FiveThirtyEight Carmelos

[Drom John]

Wins Above Replacement; Five year market value; most comparable, Spurs comparables

LaMarcus Aldridge
2.7W, $73.1M, Tim Duncan 2011, 3rd David West 2015

Marco Belinelli
-0.3W, $0.6M, Dell Curry 1998, 5th Michael Finley 2007,

Davis Bertans
2.7W, $100.3M, Matt Bonner 2007, 5th Danny Green 2015

DeMarre Carroll
0.3W, $13.2M, Sam Perkins 1995, 5th Michael Finley 2007

DeMar DeRozan
2.0W, $51.8M, Richard Hamilton 2009, 4th Rudy Gay 2017, 8th George Gervin 1983

Drew Eubanks
0.0W, $11.8M, Quincy Acy 2014

Bryn Forbes
0.0W, $8.3M, Wayne Ellington 2014

Rudy Gay
1.6W, $36.9M, Shawn Marion 2012

Chimezie Metu
-0.2W, $5.9M, Nazr Mohammed 2000, 6th Kyle Anderson 2066

Patty Mills
0.5W, $15.0M, Chris Whitney 2003,

DeJounte Murray
1.8W, $100.7M, Aaron McKie 1996

Jakob Poeltl
2.1W, $105.7M, Andris Biedrins 2010

Lonnie Walker IV
0.1W, $38.8M, Jordan Adams 2016, 5th Dejounte Murray 2018

Derrick White
3.7W, $149.8M, Malcolm Brogdon 2018, 4th Danny Green 2013

[ZeusWillJudge]

Bertans has a 5 year market value of $100.3M? That ought to be worth a first round pick. I wonder if this is like CarMax where they'll buy your trade-in?

[SpursforSix]

Couldn't they have used a different acronym?

[JeffDuncan]

0.6 million for Belinelli. Ouch.

[pad300]

Bertans has a 5 year market value of $100.3M? That ought to be worth a first round pick. I wonder if this is like CarMax where they'll buy your trade-in?

I suspect that their projections are a little off. They project Patty Mills as having more value than Bryn Forbes...

[Seventyniner]

Couldn't they have used a different acronym?

Nah, the one they have is perfect cause it overrates shitty players.

[SpursforSix]

Nah, the one they have is perfect cause it overrates shitty players.
:lol

[SpurPadre]

I suspect that their projections are a little off. They project Patty Mills as having more value than Bryn Forbes...

They also have Bonner being a positive for us in 2007 lol. But if you look at the the formula used, they check out, tbh.

[Drom John]

Before Nate Silver, Baseball Prospectus projections were Vladimirs and Wiltons. Silver uprgraded them from raw projections to include breakouts and crashes with PECOTA (Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm).
The word is a backronym based on the name of journeyman major league player Bill Pecota, who, with a lifetime batting average of .249, is perhaps representative of the typical PECOTA entry. CARMELO was very much meant to be an insult to Anthony, an overrated shitty player.

Predating Vladimirs, I wrote blurbs for the DTs, (Davenport Translations) about Twins and Reds prospects on usenet alt.sports.baseball. The next year I was not invited to write for the first edition of Baseball Prospectus because .... I am a properly rated shitty writer. Though I did play Strat in a leage with a couple of BP writers and other usenet CDSNs. The next year I started playing in a 26 team (later 28 team) Strat League. We had lots of arguments and then arguments would get confusing about who said what, as we had six Johns, two Davids and two Garys. I starting referring everybody by their team names. Mustang John, Suds John, Black Sox John ... My team was the Winston-Salem Dromedaries owned by Drom John.

[TheGreatYacht]

All advanced stats are shit and created by virgins that want to be part of the game, but this one takes the cake.

[exstatic]

All advanced stats are shit and created by virgins that want to be part of the game, but this one takes the cake.

People shit on what they don't understand, what goes over their heads. You're like that asshole head of scouting in Moneyball.

[Play Boban]

All advanced stats are shit and created by virgins that want to be part of the game, but this one takes the cake.
:lmao Triggered kid hates advanced stats because they say Manu was better than TP :lol

[phxspurfan]

Bertans has a 5 year market value of $100.3M? That ought to be worth a first round pick. I wonder if this is like CarMax where they'll buy your trade-in?

Stop shopping our best player yo

[phxspurfan]

They also have Bonner being a positive for us in 2007 lol. But if you look at the the formula used, they check out, tbh.


:reading that was his Red Mamba year IIRC

[HarlemHeat37]

:lmao Triggered kid hates advanced stats because they say Manu was better than TP :lol

:lol

[Ed Helicopter Jones]

Soooooo.....


Derrick White....good.

Marco Belinelli.....not good.



Got it. :tu

[Drom John]

Keldon Johnson
-0.5W, $9.3M, Malik Beasley 2017

Luka Semanic
-0.2W, $41.5M, Nikola Mirotic, 2012

Quinndary Weatherspoon
0.0W, $20.5M, Sindarius Thornwell 2018

[Drom John]

DeMarcus Cousins
3.4W, $101.2M, Robert Parish 1983