If Nate Silver Gets A Second Election In A Row Horribly Wrong, Is He Officially A Hack?

[Spurtacular]

Should've did this two months ago before Hack Silver tightened his numbers to try and save some face. But even now, it's looking pretty bad for him for when Trump wins.

Hack Silver's Odds:

"States To Watch"

AZ Trump 32/100
CO Trump 4/100
FL Trump 32/100
GA Trump 41/100
IA Trump 61/100
ME Trump 10/100
MI Trump 5/100
MN Trump 4/100
NV Trump 13/100
NH Trump 11/100
NM Trump 2/100
NC Trump 35/100
OH Trump 55/100
PA Trump 15/100
TX Trump 61/100
VA Trump 1/100
WI Trump 6/100

Other States

AL Trump 98/100
AK Trump 85/100
AR Trump >99/100
CA Trump <1/100
CT Trump <1/100
DE Trump <1/100
DC Trump <1/100
HI Trump <1/100
ID Trump >99/100
IL Trump <1/100
IN Trump 96/100
KS Trump 97/100
KY Trump 98/100
LA Trump 97/100
ME 1st Trump 3/100
ME 2nd Trump 42/100
MA Trump <1/100
MD Trump <1/100
MS Trump 92/100
MO Trump 93/100
MT Trump 85/100
NE Trump >99/100
NE 1st Trump 96/100
NE 2nd Trump 26/100
NE 3rd Tump >99/100
NJ Trump <1/100
NY Trump <1/100
ND Trump 98/100
OK Trump >99/100
OR Trump 2/100
RI Trump <1/100
SC Trump 91/100
SD Trump 95/100
TN Trump 97/100
UT Trump 96/100
VT Trump <1/100
WA Trump <1/100
WV Trump >99/100
WY Trump >99/100

[Will Hunting]

Silver has gotten 144/150 states correct in the last 3 elections. Which poll aggregator/modeler has done better over the same period?

[ElNono]

More concerned with OP's supply of copium, tbh... I think Nate will be fine no matter what happens.

[pgardn]

derp completely misses the entire idea of probability...

[Spurtacular]

Silver has gotten 144/150 states correct in the last 3 elections. Which poll aggregator/modeler has done better over the same period?

Based on what? A state being 51/100 or more?

[ChumpDumper]

Based on what? A state being 51/100 or more?What would you base it on, derp?

[Spurminator]

How was Nate Silver wrong, exactly?

If a baseball player has a batting average of .200, he's going to get a hit 20% of the time. You wouldn't call his batting average wrong if he got a hit on his next atbat.

[Spurtacular]

How was Nate Silver wrong, exactly?

If a baseball player has a batting average of .200, he's going to get a hit 20% of the time. You wouldn't call his batting average wrong if he got a hit on his next atbat.

You're trying.

[ChumpDumper]

Silver has gotten 144/150 states correct in the last 3 elections. Which poll aggregator/modeler has done better over the same period?derp folded instantly

[Will Hunting]

Based on what? A state being 51/100 or more?
No based on the projected winner of each state.

[Spurminator]

You're trying.

That's not an answer. You don't understand probability.

No surprise. Not sure why you try engaging an adult conversations, it's like watching a toddler try to hit a MLB fastball.

[Ef-man]

Originally Posted by spurraider21
so is steph curry what jimmer fans imagined jimmer would be like


Originally Posted by drep
Pretty much.

Was it nate that gave you the inside information on jimmer?

[Splits]

Silver's model gives Dennison a 10% chance to win this year. That's the same probability that it rains in LA. Does it ever rain in LA?

Silver's model gave Dennison a 28% chance to win in 2016. That's the same probability a NFL kicker misses a 40 yarder. Do NFL kickers ever miss 40 yarders?

[pgardn]

You're trying.

No he is exactly right.
You dont understand probability or AVERAGE.

[Spurtacular]

:cry Not a hack :cry

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/proxy/8103thNWIspb4agBjsyX2H93WymZmyUhVIifBf6hMFJ4t5DUCp JI3vSKq46w-X4Tha2DgewgMPLNYmQeSlbkDy21lvfOrYNIbxxvno5ZzfPAznU dwmcGp9urincLD_HgcDowWloL4Je4j6Z3fnOQuKyvOklG43x0f-NcVYE

[Joseph Kony]

That's not an answer. You don't understand probability.

No surprise. Not sure why you try engaging an adult conversations, it's like watching a toddler try to hit a MLB fastball.

pretty much :lol derp tries to talk big boy politics but he has about as much understanding of it as a dog has of classic literature

[ElNono]

I think the confusion stems from derp thinking everybody else is doing his thing of throwing shit into the wall and hoping it sticks.

[pgardn]

Silver's model gives Dennison a 10% chance to win this year. That's the same probability that it rains in LA. Does it ever rain in LA?

Silver's model gave Dennison a 28% chance to win in 2016. That's the same probability a NFL kicker misses a 40 yarder. Do NFL kickers ever miss 40 yarders?

No you see you Silver cant do that... because hes playing it both ways, according to derp, by giving probabilities.
By derp's reckoning you call it or you dont. And derp actually invented quantum mechanics so he knows.
Hurricane paths with probability cones, they are out, call the exact lat and long or its useless.

[Splits]

:cry Not a hack :cry

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/proxy/8103thNWIspb4agBjsyX2H93WymZmyUhVIifBf6hMFJ4t5DUCp JI3vSKq46w-X4Tha2DgewgMPLNYmQeSlbkDy21lvfOrYNIbxxvno5ZzfPAznU dwmcGp9urincLD_HgcDowWloL4Je4j6Z3fnOQuKyvOklG43x0f-NcVYE

So you took the prediction weeks before the election:

https://i.imgur.com/zrlkK2J.png

instead of the model's final prediction:

https://i.imgur.com/iXb5XEu.png

You're definitely :cry not a hack :cry

[Spurtacular]

:cry Don't hate on Nate for his get out the vote efforts :cry

https://fivethirtyeight.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/silver-landslide-map-1.png

[Reck]

:cry Not a hack :cry

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/proxy/8103thNWIspb4agBjsyX2H93WymZmyUhVIifBf6hMFJ4t5DUCp JI3vSKq46w-X4Tha2DgewgMPLNYmQeSlbkDy21lvfOrYNIbxxvno5ZzfPAznU dwmcGp9urincLD_HgcDowWloL4Je4j6Z3fnOQuKyvOklG43x0f-NcVYE

lol you're cherry picking. You're taking probability from early october.

[spurraider21]

:cry Not a hack :cry

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/proxy/8103thNWIspb4agBjsyX2H93WymZmyUhVIifBf6hMFJ4t5DUCp JI3vSKq46w-X4Tha2DgewgMPLNYmQeSlbkDy21lvfOrYNIbxxvno5ZzfPAznU dwmcGp9urincLD_HgcDowWloL4Je4j6Z3fnOQuKyvOklG43x0f-NcVYE
now show what he had the odds at on election day

[ChumpDumper]

So you took the prediction weeks before the election:

https://i.imgur.com/zrlkK2J.png

instead of the model's final prediction:

https://i.imgur.com/iXb5XEu.png

You're definitely :cry not a hack :cry:lol derp fucks up every single time.

[spurraider21]

derp just flailing angrily at this point

[Spurtacular]

So you took the prediction weeks before the election:

https://i.imgur.com/zrlkK2J.png

instead of the model's final prediction:

https://i.imgur.com/iXb5XEu.png

You're definitely :cry not a hack :cry

Yea, they always tighten it to hedge on their potential humiliation.

Like I said, I should've made this poll two months ago; Chumpettes would've been doing cartwheels. :lmao

[Spurtacular]

now show what he had the odds at on election day

Like I said, they tighten it after the narrative has been consistently supplied for the media.

It's submission polling / forecasting.

[baseline bum]

Silver isn't factoring in voter suppression

[ChumpDumper]

Yea, they always tighten it to hedge on their potential humiliation.

Like I said, I should've made this poll two months ago; Chumpettes would've been doing cartwheels. :lmao:lol derp declares victory after being curbstomped

[Spurminator]

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/1RasmusMoore1.gif.opt_.gif

[Reck]

Yea, they always tighten it to hedge on their potential humiliation.

Like I said, I should've made this poll two months ago; Chumpettes would've been doing cartwheels. :lmao

No, it tightened because Hillary had a shitty final 2 weeks.

Now post Biden's and see if there's a difference.

[Spurtacular]

:cry Nate was better than NYT, amirite? :cry

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Cvd06NQWcAI4pil.jpg

[Splits]

Yea, they always tighten it to hedge on their potential humiliation.


Always? What about this year?

https://i.imgur.com/FbYO1IP.png

Do you know how to read a graph?

[Will Hunting]

Yea, they always tighten it to hedge on their potential humiliation.

Like I said, I should've made this poll two months ago; Chumpettes would've been doing cartwheels. :lmao
:lol they tightened it up after the Comey letter and after the polls showed a tightening race.

Did Silver tighten the odds up at all this year? By your logic he would have.

[Will Hunting]

:lol Splits beat me to it

[Spurtacular]

No, it tightened because Hillary had a shitty final 2 weeks.

Now post Biden's and see if there's a difference.

What was so shitty about it?

[pgardn]

Like I said, they tighten it after the narrative has been consistently supplied for the media.

It's submission polling / forecasting.

Good.
So show an analysis of this from a source that has some sort of method other than watch you tubes and reading his alt right tweets.

Supply your link of the media complicity and methods.
I dare you. You wont.
Supply your "Silver", you wont because you will get laughed at.

Newsflash, you are already laughed at because all your calculations are fairy tales in your tiny head.

[Reck]

:lol Splits beat me to it

I beat all of you.

[Reck]

What was so shitty about it?

Combination of Comey and the natural tightening that occurs. The former hurt more, obviously.

This cycle hasn't seem either. Keep taking your Ls.

[pgardn]

:cry Nate was better than NYT, amirite? :cry

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Cvd06NQWcAI4pil.jpg

What did FOX have?

[Will Hunting]

What was so shitty about it?
Comey letter and a mediocre 3rd debate performance. Trump was also much better at staying on message in 2016 than she was.

This year not so much. The Trump War Room is on Twitter 24 hours before the election talking about Lady Gaga.

[ElNono]

Silver isn't factoring in voter suppression

No poll does, tbh

[LaMarcus Bryant]

This take was played out by Jan 2017

[Spurtacular]

Always? What about this year?

https://i.imgur.com/FbYO1IP.png

Do you know how to read a graph?


So, it was 9/10 for Hillary and now Biden 9/10 chance.

You agree that Nate's a hack if Joe doesn't win?

[ChumpDumper]

Always? What about this year?

https://i.imgur.com/FbYO1IP.png

Do you know how to read a graph?

So, it was 9/10 for Hillary and now Biden 9/10 chance.

You agree that Nate's a hack if Joe doesn't win?:lol derp pretending he didn't say this twice.

Yea, they always tighten it to hedge on their potential humiliation.

Like I said, they tighten it after the narrative has been consistently supplied for the media.

It's submission polling / forecasting.

[Reck]

So, it was 9/10 for Hillary and now Biden 9/10 chance.

You agree that Nate's a hack if Joe doesn't win?

It wasn't 9 out of 10 for Hillary you dumb faggot.

[Spurtacular]

Comey letter and a mediocre 3rd debate performance. Trump was also much better at staying on message in 2016 than she was.

This year not so much. The Trump War Room is on Twitter 24 hours before the election talking about Lady Gaga.

So Hunter's worse laptop and 8-92 debate performance not any different this time around? Biden has a hard time even presenting a message.

You guys don't bother to make sense.

[Spurtacular]

It wasn't 9 out of 10 for Hillary you dumb faggot.

:cry It was 7/10; just pretend 9/10 never happened. :cry

[ChumpDumper]

8-92 debate performance

It's submission polling

You guys don't bother to make sense.
:lmao derp

[Millennial_Messiah]

now show what he had the odds at on election day

cowboys beat the bengals day or cowboys beat the browns day?

hmm... wonder why Ohio sure flipped

neither of those were as epic as "cowboys beat the steelers" day tbh. unfortunately that's not gonna happen next weekend, even as PA goes trump.

[ElNono]

I’m Here To Remind You That Trump Can Still Win
A 10 percent chance isn’t zero. And there’s a chance of a recount, too.
By Nate Silver

It’s tempting to write this story in the form of narrative fiction: “On a frigid early December morning in Washington, the Supreme Court ruled 5-4 that disputed mail ballots in Pennsylvania—” You know, that kind of thing. But given the stakes in this election, I think it’s important to be prosaic and sober-minded instead.

Before we proceed further, a short philosophical note. I hate it when people use phrases — to be fair, we often use phrases like these ourselves! — such as “Nate Silver is giving Biden a 90 percent chance” or “FiveThirtyEight still gives Trump a 10 percent chance.” We aren’t giving anybody anything. Instead, as former FiveThirtyEight politics host Jody Avirgan puts it, what we’re doing is “mapping uncertainty.” In other words, if Biden leads by about 9 points in national polls, 8 points in Wisconsin, 5 points in Pennsylvania, 2 points in Florida, etc., how does that translate into a probability of victory? That’s what our model is trying to figure out.

And indeed — although nobody needs any reminders of this after 2016 — Trump can win. All the election models are bullish on Biden, but they are united in that a Trump win is still plausible despite his seemingly steep deficit in polls.

A huge part of why our model and others’ think Trump can still win is the Electoral College. Trump has only a 3 percent chance of winning the popular vote in our model. Other models put his chances at less than 1 percent. It’s very likely that Democrats will win the popular vote for the seventh time in the last eight elections.

Read more:
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/im-here-to-remind-you-that-trump-can-still-win/

[Spurtacular]

I’m Here To Remind You That Trump Can Still Win
A 10 percent chance isn’t zero. And there’s a chance of a recount, too.
By Nate Silver

It’s tempting to write this story in the form of narrative fiction: “On a frigid early December morning in Washington, the Supreme Court ruled 5-4 that disputed mail ballots in Pennsylvania—” You know, that kind of thing. But given the stakes in this election, I think it’s important to be prosaic and sober-minded instead.

Before we proceed further, a short philosophical note. I hate it when people use phrases — to be fair, we often use phrases like these ourselves! — such as “Nate Silver is giving Biden a 90 percent chance” or “FiveThirtyEight still gives Trump a 10 percent chance.” We aren’t giving anybody anything. Instead, as former FiveThirtyEight politics host Jody Avirgan puts it, what we’re doing is “mapping uncertainty.” In other words, if Biden leads by about 9 points in national polls, 8 points in Wisconsin, 5 points in Pennsylvania, 2 points in Florida, etc., how does that translate into a probability of victory? That’s what our model is trying to figure out.

And indeed — although nobody needs any reminders of this after 2016 — Trump can win. All the election models are bullish on Biden, but they are united in that a Trump win is still plausible despite his seemingly steep deficit in polls.

A huge part of why our model and others’ think Trump can still win is the Electoral College. Trump has only a 3 percent chance of winning the popular vote in our model. Other models put his chances at less than 1 percent. It’s very likely that Democrats will win the popular vote for the seventh time in the last eight elections.

Read more:
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/im-here-to-remind-you-that-trump-can-still-win/

Is Nate Silver a hack if he has a major fail again?

[Reck]

I'm also not seeing how someone with a favorability rating of well over 55% loses to someone who is -13 in that department.

Even Trump suppoters dont think Biden is a POS like Trump.

[Spurtacular]

I'm also not seeing how someone with a favorability rating of well over 55% loses to someone who is -13 in that department.

Even Trump suppoters dont think Biden is a POS like Trump.

https://media1.tenor.com/images/7f366ba049c9389a405723bb4137cc2b/tenor.gif?itemid=12701875

[ElNono]

Is Nate Silver a hack if he has a major fail again?

again?

[Spurtacular]

again?

Calling Hillary at 9/10 was a major fail.

[ElNono]

Calling Hillary at 9/10 was a major fail.

Except he didn't make any 'calls'... feels like deja vu, this discussion happened about 30 posts or so above

[Spurminator]

What kind of shitty childhood did Derp have that gave him such an abuse fetish?

[Ef-man]

Except he didn't make any 'calls'... feels like deja vu, this discussion happened about 30 posts or so above

Copium withdrawal syndrome makes derp forget facts.

Hate to see it.

[Splits]

Except he didn't make any 'calls'... feels like deja vu, this discussion happened about 30 posts or so above

Copium is a helluva drug

[ElNono]

Copium withdrawal syndrome makes derp forget facts.

Hate to see it.

I just honestly think he really believes everybody else is like him. In other words, he would never ever vote for a democrat candidate because he absolutely hates them, and he somehow projects that into other people.

Thus, under his thinking, everybody else has their mind set on who they're going to vote months or years in advance, and so any polling that shows undecideds or shifting support is 'fake' or the like.

Which obviously couldn't be further from reality, as seen in pretty much every election.

[Spurtacular]

Always? What about this year?

https://i.imgur.com/FbYO1IP.png

Do you know how to read a graph?


So, it was 9/10 for Hillary and now Biden 9/10 chance.

You agree that Nate's a hack if Joe doesn't win?


Copium is a helluva drug

Voting present like a bitch.

:lolK

[Spurtacular]

Except he didn't make any 'calls'... feels like deja vu, this discussion happened about 30 posts or so above

:cry It's not a call; it's odds. :cry

:lol So weak.

[ElNono]

:cry It's not a call; it's odds. :cry

:lol So weak.

You sound frustrated. Take a deep breath, it's just politics.

[Spurtacular]

I just honestly think he really believes everybody else is like him. In other words, he would never ever vote for a democrat candidate because he absolutely hates them, and he somehow projects that into other people.

Thus, under his thinking, everybody else has their mind set on who they're going to vote months or years in advance, and so any polling that shows undecideds or shifting support is 'fake' or the like.

Which obviously couldn't be further from reality, as seen in pretty much every election.

I just honestly think you make such godawful analysis to cope.

[ElNono]

I just honestly think you make such godawful analysis to cope.

That's your counterargument? more projection? thanks :tu

[RD2191]

Why is anyone even engaging with this retard? It's obvious he's just trolling at this point. Put his pathetic ass on ignore and move on.

[Splits]

Voting present like a bitch.

:lolK

Something tells me you don't know how the world works. You can't even ask the right question after I utterly embarrassed you.

[Splits]

Why is anyone even engaging with this retard? It's obvious he's just trolling at this point. Put his pathetic ass on ignore and move on.

:lol good advice

[Ef-man]

I just honestly think he really believes everybody else is like him. In other words, he would never ever vote for a democrat candidate because he absolutely hates them, and he somehow projects that into other people.

Thus, under his thinking, everybody else has their mind set on who they're going to vote months or years in advance, and so any polling that shows undecideds or shifting support is 'fake' or the like.

Which obviously couldn't be further from reality, as seen in pretty much every election.

So derp is that fucked up! Wow.

[ElNono]

So derp is that fucked up! Wow.

It's not as uncommon as you think, tbh

[Spurtacular]

Something tells me you don't know how the world works. You can't even ask the right question after I utterly embarrassed you.

Don't try to talk big, bunker bitch. :lol

[Spurtacular]

Why is anyone even engaging with this retard? It's obvious he's just trolling at this point. Put his pathetic ass on ignore and move on.

Is that what you do, little bitch?

[Spurtacular]

That's your counterargument? more projection? thanks :tu

Your argument was loaded with projection, moron.

[Trainwreck2100]

The rights hated of nate silver is funny because in 2016 he was one of the only pollsters to not give the election to Hillary even in the days before the election despite the number when everyone was calling it, he didn't say Trump was out of it

[ElNono]

Your argument was loaded with projection, moron.

How so? It's well known I didn't vote for Shillary, and I didn't plan to vote for Biden either, as I despise him as a candidate.

[Spurtacular]

How so? It's well known I didn't vote for Shillary, and I didn't plan to vote for Biden either, as I despise him as a candidate.

Despise him "as a candidate". :lmao

:lol You had to throw in that little modifier.

[Spurtacular]

The rights hated of nate silver is funny because in 2016 he was one of the only pollsters to not give the election to Hillary even in the days before the election despite the number when everyone was calling it, he didn't say Trump was out of it

This is the same guy who said Egg McMuffin could steal Utah.

[pgardn]

Derp is losing what little control he might have.
One day derp, you okay?

[ElNono]

Despise him "as a candidate". :lmao

:lol You had to throw in that little modifier.

I would actually dislike him as POTUS too. I didn't vote 'for him', I voted to get rid of Trump.

However, I do wish the Dems would've put a better candidate.

[Spurtacular]

I would actually dislike him as POTUS too. I didn't vote 'for him', I voted to get rid of Trump.

However, I do wish the Dems would've put a better candidate.

How about just as a person?

[ElNono]

How about just as a person?

I don't like him. He's fake everything. fake Christian (not that I care about religion, but phony is phony), fake convictions, he's your prototypical career politico.

I know I've gotten dinged here for not buying into this 'relatable' persona. I don't.

I wouldn't normally cast a vote for him (and would pretty much do what I did in 2016), but he's measurably better than Trump in one important aspect: he's not going to kick the board, and he doesn't want to watch the world burn.

[Spurtacular]

I don't like him. He's fake everything. fake Christian (not that I care about religion, but phony is phony), fake convictions, he's your prototypical career politico.

I know I've gotten dinged here for not buying into this 'relatable' persona. I don't.

I wouldn't normally cast a vote for him (and would pretty much do what I did in 2016), but he's measurably better than Trump in one important aspect: he's not going to kick the board, and he doesn't want to watch the world burn.

Chumpettes don't ding except when they're bringing up Trump. Let's be real. :lol

So "fake". Does that mean he's a detestable person?

Yes or no.

[ElNono]

Chumpettes don't ding except when they're bringing up Trump. Let's be real. :lol

So "fake". Does that mean he's a detestable person?

Yes or no.

It's not binary. In a scale from 1 (universally liked guy, ie: me) to 10 (Trump), he's probably an 8. That's pretty detestable, IMO.

[ElNono]

(Obviously, the 'me' part is humor)

[Spurtacular]

It's not binary. In a scale from 1 (universally liked guy, ie: me) to 10 (Trump), he's probably an 8. That's pretty detestable, IMO.

I would think being at the heart of systematic racism would be a 10.
I would think all that creepiness would be a 10.
I would think being in bed with America's enemies would be a 10.

But points off for not being the bad orange man apparently. :lol

[ElNono]

I would think being at the heart of systematic racism would be a 10.
I would think all that creepiness would be a 10.
I would think being in bed with America's enemies would be a 10.

But points off for not being the bad orange man apparently. :lol

The fact that he promises to listen to science is a huge upgrade already.

[Spurtacular]

The fact that he promises to listen to science is a huge upgrade already.

Yea, perpetuating a huge scam and f'ing over millions of Americans is a 10 too.

But Orange Man bad being what it is. :lmao

[ElNono]

Yea, perpetuating a huge scam and f'ing over millions of Americans is a 10 too.

But Orange Man bad being what it is. :lmao

I think it's pretty safe to say he won't kill a quarter million Americans telling them to inject clorox.. but we'll see. That's why we change leadership, we know what didn't work.

[pgardn]

I would think being at the heart of systematic racism would be a 10.
I would think all that creepiness would be a 10.
I would think being in bed with America's enemies would be a 10.

But points off for not being the bad orange man apparently. :lol

Scale of 1 to 10, el no no states its not binary.

Derp responds by listing everything as 10.
And if asked in an opposite manner, 1.

I tell yas a fckn idiot...

[Spurtacular]

I think it's pretty safe to say he won't kill a quarter million Americans telling them to inject clorox.. but we'll see. That's why we change leadership, we know what didn't work.

https://www.amenti.info/wp-content/themes/amenti/images/ticket-zombie.png

[Spurtacular]

Scale of 1 to 10, el no no states its not binary.

Derp responds by listing everything as 10.
And if asked in an opposite manner, 1.

I tell yas a fckn idiot...

10 is utterly detestable.
I didn't meant to hurt your feelings.

[pgardn]

10 is utterly detestable.
I didn't meant to hurt your feelings.

The only thing you are hurting, as if it could get any worse, is your cognition.
10 is as good as one of the two binaries on a 1 to 10 scale derp, you dont get it.
If el no no asked you to assess exactly the opposite, you would give a 1.

Welcome to a binary scale on a scale of 1 THROUGH 10.

[Spurtacular]

The only thing your hurting, as if it could get any worse, is your cognition.
10 is as good as one of the two binaries on a 1 to 10 scale derp, you dont get it.
If el no no asked you to assess exactly the opposite, you would give a 1.

Welcome to a binary scale on a scale of 1 THROUGH 10.

You're so unhinged that you're not even bothering to make sense.

Of course, you so often don't make sense anyways.

[pgardn]

You're so unhinged that you're not even bothering to make sense.

Of course, you so often don't make sense anyways.

Of course I dont make sense to you.
el no no's scale allows you to make selections of every number between 1-10, even 2.34721 if you like.
YOu then choose only a 1 or a 10.
Making the scale BINARY ONLY two choices. 1 or 10.

Do you need more help?

[Spurtacular]

Of course I dont make sense to you.
el no no's scale allows you to make selections of every number between 1-10, even 2.34721 if you like.
YOu then choose only a 1 or a 10.
Making the scale BINARY ONLY two choices. 1 or 10.

Do you need more help?

So true.

I don't need help. Biden hit all those 10's on the scale. It's not binary; but it is what it is, snowflake. :lmao

[ElNono]

https://www.amenti.info/wp-content/themes/amenti/images/ticket-zombie.png

???

[Spurtacular]

???

Zombie points.

Chumpettes were really hoping for a million tickets.
Not enough in the budget. :lol

[pgardn]

So true I dont understand basic definitions.

I need help. Biden hit all those 10's on the scale and I dont get it.

Ok I will play your change the quote game.

No you did not, and still do not, get it.

[ChumpDumper]

Zombie points.

Chumpettes were really hoping for a million tickets.
Not enough in the budget. :lolTickets?

[Spurtacular]

Ok I will play your change the quote game.

No you did not, and still do not, get it.

I bolded the quote. I didn't change it.

You're just that unhinged. Sad. Eat a Snickers.

[ducks]

Nate Silver NateSilver538
·
6h
If Trump wins all three Needle States the election is 50:50.


We'll see you in Florida, Georgia and North Carolina tomorrow night

[ElNono]

Zombie points.

Chumpettes were really hoping for a million tickets.
Not enough in the budget. :lol

Not sure what this means, but if it helps you sleep at night, that's great, tbh

[Spurtacular]

Not sure what this means, but if it helps you sleep at night, that's great, tbh

Been saying it for weeks/months (not as much lately). Chumpettes want zombie points for their Zombie Rapist.

[ChumpDumper]

Been saying it for weeks/months (not as much lately). Chumpettes want zombie points for their Zombie Rapist.The sign says tickets.

[Spurtacular]

The sign says tickets.

Yup. Said zombie tickets / points interchangeably.
Poor derp thought he had a tiny w.

[ElNono]

Been saying it for weeks/months (not as much lately). Chumpettes want zombie points for their Zombie Rapist.

that's some incoherent rambling... don't forget to take your meds, tbh

[ChumpDumper]

Yup. Said zombie tickets / points interchangeably.N:lol.

[ducks]

Ben Shapiro: The polls don’t have to be wrong for Trump to win reelection

The latest RealClearPolitics polling average puts Biden ahead of Trump by 2.9 percentage points in key battleground states -- a figure Shapiro observed was largely within the margin of error. Nationally, Biden maintains a significant lead, which Shapiro said points to "three possible election scenarios that are worth talking about."

In the first scenario, "Trump eeks out a tight Electoral College victory. There's pretty much no shot at him winning the popular vote at this point, but it is possible that he picks up North Carolina, he wins Florida, he wins Arizona, and then he picks up one more state: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin or Michigan

[ChumpDumper]

Tiny Ben Shapiro destroys vote fraud conspiracy theory.:tu

[spurraider21]

that's some incoherent rambling... don't forget to take your meds, tbh
thats the thing, those shitposts and threads are his copium, which has been his medication for months now

[Reck]

Ben Shapiro is halfway through acceptance. Most trumpies think Trump will not only win but do so in a landslide that includes him winning the popular vote too.

[pgardn]

I bolded the quote. I didn't change it.

You're just that unhinged. Sad. Eat a Snickers.

It has exactly the same effect, leaving out two words.
Your disingenuous nature and stupidity make for such a rancid combination.

Eat a snickers... No ads dont get to this bastion of the non sheeple movement.

[Spurtacular]

It has exactly the same effect, leaving out two words.
Your disingenuous nature and stupidity make for such a rancid combination.

Eat a snickers... No ads dont get to this bastion of the non sheeple movement.

Nah. Just highlighting the reality.

You going to go to therapy if Joe loses?

[pgardn]

Nah. Just highlighting the reality.

You going to go to therapy if Joe loses?

I will be absolutely fine.

But the UNITED States of America... not so much.

So when the copium is no longer needed, whats the next drug?

[Spurtacular]

I will be absolutely fine.

But the UNITED States of America... not so much.

So when the copium is no longer needed, whats the next drug?

No. You're showing the signs of a nervous breakdown.

You should go to therapy.

[pgardn]

No. You're showing the signs of a nervous breakdown.

You should go to therapy.
w

Who should I talk to?
(fat pitch incoming)

[Spurtacular]

w

Who should I talk to?
(fat pitch incoming)

A certified therapist.

[pgardn]

A certified therapist.

Should they know about the Hunter Biden lap top.
Like BEFORE tomorrow?

[Spurtacular]

Should they know about the Hunter Biden lap top.
Like BEFORE tomorrow?

You're trying so hard to turn tables

[vy65]

What kind of shitty childhood did Derp have that gave him such an abuse fetish?

:lmao

[pgardn]

You're trying so hard to turn tables

Well what should I tell them, I try to turn tables?

[Spurtacular]

Well what should I tell them, I try to turn tables?

Sure. Tell him or her how it's not working out for you.

[hombre]

Clearly OP did not receive a decent education.

[da_suns_fan]

Not sure how he could be called "a hack".

He doesnt make predictions. He publishes probabilities based off past elections. He's not predicting the future.

[MASSA]

Not sure how he could be called "a hack".

He doesnt make predictions. He publishes probabilities based off past elections. He's not predicting the future.


Silver has gotten 144/150 states correct in the last 3 elections. Which poll aggregator/modeler has done better over the same period?

[Spurtacular]

Damn, this is a bitch slapping like no other. :lol


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=om413qq4WF0

[Ef-man]

To soothe the derp.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YkADj0TPrJA

[RandomGuy]

Damn, this is a bitch slapping like no other. :lol


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=om413qq4WF0

I was there and I saw what you derped, Saw it with my own two eyes.

You can wipe off that grin, I know where you derped. no stranger to you or me...

[Jimmer'd]

I was there and I saw what you derped, Saw it with my own two eyes.

You can wipe off that grin, I know where you derped. no stranger to you or me...

https://poster.keepcalmandposters.com/3368595.jpg

[Ef-man]

https://twitter.com/chipfranklin/status/1327342529868668929

[ChumpDumper]

https://poster.keepcalmandposters.com/3368595.jpg:lol Jimmer works for Chicoms.

[Spurtacular]

:lol Jimmer works for Chicoms.

How much $ did the CCP pay the Bidens?

[RandomGuy]

How much $ did the CCP pay the Bidens?

https://media.giphy.com/media/hhnpSxCjyXzHy/giphy.gif

:lol