Dejounte
10-10-2020, 09:56 AM
The purpose of this post is to focus on the shot tendencies of each player. Player tendencies are important because players hardly change their game unless there is a league wide shift in playing the game *cough* small ball *cough*. So from this data, we will be able to tell what the player will look like in the NBA.
FTA rate is what I look for in most prospects. I believe it is a major indicator of if the player is tough (on offense) or if they aren't. If their FTA rate is low, it tells me they avoid physical contact. I do not want any more soft players. We lost a lot of games because when our shooters shots don't go in, no one aside from Keldon knew how to be physical, draw fouls, and gain rhythm from free throws.
Below I've organized data on the relevant guards in the draft and compared them to each other.
Red = Least
Yellow = Middle ground
Green = Greatest
--- DISCLAIMER --- It is important to use the numbers in context. Some guards didn't get as many shot attempts as others, so simply looking at the color coding can mislead people. Look at all categories first before making assumptions.
TABLE 1: SORTED BY 3 POINT ATTEMPTS
https://i.imgur.com/3nirMIb.png
Notes:
-We may be able to use and interpret the wings with highest AST% as guards who can only shoot those 3's at a standstill/ catch and shoot. Immanuel Quickley, Tyrese Halliburton (surprising), Tyrese Maxey, and Trent Forrest are those players who most of the time need playmakers in order for them to generate their 3’s.
-Best players who can shoot 3’s on their own: Grant Riller, Kira Lewis, Cole Anthony, Saben Lee, and Devon Dotson (However, Devon, Saben, and Grant didn’t shoot many 3’s). Now this could mean two things: These guys are either 3 point chuckers or they’re not. All you have to look at is their 3 pt FG%... For the volume that he shot, Kira Lewis is the stand out here.
TABLE 2: SORTED BY CLOSE 2 ATTEMPTS
https://i.imgur.com/0rYsix2.png
Notes:
-From "% of Dunks Attempted over Total Close 2's Attempted" we can kind of see which guards have hops… I see that Saben Lee, Tyrese Halliburton and Isaiah Joe (important to note that Tyrese and Isaiah had very few close 2’s attempted overall) win this category. But we have to be careful and look at FTA rate in conjunction with this. Tyrese Halliburton falls under the “Obi category” where he has the athleticism and appears to avoid contact with the poor FTA rate. Saben Lee seems to be super-efficient near the rim for a guard.
-Most physical players: Anthony Cowan, Grant Riller, Skylar Mayes, and Saben Lee. These are guys you can probably count on to play hard on offense. None of that soft shit.
TABLE 3: SORTED BY FAR 2 POINT ATTEMPTS
https://i.imgur.com/JwhN9SC.png
Notes:
-Grant Riller looks like a pure scorer type judging from “Far 2’s ast%”. Tre Jones, Cole Anthony, Malachi Flynn do well here too.
FTA rate is what I look for in most prospects. I believe it is a major indicator of if the player is tough (on offense) or if they aren't. If their FTA rate is low, it tells me they avoid physical contact. I do not want any more soft players. We lost a lot of games because when our shooters shots don't go in, no one aside from Keldon knew how to be physical, draw fouls, and gain rhythm from free throws.
Below I've organized data on the relevant guards in the draft and compared them to each other.
Red = Least
Yellow = Middle ground
Green = Greatest
--- DISCLAIMER --- It is important to use the numbers in context. Some guards didn't get as many shot attempts as others, so simply looking at the color coding can mislead people. Look at all categories first before making assumptions.
TABLE 1: SORTED BY 3 POINT ATTEMPTS
https://i.imgur.com/3nirMIb.png
Notes:
-We may be able to use and interpret the wings with highest AST% as guards who can only shoot those 3's at a standstill/ catch and shoot. Immanuel Quickley, Tyrese Halliburton (surprising), Tyrese Maxey, and Trent Forrest are those players who most of the time need playmakers in order for them to generate their 3’s.
-Best players who can shoot 3’s on their own: Grant Riller, Kira Lewis, Cole Anthony, Saben Lee, and Devon Dotson (However, Devon, Saben, and Grant didn’t shoot many 3’s). Now this could mean two things: These guys are either 3 point chuckers or they’re not. All you have to look at is their 3 pt FG%... For the volume that he shot, Kira Lewis is the stand out here.
TABLE 2: SORTED BY CLOSE 2 ATTEMPTS
https://i.imgur.com/0rYsix2.png
Notes:
-From "% of Dunks Attempted over Total Close 2's Attempted" we can kind of see which guards have hops… I see that Saben Lee, Tyrese Halliburton and Isaiah Joe (important to note that Tyrese and Isaiah had very few close 2’s attempted overall) win this category. But we have to be careful and look at FTA rate in conjunction with this. Tyrese Halliburton falls under the “Obi category” where he has the athleticism and appears to avoid contact with the poor FTA rate. Saben Lee seems to be super-efficient near the rim for a guard.
-Most physical players: Anthony Cowan, Grant Riller, Skylar Mayes, and Saben Lee. These are guys you can probably count on to play hard on offense. None of that soft shit.
TABLE 3: SORTED BY FAR 2 POINT ATTEMPTS
https://i.imgur.com/JwhN9SC.png
Notes:
-Grant Riller looks like a pure scorer type judging from “Far 2’s ast%”. Tre Jones, Cole Anthony, Malachi Flynn do well here too.