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Splits
11-02-2020, 07:51 AM
UPDATE: Payout is now $500 as ElNono (https://www.spurstalk.com/forums/member.php?u=8054) has matched

Winner must predict both:

1) the exact electoral map
AND
2) each candidate's popular vote within +/- 0.5%


- Color of each state (light/dark) is irrelevant
- Doubt there will be duplicates but if there are all posters will get $500
- Winner is paid via PayPal
- Post must be timestamped before the first state polls close
- One entry per poster, no alts

Here's mine, follow the same format:

Biden: 54.5%
Trump: 44%

Map via https://www.270towin.com/

https://www.270towin.com/maps/eVn4L.png

RandomGuy
11-02-2020, 08:25 AM
:wow Texas.

Honestly that is pretty close to my guess. Still won't give Texas to Biden.

My prediction: Trump will declare victory, regardless of what the polls say, and hunker down in the whitehouse.

He will stay there directing efforts of lawyers trying to throw out any state's results where he lost by a thin margin, and get any friendly Republican controlled legislature to ignore the results of the polls and simply appoint Republican electors to the electoral college, resulting in at least one "dual" delegation.

He has telegraphed this move already.

It will be months before we really know the full outcome due to lawsuits.

Splits
11-02-2020, 08:37 AM
:wow Texas.

Honestly that is pretty close to my guess. Still won't give Texas to Biden.

My prediction: Trump will declare victory, regardless of what the polls say, and hunker down in the whitehouse.

He will stay there directing efforts of lawyers trying to throw out any state's results where he lost by a thin margin, and get any friendly Republican controlled legislature to ignore the results of the polls and simply appoint Republican electors to the electoral college, resulting in at least one "dual" delegation.

He has telegraphed this move already.

It will be months before we really know the full outcome due to lawsuits.

Not if the map looks like the above, he doesn't have many friends.

Was teetering on Iowa but that Selzer poll has me leaving it with Dennison

Will Hunting
11-02-2020, 08:42 AM
Yeah if Splits’ map is correct there won’t be any lawsuits. The Sunbelt states will essentially be done counting ballots on election night and if Trump loses Florida North Carolina and Georgia it’s over. He won’t be able to challenge even if he wants to because no donors are going to finance his legal fees.

RandomGuy
11-02-2020, 08:55 AM
Yeah if Splits’ map is correct there won’t be any lawsuits. The Sunbelt states will essentially be done counting ballots on election night and if Trump loses Florida North Carolina and Georgia it’s over. He won’t be able to challenge even if he wants to because no donors are going to finance his legal fees.

aeWBcSf4m_o

He thinks he will be ahead on election night. "it is a terrible thing that ballots can continue to be collected"

He is going in on the "rigged" strategem.

They have already set aside the money for the legal challenges. That is part of the reason they pulled advertising. (my memory of something I read, moderate confidence in that)

baseline bum
11-02-2020, 09:39 AM
aeWBcSf4m_o

He thinks he will be ahead on election night. "it is a terrible thing that ballots can continue to be collected"

He is going in on the "rigged" strategem.

They have already set aside the money for the legal challenges. That is part of the reason they pulled advertising. (my memory of something I read, moderate confidence in that)

Michael Moore was 100% right this nation would never be the same after a tyrant like Trump was in power. Now in America we don't wonder what election results will be so much as who will be allowed to vote. Fuck this nation.

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 12:19 PM
Winner must predict both:

1) the exact electoral map
AND
2) each candidate's popular vote within +/- 0.5%



In other words you really don't want to pay out. :lol

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 12:20 PM
https://www.270towin.com/maps/eVn4L.png

You missed Iowa, South Carolina and Montana. I mean if you're going to make a giant wish, why shortchange yourself?

hater
11-02-2020, 12:24 PM
In other words you really don't want to pay out. :lol

:lmao

Im justbsticking to my Dump prediction. He wins and he wins big

The meltdowns will be fucking epic

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 12:26 PM
:lmao

Im justbsticking to my Dump prediction. He wins and he wins big

The meltdowns will be fucking epic

Who wins big?

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 12:27 PM
:lol I think Splits is unintentionally 4D chess'ing his fellow chumpettes. :lol

Reck
11-02-2020, 12:29 PM
:lol I think Splits is unintentionally 4D chess'ing his fellow chumpettes. :lol

That map is obviously wishful thinking but Biden still gets over 300 ECVs. Sad day for you, derp.

baseline bum
11-02-2020, 12:31 PM
https://i.ibb.co/tK2s5yC/shitmap.png

Biden 50%
Facist POS 46%

Fucked and unfuckable

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 12:32 PM
That map is obviously wishful thinking but Biden still gets over 300 ECVs. Sad day for you, derp.

You wouldn't be so confident if his map was Biden at 190.

:lol Splits getting your hopes way up for the fall.

ChumpDumper
11-02-2020, 12:35 PM
:lol derpfensive

Reck
11-02-2020, 12:37 PM
You wouldn't be so confident if his map was Biden at 190.

:lol Splits getting your hopes way up for the fall.

Biden gets to 180-185 with just the safe dem states. :lol you're bad at this

Joseph Kony
11-02-2020, 12:38 PM
Pretty pathetic when magatards still support a candidate who is openly admitting he will challenge the results any way he can if he doesnt win. magatards pretend to care about the country, constitution, and democracy yet support this kinda shit, tells you all you need to know about these hypocritical faggots

Spurminator
11-02-2020, 12:40 PM
Pretty pathetic when magatards still support a candidate who is openly admitting he will challenge the results any way he can if he doesnt win. magatards pretend to care about the country, constitution, and democracy yet support this kinda shit, tells you all you need to know about these hypocritical faggots

They hate liberals more than they like America, democracy and the Constitution.

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 12:42 PM
Biden gets to 180-185 with just the safe dem states. :lol you're bad at this

Yea, if he had told you Biden's only getting the safe states, you'd be like, well we can hope and this and that. The talk wouldn't be about 300 plus.

You're bad at this. Splits knows that. :lol

Joseph Kony
11-02-2020, 12:45 PM
Yea, if he had told you Biden's only getting the safe states, you'd be like, well we can hope and this and that. The talk wouldn't be about 300 plus.

You're bad at this. Splits knows that. :lol

another day, another instance of Spermtacular proving how retarded he is and trying to make some dumb backtrack post to justify his retardation :lol

Splits
11-02-2020, 12:45 PM
In other words you really don't want to pay out. :lol

Since you're mentally handicapped, your entry for popular vote will be +/- 5.0% instead of 0.5%

TimDunkem
11-02-2020, 12:48 PM
Since you're mentally handicapped, your entry for popular vote will be +/- 5.0% instead of 0.5%

:lmao

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 12:48 PM
Since you're mentally handicapped, your entry for popular vote will be +/- 5.0% instead of 0.5%

Nah. I'll do it straight up. But I don't want your money. If you want to pay out, I'll choose another poster.

ChumpDumper
11-02-2020, 12:52 PM
:lmao instant sour grapes

RD2191
11-02-2020, 12:55 PM
I've changed my mind, I'm calling it for Trump. Not because I think he'll win fair and square but because I expect him and his supporters (government/civilian) to pull out all the stops to steal the election.

baseline bum
11-02-2020, 12:56 PM
I've changed my mind, I'm calling it for Trump. Not because I think he'll win fair and square but because I expect him and his supporters (government/civilian) to pull out all the stops to steal the election.

How I'm seeing it too. The police will mostly be on the sides of the Trump caravans tomorrow.

DMX7
11-02-2020, 12:56 PM
Since you're mentally handicapped, your entry for popular vote will be +/- 5.0% instead of 0.5%

Does Spurtacular not even know how the electoral college works? I feel embarrassed for him.

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 12:59 PM
How I'm seeing it too. The police will mostly be on the sides of the Trump caravans tomorrow.

:lol The things betas say.

Reck
11-02-2020, 01:00 PM
How I'm seeing it too. The police will mostly be on the sides of the Trump caravans tomorrow.

For that to happen he needs a close election and him leading. You really just need to see the breakdown of voters. Women are turning out at a higher volume this time and are going for Biden by 20+ while at the same time Trump leads Biden with men between 1-5 points. That is negligible.

ChumpDumper
11-02-2020, 01:03 PM
:lol The things betas say.Do you consider yourself an alpha, derp?

baseline bum
11-02-2020, 01:06 PM
For that to happen he needs a close election

Which can be accomplished via his loons in trucks jamming the streets and suppressing election day voting in Democratic strongholds. Polls aren't votes. Are you going to tell me that kind of shit is above Trump and his death cult? Why have they been out in force in their caravans this weekend? They're going to play by the rules tomorrow? I think you're envisioning a different America from 2020 America.

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 01:07 PM
https://www.270towin.com/map-images/gVz0E

Trump +2.7 in the popular.

TimDunkem
11-02-2020, 01:09 PM
:lmao No

Reck
11-02-2020, 01:10 PM
Derp thinks Hillary would have done better than Biden. That's cute, if not retarded.

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 01:11 PM
another day, another instance of Spermtacular proving how retarded he is and trying to make some dumb backtrack post to justify his retardation :lol

You ain't black.

spurraider21
11-02-2020, 01:13 PM
dont care for hyper-specific predictions. i already said i think biden wins electorally but trump ends up winning via SCOTUS

Splits
11-02-2020, 01:15 PM
Nah. I'll do it straight up. But I don't want your money. If you want to pay out, I'll choose another poster.

Keep in mind those hardest hit by the pandemic, shitty tattoo artists

RD2191
11-02-2020, 01:15 PM
How I'm seeing it too. The police will mostly be on the sides of the Trump caravans tomorrow.
Yup, shit's gonna pop off one way or another tomorrow. Hopefully it won't get too ugly.

ChumpDumper
11-02-2020, 01:16 PM
dont care for hyper-specific predictions. i already said i think biden wins electorally but trump ends up winning via SCOTUSYeah, my map would look like base's with maybe a little less popular vote.

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 01:16 PM
dont care for hyper-specific predictions. i already said i think biden wins electorally but trump ends up winning via SCOTUS

An okay prediction........





















































































































































































































































































In 2016.

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 01:17 PM
Yeah, my map would look like base's with maybe a little less popular vote.

Post your specific prediction, coward.

spurraider21
11-02-2020, 01:18 PM
An okay prediction........

In 2016.
not really. trump won electorally in 2016, there was no court involvement. it would have been dead wrong as a prediction for 2016

:lol derp

Rummpd
11-02-2020, 01:20 PM
A relative who is a historian on the East coast is predicting a landslide for Biden with over 400 electoral votes and > 54 per cent - I think right now Biden is very likely to win with a lessor amount based on latest polls and forecasts but going to have to ponder more before making final.

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 01:21 PM
not really. trump won electorally in 2016, there was no court involvement. it would have been dead wrong as a prediction for 2016

:lol derp

I didn't say a 100% accurate prediction. It was close, and there were court challenges.

Chumpettes really in the dumps. They keep manufacturing one fake w after another against me. :lol

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 01:22 PM
A relative who is a historian on the East coast is predicting a landslide for Biden with over 400 electoral votes and > 54 per cent - I think right now Biden is very likely to win with a lessor amount based on latest polls and forecasts but going to have to ponder more before making final.

Your relative probably likes watching black dudes plow his wife, tbh.

Reck
11-02-2020, 01:26 PM
Your relative probably likes watching black dudes plow his wife, tbh.

You do realize this guy is as much of a trumper as you, right? :lol derp coming undone

ChumpDumper
11-02-2020, 01:27 PM
Post your specific prediction, coward.I'm so sorry I happened to you, derp.

ChumpDumper
11-02-2020, 01:28 PM
I didn't say a 100% accurate prediction. It was close, and there were court challenges.

Chumpettes really in the dumps. They keep manufacturing one fake w after another against me. :lolYou just fuck up every one of your posts, derp.

It's uncanny.

baseline bum
11-02-2020, 01:33 PM
Yup, shit's gonna pop off one way or another tomorrow. Hopefully it won't get too ugly.

This is the day the MAGAtards have been preparing for for four years now. There's going to be some violence tomorrow sure as the sun comes up.

Bogie
11-02-2020, 01:34 PM
I'm so sorry I happened to you, derp.


no you’re not. He’s fucking retarded, and deserves to know that black people and brown people get just as much on disability as he does, because it makes him even angrier.

Reck
11-02-2020, 01:35 PM
This is the day the MAGAtards have been preparing for for four years now. There's going to be some violence tomorrow sure as the sun comes up.

Your TDS is in overdrive.

NC is looking quite favorable to Biden as of the last week or so. Trump needs that, Florida and Georgia. If he loses one of them, he can start packing.

I think those 3 states will be called same night.

Warlord23
11-02-2020, 01:45 PM
Biden gets 335, wins the popular vote by 7% (Biden 53.5%, Trump 46.5%)

https://www.270towin.com/maps/r9Yoy.png

Splits
11-02-2020, 01:45 PM
Your TDS is in overdrive.

NC is looking quite favorable to Biden as of the last week or so. Trump needs that, Florida and Georgia. If he loses one of them, he can start packing.

I think those 3 states will be called same night.

FL and GA will both be called by midnight unless it is under 1% difference. Trump will lose both and the national nightmare will be on a path to being over. NC could be called early if there's a significant margin, but they count ballots that arrive by Nov 12th so if it is close they could take awhile.

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 01:53 PM
You do realize this guy is as much of a trumper as you, right? :lol derp coming undone

If he is, he'll be glad I alerted him.

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 01:54 PM
I'm so sorry I happened to you, derp.

:lmao Derp going to coward out.

You are derp.

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 01:55 PM
You just fuck up every one of your posts, derp.

It's uncanny.

BlakeBlaking won't get you W's. You know this.

ChumpDumper
11-02-2020, 02:00 PM
:lmao Derp going to coward out.

You are derp.:lmao stealing my shtick again.

You can't help yourself, derp.

And you'll never stop melting down about your nickname.

ChumpDumper
11-02-2020, 02:01 PM
BlakeBlakingcoping buzzwords

Robz4000
11-02-2020, 02:11 PM
https://www.270towin.com/map-images/9k7jL

Biden: 50.4%
Trump: 47.2%

Yet like others have said, I think Trump remains president through bullshit ie rigged electoral college/SCOTUS. Its gonna be a shitshow the likes of which we haven't seen before.

RandomGuy
11-02-2020, 02:13 PM
This is the day the MAGAtards have been preparing for for four years now. There's going to be some violence tomorrow sure as the sun comes up.

They have already shown they are ready to try and block Democrats from getting to the polls. eeesh.

Joseph Kony
11-02-2020, 02:14 PM
i predict Spermtacular will go fulll meltdown ala FkLA / Frostking and post a bunch of gay BBC porn or something :lol

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 02:14 PM
https://www.270towin.com/map-images/9k7jL

Biden: 50.4%
Trump: 47.2%

Yet like others have said, I think Trump remains president through bullshit ie rigged electoral college/SCOTUS. Its gonna be a shitshow the likes of which we haven't seen before.


Biden will get 317 as Trump wins.

:lolK

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 02:15 PM
i predict Spermtacular will go fulll meltdown ala FkLA / Frostking and post a bunch of gay BBC porn or something :lol

You ain't black.

baseline bum
11-02-2020, 02:26 PM
Your TDS is in overdrive.

NC is looking quite favorable to Biden as of the last week or so. Trump needs that, Florida and Georgia. If he loses one of them, he can start packing.

I think those 3 states will be called same night.

You're falling into the same trap all the media did in 2016 by acting like North Carolina, Florida, and Georgia are independent coin flips. Yeah it looks bad if you think 1/2*1/2*1/2 = 1/8 is the chance Trump doesn't lose one of those states but it doesn't work that way. The states aren't independent just like all the rust belt states weren't in 2016. If Trump wins NC he almost certainly wins all three of those, if Biden wins Georgia he almost certainly wins all three of those.

I think you're underestimating how much of a disturbance the MAGAtard caravans are going to cause tomorrow and if drives down voter participation in Democratic areas tomorrow, we lose. And the cops are going to be on their sides, not ours. My call of a Trump win is basically expecting we will not have free and peaceful elections here tomorrow. We're way more like a third-world dictatorship right now than I think you care to admit.

Reck
11-02-2020, 02:26 PM
You ain't black.

:cry you have a black man's avatar therefore you must be one, too. But you're acting like a white beta male. :cry

Stupid ass derp.

johnsmith
11-02-2020, 02:35 PM
I think Biden is going to win Texas. If that happens, this thing is over.

Splits
11-02-2020, 02:37 PM
I think Biden is going to win Texas. If that happens, this thing is over.

the bold is bold

johnsmith
11-02-2020, 02:39 PM
the bold is bold

Lol...I’m not sure if you’re making fun of me or not....either way I prolly deserve it!

Will Hunting
11-02-2020, 02:39 PM
I think Biden is going to win Texas. If that happens, this thing is over.
Any particular reason you think so or just a bunch?

johnsmith
11-02-2020, 02:40 PM
Any particular reason you think so or just a bunch?

Completely based on anecdotal evidence. Every hood I’ve been in over the past week, Biden/Harris signs everywhere. Plus, Trump didn’t beat Hillary by much in 2016 and the way voter turnout has been, I just can’t see how that favors Trump in any fashion.

Splits
11-02-2020, 02:42 PM
Lol...I’m not sure if you’re making fun of me or not....either way I prolly deserve it!

If "this thing" is the 2020 election, then yes I'm making fun of you.

If "this thing" is the modern Republican party, then no I'm not making fun of you.

Reck
11-02-2020, 02:42 PM
Any particular reason you think so or just a bunch?

Many secret Biden voters.

I have a brewing theory that many people aren't being outspoken about supporting Biden because of the many implications that brings plus they dont want to be associated with voting for a weak and frail old man.

That false narrative Trump has employed makes a lot of conservatives shy about saying they support him. That's what I think anyways.

johnsmith
11-02-2020, 02:43 PM
If "this thing" is the 2020 election, then yes I'm making fun of you.

If "this thing" is the modern Republican party, then no I'm not making fun of you.

Lol....Then yes, you were indeed making fun of me.

johnsmith
11-02-2020, 02:44 PM
If "this thing" is the 2020 election, then yes I'm making fun of you.

If "this thing" is the modern Republican party, then no I'm not making fun of you.

So you think if Trump loses Texas he can still win?

ElNono
11-02-2020, 02:44 PM
Splits, let's make this interesting... I'll match your $250 and we'll make this $500. PM me your paypal info.

baseline bum
11-02-2020, 02:45 PM
Completely based on anecdotal evidence. Every hood I’ve been in over the past week, Biden/Harris signs everywhere. Plus, Trump didn’t beat Hillary by much in 2016 and the way voter turnout has been, I just can’t see how that favors Trump in any fashion.

Trump beat Clinton by 9 points in Texas in 2016, wasn't that close honestly. Going to have to have massive turnout in Houston, Austin, Dallas, San Antonio, and El Paso tomorrow for there to be any chance IMO.

johnsmith
11-02-2020, 02:47 PM
Trump beat Clinton by 9 points in Texas in 2016, wasn't that close honestly. Going to have to have massive turnout in Houston, Austin, Dallas, and San Antonio tomorrow for there to be any chance IMO.

Don’t you think the early voting turnout is massive enough?

Also, I should note that I’ve been wrong more than I’ve been right in the past five presidential elections

Splits
11-02-2020, 02:53 PM
Many secret Biden voters.

I have a brewing theory that many people aren't being outspoken about supporting Biden because of the many implications that brings plus they dont want to be associated with voting for a weak and frail old man.

That false narrative Trump has employed makes a lot of conservatives shy about saying they support him. That's what I think anyways.

The reason I'm calling Texas blue this cycle is purely based on the ex/suburb trends. Trump was competitive/won them and Beto flipped em heavily.

Hays county, Trump won by 1 point and Beto beat Cruz by 15

Tarrant was +9 Trump +1 Beto

Denton +20 Trump Cruz +8

Collin Trump +16 Cruz +6

We're talking 10 point shifts in these 2nd tier population centers and the trend will continue this year with a historically terrible Dennison and a pandemic

baseline bum
11-02-2020, 02:53 PM
Don’t you think the early voting turnout is massive enough?

Also, I should note that I’ve been wrong more than I’ve been right in the past five presidential elections

No, I don't. The enthusiasm for Trump is enormous in Texas from what I have seen. I'd love to see Texas go blue but I strongly doubt I'll see it until the boomers are no longer much of a force in voting.

Splits
11-02-2020, 02:54 PM
So you think if Trump loses Texas he can still win?

Of course not. The only question is if the Republican party doesn't go the way of the Whigs.

Splits
11-02-2020, 02:55 PM
Splits (https://www.spurstalk.com/forums/member.php?u=24583), let's make this interesting... I'll match your $250 and we'll make this $500. PM me your paypal info.

Deal.

Not many contestants thus far. Can you give Kori a call and ask her to update the thread title?

johnsmith
11-02-2020, 02:55 PM
No, I don't. The enthusiasm for Trump is enormous in Texas from what I have seen. I'd love to see Texas go blue but I strongly doubt I'll see it until the boomers are no longer much of a force in voting.

You’re prolly right. I just see so much excitement and anticipation from 20-30 year olds this time. Certainly a lot more then in previous elections so I’m inclined to think they can make up for it.

However, I’ve underestimated rednecks before soooo.....

ElNono
11-02-2020, 02:56 PM
Deal.

Not many contestants thus far. Can you give Kori a call and ask her to update the thread title?

I'll send timvp and Kori Ellis a PM...

ElNono
11-02-2020, 02:57 PM
Deal.

Not many contestants thus far. Can you give Kori a call and ask her to update the thread title?

PM me your info. I'll send you the $250 and you can pay out the whole thing.

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 02:59 PM
PM me your info. I'll send you the $250 and you can pay out the whole thing.

No payment if nobody does it with pinpoint accuracy. You should just hold onto your money.

ElNono
11-02-2020, 03:03 PM
No payment if nobody does it with pinpoint accuracy. You should just hold onto your money.

If Splits gets $250, he gets it. Nice of him to make this thread, tbh

pgardn
11-02-2020, 03:04 PM
No payment if nobody does it with pinpoint accuracy. You should just hold onto your money.

Derp making rules for someone donating.
Makes sense...

ElNono
11-02-2020, 03:04 PM
Or we can do another prognostication, tbh... I'm sure there's going to be all sorts of questions from here to January

Splits
11-02-2020, 03:04 PM
I'll send timvp (https://www.spurstalk.com/forums/member.php?u=8) and Kori Ellis (https://www.spurstalk.com/forums/member.php?u=6) a PM...

Probably be best to ring the landline this time of day, with the kids and all. PM me if you lost the number.

Splits
11-02-2020, 03:05 PM
Or we can do another prognostication, tbh... I'm sure there's going to be all sorts of questions from here to January

We could do a 2nd version of this thread with a guaranteed payout, i.e. who gets the closest ECV map.

Spurminator
11-02-2020, 03:06 PM
So many signs point in Biden's favor for Texas but I still can't bring myself to even hope for it, because it's Texas.

ElNono
11-02-2020, 03:07 PM
Probably be best to ring the landline this time of day, with the kids and all. PM me if you lost the number.

I don't have the # and I never called them... you go ahead an ring them up if you want to. Updating the OP might just be enough.

Will Hunting
11-02-2020, 03:07 PM
I’ll add my prediction later today. I’m really struggling with Texas and Iowa.

johnsmith
11-02-2020, 03:08 PM
I’ll add my prediction later today. I’m really struggling with Texas and Iowa.

Just the fact that we’re debating Texas is incredible to me.

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 03:08 PM
Derp making rules for someone donating.
Makes sense...

Paypal has fees for sending money back and forth. Don't be too triggered, Less Than Blake.

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 03:08 PM
I’ll add my prediction later today. I’m really struggling with Texas and Iowa.

Don't. They're red.

But put blue. it'll be better for :lol later.

Splits
11-02-2020, 03:10 PM
I’ll add my prediction later today. I’m really struggling with Texas and Iowa.

Apparently there was some strange wording in the Selzer poll which may have skewed the early voter results. If I had a do over from my OP I'd probably turn Iowa blue but really struggling with Ohio... I think Dennison hangs on there for some reason. Texas is blue.

pgardn
11-02-2020, 03:12 PM
So many signs point in Biden's favor for Texas but I still can't bring myself to even hope for it, because it's Texas.

You probably live in a neighborhood like mine. Trump signs rule.
But at the early voting, the Trump crazies walking behind the sacred zone were getting zero thumbs up, people were looking away.
And there were more people of all shades of skin color than I have ever seen. Not just a bunch of old white guys.

but yeah, Im in San Antonio, not the rich burbs of Dallas.

Will Hunting
11-02-2020, 03:17 PM
Apparently there was some strange wording in the Selzer poll which may have skewed the early voter results. If I had a do over from my OP I'd probably turn Iowa blue but really struggling with Ohio... I think Dennison hangs on there for some reason. Texas is blue.
Yeah Ohio is one of the few states where demographics have shifted in favor of Republicans in the last 5 years.

pgardn
11-02-2020, 03:24 PM
Trump beat Clinton by 9 points in Texas in 2016, wasn't that close honestly. Going to have to have massive turnout in Houston, Austin, Dallas, San Antonio, and El Paso tomorrow for there to be any chance IMO.

My wife did not vote in 2016 saying her vote would not matter.
You did the same, or implied the same IIRC?

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 03:30 PM
My wife did not vote in 2016 saying her vote would not matter.
You did the same, or implied the same IIRC?

Cuck Garden's wife: Insists that he fight with his dad about Trump.
Also Cuck Garden's wife: Doesn't bother to vote.

:lol You really picked a winner there, bro.

Splits
11-02-2020, 03:35 PM
Wouldn't be a successful betting thread unless midnightpulp gave his prediction

Spurminator
11-02-2020, 03:35 PM
You probably live in a neighborhood like mine. Trump signs rule.
But at the early voting, the Trump crazies walking behind the sacred zone were getting zero thumbs up, people were looking away.
And there were more people of all shades of skin color than I have ever seen. Not just a bunch of old white guys.

but yeah, Im in San Antonio, not the rich burbs of Dallas.

:lol I didn't mean literal signs.

Millennial_Messiah
11-02-2020, 03:43 PM
.

Spurminator
11-02-2020, 03:46 PM
Strategic voter suppression and SCOTUS assisted tossing of ballots secures Trump's reelection. Biden gets 51% of the vote, Trump 45%.

If I win, donate my winnings to Planned Parenthood. I'll be busy burning shit down.

https://www.270towin.com/maps/EnjK9.png

Millennial_Messiah
11-02-2020, 03:55 PM
Here's my most accurate one, including the appropriate shades and colors (for bragging rights):

https://i.imgur.com/gxEFO7D.jpg



Biden-Harris: 48.2% Total Popular Vote

Trump-Pence: 45.8% Total Popular Vote

Final Winner: Trump-Pence (due to GOP House Election Committee majority & SCOTUS majority)

baseline bum
11-02-2020, 04:10 PM
Strategic voter suppression and SCOTUS assisted tossing of ballots secures Trump's reelection. Biden gets 51% of the vote, Trump 45%.

If I win, donate my winnings to Planned Parenthood. I'll be busy burning shit down.

https://www.270towin.com/maps/EnjK9.png

I win it's going to molotovs

DMC
11-02-2020, 04:24 PM
Biden 52.2%
Trump 45.3%

My winnings go to site owners

Millennial_Messiah
11-02-2020, 04:51 PM
btw, y'all are silly for forgetting about JoJo and the (G) candidate when doing your %'s.

RandomGuy
11-02-2020, 04:58 PM
https://www.270towin.com/map-images/9k7jL

Biden: 50.4%
Trump: 47.2%

Yet like others have said, I think Trump remains president through bullshit ie rigged electoral college/SCOTUS. Its gonna be a shitshow the likes of which we haven't seen before.

He is going to try. I think he will face an internal rebellion of some sort when people realize he is nuts and refuse to carry out his more illegal orders.

Robz4000
11-02-2020, 05:00 PM
He is going to try. I think he will face an internal rebellion of some sort when people realize he is nuts and refuse to carry out his more illegal orders.

He'll just find others to carry out his orders. His fanbase is beyond nuts.

RandomGuy
11-02-2020, 05:02 PM
UPDATE: Payout is now $500 as ElNono (https://www.spurstalk.com/forums/member.php?u=8054) has matched

Winner must predict both:

1) the exact electoral map
AND
2) each candidate's popular vote within +/- 0.5%


- Color of each state (light/dark) is irrelevant
- Doubt there will be duplicates but if there are all posters will get $500
- Winner is paid via PayPal
- Post must be timestamped before the first state polls close
- One entry per poster, no alts

Here's mine, follow the same format:

Biden: 54.5%
Trump: 44%

Map via https://www.270towin.com/

https://www.270towin.com/maps/eVn4L.png


https://www.270towin.com/maps/P0pNL.png

56B-43T

had to pick something.
I think the blue states gonna go super heavy.

Reck
11-02-2020, 05:10 PM
He'll just find others to carry out his orders. His fanbase is beyond nuts.

If you give Biden over 300 electoral votes, there is nothing Trump and his supreme court can do. It has to be 275-280 around that range for them to come into play.

300 electoral votes is already a landslide considering how fucked this country is devided.

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 05:35 PM
If you give Biden over 300 electoral votes, there is nothing Trump and his supreme court can do. It has to be 275-280 around that range for them to come into play.

300 electoral votes is already a landslide considering how fucked this country is devided.

:lol Every single Chumpette is a conspiracy theorist nowadays.

Millennial_Messiah
11-02-2020, 06:51 PM
If you give Biden over 300 electoral votes, there is nothing Trump and his supreme court can do. It has to be 275-280 around that range for them to come into play.

300 electoral votes is already a landslide considering how fucked this country is devided.
400+ is a landslide, i.e. Reagan, Nixon, most of the FDR years

300s is a "comfortable victory", but not a landslide.

anything less is a very close win, ie. Bush-Gore, people so often forget when recalling about Florida that, if tiny little New Hampshire didn't break for Bush by like 300 votes, that Florida would not have mattered and Al Gore would have been president and we would have had the Green New Deal by 2003.

vy65
11-02-2020, 07:37 PM
https://www.270towin.com/map-images/3PoJX.png

Never forget: it's ST's nature to skew to the sensational. Going through the doom and gloom from the good ole days, you'd never know los motherfucking spurs won 5 rings fagget. Biden wins and wins big. He wins 53.5% of the popular vote (to dear leaders 46.5%)

pgardn
11-02-2020, 07:40 PM
Paypal has fees for sending money back and forth. Don't be too triggered, Less Than Blake.

That does not change the fact that you sit on the sidelines and feel you must add something.
Go scream at clouds.

pgardn
11-02-2020, 07:42 PM
:lol I didn't mean literal signs.

Yeah but we are suing the M and M sinage numbers technique.
Honestly, when you are surrounded by Trumpers, its natural to doubt.

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 07:44 PM
That does not change the fact that you sit on the sidelines and feel you must add something.
Go scream at clouds.

I gave him insight that could save him a few bucks. I'm sorry this is happening to you.

ChumpDumper
11-02-2020, 07:49 PM
Paypal has fees for sending money back and forth. Don't be too triggered, Less Than Blake.Not for personal transactions with linked accounts.

Have you ever used it?

pgardn
11-02-2020, 07:53 PM
Cuck Garden's wife: Insists that he fight with his dad about Trump.
Also Cuck Garden's wife: Doesn't bother to vote.

:lol You really picked a winner there, bro.

My wife.
My wife and I.

Continue your fantasies. She did not bother to vote because this state was utterly red.
She reasoned the vote for president as wasted because she was convinced Trump was going to win.
Not this year.

You keep talking about winning spouses while beating on your Johnson. The incel version of dear abby...

pgardn
11-02-2020, 07:54 PM
Not for personal transactions with linked accounts.

Have you ever used it?

And this is true as well.
Something derp should be very interested in.

pgardn
11-02-2020, 07:57 PM
I gave him insight that could save him a few bucks. I'm sorry this is happening to you.

Yeah Im sure he appreciates that from your great financial intellect.
Pony up or shut up.

DMC
11-02-2020, 08:02 PM
:lol I didn't mean literal signs.

:lol autism

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 08:06 PM
Not for personal transactions with linked accounts.

Have you ever used it?

Linked like both persons can just take access to their money?

Yea, I've used it. That's how I know there are charges.

You argue stupid sh**, blakeblaker.

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 08:09 PM
My wife.
My wife and I.

Continue your fantasies. She did not bother to vote because this state was utterly red.
She reasoned the vote for president as wasted because she was convinced Trump was going to win.
Not this year.

You keep talking about winning spouses while beating on your Johnson. The incel version of dear abby...


Cuck Garden's wife: Insists that he fight with his dad about Trump.
Also Cuck Garden's wife: Doesn't bother to vote.

:lol You really picked a winner there, bro.

Don't take it too personally, Less Than Blake. I don't know your wife. She may not be the mess you make her out to be.

pgardn
11-02-2020, 08:10 PM
:lol autism

Im not sorry I smacked you around enough to elicit ankle biting.
Reread next post DMCircleOfTruth. Sponsored by, the Honest Broker.

pgardn
11-02-2020, 08:13 PM
Don't take it too personally, Less Than Blake. I don't know your wife. She may not be the mess you make her out to be.

Dont take it... when you constantly make narratives about people who actually enter into a heterosexual marriage...
Yeah I trust you freak. "Mess I made her out to be..." exactly what I posted freak, right?

ChumpDumper
11-02-2020, 08:14 PM
Linked like both persons can just take access to their money?No. It's not a joint bank account.

You really don't know how it works, derp.

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 08:17 PM
400+ is a landslide, i.e. Reagan, Nixon, most of the FDR years

300s is a "comfortable victory", but not a landslide.

anything less is a very close win, ie. Bush-Gore, people so often forget when recalling about Florida that, if tiny little New Hampshire didn't break for Bush by like 300 votes, that Florida would not have mattered and Al Gore would have been president and we would have had the Green New Deal by 2003.

What is 350 plus?


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8tdQHvMnFXQ

pgardn
11-02-2020, 08:21 PM
What is 350 plus?


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8tdQHvMnFXQ

Yes, another tube...

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 08:23 PM
Dont take it... when you constantly make narratives about people who actually enter into a heterosexual marriage...
Yeah I trust you freak. "Mess I made her out to be..." exactly what I posted freak, right?

What you posted is that she tells you to argue with your dad about Trump and then doesn't even bother to vote.
That's some bitch shit. Maybe you should learn to stand up for yourself instead of coming here and looking for shallow validation.

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 08:26 PM
No. It's not a joint bank account.

You really don't know how it works, derp.

Are you talking about linking a bank account to Paypal, or are you talking about linking two Paypal accounts?

pgardn
11-02-2020, 08:31 PM
What you posted is that she tells you to argue with your dad about Trump and then doesn't even bother to vote.
That's some bitch shit. Maybe you should learn to stand up for yourself instead of coming here and looking for shallow validation.

wtf are you even saying...?

just slinging you tube shit about me, my father, and my wife...
These tubes dont exist derp.
You are about to explode on this election.

Go to your room.

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 08:35 PM
wtf are you even saying...?

just slinging you tube shit about me, my father, and my wife...
These tubes dont exist derp.
You are about to explode on this election.

Go to your room.

Pretty much. Two out of three anyhow. Were that it weren't true for you.

ChumpDumper
11-02-2020, 08:42 PM
Are you talking about linking a bank account to Paypal, or are you talking about linking two Paypal accounts?:rollin derp

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 08:49 PM
:rollin derp

Answer the question. Use your words. This is your issue, not mine.

ChumpDumper
11-02-2020, 08:50 PM
Answer the question. Use your words. This is your issue, not mine.It's not an issue for me at all, derp.

You're the one who has no idea how fucking PayPal works :lol.

Now stomp your widdle feet again.:lmao

baseline bum
11-02-2020, 08:54 PM
My wife did not vote in 2016 saying her vote would not matter.
You did the same, or implied the same IIRC?

It only took 300,000 dead and an economic depression to make Texas somewhat competitive

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 08:58 PM
It's not an issue for me at all, derp.

You're the one who has no idea how fucking PayPal works :lol.

Now stomp your widdle feet again.:lmao

Being in a tizzy and shutting down. Par.

pgardn
11-02-2020, 09:01 PM
Pretty much. Two out of three anyhow. Were that it weren't true for you.

ahhh to dream.

Time to spank Mr. Happy yet derp?

Ef-man
11-02-2020, 09:01 PM
It's not an issue for me at all, derp.

You're the one who has no idea how fucking PayPal works :lol.

Now stomp your widdle feet again.:lmao

:lmao

ChumpDumper
11-02-2020, 09:02 PM
Being in a tizzy and shutting down. Par.Here's everything you need to know about PayPal, sugarplum:

https://www.paypal.com/us/smarthelp/home

If you need your hand held after that, yell upstairs to your mom.

pgardn
11-02-2020, 09:02 PM
Being in a tizzy and shutting down. Par.

This election scares the hell out of you derp.
You are going out of your beaten path to be stupid.

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 09:03 PM
ahhh to dream.

Time to spank Mr. Happy yet derp?

You're just hanging on to that go-nowhere narrative, aren't you?

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 09:04 PM
This election scares the hell out of you derp.

Yea, it does. Chump in full-on panic mode.

ChumpDumper
11-02-2020, 09:04 PM
This election scares the hell out of you derp.
You are going out of your beaten path to be stupid.:lol you triggered him again by calling him derp

No one has ever melted down more over a nickname than Spurtacular aka derp.

pgardn
11-02-2020, 09:04 PM
You're just hanging on to that go-nowhere narrative, aren't you?

It hits you in the face derp.
There is a reason it hurts.

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 09:05 PM
Here's everything you need to know about PayPal, sugarplum:

https://www.paypal.com/us/smarthelp/home

If you need your hand held after that, yell upstairs to your mom.

You won't even clarify what you mean by linking accounts.
That's just sad. It's as if your point isn't really that meaningful after all.

TimDunkem
11-02-2020, 09:06 PM
I can't wait for the next four years of Derp saying the election was stolen from Trump.

ChumpDumper
11-02-2020, 09:06 PM
You won't even clarify what you mean by linking accounts. All your answers are here:

https://www.paypal.com/us/smarthelp/home

Enjoy your rabbit hole.

Alone.

pgardn
11-02-2020, 09:06 PM
:lol you triggered him again by calling him derp

No one has ever melted down more over a nickname than Spurtacular aka derp.

koriwhat would describe him as a weak man Im guessing.

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 09:10 PM
It hits you in the face derp.
There is a reason it hurts.

Keep hangin' on, bud.

https://i.gyazo.com/08ee5305f0ce7645af0a2c5d9bb79b68.gif

And then come to terms.

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 09:11 PM
All your answers are here:

https://www.paypal.com/us/smarthelp/home

Enjoy your rabbit hole.

Alone.

Still not clarifying your point, even. Sad.

ChumpDumper
11-02-2020, 09:13 PM
Still not clarifying your point, even. Sad.I don't have to.

You're the one who is stuggling.

I gave you the page to look up your answer.

If you tell me you are too helpless and stupid to look it up yourself, I will help you.

If you're too afraid to admit it, you will suffer alone.

As always.

Mitch
11-02-2020, 09:20 PM
Not as invested this year, but from what I've seen I'd say he loses MI and PA, keeps WI and AZ. Wins...270? 271? something like that tbh

pgardn
11-02-2020, 09:22 PM
Keep hangin' on, bud.

https://i.gyazo.com/08ee5305f0ce7645af0a2c5d9bb79b68.gif

And then come to terms.

YOu now and then falling after the election.
Those are the terms.

DMC
11-02-2020, 09:22 PM
Im not sorry I smacked you around enough to elicit ankle biting.
Reread next post DMCircleOfTruth. Sponsored by, the Honest Broker.

:lol Wild Cobra level gas lighting

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 09:22 PM
I don't have to.

You're the one who is stuggling.

I gave you the page to look up your answer.

If you tell me you are too helpless and stupid to look it up yourself, I will help you.

If you're too afraid to admit it, you will suffer alone.

As always.

Still not clarifying your point. Sad. But not unexpected.

pgardn
11-02-2020, 09:25 PM
:lol Wild Cobra level gas lighting

Gas lighting.
Wrong term.

It just is.
You think you know subjects you dont.
I call you on them.
You fail.

Stay with what you know, dont venture out.

Will Hunting
11-02-2020, 10:48 PM
After 2 days canvassing Southwest Philadelphia, :lmao any MAGAtards who think Trump is getting more than 10-12% of the black vote (and that's a best case scenario for Trump).

https://i.ibb.co/kBjW8XY/Map.jpg

Popular vote:

Trump: 44.2%
Biden: 54.5%

DMC
11-02-2020, 11:00 PM
Gas lighting.
Wrong term.

It just is.
You think you know subjects you dont.
I call you on them.
You fail.

Stay with what you know, dont venture out.

It's the right
term
it just is

You're selling yourself
You're a fraud
you just are

ChumpDumper
11-02-2020, 11:02 PM
Still not clarifying your point. Sad. But not unexpected.It's hilarious that your only tactic is to admit you have no idea how PayPal works.

Spurtacular
11-02-2020, 11:16 PM
It's hilarious that your only tactic is to admit you have no idea how PayPal works.

Still not clarifying your point. Sad. But not unexpected.

pgardn
11-02-2020, 11:19 PM
It's the right
term
it just is

You're selling yourself
You're a fraud
you just are

WE, you and I, know the fraud.

and you use your cell phone mic at night?

ChumpDumper
11-02-2020, 11:22 PM
Still not clarifying your point. Sad. But not unexpected.I made it quite clear.

You're just not as smart as you want people to think you are, derp.

Millennial_Messiah
11-02-2020, 11:30 PM
After 2 days canvassing Southwest Philadelphia, :lmao any MAGAtards who think Trump is getting more than 10-12% of the black vote (and that's a best case scenario for Trump).

https://i.ibb.co/kBjW8XY/Map.jpg

Popular vote:

Trump: 44.2%
Biden: 54.5%

:lmao Southwest Philadelphia is a dump, like east Detroit. Total shithole. Definitely not representative.

When I was staying in Center City for those 2 weeks a couple years back I banged a fine-looking (black) chick from that area, and a couple days later I was on augmentin battling chlamydia, tbh. Total dump of a place. Center City is nice though. Lincoln Financial Field area is pretty.

Reck
11-02-2020, 11:37 PM
After 2 days canvassing Southwest Philadelphia, :lmao any MAGAtards who think Trump is getting more than 10-12% of the black vote (and that's a best case scenario for Trump).

https://i.ibb.co/kBjW8XY/Map.jpg

Popular vote:

Trump: 44.2%
Biden: 54.5%

So sad to hear Trump’s not getting 30% of African American despite those elite rapper endorsements.

Will Hunting
11-02-2020, 11:39 PM
So sad to hear Trump’s not getting 30% of African American despite those elite rapper endorsements.
Rapper endorsements and all the Trabelfafel polls saying he was.

baseline bum
11-02-2020, 11:42 PM
After 2 days canvassing Southwest Philadelphia, :lmao any MAGAtards who think Trump is getting more than 10-12% of the black vote (and that's a best case scenario for Trump).

https://i.ibb.co/kBjW8XY/Map.jpg

Popular vote:

Trump: 44.2%
Biden: 54.5%

So are niggas pissed and ready to vote the nazi out?

Reck
11-02-2020, 11:43 PM
1323471920117985280 (https://twitter.com/andrewsolender/status/1323471920117985280?s=21)

:lol I think we’re going to be surprised by tomorrow night with how many of these people are out there. Makes me appreciate what the DNC tried doing with the disaffected republicans. If even 5-6 percent of them vote for Biden, things will end prematurely tomorrow.

Will Hunting
11-02-2020, 11:46 PM
So are niggas pissed and ready to vote the nazi out?
The good news is that the VBM numbers you're seeing in PA aren't black voters. I didn't talk to a single one who'd already voted by mail or voted early, everyone I talked to said that he/she was voting for Biden and would be going to the polls tomorrow to do it. Michael Steele was saying the same thing earlier today that black voters don't trust early voting and will be showing up in droves tomorrow.

baseline bum
11-02-2020, 11:48 PM
The good news is that the VBM numbers you're seeing in PA aren't black voters. I didn't talk to a single one who'd already voted by mail or voted early, everyone I talked to said that he/she was voting for Biden and would be going to the polls tomorrow to do it. Michael Steele was saying the same thing earlier today that black voters don't trust early voting and will be showing up in droves tomorrow.

So you gotta show up in Philly tomorrow to toss molotovs at the Trump trains when they try to block access to polling places.

Will Hunting
11-02-2020, 11:49 PM
So you gotta show up in Philly tomorrow to toss molotovs at the Trump trains when they try to block access to polling places.
:lol not a chance the Trump trains are going to touch inner city Philly, that wouldn't go well for them. They'll target more isolated black communities. In Philly you have a swath of black cops who'd actually be on the side of voters.

baseline bum
11-02-2020, 11:50 PM
1323471920117985280 (https://twitter.com/andrewsolender/status/1323471920117985280?s=21)

:lol I think we’re going to be surprised by tomorrow night with how many of these people are out there. Makes me appreciate what the DNC tried doing with the disaffected republicans. If even 5-6 percent of them vote for Biden, things will end prematurely tomorrow.

What a joke, acting like the GOP just turned racist in 2016.

Reck
11-02-2020, 11:52 PM
What a joke, acting like the GOP just turned racist in 2016.

They want to be racist in secret. Trump is actually too racist for their liking.

A vote is a vote. I don’t care if they want to go back to old conservatism as long as they punch it for Biden this time.

Will Hunting
11-02-2020, 11:53 PM
What a joke, acting like the GOP just turned racist in 2016.
Even when I was talking to my mom earlier, who's never been a Republican, she didn't get it. She literally said "The Republicans have just gotten so crazy, 20 years ago you wouldn't have ever seen them do something like file lawsuits in court to stop ballots from being counted" completely oblivious to the fact we're approaching the 20 year anniversary of Bush v. Gore.

Trainwreck2100
11-02-2020, 11:53 PM
Not as invested this year, but from what I've seen I'd say he loses MI and PA, keeps WI and AZ. Wins...270? 271? something like that tbh

he's down 10 points in WI, the COVID spike came at a rough time for him

Will Hunting
11-02-2020, 11:55 PM
They want to be racist in secret. Trump is actually too racist for their liking.

A vote is a vote. I don’t care if they want to go back to old conservatism as long as they punch it for Biden this time.
He's not too racist for their liking, he's too openly racist for their liking. He's also too openly pro voter suppression. All Trump has done is take what GOP leaders have been saying to each other quietly in le smoke filled room for the lsat 40 years and aired it for public consumption.

Reck
11-02-2020, 11:57 PM
He's not too racist for their liking, he's too openly racist for their liking. He's also too openly pro voter suppression. All Trump has done is take what GOP leaders have been saying to each other quietly in le smoke filled room for the lsat 40 years and aired it for public consumption.

Nah, I think the kids in cages was too much for them. Not only was that blatant indifference and racist but cruel.

That’s what did it, imo.

Will Hunting
11-02-2020, 11:59 PM
Nah, I think the kids in cages was too much for them. Not only was that blatant indifference and racist but cruel.

That’s what did it, imo.
Dude, kids in cages was a Jeff Sessions / Rod Rosenstein brainchild. Those two guys are down the road, establishment Republicans.

baseline bum
11-02-2020, 11:59 PM
He's not too racist for their liking, he's too openly racist for their liking. He's also too openly pro voter suppression. All Trump has done is take what GOP leaders have been saying to each other quietly in le smoke filled room for the lsat 40 years and aired it for public consumption.

Yeah channeling Lee Atwater, Trump has basically taken the GOP back from from just abstract rhetoric of cutting taxes (to hurt blacks worse than whites) to ###### ###### ######

Will Hunting
11-03-2020, 12:01 AM
Heck, people thought Rosenstein was a moderate before the NYTimes discovered how much his fingers were all over family separation.

Reck
11-03-2020, 12:04 AM
:lmao Trump is still doing a rally.

Will Hunting
11-03-2020, 12:06 AM
:lmao Trump is still doing a rally.
:lol reports are he's doing a late night rally in Grand Rapids Michigan because that's where his last rally was in 2016 and he's superstitious about it. It's literally a "good luck rally" that accomplishes no actual purpose.

Reck
11-03-2020, 12:11 AM
1323492549349302272 (https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1323492549349302272?s=21)

Lol

Reck
11-03-2020, 12:13 AM
:lol reports are he's doing a late night rally in Grand Rapids Michigan because that's where his last rally was in 2016 and he's superstitious about it. It's literally a "good luck rally" that accomplishes no actual purpose.

That’s what I meant. Loyal Fox it’s airing his rally there.

Now they got tired of his rant and they have a panel complaining how dems will rig it. :lol

Will Hunting
11-03-2020, 12:18 AM
That’s what I meant. Loyal Fox it’s airing his rally there.

Now they got tired of his rant and they have a panel complaining how dems will rig it. :lol
It really is irresponsible and reckless. Every fucking window in DC is boarded up because Fox News and Trump have fanned the flames over this election in a way this country has never seen.

Will Hunting
11-03-2020, 12:27 AM
1323492549349302272 (https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1323492549349302272?s=21)

Lol
He just lost Millsfield by a vote of 16-5, but 4 years ago Shillary lost it by 16-4. Biden picked up the 3rd party voter from 2016, EXPANDING THAT BASE!

daslicer
11-03-2020, 02:02 AM
What a joke, acting like the GOP just turned racist in 2016.

They prefer the GOP to be racist behind close doors while getting tax cuts. I guess a better way to say is that they like to use subtle forms of racism versus the direct racist attacks.

Rummpd
11-03-2020, 04:54 AM
Thanks for doing this!

I got JB in a close one - Biden with 290 and Trump 248 with Biden 52% Trump 46% with 2% other.

https://www.270towin.com/maps/8JvwQ

Electoral
Votes Needed for
270 Winning Combinations
Democrats 290 0
Republicans 248 22

Still DT could pull this out - lot of energy in PA especially in Pittsburg suburbs and rural areas for him.

RandomGuy
11-03-2020, 07:12 AM
He's not too racist for their liking, he's too openly racist for their liking. He's also too openly pro voter suppression. All Trump has done is take what GOP leaders have been saying to each other quietly in le smoke filled room for the lsat 40 years and aired it for public consumption.

"saying the quite part loud" sums up the last four years perfectly.

0dBJIkp7qIg

If you have the time, this whole series is quality stuff.

RandomGuy
11-03-2020, 07:31 AM
:lol reports are he's doing a late night rally in Grand Rapids Michigan because that's where his last rally was in 2016 and he's superstitious about it. It's literally a "good luck rally" that accomplishes no actual purpose.

A bad decision to end a campaign of bad decisions. Apropos.

RandomGuy
11-03-2020, 07:32 AM
Thanks for doing this!

I got JB in a close one - Biden with 290 and Trump 248 with Biden 52% Trump 46% with 2% other.

https://www.270towin.com/maps/8JvwQ.png

Electoral
Votes Needed for
270 Winning Combinations
Democrats 290 0
Republicans 248 22

Still DT could pull this out - lot of energy in PA especially in Pittsburg suburbs and rural areas for him.

add .png at the end of the URL for the map and stick it in the picture tags.
(IMG)https://www.270towin.com/maps/8JvwQ.png(/IMG)

Mitch
11-03-2020, 02:04 PM
he's down 10 points in WI, the COVID spike came at a rough time for him

I take polls with a grain of salt, tbh. Virus did mess up his chances though, figured he'd lock up 2016 + mn and nv last year. Gonna be fun to watch regardless :lol

Rummpd
11-03-2020, 02:13 PM
add .png at the end of the URL for the map and stick it in the picture tags.
(IMG)https://www.270towin.com/maps/8JvwQ.png(/IMG)


Thanks for doing this.

ducks
11-03-2020, 02:49 PM
British gambler bets $5M on Trump in biggest-ever political wager

Rummpd
11-03-2020, 02:58 PM
It really is irresponsible and reckless. Every fucking window in DC is boarded up because Fox News and Trump have fanned the flames over this election in a way this country has never seen.

Actually it has been vitriol on both sides of the aisle if you honestly look.

MASSA
11-03-2020, 03:00 PM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YkADj0TPrJA

ChumpDumper
11-03-2020, 03:01 PM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YkADj0TPrJA

^scared out of his regular screen name.

SnakeBoy
11-03-2020, 03:04 PM
It really is irresponsible and reckless. Every fucking window in DC is boarded up because Fox News and Trump have fanned the flames over this election in a way this country has never seen.

I heard they are putting "We support BLM" on the boarded up windows so that the angry Proud Boys will leave their businesses alone.

CosmicCowboy
11-03-2020, 03:35 PM
https://www.270towin.com/maps/ynNedhttps://www.270towin.com/maps/ynNed

https://www.270towin.com/maps/ynNed

ChumpDumper
11-03-2020, 03:41 PM
https://www.270towin.com/maps/ynNedhttps://www.270towin.com/maps/ynNed

Inshallah.

Splits
11-03-2020, 03:46 PM
https://www.270towin.com/maps/ynNed.pnghttps://www.270towin.com/maps/ynNed

there's the image. what you got on the popular vote %?

CosmicCowboy
11-03-2020, 03:59 PM
Biden at 53% Trump 46.5%

Splits
11-03-2020, 05:06 PM
Less than 2 hours to go! midnightpulp get in here

CosmicCowboy
11-03-2020, 10:59 PM
Damn. Im out. Never thought Trump would do this good.

ducks
11-03-2020, 11:12 PM
Damn. Im out. Never thought Trump would do this good.

Sorry this is happening to you

Millennial_Messiah
11-04-2020, 09:40 AM
Here's my most accurate one, including the appropriate shades and colors (for bragging rights):

https://i.imgur.com/gxEFO7D.jpg



Biden-Harris: 48.2% Total Popular Vote

Trump-Pence: 45.8% Total Popular Vote

Final Winner: Trump-Pence (due to GOP House Election Committee majority & SCOTUS majority)


Do I still win even if I lose NE-2 and its 270-268? Damn I'm good :wow

Millennial_Messiah
11-04-2020, 01:58 PM
Here's my most accurate one, including the appropriate shades and colors (for bragging rights):

https://i.imgur.com/gxEFO7D.jpg



Biden-Harris: 48.2% Total Popular Vote

Trump-Pence: 45.8% Total Popular Vote

Final Winner: Trump-Pence (due to GOP House Election Committee majority & SCOTUS majority)
@Me

Rummpd
11-04-2020, 02:53 PM
I not sure i am following this - it looks pretty certain Biden will have 270 plus. Am I missing something developing?

baseline bum
11-04-2020, 02:54 PM
I not sure i am following this - it looks pretty certain Biden will have 270 plus. Am I missing something developing?

Bend over, I'll give you what you're missing.

ElNono
11-13-2020, 03:27 PM
Splits, who won this, who gets the money?

Millennial_Messiah
11-13-2020, 03:30 PM
Splits (https://www.spurstalk.com/forums/member.php?u=24583), who won this, who gets the money?

Too early to call. Got to wait until at least Thanksgiving. Lots of outstanding vote in Maricopa + recounts.

ElNono
11-13-2020, 03:30 PM
Too early to call. Got to wait until at least Thanksgiving. Lots of outstanding vote in Maricopa + recounts.

Arizona is done counting, AFAIK.

Will Hunting
11-13-2020, 03:31 PM
Arizona is done counting, AFAIK.
:lol Andy is still hoping for a large dose of Maricopium that’s never gonna come.

spurraider21
11-13-2020, 03:41 PM
Arizona is done counting, AFAIK.
maricopa is, for sure. not sure about the entirety of the state... but there could be peanuts left. likely less votes than the margin

Spurminator
11-13-2020, 04:26 PM
Splits (https://www.spurstalk.com/forums/member.php?u=24583), who won this, who gets the money?

Doesn't look like anyone got it exactly, which was the criteria AFAIK.

Robz was pretty close but he also left Alaska and Hawaii as TBD. Rummpd was probably the closest, only missing PA plus I think he mixed up his Nebraska electors.

I was way off and I couldn't be happier about it.

Reck
11-13-2020, 04:29 PM
.

Robz4000
11-13-2020, 04:34 PM
Doesn't look like anyone got it exactly, which was the criteria AFAIK.

Robz was pretty close but he also left Alaska and Hawaii as TBD. Rummpd was probably the closest, only missing PA plus I think he mixed up his Nebraska electors.

I was way off and I couldn't be happier about it.


No one cares about Alaska and Hawaii tbh.

Rummpd
11-13-2020, 04:37 PM
No one cares about Alaska and Hawaii tbh.


Close but no cigar

spurraider21
11-13-2020, 04:41 PM
No one cares about Alaska and Hawaii tbh.
:lol

Spurminator
11-13-2020, 04:44 PM
Hawaii should secede but only after I move there.

Splits
11-14-2020, 04:32 PM
Splits (https://www.spurstalk.com/forums/member.php?u=24583), who won this, who gets the money?

Welp, nobody met the criteria so I'd say we send it to Dale's widow to help cover the funeral costs.

ElNono
11-14-2020, 04:47 PM
Welp, nobody met the criteria so I'd say we send it to Dale's widow to help cover the funeral costs.

Alright. Or we can donate it to the “MAGAtard therapy for losers” nonprofit, tbh

Splits
11-14-2020, 04:50 PM
Alright. Or we can donate it to the “MAGAtard therapy for losers” nonprofit, tbh

Only if it's deductible.

Heard from Dale lately? I had him on an ELE over the election... hope he comes to collect, I'd hate to have to travel to Maricopium to piss on his grave.

ElNono
11-14-2020, 04:51 PM
Haven’t seen him around...

Splits
11-14-2020, 04:52 PM
yeah, he still only has the land line and can't remember his zip code, only the last 7 digits...

hate to see it.

Splits
11-14-2020, 05:05 PM
Then lay it on the line, you sideshow lookin' SOB, you. He gets 4 more years you leave. He is defeated I leave. No bullshit, that's it & that's all.


Done. And I'll piss on your grave.

17 June, 2019

RIP Dale

Ef-man
11-14-2020, 05:17 PM
Qchrisy should pm thread to see if they can get a better deal on two burial plots.



17 June, 2019

RIP Dale

Splits
11-14-2020, 05:30 PM
I would have offered him an immunity robe if he put his prediction in this thread, but of course he's a complete and total pussy.

SnakeBoy
11-15-2020, 03:53 PM
Hey ElNono

Why are you trolling?
https://www.spurstalk.com/forums/showthread.php?t=144487&page=211&p=10337060&viewfull=1#post10337060

If you think I'm wrong about something, say why and we can talk about it.

He knows he can't dispute the facts

ElNono
11-15-2020, 04:20 PM
Hey ElNono

Why are you trolling?
https://www.spurstalk.com/forums/showthread.php?t=144487&page=211&p=10337060&viewfull=1#post10337060

If you think I'm wrong about something, say why and we can talk about it.

You don't want to talk about it, you want to spam your bullshit. So I'm gonna spam mine. What are you going to do about it?

ElNono
11-16-2020, 12:08 AM
All I can do is bring it to people's attention. The more you do it, the bigger your reputation as a troll gets.

Don't care about reputation. Now what?

ElNono
11-16-2020, 01:45 PM
Well, you seem to be a jerk. People of normal intelligence will consider you to be a jerk even though you don't care. If you're happy that way, more power to you.

sure, I'm a jerk. What's next?

DMX7
11-16-2020, 01:50 PM
is Joe going to finish with 80 million votes? wow, what a victory

ElNono
11-16-2020, 04:28 PM
https://www.clubconspiracy.com/counter-intellegience-tricks-and-techniques-t4702.html(excerpt)---------------------------------------------They may work in teams, supporting each other and giving the illusion of popular support on the net. (Remember, net IDs are basically free, and one person can have many.)---------------------------------------------I think you're probably one of the shills who work this forum. For all I know you might be this guy.https://www.spurstalk.com/forums/showthread.php?t=144487&page=201&p=9318799&viewfull=1#post9318799You people can't obfuscate clear anomalies so you try to keep people from seeing them.

lol didn't read

Millennial_Messiah
11-16-2020, 04:33 PM
is Joe going to finish with 80 million votes? wow, what a victory

Just goes to show how pathetic Shillary is for actually losing to this loser.

Reck
11-16-2020, 04:37 PM
Just goes to show how pathetic Shillary is for actually losing to this loser.

Trump is also getting about 8 million more votes than last time. He drove up votes for the oposition and himself. Double loser

Millennial_Messiah
11-16-2020, 04:41 PM
Trump is also getting about 8 million more votes than last time. He drove up votes for the oposition and himself. Double loser

Shillary is the ultimate double loser. Lost to the loser because only 60% of registered voters actually voted in 2016.

FrostKing
11-16-2020, 04:54 PM
Shillary is the ultimate double loser. Lost to the loser because only 60% of registered voters actually voted in 2016.
It was not just quality of candidate

First of all the voting process was simplified, to the point where shady behavior was accepted. Secondly Vote initiative was shoved in everyone's face 24/7 and lastly many areas sent out ballots even to those that did not request. I for one did not request a mail in ballot here in California but it arrived.

Millennial_Messiah
11-16-2020, 04:57 PM
It was not just quality of candidate

First of all the voting process was simplified, to the point where shady behavior was accepted. Secondly Vote initiative was shoved in everyone's face 24/7 and lastly many areas sent out ballots even to those that did not request. I for one did not request a mail in ballot here in California but it arrived.

To me that is 100% the biggest factor. Look at the NFL fields in October spray painted with "PHILADELPHIA VOTES!, MINNEAPOLIS VOTES, DETROIT VOTES, ATLANTA VOTES" which surely helped Biden win those 4 critical states.

ChumpDumper
11-16-2020, 05:00 PM
To me that is 100% the biggest factor. Look at the NFL fields in October spray painted with "PHILADELPHIA VOTES!, MINNEAPOLIS VOTES, DETROIT VOTES, ATLANTA VOTES" which surely helped Biden win those 4 critical states.:tu

https://media1.tenor.com/images/db3b0b2f9762994a672d7847a9650275/tenor.gif

FrostKing
11-16-2020, 05:01 PM
To me that is 100% the biggest factor. Look at the NFL fields in October spray painted with "PHILADELPHIA VOTES!, MINNEAPOLIS VOTES, DETROIT VOTES, ATLANTA VOTES" which surely helped Biden win those 4 critical states.
All cities with major black centers. That 85% one party demographic would not have come out in such numbers if not for the mail in ballot initiative

ChumpDumper
11-16-2020, 05:04 PM
All cities with major black centers. That 85% one party demographic would not have come out in such numbers if not for the mail in ballot initiativeYou can thank Trump's COVID failure for that.:tu

FrostKing
11-16-2020, 05:07 PM
You can thank Trump's COVID failure for that.:tu
Every nation has Covid issues. Not every nation butchered its election process in response.

ChumpDumper
11-16-2020, 05:10 PM
Every nation has Covid issues. Not every nation butchered its election process in response.
It wasn't butchered.

You're just crying that your miserable failure of a president lost.

Look how pathetic he is:

1328398105323180032

You should be ashamed of this white guy.

DMX7
11-16-2020, 05:24 PM
Every nation has Covid issues. Not every nation butchered its election process in response.

Every nation has Covid issues. Not every nation butchered its COVID response in response.

leemajors
11-16-2020, 07:16 PM
Complaining about record voter turnout?

Millennial_Messiah
11-16-2020, 08:20 PM
All cities with major black centers. That 85% one party demographic would not have come out in such numbers if not for the mail in ballot initiative

I still think Georgia is a pink, not purple, state going forward, with Biden's victory there a sort of one-off type event, similar to Obama winning Indiana in 2008 thanks to astronomical black turnout and mediocre white/GOP turnout in such parts there back then.

Georgia will vote GOP comfortably in both senate seats. Blacks and young hippie liberals don't show out nearly as much for runoffs and midterms like they do in the general election (leap) years, especially with someone polarizing like Trump on the ballot.