Will Spurs Make the playoffs? What percentage?

[apalisoc_9]

It’s going to be a struggle all year tbh.

Id say 30% they make the playoffs

[tim_duncan_fan]

We'd best hope not.

[offset formation]

Depends on Dejounte Murray. If he plays 95% of the games, we make the playoffs.

I'd say it depends on 3 factors:

1. How long Derrick is out
2. How consistent can LMA be
3. Can team stay healthy with only limited missed games (see DJ and how long he's out)

[B1gduff]

at best we're a 6/7 seat, likely secenerio we're a 7th seat, worst scenerio we're out.

personally i would rather trade and tank.

This is a loaded class, and we get the right guy, and comeback as a better team.

[Kurgan]

They will finish 9th or 10th in the West.

[daslicer]

One of the few times I agree with the OP. I would say 30 percent is about right. The spurs have too many flaws as a team to make it to the playoffs. I'm actually fine with missing the playoffs again. I don't see a point of losing to the Lakers or Clippers in the first round.

[daslicer]

at best we're a 6/7 seat, likely secenerio we're a 7th seat, worst scenerio we're out.

personally i would rather trade and tank.

This is a loaded class, and we get the right guy, and comeback as a better team.

That's how I feel. I would rather get another lottery draft pick in this loaded drafted then miss out on it and lose in an uneventful first round match up with the Lakers-Clippers.

[Texas_Ranger]

No and its ok. My problem is that this fucks will finish 10th instead of last and at least get a top 3 pick.

[LCM]

No playoffs, and no trades. Spurs shouldn't make the playoffs, they aren't built for it yet. But they should trade and won't. That is directly the fault of Pop, and why he should go.

[poopbox]

First round canon fodder tbh unless we somehow play a team who's best player is out for the series

[timtonymanu]

Playoffs are pointless during a time like this around the world. Not gonna be any fans to even play in front of and feel that real playoff atmosphere. Just miss it, tbh.

[rankingtear]

I think they make it if Derrick plays for the rest of the season, he is the glue/connector of the team. White is a ceiling raiser type of player. If White can stabilize the starting unit and the bench keeps dominating we are a 5-6 seed.

[KingKev]

25% chance. Hoping for a 10 loss streak with DJ down to put a nail in the coffin in this season so we can get a top 10 pick.

[mo7888]

at best we're a 6/7 seat, likely secenerio we're a 7th seat, worst scenerio we're out.

personally i would rather trade and tank.

This is a loaded class, and we get the right guy, and comeback as a better team.

I'm with you on trading and tanking but, I think if we trade LMA and DDR we might actually improve. The young guys play better without them.

[sananspursfan21]

Dijon is proving to be one of those guys that you don’t completely realize his value til he’s off the floor. With him playing injury free the majority of the season, this team has an 80-90% chance. Yes, these games absolutely want to make you pull your hair out, but just from watching you can see this squad is learning and gelling. The defense sucks now but I can see the defense being night and day by game 60

[Poolboy5623]

This team has nothing to gain by making the playoffs..

[cd021]

No. Probably a 20% chance overall, tbh

1. Spurs are currently 10th, I would say that they are on par with only two team ahead of them (Memphis and Golden State). They'd have to be both of them out to make the playoffs outright. Golden State seems to have turned a corner while Memphis has played well considering their best player hasn't played yet and Jah is still getting back from his injury.

2. The Spurs haven't really been impacted by covid yet, at some point that could be an issue that derails their season.

3. The Spurs could still blow it up midseason and trade any one of DDR, LMA, Gay and or Mills. I think Mills and Gay are the most likely to be moved, possibly in a package deal that nets a 1st round pick. Even if they stay together, I could see them making it up to 9th and giving themselves a shot in the play-in but I think the odds are against them.

[LeBowen]

As someone who really wanted to keep the streak going last season, what's the point of making the playoffs this year?
Assuming that nothing changes and that the vets have all the freedom to chuck whenever they want.
3 black holes on offense (LMA, Patty, Rudy) with Demar desparetly trying not to be the 4th, but come crunch time he always reverts to his usual self, like he did last night.

Ceiling of the roster with current gameplan and roles is known. 1st round sweep, at best. Even that's very unlikely.
What could we possibly lose if young guys get more responsibilities? Like letting Lonnie run the offense once in a while or running some plays for young guys?
What exactly would this team gain if 4 vets lineup won the game last night? I really don't understand.

Shambolic season, games getting postponed daily, who knows if it's even going to be finished. What does PATFO do? They're desparately trying to be a 1st round exit led by 4 expiring veterans instead of letting the young guys develop and getting some assets in the process. I guess this is what mediocrity looks like.

Not to mention how the entire defensive gameplan revolves around giving up wide open 3s and hoping for the best.

[gambit1990]

0% chance.

[RC_Drunkford]

Chances largely depend on health. If the entire roster is healthy down the line including Derrick White I see this team somewhere between 6th and 8th seed

[FutureMan]

Chances largely depend on health. If the entire roster is healthy down the line including Derrick White I see this team somewhere between 6th and 8th seed

Agreed. So if you want to put a percentage on it I’d say 50%

[cd021]

Chances largely depend on health. If the entire roster is healthy down the line including Derrick White I see this team somewhere between 6th and 8th seed
That assumes that they stand pat rather than trade any of their expiring's, don't know if I'd assume that despite their track record. Also, that this team doesn't have a covid outbreak.

Even then, I don't think they could get up into the top 8 on record alone. They'd have to make the playoffs through the play-in, which is matchup dependent.

[RC_Drunkford]

That assumes that they stand pat rather than trade any of their expiring's, don't know if I'd assume that despite their track record. Also, that this team doesn't have a covid outbreak.

Even then, I don't think they could get up into the top 8 on record alone. They'd have to make the playoffs through the play-in, which is matchup dependent.

when's the last time we made a trade? I hope they make one, but we all know how often that happens. I'm not too optimistic about it

[cd021]

when's the last time we made a trade? I hope they make one, but we all know how often that happens. I'm not too optimistic about it
You forgot the Nando De Colo for Austin Daye trade that got us 5 already? :lol

Seriously, they don't make trades but if they were to make one this is the season that they'd do it. They have four expiring vets with varying levels of value. I think Mills could get a first, Gay could probably net to future seconds or a first if packaged with Mills. DeRozan could possibly get a first but the problem with him is fit and whether teams would try and take him on. Aldridge is less likely to be moved because he's been wildly inconsistent and his salary is harder to match for contending teams.

I think they make at least one move, though odds are against me tbh.

[KingKev]

when's the last time we made a trade? I hope they make one, but we all know how often that happens. I'm not too optimistic about it

Trades are just not something we do well (to me the G Hill for Kawhi trade was due to scouting). Trading at least one of our expiring vets should have been a layup this offseason, even for our front office but now it’s too late.

2005 Nazr Mohammed trade was probably our best trade in the last 15-20 years.

Go back further and there are some real stinkers: DA for Steve Smith, Will Perdue for Rodman are a few that come to mind.

[Rummpd]

Spurs have about a 40% chance of making playoffs as currently composed mainly due to the fact much of rest of West not playing up to expectations. However, by far best thing is to trade away LA ASAP and hope get a decent offer on DDR as well. Develop the youth!

[Dex]

If I remember correctly, most people were predicting this team to go about .500 so the 8-8 start shouldn't really surprise anybody.

That said, there are still a lot of games to be played and other than the Lakers, Clippers, and Jazz....the rest of the West seems to be open season. Spurs are currently only 1 game behind the 4-seed, and stuck in a log-jam with like 8 other teams right now.

It's really gonna be a matter of who rises to the top of that crop. I think some of those teams like the Suns, Grizzlies, and Thunder are going to come back down to earth eventually.