View Full Version : Warriors: Todays NBA real discussion
Ghazi
04-16-2019, 09:35 AM
Ok like I think the analytics were impressive but it feels like teams play too fast and sloppy now rather than real basketball.... it just isn't really as entertaining as it ought to be with the high scores. Anyone agree? And the superstars are pussies. Durants fake twitter to argue with casual fans, Leonard's a bitch, and players sitting out games in the middle of the season due to "rest"
Teams shooting 40-50 3's a game.... even if analytics dictate the 3 point shot is highly profitable, something doesn't feel right watching it. Despite more athleticism in the league today, you hardly sense that teams of yesterday would get annihilated.
Warriors can never surpass the 90s Bulls as the GOAT.... and I never thought I'd say this but.... :lol today's NBA
apalisoc_9
04-16-2019, 10:13 AM
Teams dont really play sloppy. A lot of the space is created in todays NBA is a product of improved skill in the 3pt line and the emphasis on offball movement.
The slopping passing people complain about is a by product of a game that evolved into constant movement.
In short, offenses are much nore talented and move much faster.
Now in terms of enjoyment, some fans find thid kind of basketball boring because its now limited to 3s and layups, i still find it extremely entertaining because the process to get those layups is a joy to watch.
RGMCSE
04-16-2019, 10:26 AM
Imagine if the league switched to a hard core grind out physical style from the 70’s, 80’s and 90’s? This bullshit today that spoiled pampered millionaires playing soccer on the court lobbing countless 3’s then taking 20 games off for “load management” would fucking crumble. Players like Durant and harden would still be stars but they would absolutely be fucking hammered going down the lane at least once a game. It would be awesome to watch.
lefty
04-16-2019, 10:40 AM
I tried to like today’s NBA, I really did
But holy shit the last few weeks of the season have reached faggotry of epic proportion :lol
:lol today’s NBA
Mr. Body
04-16-2019, 10:44 AM
Agree on the superstars. They're either pampered princesses like Durant and Leonard. Or they're hugely overrated weenies like Anthony Davis. Or they're loudmouthed braggarts like Embiid. Oh, or unwatchable like Harden. Only one with the sense to just play the game is Giannis.
It’s NBA Jam now. The only thing missing is Boomshakalaka!
lefty
04-16-2019, 10:59 AM
:lol Klay can’t hit jack and shit if he’s not wide open or doesn’t benefit from an illegal screen
:lol would be a scrub in yesterday’s NBA, dude is just a darker Craig Ehlo
Mr. Body
04-16-2019, 11:09 AM
:lol Klay can’t hit jack and shit if he’s not wide open or doesn’t benefit from an illegal screen
:lol would be a scrub in yesterday’s NBA, dude is just a darker Craig Ehlo
He's a plus plus defender, don'tcha know? Held Louis Williams to only like 35 points or whatever.
He eats up a lot of cap space. That's what he's good for.
HarlemHeat37
04-16-2019, 11:25 AM
Nothing wrong with not liking today's game, you're entitled to your opinion..nostalgia is a very strong feeling..
I have complaints about today's game, as well, but as Jeff Van Gundy(one of the faces of 90s basketball) said during the Portland/OKC game the other night, the level of skill today's players have reached is absurd..
Realistically, if you used the exact same style as the old days and brought the same players but changed their names, you guys would still be complaining about it:lol it's just human nature to favor what you grew up watching(I've been watching since the early 2000s, but I'm in the minority that cringes when I look back at those games)
lefty
04-16-2019, 11:33 AM
Nothing wrong with not liking today's game, you're entitled to your opinion..nostalgia is a very strong feeling..
I have complaints about today's game, as well, but as Jeff Van Gundy(one of the faces of 90s basketball) said during the Portland/OKC game the other night, the level of skill today's players have reached is absurd..
Realistically, if you used the exact same style as the old days and brought the same players but changed their names, you guys would still be complaining about it:lol it's just human nature to favor what you grew up watching..
With the freedom perimeter players have today and the traveling that is allowed, of course their skill set look absurd :lol
JVG hasn’t been objective since the NBA has assigned a sniper to his ass after he said the NBA was rigged a few years ago :lol
R. DeMurre
04-16-2019, 11:37 AM
In game one of the Milwaukee series, Giannis stole the ball at half court, took a few dribbles, and took off just inside the free throw line with a throw down dunk-- that's essentially the same dunk that Dr J and MJ made famous and won them Dunk contests... but Giannis did it in a live game, while maintaining his dribble, barely exerting himself. Ridiculous.
HarlemHeat37
04-16-2019, 11:39 AM
With the freedom perimeter players have today and the traveling that is allowed, of course their skill set look absurd :lol
JVG hasn’t been objective since the NBA has assigned a sniper to his ass after he said the NBA was rigged a few years ago :lol
Don't shoot the messenger, I was just quoting 90s legend Jeff Van Gundy..the man who coached Patrick Ewing, Jon Starks, cult icon Charles Oakley..coached against Michael Jordan and Reggie Miller..
Nothing wrong with not liking today's game, you're entitled to your opinion..nostalgia is a very strong feeling..
I have complaints about today's game, as well, [/b]but as Jeff Van Gundy(one of the faces of 90s basketball) said during the Portland/OKC game the other night, the level of skill today's players have reached is absurd..[b]
Realistically, if you used the exact same style as the old days and brought the same players but changed their names, you guys would still be complaining about it:lol it's just human nature to favor what you grew up watching..
Absolutely. Which is why I say todays Warriors would run circles around the 90s Bulls head to head.
I hate today’s 3 point chucking game, and players are bigger wimps, but today’s players are on another level athletically. Yes the old dudes were tough as nails, but their heads would be spinning trying to guard today’s players.
Sure most old era guys would be just as good as today’s athletes is they grew up with the same training advancements, but taking the teams head to head from each era, the bulls would get swept.
Arcadian
04-16-2019, 11:47 AM
I have mixed thoughts on the matter. I understand that everything evolves, and this is a natural part of that evolution. At the same time, I look forward to the evolution continuing past its current phase.
We have some of the greatest players ever in the league right now - but when I think about it, I wouldn't say the top-level talent of today is better than ever before. The superstars of the previous decade were better, IMO. Duncan/Shaq/Kobe/Garnett/Nowitzki/McGrady/Iverson in the early 2000s was a more impressive collection of superstars than the top 7 players today.
lefty
04-16-2019, 11:48 AM
Don't shoot the messenger, I was just quoting 90s legend Jeff Van Gundy..the man who coached Patrick Ewing, Jon Starks, cult icon Charles Oakley..coached against Michael Jordan and Reggie Miller..
Sure, John Starks and Oak weren’t legends but the games were more enjoyable tbh
Rivalries and intensity have left the NBA
Still, Stark would be an all star every year in t:lolday NBA
HarlemHeat37
04-16-2019, 11:48 AM
I don't like the NBA as much as I did from 2011-2016(the greatest era of the NBA IMO), tbh..doesn't have much to do with the game or style, though, I think it's a league that you tend to enjoy less as you get older, especially with the social media route they've chosen to take, it's corny..
Your favorite players that you grew up watching retire(I don't have any feelings for this current Spurs team other than Pop since Duncan and Manu retired, I dislike almost all their main players), which matters more in the NBA because it's a player-driven league, unlike the NFL..gambling daily keeps me engaged and the NBA has done a great job to embrace that, which will help them remain relevant, as well..
lefty
04-16-2019, 11:51 AM
I don't like the NBA as much as I did from 2011-2016(the greatest era of the NBA IMO), tbh..doesn't have much to do with the game or style, though, I think it's a league that you tend to enjoy less as you get older, especially with the social media route they've chosen to take, it's corny..
Your favorite players that you grew up watching retire, which matters more in the NBA because it's a player-driven league, unlike the NFL..gambling daily keeps me engaged and the NBA has done a great job to embrace that, which will help them remain relevant, as well..
Good point it’s really a player driven league
Dr J’s favorite starting 5 doesn’t include MJ, Magic, Bird etc , it has players he idolized growing up
lebomb
04-16-2019, 12:06 PM
Jordan would average 68 pts a game in Today's NBA.
FrostKing
04-16-2019, 12:57 PM
Absolutely. Which is why I say todays Warriors would run circles around the 90s Bulls head to head.
I hate today’s 3 point chucking game, and players are bigger wimps, but today’s players are on another level athletically. Yes the old dudes were tough as nails, but their heads would be spinning trying to guard today’s players.
Sure most old era guys would be just as good as today’s athletes is they grew up with the same training advancements, but taking the teams head to head from each era, the bulls would get swept.
90s Bulls were more athletic than today's Warriors. You had a good argument til you reached that point. Kukoc & Rodman > Durant & Green. Ill take Harper, Jordan and Pippen over Curry, Klay and Andre
LMAO kukoc > durant
:lmao :lmao :lmao
FrostKing
04-16-2019, 01:14 PM
That's not what I posted
But since you put me on the spot Kukoc would be a MVP candidate in today's game. Durant with a spine and better court vision but slightly worse shooting touch.
Clipper Nation
04-16-2019, 01:24 PM
That's not what I posted
But since you put me on the spot Kukoc would be a MVP candidate in today's game. Durant with a spine and better court vision but slightly worse shooting touch.
Kukoc would be very good in today's league, but that is just a delusional take.
Benoit
04-16-2019, 01:27 PM
NBA should deflate the basketball so it's harder to shoot. Historically speaking, ratings have an inverse relationship with scoring output. People really buy into defense in basketball when compared to other sports.
MLB is juicing the baseballs--higher ratings. NFL made touching the QB illegal--ratings skyrocket. Higher scoring in NBA-- ratings plummet
Mr. Body
04-16-2019, 01:28 PM
90s Bulls were more athletic than today's Warriors. You had a good argument til you reached that point. Kukoc & Rodman > Durant & Green. Ill take Harper, Jordan and Pippen over Curry, Klay and Andre
Yeah, the Bulls were super fucking athletic with Bill Wennington and Luc Longley. :lol
Mr. Body
04-16-2019, 01:29 PM
NBA should deflate the basketball so it's harder to shoot. Historically speaking, ratings have an inverse relationship with scoring output. People really buy into defense in basketball when compared to other sports.
MLB is juicing the baseballs--higher ratings. NFL made touching the QB illegal--ratings skyrocket. Higher scoring in NBA-- ratings plummet
Fucking what.
Benoit
04-16-2019, 01:30 PM
Fucking what.
What? They need to find a way to make scoring harder.
FrostKing
04-16-2019, 01:34 PM
What? They need to find a way to make scoring harder.
Decrease the punishment for "hard fouls"
Just that alone would make a significant upswing
lefty
04-16-2019, 01:40 PM
LMAO kukoc > durant
:lmao :lmao :lmao
More clutch tbh
Better passer too
Mr. Body
04-16-2019, 01:54 PM
What? They need to find a way to make scoring harder.
The idea that NBA ratings go up when scoring goes down is just clownshoes.
90s Bulls were more athletic than today's Warriors. You had a good argument til you reached that point. Kukoc & Rodman > Durant & Green. Ill take Harper, Jordan and Pippen over Curry, Klay and Andre
When I say athletic, I mean in all aspects. The handles KD has are far better than Kukoc. The handles Green has, are far better than Rodman. These guys have grown up playing against guys with the same style of handles and footwork. Have you seen the quick sidesteps guys take to create the separation? Have you seen how guys can shift from right to left while going down hill full speed, and then end it with a crazy euro step? If it happened back then, it was a one off. It happens multiple times every quarter of basketball now.
The big men in today’s game big men (PF and C) can dribble like guards. Have you seen the old clips of big men dribbling down the court? Just look at the way Barkley dribbled at full speed, and he was one of the best athletes on the court. He had to look down every half second to make he didn’t lose the ball.
The details of the game are on an entire different level. It’s easy to not see it because,like watching your kids grow, one day you realize they’re already a teenager. But if you put the skills of yesterday’s players game against today’s, they wouldn’t be able to stay in front of anyone with the handles, stepbacks, hesitation moves, that happen every time down the floor in today’s game.
Arcadian
04-16-2019, 06:28 PM
NBA should deflate the basketball so it's harder to shoot. Historically speaking, ratings have an inverse relationship with scoring output. People really buy into defense in basketball when compared to other sports.
MLB is juicing the baseballs--higher ratings. NFL made touching the QB illegal--ratings skyrocket. Higher scoring in NBA-- ratings plummet
Interesting hypothesis. Are there any data to support that?
I would like for that to be the case, but...aren't ratings really good right now, and scoring output is high? And weren't ratings really bad in the late 90s/early 00s when scoring output was low?
midnightpulp
04-16-2019, 07:13 PM
Nothing wrong with not liking today's game, you're entitled to your opinion..nostalgia is a very strong feeling..
I have complaints about today's game, as well, but as Jeff Van Gundy(one of the faces of 90s basketball) said during the Portland/OKC game the other night, the level of skill today's players have reached is absurd..
Realistically, if you used the exact same style as the old days and brought the same players but changed their names, you guys would still be complaining about it:lol it's just human nature to favor what you grew up watching(I've been watching since the early 2000s, but I'm in the minority that cringes when I look back at those games)
I disagree that the criticizing of anything modern vs. past comparisons is primarily fueled by nostalgia (there's also a form of "anti-nostalgia" that celebrates anything modern/new uncritically, which is kind of motivated by a try-hard iconoclasm in response to older generations telling younger ones how "good it was in my day!"). ":lol Today's NBA" isn't wholly the fault of the players and league. As Van Gundy said, skill levels have improved, translating into the athletes catching up with the on-court dimensions. Making a 3 pointer isn't difficult anymore, but it's absurdly overvalued compared to all other 2 point shots aside from layups/dunks. Every sport/game has a potential exploitable tactic, and when athletes/coaching figure out what it is, they're going to abuse it. The end result is a more one-dimensional game, which the NBA has certainly become.
Where the league is at fault, though, is their wholesale endorsing of the product. They've done everything to neuter defense and increase pace to satisfy the children on twitter/social media, where the NBA's bread is buttered. This is obviously a smart business strategy. The NBA's core demo has always been the 12 to 25 year olds (the league also had a cartoonish/corny marketing strategy in the 90s). The majority of North American sports fans do grow out of being "hardcore" NBA fans, as you've experienced, as I've experienced, and as Lefty experienced :lol.
I think as you grow older, you more appreciate build up and tension. Basketball lacks that, until the end game. It's also why the sport is star centric. People tune in to watch Curry or Harden drop 50 rather than a contest between the Warriors and Rockets, since, truth be told, basketball is uncompelling team sports drama (i.e. basketball lacks big game changing plays in the early and mid game. In football, for example, a pick six from the red zone in the 2nd quarter to turn a 14-7 game into a 21-0 game is a backbreaker. In MalariaTrot, a goal in the 30th minute to take a 2-0 lead basically shuts the door). Nothing in basketball is backbreaking until the final minutes of the 4th).
I don't mind having a sport like this, where you watch players rather than the game. Just wish it was more balanced so we can see different playstyles again (post-game, mid-post, mid-range, etc).
midnightpulp
04-16-2019, 07:21 PM
Interesting hypothesis. Are there any data to support that?
I would like for that to be the case, but...aren't ratings really good right now, and scoring output is high? And weren't ratings really bad in the late 90s/early 00s when scoring output was low?
Ratings and interest were low during that period because of Jordan retiring. And honestly, not sure why fans think the NBA has "exploded" in ratings over the past few years. Regular season ratings actually reached a 20 year low in 2017 and have basically met past trends. You can also see how Jordan drove ratings:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Basketball_Association_on_television
That said, not a 1 to 1 comparison, either. Much more entertainment options today. Furthermore, I don't think the NBA really cares about tv ratings anymore compared to then. They care about social media relevance. And in that sphere, the NBA dominates every other sport in the US.
FrostKing
04-16-2019, 07:31 PM
Ratings and interest were low during that period because of Jordan retiring. And honestly, not sure why fans think the NBA has "exploded" in ratings over the past few years. Regular season ratings actually reached a 20 year low in 2017 and have basically met past trends. You can also see how Jordan drove ratings:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Basketball_Association_on_television
That said, not a 1 to 1 comparison, either. Much more entertainment options today. Furthermore, I don't think the NBA really cares about tv ratings anymore compared to then. They care about social media relevance. And in that sphere, the NBA dominates every other sport in the US.
They probably get that false perception because ESPN and Twitter is intoxicated with NBA.
They listen to Rap and songs name drop NBA players and shoes.
Arcadian
04-16-2019, 08:04 PM
Ratings and interest were low during that period because of Jordan retiring. And honestly, not sure why fans think the NBA has "exploded" in ratings over the past few years. Regular season ratings actually reached a 20 year low in 2017 and have basically met past trends. You can also see how Jordan drove ratings:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Basketball_Association_on_television
That said, not a 1 to 1 comparison, either. Much more entertainment options today. Furthermore, I don't think the NBA really cares about tv ratings anymore compared to then. They care about social media relevance. And in that sphere, the NBA dominates every other sport in the US.
I see. I figured my assumption was probably wrong, but I wonder what the correlation coefficient really is between average points per game and TV ratings (or another metric for overall business success).
I just can't shake the memory of people complaining about ratings during the 2003 Finals :lol (Not that I cared at the time, as I was in Duncan bliss.)
lefty
04-16-2019, 08:16 PM
.
CAPTAIN AMERICA WIELDS MJOLNIR AND SAYS AVENGERS ASSEMBLE
PROFESSOR HULK (WITH BANNER VOICE) PUTS ON A GAUNTLET MADE BY STARK
STARK CALLS ROCKET “RATCHET”
THOR IS FAT AND LOOKS LIKE A HOBO
WE SEE THE VALKYRIE
KORG AND MEEK ARE ALIVE
MultiTroll
04-16-2019, 08:21 PM
Cool it somewhat with the *rough n tumble* 80s and 90s bit.
Fagic Johnson couldn't be touched going down the lane and Kreams two FTs to end Game 6 of the would-be Pistons Finals win was pretty weak. Technically a good call as is was a foul, but if you're spinning this rough n tumble shit then.....well here see the play and what freakin Pat Riley himself said about the call:
Pat Riley Admits '88 Lakers Benefited from Phantom Foul vs. Detroit Pistons
https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2103545-pat-riley-admits-84-lakers-benefited-from-phantom-foul-vs-detroit-pistons
midnightpulp
04-16-2019, 08:51 PM
I see. I figured my assumption was probably wrong, but I wonder what the correlation coefficient really is between average points per game and TV ratings (or another metric for overall business success).
I just can't shake the memory of people complaining about ratings during the 2003 Finals :lol (Not that I cared at the time, as I was in Duncan bliss.)
2003 ratings disaster wasn't because of low scoring, it was because it featured the Nets and Spurs. NBA fans are primarily casual, and only tune in to watch mega-stars or shiny big market teams.
lefty
04-16-2019, 09:32 PM
Cool it somewhat with the *rough n tumble* 80s and 90s bit.
Fagic Johnson couldn't be touched going down the lane and Kreams two FTs to end Game 6 of the would-be Pistons Finals win was pretty weak. Technically a good call as is was a foul, but if you're spinning this rough n tumble shit then.....well here see the play and what freakin Pat Riley himself said about the call:
Pat Riley Admits '88 Lakers Benefited from Phantom Foul vs. Detroit Pistons
https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2103545-pat-riley-admits-84-lakers-benefited-from-phantom-foul-vs-detroit-pistons
Yeah officiating was already shit back then but it was still tougher
Bad example imo
ambchang
04-16-2019, 10:06 PM
In game one of the Milwaukee series, Giannis stole the ball at half court, took a few dribbles, and took off just inside the free throw line with a throw down dunk-- that's essentially the same dunk that Dr J and MJ made famous and won them Dunk contests... but Giannis did it in a live game, while maintaining his dribble, barely exerting himself. Ridiculous.
drexler did it vs the lakers back in the day. He took off maybe a foot closer to the basket but had a cleaner dunk
ywhvYsGQxYM
ambchang
04-16-2019, 10:08 PM
Nothing wrong with not liking today's game, you're entitled to your opinion..nostalgia is a very strong feeling..
I have complaints about today's game, as well, but as Jeff Van Gundy(one of the faces of 90s basketball) said during the Portland/OKC game the other night, the level of skill today's players have reached is absurd..
Realistically, if you used the exact same style as the old days and brought the same players but changed their names, you guys would still be complaining about it:lol it's just human nature to favor what you grew up watching(I've been watching since the early 2000s, but I'm in the minority that cringes when I look back at those games)
The change in the game is essentially 100% due to rule changes. It’s turning into a high skilled WNBA game.
lefty
04-16-2019, 10:29 PM
drexler did it vs the lakers back in the day. He took off maybe a foot closer to the basket but had a cleaner dunk
ywhvYsGQxYM
The change in the game is essentially 100% due to rule changes. It’s turning into a high skilled WNBA game.
Facts
midnightpulp
04-16-2019, 10:39 PM
drexler did it vs the lakers back in the day. He took off maybe a foot closer to the basket but had a cleaner dunk
ywhvYsGQxYM
Modern sports fans think today's athletes are superheroes. I still haven't seen a 7 footer as athletic as Robinson. Wilt was a goddamn monster, too. Skillsets have improved, though.
HarlemHeat37
04-16-2019, 10:49 PM
The change in the game is essentially 100% due to rule changes. It’s turning into a high skilled WNBA game.
Those changes have been around since 2006(which you yourself have repeated here forever), the only major difference since then is the 3-point shooting, which was inevitable in basketball once smart people took over and realized that there was a huge inefficiency that wasn't being exploited..
They'll probably move the line back in a few years to combat it, which is all they can do(along with removing the corner 3, which has been suggested by analytics people),..
midnightpulp
04-16-2019, 10:56 PM
Those changes have been around since 2006(which you yourself have repeated here forever), the only major difference since then is the 3-point shooting, which was inevitable in basketball once smart people took over and realized that there was a huge inefficiency that wasn't being exploited..
They'll probably move the line back in a few years to combat it, which is all they can do(along with removing the corner 3, which has been suggested by analytics people),..
We can hope, but I don't see it. What usually fuels rule changes are declining ratings/interest. NBA has happened on the perfect formula that is best compatible with social media highlight and celebrity culture. People want to see Curry sink 10 threes in a game. Less offensive flourish=less potential highlights to share on twitter. They showed their hand when they came up with that silly 14 second reset from an offensive board rule. Another change that further marginalizes defense and traditional bigs. They want the league to be a highlight factory for twitter.
HarlemHeat37
04-16-2019, 11:02 PM
We can hope, but I don't see it. What usually fuels rule changes are declining ratings/interest. NBA has happened on the perfect formula that is best compatible with social media highlight and celebrity culture. People want to see Curry sink 10 threes in a game. Less offensive flourish=less potential highlights to share on twitter. They showed their hand when they came up with that silly 14 second reset from an offensive board rule. Another change that further marginalizes defense and traditional bigs. They want the league to a highlight factory for twitter.
You should check out Kirk Goldsberry's stuff, he has a new book coming out about how analytics helped make the NBA better, but then ended up killing the game..he has interesting ideas on how to fix it, etc..he's very anti-Houston Rockets style of basketball:lol
midnightpulp
04-16-2019, 11:37 PM
You should check out Kirk Goldsberry's stuff, he has a new book coming out about how analytics helped make the NBA better, but then ended up killing the game..he has interesting ideas on how to fix it, etc..he's very anti-Houston Rockets style of basketball:lol
It's a fate coming to all sports. In any sport or game, there will always be a strategy/tactic that has greater expected value vs. others. In baseball, the art of starting pitching (i.e. starters routinely throwing 8 or 9 inning on 120 pitches) is just about dead, since analytics discovered that starters get hammered in their 3rd time through the lineup. So now the tactic is work your starter for 6ish innings and hand it off to the pen. It's made pitching less interesting, since to throw a complete game you have to pace yourself and tactically pitch to more contact, rather than just max out at 98 every pitch. Shifts informed by analytics have killed more all around hitting approaches. Hitters now try to always hit the ball in the air over the shift. A Tony Gwynn type hitter who made his living shooting groundballs through the 3rd baseman and SS probably doesn't work today. Analytics have also revealed sacrifice bunts and stolen bases (unless stolen at about a 75% success rate) to be -EV strategies.
NFL, the net positive strategy is obviously being more pass centric vs. the past belief that a 50/50 pass/run attack would be best.
I don't see changes coming to the NBA/NFL because it luckily happened that the most efficient strategies are also the most entertaining (to casuals). MLB does, however, need to implement change. The most efficient strats in baseball have eliminated more of what fans found exciting, stolen bases, hit-and-run, speed-and-contact. Manfred is on it (rule change coming that forces a reliever to face a min of 3 batters). He wants the pitch clock, has toyed with the idea of moving the mound back and raising the strike zone, but the players union is fuckin' stubborn.
HarlemHeat37
04-16-2019, 11:40 PM
It's a fate coming to all sports. In any sport or game, there will always be a strategy/tactic that has greater expected value vs. others. In baseball, the art of starting pitching (i.e. starters routinely throwing 8 or 9 inning on 120 pitches) is just about dead, since analytics discovered that starters get hammered in their 3rd time through the lineup. So now the tactic is work your starter for 6ish innings and hand it off to the pen. It's made pitching less interesting, since to throw a complete game you have to pace yourself and tactically pitch to more contact, rather than just max out at 98 every pitch. Shifts informed by analytics have killed more all around hitting approaches. Hitters now try to always hit the ball in the air over the shift. A Tony Gwynn type hitter who made his living shooting groundballs through the 3rd baseman and SS probably doesn't work today. Analytics have also revealed sacrifice bunts and stolen bases (unless stolen at about a 75% success rate) to be -EV strategies.
NFL, the net positive strategy is obviously being more pass centric vs. the past belief that a 50/50 pass/run attack would be best.
I don't see changes coming to the NBA/NFL because it luckily happened that the most efficient strategies are also the most entertaining (to casuals). MLB does, however, need to implement change. The most efficient strats in baseball have eliminated more of what fans found exciting, stolen bases, hit-and-run, speed-and-contact. Manfred is on it (rule change coming that forces a reliever to face a min of 3 batters). He wants the pitch clock, has toyed with the idea of moving the mound back and raising the strike zone, but the players union is fuckin' stubborn.
MLB is an interesting one, it's probably seen the most changes to traditional values..I heard Mark Teixeira discussing it a few weeks ago, he said he wouldn't have been anywhere as good or made anywhere as much money if he played against today's shifts:lol
midnightpulp
04-17-2019, 12:01 AM
MLB is an interesting one, it's probably seen the most changes to traditional values..I heard Mark Teixeira discussing it a few weeks ago, he said he wouldn't have been anywhere as good or made anywhere as much money if he played against today's shifts:lol
John Smoltz would like to see an "illegal defense" rule implemented. Players can have a certain zone they can position in, but it would eliminate the loading up you see on hitters like Joey Gallo. The argument is: Why don't hitters just bunt or go the other way. Easier said than done when you're facing 99mph and 94mph sliders. Pitching is just really overpowered right now. Trevor Bauer is refining his change-up delivery with state of the art high speed cameras by 2000ths of a second :lol. It's just insane how mechanically good modern pitchers are. Hitters will always be behind in the arms race. Position players have to work on fielding, throwing, speed and strength training, and hitting, while pitchers can basically work on nothing but their craft. Hitters really need a boost through rule or equipment changes.
Arcadian
04-17-2019, 12:02 AM
We can hope, but I don't see it. What usually fuels rule changes are declining ratings/interest. NBA has happened on the perfect formula that is best compatible with social media highlight and celebrity culture. People want to see Curry sink 10 threes in a game. Less offensive flourish=less potential highlights to share on twitter. They showed their hand when they came up with that silly 14 second reset from an offensive board rule. Another change that further marginalizes defense and traditional bigs. They want the league to be a highlight factory for twitter.
If they took away the corner 3 and/or move the line further back, there'd be more attacking the basket and more "sick dunks" to share on twitter. Don't casuals also find dunks entertaining? In the 90s, most of the highlights were dunks. I remember booting up NBA Live 98 as a kid and watching the opening video montage of dunks to heavy metal music, and being quite enamored. :lol
midnightpulp
04-17-2019, 12:06 AM
If they took away the corner 3 and/or move the line further back, there'd be more attacking the basket and more "sick dunks" to share on twitter. Don't casuals also find dunks entertaining? In the 90s, most of the highlights were dunks. I remember booting up NBA Live 98 as a kid and watching the opening video montage of dunks to a heavy metal soundtrack. :lol
I don't think moving the line back would really increase the efficacy of penetration. Penetration is probably easier than it's ever been because teams have to come out far to defend the 3. If the line was moved back to like 30 feet, translating into something like a league wide .280 percentage from 3, defending the 3 isn't a huge priority anymore, so defenses could sag back. I think it would result in the post and mid-range games becoming more valuable again.
midnightpulp
04-17-2019, 03:55 AM
MLB is an interesting one, it's probably seen the most changes to traditional values..I heard Mark Teixeira discussing it a few weeks ago, he said he wouldn't have been anywhere as good or made anywhere as much money if he played against today's shifts:lol
Should've showed you some clips of modern pitching (I know you watch baseball, but television broadcasts don't seem to capture the movement at times. They should also take a cue from the Pitching Ninja twitter and show overlays. You might dig this account: https://twitter.com/PitchingNinja. Really highlights the art and science of pitching). I mean, what the fuck are you supposed to do with this :lol
1118330352563568641
Talked about Bauer. This shit is surgical right here. Watch how his fastball and change up start from the exact same tunnel, through an identical delivery, and then break off into different paths a few feet away.
https://gfycat.com/admireddesertedalbatross-trevor-bauer-baseball-indians-sports
ambchang
04-17-2019, 05:39 AM
Those changes have been around since 2006(which you yourself have repeated here forever), the only major difference since then is the 3-point shooting, which was inevitable in basketball once smart people took over and realized that there was a huge inefficiency that wasn't being exploited..
They'll probably move the line back in a few years to combat it, which is all they can do(along with removing the corner 3, which has been suggested by analytics people),..
The rules have actually changed since 2002, but the implementation and interpretation of the rules, particularly perimeter defense didn’t go full force until the last few years.
The sudden rise in perimeter player scoring is no coincidence. It’s purely due to rule changes. Look at the scoring charts, especially this year and it’s simple to see now perimeter friendly the game has turned. Only two of the top ten scorers are inside players.
And :lol about making three point shooting into this incredible feat. These are world class athletes. Most of them can turn into very good shooters with practice. Giannis basically learned to shoot within this season. Embiid became proficient in the last few years. Sure they aren’t curry by any means but for them to turn into a 30-35% shooter isn’t something that is so dramatic that only :lol today’s nba player can obtain.
midnightpulp
04-17-2019, 05:55 AM
The rules have actually changed since 2002, but the implementation and interpretation of the rules, particularly perimeter defense didn’t go full force until the last few years.
The sudden rise in perimeter player scoring is no coincidence. It’s purely due to rule changes. Look at the scoring charts, especially this year and it’s simple to see now perimeter friendly the game has turned. Only two of the top ten scorers are inside players.
And :lol about making three point shooting into this incredible feat. These are world class athletes. Most of them can turn into very good shooters with practice. Giannis basically learned to shoot within this season. Embiid became proficient in the last few years. Sure they aren’t curry by any means but for them to turn into a 30-35% shooter isn’t something that is so dramatic that only :lol today’s nba player can obtain.
I think HH was implying it isn't, thus him saying the 3 pointer was basically there for the taking. Yeah, it is kind of weird that the shot really wasn't being exploited till now. It's not a particularly difficult feat.
Othyus Lalanne
04-17-2019, 08:29 AM
I don't like the NBA as much as I did from 2011-2016(the greatest era of the NBA IMO), tbh..doesn't have much to do with the game or style, though, I think it's a league that you tend to enjoy less as you get older, especially with the social media route they've chosen to take, it's corny..
Your favorite players that you grew up watching retire(I don't have any feelings for this current Spurs team other than Pop since Duncan and Manu retired, I dislike almost all their main players), which matters more in the NBA because it's a player-driven league, unlike the NFL..gambling daily keeps me engaged and the NBA has done a great job to embrace that, which will help them remain relevant, as well..
If there was just one conference there would not be megastars. GSW is an anomaly. It's artificially player driven.
Ghazi
04-17-2019, 05:44 PM
Nothing wrong with not liking today's game, you're entitled to your opinion..nostalgia is a very strong feeling..
I have complaints about today's game, as well, but as Jeff Van Gundy(one of the faces of 90s basketball) said during the Portland/OKC game the other night, the level of skill today's players have reached is absurd..
Realistically, if you used the exact same style as the old days and brought the same players but changed their names, you guys would still be complaining about it:lol it's just human nature to favor what you grew up watching(I've been watching since the early 2000s, but I'm in the minority that cringes when I look back at those games)
I'm not even tht nostalgic. I was like 9 when the Jordan Bulls won in 1998. I kinda dig 2005-2015 compared to today's era though.
Ghazi
04-17-2019, 05:45 PM
1999-2004 was lame basketball IMO... Pistons were annoying and boring.
Kobe'sAchilles
04-17-2019, 06:18 PM
I mean Adam Silver admitted that he made it easier to score in today's game. That's one reason why I'm not taking anybody's stats too seriously this year. Also every team shoots like 30 threes a game even if they suck at them.
It's ugly basketball to watch bc while certain players have improved in shooting and become all time great shooters, it doesn't mean that everybody has. Very few players in the NBA today are actually good 3 point shooters. I mean for every Lillard, Curry, Klay, and Durant, etc there is a Lonzo, Westbrook, Roberson, Wall, DDR, etc.
The league is in a fight within itself with players who can shoot and players who can't yet all offenses analytically say to take 3s instead of long 2s even when they can't make them. And that creates ugly basketball. It's embarrassing for some players I'm sure and everytime I see a player like Embid take a 3 I'm thinking to myself- why? Just dunk on people. It's how Shaq won.
lefty
04-17-2019, 07:56 PM
I mean Adam Silver admitted that he made it easier to score in today's game. That's one reason why I'm not taking anybody's stats too seriously this year. Also every team shoots like 30 threes a game even if they suck at them.
It's ugly basketball to watch bc while certain players have improved in shooting and become all time great shooters, it doesn't mean that everybody has. Very few players in the NBA today are actually good 3 point shooters. I mean for every Lillard, Curry, Klay, and Durant, etc there is a Lonzo, Westbrook, Roberson, Wall, DDR, etc.
The league is in a fight within itself with players who can shoot and players who can't yet all offenses analytically say to take 3s instead of long 2s even when they can't make them. And that creates ugly basketball. It's embarrassing for some players I'm sure and everytime I see a player like Embid take a 3 I'm thinking to myself- why? Just dunk on people. It's how Shaq won.
:tu
Mark Celibate
04-21-2019, 07:47 PM
Nothing wrong with not liking today's game, you're entitled to your opinion..nostalgia is a very strong feeling..
I have complaints about today's game, as well, but as Jeff Van Gundy(one of the faces of 90s basketball) said during the Portland/OKC game the other night, the level of skill today's players have reached is absurd..
Realistically, if you used the exact same style as the old days and brought the same players but changed their names, you guys would still be complaining about it:lol it's just human nature to favor what you grew up watching(I've been watching since the early 2000s, but I'm in the minority that cringes when I look back at those games)
How do you think your average NBA team would do against some of the early 00's run and gun teams (Kings, Mavs, Suns, etc) with today's rules?
I was watching a rerun on YouTube of a playoff game between the Mavericks and Kings in 2002 or 2003, and they were both by far the best offensive teams in the league, but they still played at a much slower pace, bricked plenty of long 2-pointers, etc. Just watching these games today, I think the upper echelon teams (Golden State, Milwaukee, Toronto, Houston, Philly) would completely run them out of the gym and even the lower seeded playoff teams would give them a serious scare. Just seems like the run and gun style has improved tenfold since then
I agree with Ghazi.
But when you have a stacked team as talent heavy as GSW, the rest of the league has to play their brand of ball or get blown out by 40. This makes the "stars" on other teams have higher scoring averages but marginalizes them otherwise. Your John Wall, Kemba Walker, Lillard, Irving, Westbrook, Unibrow, KAT, type players will have numbers but they won't win anything. They just won't, until someone on GS decides "enough of this shit" and breaks it up. I figure that will come after the 3peat.
As for sitting out games - these are the days of less for more. Prices go up, players make 40m a year, you see them half as often. This is under the guise of protecting assets, but in reality it's just creating more demand. Unlike movies that have to capitalize on the popularity of "now", the NBA can regulate the product and meter it down to a trickle of ex-G leaguers with an occasional star thrown in.
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