoral college.

[CitizenDwayne]

Fuck New York and Cali, that ain’t real America!