2019 Hurricane season

[phxspurfan]

...begins with: Barry

https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2019-07-10-barry-hurricane-tropical-storm-flooding-forecast


SFS come in and do your thing :corn:

[Millennial_Messiah]

Hurricane Rita general area track with of course much weaker intensity

[Millennial_Messiah]

It's already mid July and we're only on the B storm, not very promising for this season, not to mention the fact that we've had zero in the way of Cape Verde/strong African wave activity. In strong years like 1995, 2005, 2008, 2017 we get strong promising waves by late June/early July, if not development, but as of now the only "threats" have been weak and close to home, forming off frontal boundaries etc.

I'm going with::

10 Named storms
2 hurricanes
0 major hurricanes


Weakest year since 2013 and 2009 tbh. Trump deserves a break. For a two-term President, Obama got historically lucky with hurricanes. Bush had it the worst by far and Trump has already had it MUCH worse in a quarter of the time Obama was in office.

[SpursforSix]

Uh...what the fuck is this thread

[phxspurfan]

strong African wave

Bend over, I...oh wait

[phxspurfan]

Uh...what the fuck is this thread

It's your time to come in and lay some expert rap on us about hurricanes

[Millennial_Messiah]

Uh...what the fuck is this thread

we seem to have a high population of armchair meteorologists for such a small message board.

[SpursforSix]

It's your time to come in and lay some expert rap on us about hurricanes

What? Now I have to post in my thread, yours, and all the weather forums??
Clambake was right...heavy is the crown.

[Millennial_Messiah]

What? Now I have to post in my thread, yours, and all the weather forums??
Clambake was right...heavy is the crown.

No weather forum on ST. I stopped posting on wunderground.com Masters blog around 10 years ago because it got way too rules-nazi and liberal. I'll still read it occasionally when there's a big hurricane threat.

[phxspurfan]

No weather forum on ST. I stopped posting on wunderground.com Masters blog around 10 years ago because it got way too rules-nazi and liberal. I'll still read it occasionally when there's a big hurricane threat.

yo that site sucks now. It used to be intellicast right? Anyway windy.com is where it's at now

[Millennial_Messiah]

yo that site sucks now. It used to be intellicast right? Anyway windy.com is where it's at now
Intellicast is/was separate. They came out with their own hurricane tracks/cones which were arguably better than both NHC and TWC with both track and intensity. They weren't the best visually but they were scarily accurate. Just like the GFDL spaghetti model which was the only model to get Katrina right from the start, but then they axed it. Wtf?

[phxspurfan]

Sat morning about to be messed up for southern LA

https://i.ibb.co/HrMLj9L/sat-0600.png

NO about to take a direct hit from the Eastern wall of it

[Millennial_Messiah]

Sat morning about to be messed up for southern LA

https://i.ibb.co/HrMLj9L/sat-0600.png

NO about to take a direct hit from the Eastern wall of it

More Cindy 2005 than Katrina or even Isaac.

[Darth_Pelican]

Sat morning about to be messed up for southern LA

https://i.ibb.co/HrMLj9L/sat-0600.png

NO about to take a direct hit from the Eastern wall of it

There’s literally zero concern about this storm here. We know our storms. This one isn’t shit. Morgan City, Lafayette, & Baton Rouge have bigger concerns.

[phxspurfan]

There’s literally zero concern about this storm here. We know our storms. This one isn’t shit. Morgan City, Lafayette, & Baton Rouge have bigger concerns.

It's not on Katrina/Rita level for sure. But it's going to be a hell of a rainmaker for early July. And the rivers will flood like a bitch/the gulf surge will test your new levees

[Darth_Pelican]

It's not on Katrina/Rita level for sure. But it's going to be a hell of a rainmaker for early July. And the rivers will flood like a bitch/the gulf surge will test your new levees

They already revised their river level estimates. That’s no longer a concern. Sustained rain is the only possibility but the storm is landing too west of us. Lafayette and Baton Rouge are at a much bigger risk of the rain floods.

[phxspurfan]

Looks like it's getting sheared rn

[Millennial_Messiah]

No longer expected to become a hurricane:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT02/refresh/AL022019_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/025509_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png


Looks like 2-0-0 will stand.

[Millennial_Messiah]

Last 2 years- especially 2 years ago- were great years to be a wishcaster. This year is a good year to be a downcaster, trust me.

[benefactor]

Even though this one is going to remain a tropical storm, it's looking like it will turn Louisiana into a lake. Predicting up to 25 inches of rain in certain areas.

[Millennial_Messiah]

Even though this one is going to remain a tropical storm, it's looking like it will turn Louisiana into a lake. Predicting up to 25 inches of rain in certain areas.

NHC can't make up its mind. Now back to a minimal "H" just before landfall:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT02/refresh/AL022019_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/144954_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

[phxspurfan]

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-f6J5VJHJf6g/UWNBvgL-HzI/AAAAAAAABGI/aL4GbxztIYU/s1600/we+will+rebuild.jpg

[pgardn]

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-f6J5VJHJf6g/UWNBvgL-HzI/AAAAAAAABGI/aL4GbxztIYU/s1600/we+will+rebuild.jpg

That chair has been down since Katrina.

[pgardn]

NHC can't make up its mind. Now back to a minimal "H" just before landfall:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT02/refresh/AL022019_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/144954_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

They can't make up their mind.
Or the elements have conspired to keep sustained wind speeds around 70 mph.
Or you just did not let SF6 handle it in the first place?

[phxspurfan]

They can't make up their mind.
Or the elements have conspired to keep sustained wind speeds around 70 mph.
Or you just did not let SF6 handle it in the first place?

We tried to get the expert in here but all you got was the weekend weathermen. I think he's got a screw loose, or needs some tussin. Or a salt pill.

[Millennial_Messiah]

Did make landfall as a minimal hurricane. 75 mph.


2-1-0.

[Darth_Pelican]

It’s barely drizzled here and no wind. We’ll get some rain later but nothing significant.

[Millennial_Messiah]

It’s barely drizzled here and no wind. We’ll get some rain later but nothing significant.

Cindy '05... roughly same time of year. Thought ye were home free for the season. And then...