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DMX7
07-13-2020, 12:28 AM
Poll numbers continue to look awful for Trump. Latest poll has him down 5 points in Texas. It seems obvious that Mike is going to have to take one for the team and get replaced on the GOP ticket with someone more exciting.... :toast

ElNono
07-13-2020, 12:38 AM
Who's on the shortlist, tbh, Don Jr?

FrostKing
07-13-2020, 01:01 AM
I keep telling you, few are willing to sacrifice their job and/or life to admit to a random pollsters they are voting Conservative

spurraider21
07-13-2020, 01:04 AM
some fuckwad like Jim Jordan

ElNono
07-13-2020, 01:12 AM
I keep telling you, few are willing to sacrifice their job and/or life to admit to a random pollsters they are voting Conservative

I believe you. I mean, it is embarrassing after all.

baseline bum
07-13-2020, 01:18 AM
Cuckner for VP?

Blake
07-13-2020, 01:26 AM
Fauci

FrostKing
07-13-2020, 02:34 AM
I believe you. I mean, it is embarrassing after all.
Sure if you're a teenger

ChumpDumper
07-13-2020, 02:47 AM
I keep telling you, few are willing to sacrifice their job and/or life to admit to a random pollsters they are voting ConservativeWho do you think is going to kill you?

ElNono
07-13-2020, 03:41 AM
Sure if you're a teenger

Well, for adults, voting conservative is probably not that embarrassing. Voting Trump though, that's way more debatable. I mean, if you're even embarrassed to say you're voting for the guy...

Then again, I've yet to find a Biden fan in the wild, tbh

Dirks_Finale
07-13-2020, 04:55 AM
Poll numbers continue to look awful for Trump. Latest poll has him down 5 points in Texas. It seems obvious that Mike is going to have to take one for the team and get replaced on the GOP ticket with someone more exciting.... :toast

LMAO what poll is that, the Don Lemon poll? :lol

RandomGuy
07-13-2020, 08:34 AM
I keep telling you, few are willing to sacrifice their job and/or life to admit to a random pollsters they are voting Conservative

ARE YOU VOTING CONSERVATIVE!!!????

RandomGuy
07-13-2020, 08:38 AM
LMAO what poll is that, the Don Lemon poll? :lol

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20200712_TX.pdf

Dallas Morning News/UT Tyler

There were more self-identified Republicans and leaning R's in that poll than D's.

Wow.

ducks
07-13-2020, 09:09 AM
https://scontent-lax3-2.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/fr/cp0/e15/q65/107412734_10220597303314699_3172240195536775045_n. jpg?_nc_cat=107&_nc_sid=110474&efg=eyJpIjoidCJ9&_nc_oc=AQkJ3xWSXmbXBXSXDDPkOOTvY6u1jVlQdETfjOLuAf9 ojGa9ifIl9mQjbpIBDYbZyNm8Nguq2clRTQ7wAHYEEVUz&_nc_ht=scontent-lax3-2.xx&tp=14&oh=58bbf00273ebd9faa58c493b6835098f&oe=5F32D5F0

Reck
07-13-2020, 09:40 AM
I keep telling you, few are willing to sacrifice their job and/or life to admit to a random pollsters they are voting Conservative

People are afraid to anonymously say they’ll vote for Trump?

Do you think these pollsters will out each individuals to their boss and that somehow they’ll lose their jobs over it? :lol

Will Hunting
07-13-2020, 09:48 AM
People are afraid to anonymously say they’ll vote for Trump?

Do you think these pollsters will out each individuals to their boss and that somehow they’ll lose their jobs over it? :lol
Even by his standards, FrostKing has been churning out a lot of really dumb opinions in the last 24 hours. Might be time for the local klan chapter in his area to promote him.

FrostKing
07-13-2020, 11:58 AM
Who do you think is going to kill you?

https://i.ibb.co/g6sM1P8/Screenshot-2020-07-13-09-57-41-1.png

FrostKing
07-13-2020, 12:00 PM
.

FrostKing
07-13-2020, 12:00 PM
People are afraid to anonymously say they’ll vote for Trump?

Do you think these pollsters will out each individuals to their boss and that somehow they’ll lose their jobs over it? :lol
Do you also share your social security number when asked by random callers.

I wouldn't trust any random number even a "pollster"

RandomGuy
07-13-2020, 12:23 PM
https://i.ibb.co/g6sM1P8/Screenshot-2020-07-13-09-57-41-1.png


Ramirez said both groups brandished guns at each other, but eventually talked through the issues, fist bumped and walked away from each other.

Everybody parts ways... then she is shot?

Something smells fishy.

I think he either accidentally or intentionally shot her, and then tried to blame the BLM people.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8515507/Young-mother-24-shot-dead-fianc-saying-lives-matter.html

RandomGuy
07-13-2020, 12:26 PM
Do you also share your social security number when asked by random callers.

I wouldn't trust any random number even a "pollster"

6658

DMX7
07-13-2020, 12:28 PM
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20200712_TX.pdf

Dallas Morning News/UT Tyler

There were more self-identified Republicans and leaning R's in that poll than D's.

Wow.

:wow

Spurtacular
07-13-2020, 12:36 PM
:lol Another Chumpette fapping thread.

dbestpro
07-13-2020, 12:43 PM
Poll numbers continue to look awful for Trump. Latest poll has him down 5 points in Texas. It seems obvious that Mike is going to have to take one for the team and get replaced on the GOP ticket with someone more exciting.... :toast

The Norpoth computer model has only been wrong twice when reviewing who would be president going over the last 108 years. The two times it was wrong was George w Bush and John Kennedy, two men who had large followings and the computer had them losing by a narrow margin. The computer has Trump with a 91% probability of being re-elected. The model predicted Trump being elected in 2016. This is a computer. It has no agenda, no fudging, no lies. It can only analyze facts with a factual determination.

I don't think Trump cares one way or another about the polls that have been proven to be increasingly unreliable.

RandomGuy
07-13-2020, 12:45 PM
https://i.ibb.co/g6sM1P8/Screenshot-2020-07-13-09-57-41-1.png


Police: Man arrested in Mt. Lebanon had 30 improvised bombs, detonators in car
A man arrested Thursday night in Mt. Lebanon in connection with online threats had more than 30 improvised bombs in his Mercedes along with homemade detonators and chemicals used to make explosives, investigators said in a criminal complaint.

Kurt James Cofano, 32, of Whitehall, faces felony charges related to weapons of mass destruction and explosive devices along with lesser drug charges.

Mt. Lebanon police Officer Thomas Rutowski wrote in the criminal complaint against Cofano that his department had been asked to be on the lookout for Cofano and his white Mercedes-Benz by Whitehall police, who were searching for Cofano in connection with a mental health warrant.

Cofano had posted videos to social media that showed him making and detonating improvised explosives, according to Whitehall police. He also posted threats to “blow up” the Treasury Department in Harrisburg and “go to the CIA headquarters in (Washington) D.C. and take out as many (expletives) as I can before I get gunned down.”

Cofano also allegedly posted that he had “several life sentences in the trunk of my car,” according to the complaint.
https://triblive.com/local/pittsburgh-allegheny/police-man-arrested-in-mt-lebanon-had-30-improvised-bombs-detonators-in-car/

Care to guess what set this guy off, his social media say all you need to know.


Racist Flat-Earther Caught With 30 Bombs Trying To Blow Up Building

In the last four weeks, he made 13 videos on his YouTube channel, most of which were racist diatribes about Black people, though there was also room for some COVID denialism, transphobia and Glenn Beck (who was also mad at Black people).
https://www.wonkette.com/racist-flat-earther-caught-with-30-bombs-trying-to-blow-up-a-building

Be happy to go tit for tat. Right wing is more violent, at every turn.

RandomGuy
07-13-2020, 12:46 PM
The Norpoth computer model has only been wrong twice when reviewing who would be president going over the last 108 years. The two times it was wrong was George w Bush and John Kennedy, two men who had large followings and the computer had them losing by a narrow margin. The computer has Trump with a 91% probability of being re-elected. The model predicted Trump being elected in 2016. This is a computer. It has no agenda, no fudging, no lies. It can only analyze and facts with a factual determination.

I don't think Trump cares one way or another about the polls that have been proven to be increasingly unreliable.

It only knows what variables humans put in it. Sort of the problem with such predictions is that they really do miss things that happen outside the model that affect it.

Reck
07-13-2020, 12:51 PM
The Norpoth computer model has only been wrong twice when reviewing who would be president going over the last 108 years. The two times it was wrong was George w Bush and John Kennedy, two men who had large followings and the computer had them losing by a narrow margin. The computer has Trump with a 91% probability of being re-elected. The model predicted Trump being elected in 2016. This is a computer. It has no agenda, no fudging, no lies. It can only analyze facts with a factual determination.

I don't think Trump cares one way or another about the polls that have been proven to be increasingly unreliable.

LOL

That's exactly why this is a flawed system. Sure, it will give you precise results as long as you input the exact numbers in. It doesn't account for human behavior. Computers cant predict how people will vote.

Such a reach.

Spurs Homer
07-13-2020, 05:30 PM
https://i.ibb.co/g6sM1P8/Screenshot-2020-07-13-09-57-41-1.png



moral of the story;

watch the answer the fiance gives in the future to the same question?

Do black lives matter?

Fiance: “ uh ...er... yes Black lives matter!”



:clap:clap

DMC
07-13-2020, 05:46 PM
LOL

That's exactly why this is a flawed system. Sure, it will give you precise results as long as you input the exact numbers in. It doesn't account for human behavior. Computers cant predict how people will vote.

Such a reach.

You going to ELE yourself again? Amazing how you do that and yet you're still here.

Reck
07-13-2020, 05:48 PM
You going to ELE yourself again? Amazing how you do that and yet you're still here.

Why are you so concerned about me? You'd find a way to stalk me in person if I ever leave this place.

Am I wrong?

DMC
07-13-2020, 05:50 PM
Why are you so concerned about me? You'd find a way to stalk me in person if I ever leave this place.

Am I wrong?

I asked you a simple question. I noticed that you made an ELE bet and welched on it. Are you a dishonest person who feels the need to puff up your chest and bet shit you cannot and don't plan to deliver when you lose? Just trying to get the lay of the land here.

Reck
07-13-2020, 05:55 PM
I asked you a simple question. I noticed that you made an ELE bet and welched on it. Are you a dishonest person who feels the need to puff up your chest and bet shit you cannot and don't plan to deliver when you lose? Just trying to get the lay of the land here.

What was the bet I lost?

clambake
07-13-2020, 05:56 PM
You don’t pay your loses. Just keep the money you owe me.

dbestpro
07-13-2020, 06:34 PM
LOL

That's exactly why this is a flawed system. Sure, it will give you precise results as long as you input the exact numbers in. It doesn't account for human behavior. Computers cant predict how people will vote.

Such a reach.

The point is the data entered is the correct data to get the correct results 25 out of 27 times almost got the last two. It has been a predictive model since Bill Clinton. Name a poll that comes close. Name a poll that is half as good or even one fourth. It absolutely calculates for behavior through the analysis of data during the primaries. It is absolute genius when you look at it. It nailed Obama getting elected both times.

Reck
07-13-2020, 06:43 PM
The point is the data entered is the correct data to get the correct results 25 out of 27 times almost got the last two. It has been a predictive model since Bill Clinton. Name a poll that comes close. Name a poll that is half as good or even one fourth. It absolutely calculates for behavior through the analysis of data during the primaries. It is absolute genius when you look at it. It nailed Obama getting elected both times.

By their own admission this model is based off what happened early in the primaries where Biden was given for dead in the first 3 contests which he came in 4th, 5th and 2nd respectively.

Trump had an unopposed primary season. But if you want to bank on this model for a glimmer of hope, go for it.

ChumpDumper
07-13-2020, 06:45 PM
https://i.ibb.co/g6sM1P8/Screenshot-2020-07-13-09-57-41-1.pngYou're going to walk around cities in a group yelling racial epithets and waving guns around?

Good luck.

TSA
07-13-2020, 06:48 PM
What was the bet I lost?

You lost an ELE bet to me because you didn’t know the difference between “on” and “from”.

Reck
07-13-2020, 06:48 PM
The daily mail. That's UK's version of TMZ for us.

Reck
07-13-2020, 06:49 PM
You lost an ELE bet to me because you didn’t know the difference between “on” and “from”.

Not really. You misunderstood.

That's your problem, not mine you degenerate gambler.

FrostKing
07-13-2020, 07:17 PM
The daily mail. That's UK's version of TMZ for us.
Are you accusing them of lying like TMZ did with Kobe's death?

Should be alarming people need to head to such sources because the mainstream news sources are preoccupied discussing Trump's SAT scores

DMX7
07-13-2020, 09:34 PM
The Norpoth computer model has only been wrong twice when reviewing who would be president going over the last 108 years. The two times it was wrong was George w Bush and John Kennedy, two men who had large followings and the computer had them losing by a narrow margin. The computer has Trump with a 91% probability of being re-elected. The model predicted Trump being elected in 2016. This is a computer. It has no agenda, no fudging, no lies. It can only analyze facts with a factual determination.

I don't think Trump cares one way or another about the polls that have been proven to be increasingly unreliable.

It’s about to be wrong a third time.

pgardn
07-13-2020, 09:55 PM
:lol Another Chumpette fapping thread.

Start another Blake Reck thread pervy.

pgardn
07-13-2020, 10:00 PM
The Norpoth computer model has only been wrong twice when reviewing who would be president going over the last 108 years. The two times it was wrong was George w Bush and John Kennedy, two men who had large followings and the computer had them losing by a narrow margin. The computer has Trump with a 91% probability of being re-elected. The model predicted Trump being elected in 2016. This is a computer. It has no agenda, no fudging, no lies. It can only analyze facts with a factual determination.

I don't think Trump cares one way or another about the polls that have been proven to be increasingly unreliable.

When was the program written?

Link, thanks.