Oz / McCormick

[Millennial_Messiah]

Been watching it all day today and it's like watching paint dry. The Florida system is so much infinitely better with counting and tallying the votes. Mastriano needs to get in there and dramatically overhaul the awful now-notorious "Election Wednesday" Pennsylvania system and take lessons from DeSantis / Rick Scott on how to properly count an election. Thank you and you're welcome.

Oz was up just under 2,500 most of this morning but it's been chipped away a bit, to under 2,200. Still about 2-3% of the vote to go or about 54k plausible votes left. Don't know if there's enough McCormick vote outstanding to significantly move the needle, and recounts on average only change between 50 and 150 votes which is not within reasonable margin of error for McCormick.

Best chance McCormick still has is that Allegheny County still has 5% outstanding. Still plenty of Oz-leaning vote left in Philly and suburban counties as well as NEPA. A couple rural central McCormick-leaning counties reporting under 90%. Most counties at 95% or 99%. Take from that what you will.

Two best websites for deep-dive analysis on this to brighten your Election Wednesday:

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022-primary-elections/pennsylvania-senate-results (seemingly the most up to date)
https://www.npr.org/2022/05/17/1099190209/pennsylvania-senate-results-fetterman-lamb-oz-barnette-mccormick (seemingly slightly more accurate but lagging a tad behind in total raw vote)

[Thread]

Been watching it all day today and it's like watching paint dry. The Florida system is so much infinitely better with counting and tallying the votes. Mastriano needs to get in there and dramatically overhaul the awful now-notorious "Election Wednesday" Pennsylvania system and take lessons from DeSantis / Rick Scott on how to properly count an election. Thank you and you're welcome.

Oz was up just under 2,500 most of this morning but it's been chipped away a bit, to under 2,200. Still about 2-3% of the vote to go or about 54k plausible votes left. Don't know if there's enough McCormick vote outstanding to significantly move the needle, and recounts on average only change between 50 and 150 votes which is not within reasonable margin of error for McCormick.

Best chance McCormick still has is that Allegheny County still has 5% outstanding. Still plenty of Oz-leaning vote left in Philly and suburban counties as well as NEPA. A couple rural central McCormick-leaning counties reporting under 90%. Most counties at 95% or 99%. Take from that what you will.

Two best websites for deep-dive analysis on this to brighten your Election Wednesday:

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022-primary-elections/pennsylvania-senate-results (seemingly the most up to date)
https://www.npr.org/2022/05/17/1099190209/pennsylvania-senate-results-fetterman-lamb-oz-barnette-mccormick (seemingly slightly more accurate but lagging a tad behind in total raw vote)

CNN needs this badly to go Mc's way. They are fucking desperate.

[Millennial_Messiah]

CNN needs this badly to go Mc's way. They are fucking desperate.

Yup. Either one would crush Fetterman, and even ole Mitchy-poo said he would endorse either (but not Barnette).

The t-score is roughly +3.7 in favor of Oz, which is well over three standard deviations from the mean, meaning that Oz has around a 99.8% chance to win at this point and roughly the same to avoid having a fair recount being significantly likely to jeopardize him.

34,132 votes left. Been stuck on that number for awhile.

[Thread]

Yup. Either one would crush Fetterman, and even ole Mitchy-poo said he would endorse either (but not Barnette).

The t-score is roughly +3.7 in favor of Oz, which is well over three standard deviations from the mean, meaning that Oz has around a 99.8% chance to win at this point and roughly the same to avoid having a fair recount being significantly likely to jeopardize him.

34,132 votes left. Been stuck on that number for awhile.

& PA. will take their sweet ass time with this...we're looking at sometime late NEXT week.

[Millennial_Messiah]

& PA. will take their sweet ass time with this...we're looking at sometime late NEXT week.

That's why they need to elect Mastriano. Because he will redact democrat governor Wolf's awful sketchy election procedures and make Pennsylvania Florida again in terms of election procedures and integrity.

Difference has been narrowed to 1,911 but only 30,748 votes left. McCormick will come up short.


Who's your pick this August, Dale? Obviously Kari Lake but what about for Senate? Are you on the Blake Masters train yet...?

[MultiTroll]

& PA. will take their sweet ass time with this...we're looking at sometime late NEXT week.
https://politpost.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Johnny-Depp-v-Amber-Heard-defamation-trial-This-weeks-craziest.jpg
Which lovers of truth are fine to get the real results of an election.
Like who was the loser of the 2020.
Only pussies and assholes don't like fairly counted election votes.

[Thread]

Only pussies and assholes

I'm a trend setter.
I set trends.

[MultiTroll]

*ding

Ha ha.

You're a trend follower.
You follow trends.

[Millennial_Messiah]

*ding

Ha ha.

You're a trend follower.
You follow trends.

Nobody likes you, fatty.

[pgardn]

So they blame it on mail ins which they had been using successfully.
Such BS.

Trump should tell OZ just to claim victory and stop any recount.
Just break the rules, even in a Republican primary just so the Turkish guy can win.
Just claim victory before the voting even starts and dont have a vote... Trump wishes.

[Winehole23]

When the public perception was that elderly Republican voters and US military primarily used mail in voting, Republicans were cool with that. When COVID came and it became more widely available, they started screaming about it and haven't stopped. It's will to power all the way down.

[Winehole23]

"The wrong people are voting. It's cheating!"

[ElNono]

When the public perception was that elderly Republican voters and US military primarily used mail in voting, Republicans were cool with that. When COVID came and it became more widely available, they started screaming about it and haven't stopped. It's will to power all the way down.


"The wrong people are voting. It's cheating!"

Which is just a step away from "voting isn't working for us"...

[Winehole23]

Which is just a step away from "voting isn't working for us"...Yes, except in this case it's "the wrong Republicans" voting. A GOP night of the long knives is no longer beyond the pale.

[Winehole23]

Stochastic violence of course. Rabid rhetoric about RINOS and and wokist fellow traveling will induce MAGA fascists and true believers in the party to cull the right wing herd and hound squishy, non-MAGA Republicans into retirement. It's already happening, tbh.

[Winehole23]

So much for the big tent.

[Millennial_Messiah]

Votes remaining to count stuck on 8,997 all day. What the fuck is taking them so long? I could easily count that many all by myself with 100 percent accuracy by hand in half a day or less. You're telling me a whole designated team getting paid to do that can't count <10K votes in 3 days? :rolleyes

Still >1K vote margin lead for Oz. Dems of course hoping McCormick wins because he'd pretty much be a straight-Schumer ticket vote. Whereas Fetterman may cause more trouble than the Dems would bargain for. They can only handle a small handful of Bernie and Warren, Angus King types and Fetterman would be just that.



So they blame it on mail ins which they had been using successfully.
Such BS.

Trump should tell OZ just to claim victory and stop any recount.
Just break the rules, even in a Republican primary just so the Turkish guy can win.
Just claim victory before the voting even starts and dont have a vote... Trump wishes.
So "successful" that we're a week after the election and we still don't know who the nominee is!!

It's even more pathetic than Florida in 2000. At least the stakes were much much bigger and SCOTUS was involved so they had to make sure everything was perfect with the re-counts. Still that was an atrocity, but Florida has fixed their election counting system.

Florida, since 2004 and thereafter, counts mail-ins / absentees and early vote FIRST, as it should be. Absentees/mail ins must be postmarked in Florida by a week before the election day so they are 100% in ahead of election day except for a few stragglers from far overseas. Then you count the early vote, and have that tallied by the end of the day Monday before Election Tuesday. Then finally you count the day-of vote as it comes in, release data to the media when the polls close, and you know who the winner is with 99.9999% of the vote in and counted (not this stuck on 97% for 6 fuckin' days) before midnight on Election Night. As it should be.

Elect Mastriano. Make every purple state count like Florida.

[Thread]

Votes remaining to count stuck on 8,997 all day. What the fuck is taking them so long? I could easily count that many all by myself with 100 percent accuracy by hand in half a day or less. You're telling me a whole designated team getting paid to do that can't count <10K votes in 3 days? :rolleyes

Still >1K vote margin lead for Oz. Dems of course hoping McCormick wins because he'd pretty much be a straight-Schumer ticket vote. Whereas Fetterman may cause more trouble than the Dems would bargain for. They can only handle a small handful of Bernie and Warren, Angus King types and Fetterman would be just that.



So "successful" that we're a week after the election and we still don't know who the nominee is!!

It's even more pathetic than Florida in 2000. At least the stakes were much much bigger and SCOTUS was involved so they had to make sure everything was perfect with the re-counts. Still that was an atrocity, but Florida has fixed their election counting system.

Florida, since 2004 and thereafter, counts mail-ins / absentees and early vote FIRST, as it should be. Absentees/mail ins must be postmarked in Florida by a week before the election day so they are 100% in ahead of election day except for a few stragglers from far overseas. Then you count the early vote, and have that tallied by the end of the day Monday before Election Tuesday. Then finally you count the day-of vote as it comes in, release data to the media when the polls close, and you know who the winner is with 99.9999% of the vote in and counted (not this stuck on 97% for 6 fuckin' days) before midnight on Election Night. As it should be.

Elect Mastriano. Make every purple state count like Florida.

What this means is Mac can't win on the first count, so, they'll hold off as long as possible before sending it to the recount in full knowledge that less than 1% of recounts reverse the initial count.

[Millennial_Messiah]

What this means is Mac can't win on the first count, so, they'll hold off as long as possible before sending it to the recount in full knowledge that less than 1% of recounts reverse the initial count.

8,832 votes left now and McCormick has closed the race to three figures. Margin is now Oz +980. At this current pace of trend it would be nearly even. Of course, the last couple dumps could have been an Allegheny (McCormick +7.2) dump, with other Oz+ counties like Bucks to still drop vote dumps. We'll see.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022-primary-elections/pennsylvania-senate-results

While I still think it's a >95% chance Oz will win the pre-recount, I wouldn't rule out a McCormick come back just yet. We still have conflicting data on how many votes remaining are Pittsburgh metro (McCormick +) vs. Philadelphia metro and NEPA (Oz +)

[Thread]

8,832 votes left now and McCormick has closed the race to three figures. Margin is now Oz +980. At this current pace of trend it would be nearly even. Of course, the last couple dumps could have been an Allegheny (McCormick +7.2) dump, with other Oz+ counties like Bucks to still drop vote dumps. We'll see.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022-primary-elections/pennsylvania-senate-results

While I still think it's a >95% chance Oz will win the pre-recount, I wouldn't rule out a McCormick come back just yet. We still have conflicting data on how many votes remaining are Pittsburgh metro (McCormick +) vs. Philadelphia metro and NEPA (Oz +)

The race remains between President Trump & State run media CNN.

[pgardn]

Votes remaining to count stuck on 8,997 all day. What the fuck is taking them so long? I could easily count that many all by myself with 100 percent accuracy by hand in half a day or less. You're telling me a whole designated team getting paid to do that can't count <10K votes in 3 days? :rolleyes

Still >1K vote margin lead for Oz. Dems of course hoping McCormick wins because he'd pretty much be a straight-Schumer ticket vote. Whereas Fetterman may cause more trouble than the Dems would bargain for. They can only handle a small handful of Bernie and Warren, Angus King types and Fetterman would be just that.



So "successful" that we're a week after the election and we still don't know who the nominee is!!

It's even more pathetic than Florida in 2000. At least the stakes were much much bigger and SCOTUS was involved so they had to make sure everything was perfect with the re-counts. Still that was an atrocity, but Florida has fixed their election counting system.

Florida, since 2004 and thereafter, counts mail-ins / absentees and early vote FIRST, as it should be. Absentees/mail ins must be postmarked in Florida by a week before the election day so they are 100% in ahead of election day except for a few stragglers from far overseas. Then you count the early vote, and have that tallied by the end of the day Monday before Election Tuesday. Then finally you count the day-of vote as it comes in, release data to the media when the polls close, and you know who the winner is with 99.9999% of the vote in and counted (not this stuck on 97% for 6 fuckin' days) before midnight on Election Night. As it should be.

Elect Mastriano. Make every purple state count like Florida.

OH SHIT.
It was so close another counting was required BY LAW EVEN without mail in.
What a colossal red herring...
You need to apologize.

[boutons_deux]

When the public perception was that elderly Republican voters and US military primarily used mail in voting, Republicans were cool with that. When COVID came and it became more widely available, they started screaming about it and haven't stopped. It's will to power all the way down.

When Repugs control all 3 branches, I bet they pass Federal laws to block abortions, including medication abortion, and mail-in voting.

[Thread]

When Repugs control all 3 branches, I bet they pass Federal laws to block abortions, including medication abortion, and mail-in voting.

Amen!!!

[Winehole23]

If it's not already Trump's party, they're trying to throw out GOP votes in PA to make it so.

1528921690432053251

[Millennial_Messiah]

8,706 votes left, Oz still +983

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022-primary-elections/pennsylvania-senate-results

Deadline to count all votes (pre-recount) is today.

https://www.wgal.com/article/updated-vote-totals-pennsylvania-us-senate-race-due-tuesday-may-24/40088975#

[Thread]

8,706 votes left, Oz still +983

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022-primary-elections/pennsylvania-senate-results

Deadline to count all votes (pre-recount) is today.

https://www.wgal.com/article/updated-vote-totals-pennsylvania-us-senate-race-due-tuesday-may-24/40088975#

...they'll take that "Deadline" into a (friendly) PA., court and get it lifted.

They caught a hanger here and they ain't gonna let 'er go...State run media CNN told 'em so and are paying the freight all the way down the line.

[Millennial_Messiah]

...they'll take that "Deadline" into a (friendly) PA., court and get it lifted.

They caught a hanger here and they ain't gonna let 'er go...State run media CNN told 'em so and are paying the freight all the way down the line.
They legally have to have all the raw votes counted by today and the recount needs to be complete by June 6th and a winner declared no later than June 7th. It's in the PA state constitution and that cannot be extended.

[Thread]

They legally have to have all the raw votes counted by today and the recount needs to be complete by June 6th and a winner declared no later than June 7th. It's in the PA state constitution and that cannot be extended.

Hope you're right, MM.

[MultiTroll]

Just like Georgia ran those greedy imposters out, PA gonna do the same.

[Thread]

Just like Georgia ran those greedy imposters out, PA gonna do the same.

Mornin' fart face.

[pgardn]

So "successful" that we're a week after the election and we still don't know who the nominee is!!

.

Yeah a successful election in a democracy is this idea where if more voters make choice, the more likely it is to represent the way a whole region feels.
What you are obviously against, being an honest American who believes in a democracy voting is important, is elections that are close and have to recount in many states. You think these delays are unique to Pennsylvania? If your fkn Trumpish head would understand that Trump voters should NOT be allowed to stand directly over vote counting volunteers and threaten them, it might well have gone much faster.

Your team purposely made voting difficult on everyone. And the majority of the fraud and foul play found was from, REPUBLICANS.

so shut your ass up... And he forgets the Al Gore-Bush election quite conveniently.
You really act like a total idiot.

[Thread]

Yeah a successful election in a democracy is this idea where if more voters make choice, the more likely it is to represent the way a whole region feels.
What you are obviously against, being an honest American who believes in a democracy voting is important, is elections that are close and have to recount in many states. You think these delays are unique to Pennsylvania? If your fkn Trumpish head would understand that Trump voters should NOT be allowed to stand directly over vote counting volunteers and threaten them, it might well have gone much faster.

Your team purposely made voting difficult on everyone. And the majority of the fraud and foul play found was from, REPUBLICANS.

so shut your ass up... And he forgets the Al Gore-Bush election quite conveniently.
You really act like a total idiot.

But you won there as well. Bush was a RINO his entire life, peeg! It took Trump making President to flush 2 out into the open and declare himself.

[Millennial_Messiah]

Dr. Oz is the Winner!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Officially :bobo

[Thread]

State run media CNN takes the 12-incher!!!

[Millennial_Messiah]

State run media CNN takes the 12-incher!!!

-45-

Trump President.
Not Clinton.

Let us proceed.............

[pgardn]

Dr. Oz is the Winner!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Officially :bobo

So the recount was a good thing!

[baseline bum]

LOL GOP voters picking a TV scammer who pushes crap supplements as miracle cures on his show to represent their state.

[Thread]

So the recount was a good thing!

...changed nothing.

[pgardn]

...changed nothing.

Sure it did.
The count was different.
The outcome was the same.

As it usually is and was when Donald got his ass kicked.
Actually, Donald fell further behind among most states that were close.
But ultimately, a 7 to 8 million vote difference Nationally said:

"you were so bad we want you gone. We will take a senile man over your dishonesty and ego maniacal masturbation of self.
You were the worst president in the history of the US"

[MultiTroll]

As it usually is and was when Donald got his ass kicked.
Yep.

The parrot is nothing more then thread bumper at this stage.

[ElNono]

Dr. Oz is the Winner!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Officially :bobo

How do you feel about running a liberal there, tbh?

[Thread]

Sure it did.
The count was different.
The outcome was the same.



...Thus, it changed nothing.

Gave State run media CNN another week to toss spit balls at President Trump, but they too knew it wasn't going to change.

[Millennial_Messiah]

How do you feel about running a liberal there, tbh?

McCormick lost, so the "liberal" is out, unless you meant Fetterman, who is going to lose in the general by around 5%, and not because of his health, tbh...

[Winehole23]

Pro-choice Dr. Oz recently voted in Turkey.

1533100092080771077

[SnakeBoy]

https://d.newsweek.com/en/full/2032114/mehmet-oz-speak-trump-rally.jpg

[Winehole23]

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FUanh5mWYAwxbLb?format=jpg&name=900x900

[MultiTroll]

Oh hey look Oz can be a hypocritical liar just like Orange Blob!

Dr. Oz says he'll fight to end illegal immigration. A business owned by his family, in which he is a shareholder, faced the largest fine in ICE history for hiring undocumented workers. (msn.com) (https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/companies/dr-oz-says-he-ll-fight-to-end-illegal-immigration-a-business-owned-by-his-family-in-which-he-is-a-shareholder-faced-the-largest-fine-in-ice-history-for-hiring-undocumented-workers/ar-AAYnRVM?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=741e9d714dd848f98a62496658627216)

[Millennial_Messiah]

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FUanh5mWYAwxbLb?format=jpg&name=900x900
:lmao

Fetterman's a Leninist. The only chance that the Democrats had in winning back that senate seat in such a red wave year as 2022 was running Conor Lamb. Dr. Oz and Governor Mastriano will both win by at least 3%.

[Winehole23]

1536443172854943751

[SnakeBoy]

1559000551576244226

[ElNono]

1559000551576244226

He's 11 points over Oz right now too...

[Winehole23]

I thought Fetterman powered through OK once he became aware of freezing up, lil rough though. I hear recovering from strokes can be challenging.

How even more humiliating for the celebrity doc to lose to an oafish TBI patient.

[Millennial_Messiah]

Oz and Mastriano are both going to win and you clowns are going to be chugging copium :lol

[UNT Eagles 2016]

Oz and Mastriano are both going to win and you clowns are going to be chugging copium :lol
:lol
I WAS WRONG. :td

But McCormick is only currently losing to Casey now by 1.8%. In 2016, polls underestimated the GOP Senate candidate by 3.6% , as they had McGinty the Democrat winning that seat by 2.0% and she lost by 1.6%.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2024/pennsylvania/mccormick-vs-casey

[Millennial_Messiah]

McCormick beat the strongest/most overrated incumbent of all time, but Oz lost to fucking Shrek without a brain.


:lmao Will Hunting (https://www.spurstalk.com/forums/member.php?u=17032)

[Millennial_Messiah]

https://i.imgur.com/eDihRgq.jpg


BAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAANG!!!!!!!
Will Hunting (https://www.spurstalk.com/forums/member.php?u=17032) Senator Connecticut Dave of Pennsylvania is your new daddy!!! :toast


If I had told you that, in May of 2022 that, David McCormick -AND- John Fetterman were going to be the 2 senators representing Pennsylvania at the time of Trump being inaugurated again, would you have looked at me and laughed?

Senator Connecticut Dave of Pennsylvania. Senator Minnesota Tim Sheehy of Montana. Senator COLOMBIANO Bernardo Moreno (del Medellin) of Ohio. And just like that, your Great Blue Wave of 2006 is officially VANQUISHED and banished to the shadow realm!!!

(You can thank Hillary and her mansion in Chappequa, NY for that.) :D :D :D