NFL betting final week 18. Who is tanking, laying down, out etc. Lets gets some Locks

[MultiTroll]

Give it to me SpursTalk.

Current draft position vs ____

1 Texans at 5 Colts. Texans can lock up #1 with a loss, but do they have a player they absolutely want. Colts can move up in the draft

2 Bears at Vikings (can they move up in Winning seeding?). Bears have plenty of reason to tank to secure #1. Do the Vikings have anything to play for?

3. Cardinals at 49ers. Should we go huge on 9ers? Do they want to / can they move up in the event the Eagles lose? Or are they resting?

4. Broncos hosting Chargers. With new coach they certainly looked better vs KC last week and actually led for a while. Do Bolts need to win?

[MultiTroll]

CBS used to do that Every Possibility for Every Team but I'm not seeing it.
If one of you guys sees a page, please post it.

[MultiTroll]

Found a partial list for NFC scenarios.
NFC playoff-clinching scenarios for Week 18 of 2022 NFL season (https://www.nfl.com/news/nfc-playoff-clinching-scenarios-for-week-18-of-2022-nfl-season)

49's and Eagles game starts at the same time. Eagles win = #1 seed. Eagles loss / 9ers win = 49ers #1 seed.
If Eagles are cruising to win, might SF back off and rest in the 2nd half?

I'm leaning towards bet large on 49ers 1st half only.
Reaction?

[MultiTroll]

It's never been easier to beat the Bears, but do the Vikings want that? (startribune.com) (https://www.startribune.com/minnesota-vikings-chicago-bears-number-2-seed-nfl-playoffs-randball/600240745/#:~:text=If%20we%20are%20to%20continue%20that%20ev en-year%20pattern%2C,even%20winning%2C%20period%20%E2 %80%94%20really%20the%20best%20idea%3F)

[Robz4000]

Found a partial list for NFC scenarios.
NFC playoff-clinching scenarios for Week 18 of 2022 NFL season (https://www.nfl.com/news/nfc-playoff-clinching-scenarios-for-week-18-of-2022-nfl-season)

49's and Eagles game starts at the same time. Eagles win = #1 seed. Eagles loss / 9ers win = 49ers #1 seed.
If Eagles are cruising to win, might SF back off and rest in the 2nd half?

I'm leaning towards bet large on 49ers 1st half only.
Reaction?

Depends on what happens in the Vikings game imo.

[DAF86]

Any news on when Bills-Bengals will be resumed?

[Robz4000]

Any news on when Bills-Bengals will be resumed?

Prolly won't be imo. They'll just have a 16 week schedule.

[leemajors]

Prolly won't be imo. They'll just have a 16 week schedule.

Yeah don't see how they could, and I am sure both teams are cool not resuming.

[DAF86]

Prolly won't be imo. They'll just have a 16 week schedule.

How does that work with the seedings though?

[Robz4000]

How does that work with the seedings though?

They'll use winning percentage iirc. Chiefs get the #1 seed as long as they win Sunday bruv, you can breath easy.

[DAF86]

They'll use winning percentage iirc.

I figured, but kind of sucks sporting wise, tbh. I know sports come second in these cases, but still kind of unfair to have the #1 seed getting decided by this.

[Robz4000]

I figured, but kind of sucks sporting wise, tbh. I know sports come second in these cases, but still kind of unfair to have the #1 seed getting decided by this.

If the Chiefs/Bills meet in the AFCCG they might play it at a neutral site so there's that.

[MultiTroll]

If the Chiefs/Bills meet in the AFCCG they might play it at a neutral site so there's that.
Somewhat of a concession but man, the Bills earned the chance to potentially host.
For that matter even Joey Burrow had a chance to be #1 or #2 seed. Now they most likely be stuck at 4.

Chiefs definitely benefit.

[Robz4000]

Somewhat of a concession but man, the Bills earned the chance to potentially host.
For that matter even Joey Burrow had a chance to be #1 or #2 seed. Now they most likely be stuck at 4.

Chiefs definitely benefit.

Then the teams could agree to play the game next week, but they might not be willing to/able to if they can't go this week either.

[MultiTroll]

Then the teams could agree to play the game next week, but they might not be willing to/able to if they can't go this week either.
Not that i GAF about all the millionaires and billionaires.....but for some of the average Joe and Suzy Sixpacks who made travel plans, reserved work days off etc...
All the restraunts, taxis etc who have plans for playoff game on X date in TheirTown.

Changing the dates to play the full schedule is going to be a huge domino effect.

No perfect solution to this one for sure. And if the Chiefs get #1 by default well then the Bills or Joey Burrow or any other AFC team will just have to nutt up and beat them at Arrowhead or at Nuetralville.

[DAF86]

The best solution possible to salvage the integrity of the competition is to push everything back for a week while the Bills and Bengals finish week 17 next sunday.

I know that the business side of things makes this pretty much impossible, so the best next thing, imho, would be:

-Play week 18 as planned.

-Postpone the playoffs one week while the Bengals and Bills finish off the season.

-The lost week is regained during the off week before the SB, so as to mantain the original date of the SB.

[MultiTroll]

Depends on what happens in the Vikings game imo.Eagles win, Vikings win....
Means 49ers have to win or lose 2 seed to MN?

Massive rain in Bay Area....

San Francisco 49ers | Latest News On San Francisco 49ers - SFGATE (https://www.sfgate.com/49ers/#:~:text=San%20Francisco%2049ers%20Kyle%20Shanahan %20thinks%20rain%20from,and%20this%20seems%20like% 20one%20of%20those%20times.)

[Robz4000]

:lol NFL talking about adding an 8th seed to the AFC this year to make up for the Bills/Bengals game

[leemajors]

:lol NFL talking about adding an 8th seed to the AFC this year to make up for the Bills/Bengals game

better than making them play it tbh imo

[Robz4000]

Game has been officially canceled.

[FrostKing]

Bengals are biggest loser in all this

[Millennial_Messiah]

Bengals are biggest loser in all this

if KC wins they are #1 and get the bye. Buffalo does pretty bad too. Raiders are in draft pick mode now that they're eliminated so expect Mahomes to deliver a comfortable W

[Millennial_Messiah]

Buffalo got dicksucked by the league. Disgusting. Cincinnati fans should be pissed. Chiefs fans, too, because now if they play either Cincinnati or Buffalo in the playoffs it will be at a "neutral site" and likely some indoor rust belt area stadium near Buffalo to give their beloved BillyGoats the best possible chance. :bang

Cincinnati was driving, up 7-3, likely to make it 14-3. At home. No way Cinci was losing that game. Buffalo should be the 3 seed and that's that.

[DeadlyDynasty]

Act like somebody today, Vegas. Make these playoffs interesting.

Same for Jax, it’d be nice to see some new blood in the playoffs with Lawrence and Herbert. Tennessee would be a waste of a playoff spot

[FrostKing]

Act like somebody today, Vegas. Make these playoffs interesting.

Same for Jax, it’d be nice to see some new blood in the playoffs with Lawrence and Herbert. Tennessee would be a waste of a playoff spot
Lions over Packers?

[Fat Brandon Bass]

wtf why are there two games today? Has it always been this way the last week of the season and I've not been paying attention? Just seems so random to have two Saturday games

[FrostKing]

wtf why are there two games today? Has it always been this way the last week of the season and I've not been paying attention? Just seems so random to have two Saturday games
I don't remember it occurring before. Enjoy it as a viewer but hypothetically team would get 1 extra day of rest leading into the Wild Card round

[Robz4000]

wtf why are there two games today? Has it always been this way the last week of the season and I've not been paying attention? Just seems so random to have two Saturday games

They've had two games on Saturdays the last three weeks of the NFL season as long as I can remember tbh.

[lefty20]

Wild play there, shame about the hold.


Toney might just end up living up to his fantasy hype from last year.

[Robz4000]

This Chiefs-Raiders game going about how I expected tbh.

[DAF86]

Wild play there, shame about the hold.


Toney might just end up living up to his fantasy hype from last year.

On that first play that got called back, Mckinnon could have just ran for the TD. I know the play call was another but players shouldn't be such robots when the development of the play calls for an audible, tbh.

[DAF86]

This Chiefs-Raiders game going about how I expected tbh.

Not me, tbh. Chiefs very rarely blow anybody out.

[DAF86]

Karlaftis is a baller, tbh. If he keeps growing and Jones mantains his form, the Chiefs will have a nice D-line next year.

[MultiTroll]

On that first play that got called back, Mckinnon could have just ran for the TD. I know the play call was another but players shouldn't be such robots when the development of the play calls for an audible, tbh.
Ton of shady looking shit in this game. Especially the last 7 minutes.
It's like everyone was in on keeping the final score Under 52.

[Robz4000]

:lol Jags really gonna choke this?

[FrostKing]

No brainer move by McVay to jump ship.

Sean Payton returning to step in the Broncos doodoo? Not buying.

[DeadlyDynasty]

Jags with the season saving defensive TD

[DAF86]

Brady would have got an incompletion there, tbh.

[Robz4000]

Props to the Jags for surviving their near choke.

[TheCultOfPersonality]

Lions-Packers should've been the Saturday game and Titans-Jaguars the Sunday game, but I guess they wanted Rodgers to be the main event.

[FrostKing]

Lions-Packers should've been the Saturday game and Titans-Jaguars the Sunday game, but I guess they wanted Rodgers to be the main event.
Shall we dance again?

Are you old enough to have watched the mid-late 90s GB vs SF

[TheCultOfPersonality]

Shall we dance again?

Are you old enough to have watched the mid-late 90s GB vs SF

Im old enough, but I didn't start watching football til the 2000s.

[FrostKing]

Im old enough, but I didn't start watching football til the 2000s.
Eventually the Packers will flip the script like we did in the 1998 Wild Card after being dominated by Farve & Holmgren for 3 years. I hope it's not this season. I think the NFL is better when Green Bay is good but I'm not gonna lie I rather face the Lions.

[FrostKing]

https://i.ibb.co/QQwB2zh/Screenshot-20230107-211951-Samsung-Internet.jpg

[TheCultOfPersonality]

Eventually the Packers will flip the script like we did in the 1998 Wild Card after being dominated by Farve & Holmgren for 3 years. I hope it's not this season. I think the NFL is better when Green Bay is good but I'm not gonna lie I rather face the Lions.

I think the 49ers will be fine against the Packers if they face off this season. I know anything can happen in the NFL, but I'm still not a believer in the Packers.

[FrostKing]

I think the 49ers will be fine against the Packers if they face off this season. I know anything can happen in the NFL, but I'm still not a believer in the Packers.
5-game winning streak would speak for itself

I think Giants are resting players but still possibility they upset Eagles creating a Packers @ Eagles matchup.

So you remember this play. I was so butthurt by the Pack at this point :lol. Really liked Ahman Green though


https://youtu.be/SnZph1RkWpI

[MultiTroll]

Heartbreaking.
What a choke job by the Titans.

Vrable was heartbroken. When all you need is a game manager QB with the way the Titans D and D Henry ball control were doing, what a massive giveaway.

[MultiTroll]

Brady would have got an incompletion there, tbh.
24/7 365 and twice on Sunday. Pun intended.

Not sure even outside of BradyRef that wasn't a pass attempt. Thought rule said even if the wrist begins to flop forward like a couple of Austinites waving hello....that's a pass attempt.

[MultiTroll]

I think Giants are resting players but still possibility they upset Eagles
Why

[FrostKing]

Why
Hurts is coming off injury

Spread is 14

[Robz4000]

https://i.ibb.co/QQwB2zh/Screenshot-20230107-211951-Samsung-Internet.jpg

Not sure I could handle them choking in the SB again, especially with the SB loser curse.

[MultiTroll]

Hurts is coming off injury

Spread is 14
Can't imagine Philly rushing Hurts back over a seeding issue but....

This is where i wish coaching staffs and ultimately Head Coaches would have the backup warmed up and ready to go.
This archaic NFL (and most big NCAA) that the starting QB just has to stay in the whole game or until it's wayy too late to make a comeback....
Many a game blown by this.

If Hurts is hampered enough to be a net negative, get the backup in ASAP.
However......
I did not watch it, did Minshew blow balls in the 4th qtr vs New Orleans?

[FrostKing]

Not sure I could handle them choking in the SB again, especially with the SB loser curse.
Interesting point about the loser curse. Wouldn't winning with a 3rd string Mr.Irrevelant be too good to be true?

The Defense is better than 2019 with better offensive weapons though. And I think the AFC is weaker.

I'm expecting a 3rd heartbreak but just enjoying the ride. Tbh I cried after Ravens and no 49er loss will ever hurt as much.

[FrostKing]

Can't imagine Philly rushing Hurts back over a seeding issue but....

This is where i wish coaching staffs and ultimately Head Coaches would have the backup warmed up and ready to go.
This archaic NFL (and most big NCAA) that the starting QB just has to stay in the whole game or until it's wayy too late to make a comeback....
Many a game blown by this.

If Hurts is hampered enough to be a net negative, get the backup in ASAP.
However......
I did not watch it, did Minshew blow balls in the 4th qtr vs New Orleans?
You probably know them better than I do. In my experience when a team dominates the top seed for an entire season and loses it late (especially now with the BYE or nothing setup) they are toast in the Playoffs.

Eagles badly need that #1 seed and Bye

[Robz4000]

Interesting point about the loser curse. Wouldn't winning with a 3rd string Mr.Irrevelant be too good to be true?

The Defense is better than 2019 with better offensive weapons though. And I think the AFC is weaker.

I'm expecting a 3rd heartbreak but just enjoying the ride. Tbh I cried after Ravens and no 49er loss will ever hurt as much.

If the GOAT can be drafted in the 6th round I don't see why the last pick can't be a SB-winning QB tbh. Besides, Purdy > Jimmy Crap imo.

[MultiTroll]

MoneyLine
Eagles 1st half
49ers 1st half
Georgia game

Won't know who the f is playing hard or not after halftime, thus the 1/2 game bets.

Today propped Mahomes over 14 rushing. Easy.
Lost the Over after the Chiefs and the Raiders were tanking retards for the entire last 8 minutes. Find it hard to believe Stidwel is that bad. Couple throws looked very tanky. Even Mahomes took what looked like a tank sack.

[DeadlyDynasty]

You probably know them better than I do. In my experience when a team dominates the top seed for an entire season and loses it late (especially now with the BYE or nothing setup) they are toast in the Playoffs.

Eagles badly need that #1 seed and Bye
Yep. One of the teams I remember the most who fit that mold was the 2008 Giants. Coming off a SB win, they had the most impressive stretch to start the season, going something like 11-1 against a brutal schedule. Then Plaxico shot himself and Steve Smith tore his knee. They finished 12-4 and floundered in the playoffs vs. the Eagles.

[Mark Celibate]

2007 Cowboys too were similar to the 08 Giants. Started out 11-1 blowing out many teams and only loss to the 18-1 Patriots. They just beat GB to pretty much ensure a #1 seed, and afterwards the typical "We Dem Boyz!" Cowboys entitlement set in and I'm sure they spent every night thereafter ooga boogaing in Deep Ellum/Uptown knowing that a Super Bowl appearance was virtually a lock. After starting 11-1, they went 2-2 with the two wins being close games against bad teams. And then of course, lose at home to the Giants their first playoff game. That was the first year after Parcells left along with all the grittiness and discipline he had built up. IMO this was the first of the many late season Cowboys' collapses to come after ...

The whole idea of the Cowboys franchise being a circus and choking in the playoffs was never really a thing until after this season tbh there was still some mystique left over from the 90s and everybody was confident they were 'back' after getting the 1 seed

[Mark Celibate]

rofl Giants resting starters after all...Tampa just got a first round bye tbh imho

[leemajors]

rofl Giants resting starters after all...Tampa just got a first round bye tbh imho

:lmao

[DAF86]

Good chance we get Bills-Pats and Bengals-Ravens on the first round of the PO, too. I don't know if that's good or bad, tbh.

[FrostKing]

Bills Kick Off return TD in tight 2nd Half

[MultiTroll]

Pats kickoff coverage. :downspin: :lmao

[FrostKing]

Bengals right now

vs Ravens
@ Bills
@ Chiefs

:flypig

[lefty20]

Got that #1 pick.

Time to start fielding calls and secure that big haul from a qb desperate team.

[Robz4000]

Dem Girls ready for the postseason tbh.

[FrostKing]

Eagles up Double-Digits on Giants now early

#2 Seed for 49ers it is

[Robz4000]

Eagles up Double-Digits on Giants now early

#2 Seed for 49ers it is

Could see them losing today and being #3 tbh. Might be the easier path too; Giants are an easier opponent than the Packers, Seacucks, or Lions imo.

[leemajors]

Just run up tempo you morons.

[FrostKing]

Could see them losing today and being #3 tbh. Might be the easier path too; Giants are an easier opponent than the Packers, Seacucks, or Lions imo.
Yes it's interesting trade off but I don't want to go into Minnesota. Hosting them is significant change in odds IMO

[Robz4000]

Yes it's interesting trade off but I don't want to go into Minnesota. Hosting them is significant change in odds IMO

Minnesota is ripe to lose in the first round tbh. Niners will host at least two postseason games regardless of being the 2 or 3 seed imo.

[Robz4000]

Dak is ready!

[leemajors]

Moore is so dumb sometimes. Your line sucks, run hurry up more.

[DAF86]

Minnesota is ripe to lose in the first round tbh. Niners will host at least two postseason games regardless of being the 2 or 3 seed imo.

Yall losing to Lucky Tom in the PO's either way, tbh.

[GAustex]

Da Bears out tank the Texans!

[Donald Sterling.]

Yall losing to Lucky Tom in the PO's either way, tbh.

This guy was just gifted the #1 seed because of a freak accident, right at the end of the season and is talking about luck :lol

[lefty20]

Da Bears out tank the Texans!

Lovie doing us a solid. fucking goated, tbh.

https://external-preview.redd.it/aAOY269VwZL_KPNmUh1qfHoXeb3KZoExmLfjXfY4dLY.jpg?au to=webp&0cedbfdc

[FrostKing]

49ers like to Run the ball. Alot.

[MultiTroll]

Texans want the #2 player or did Louie and org just go full on Pop Tard?

[Robz4000]

In other news the Chargers lost Mike Williams and Joey Bosa for the season playing in a meaningless game.

[DAF86]

This guy was just gifted the #1 seed because of a freak accident, right at the end of the season and is talking about luck :lol

I'm not a Chiefs fan, tbh.

Also, the Chiefs were getting the number one seed either way 'cause the Bills were going to lose to the Bengals. The only thing this accomplished is for the Chiefs to lose HCA in the championship game if they face the Bills.

[FrostKing]

In other news the Chargers lost Mike Williams and Joey Bosa for the season playing in a meaningless game.

:reading

[DAF86]

Hopefully the Rams beat the Sehawks, so that we get a defacto playoffs game on SNF.

[RD2191]

Cowboys might as well not even get on the plane to Tampa, this season is over. :lol

[Mark Celibate]

sons, D:lolllas going to get mercy rule'd at Tampa...not good that Cuckott is getting shut down even in garbage time tbh

[lefty20]

ridiculous bounce :lol

[lefty20]

RiP Lions

[lefty20]

or not. lets go to OT

[DAF86]

Ball don't lie, that PF on Ramsey was bullshit.

[GAustex]

DOINK!

[Mark Celibate]

Philly is a nasty place to play in the playoffs, but I still can't pick them in a meaningful game tbh just will never be a believer in gimmicky "black qb read option" ball imho...gets exposed time and time again

[Robz4000]

:lol if Niners waltz to the SB only to get cucked by the Chiefs again

[Fat Brandon Bass]

Also Michael Gallup looks like an autistic sea lion trying to catch the football. No idea how he made this far into the NFL as a receiver with a complete lack of fundamentals…tbh when he’s not making ooga booga highlight reel catches he’s basically useless

[lefty20]

Terrible clock management, tbh

[lefty20]

wtf just happened

[lefty20]

That tuddy just dropped packers from -350 to +100.

Time to drop some pocket change.

[lefty20]

Dat catch by the Sun God :lmao

Dont think I've seen a leg catch before.

[FrostKing]

:lol pushing the trainer

[Robz4000]

:lol Niners getting the Seacucks for a third time this season

[Mark Celibate]

this has the feeling of another "Rodgers last minute comeback to beat the lowly Lions" type game where everyone jizzes themselves nonstop for the next week tbh

[Robz4000]

this has the feeling of another "Rodgers last minute comeback to beat the lowly Lions" type game where everyone jizzes themselves nonstop for the next week tbh

Don't feel it this time. Packers look cooked tbh.

[TheCultOfPersonality]

5-game winning streak would speak for itself

I think Giants are resting players but still possibility they upset Eagles creating a Packers @ Eagles matchup.

So you remember this play. I was so butthurt by the Pack at this point :lol. Really liked Ahman Green though


https://youtu.be/SnZph1RkWpI
I didn't see it live (I was an infant when it comes to football back then)but I've seen that play several times and yeah that was brutal, but to me it will never be worse than the playoff game against the Seahawks in 2014 I think.

[TheCultOfPersonality]

Walker, Douglas, Doubs, and Rodgers are acting like they have money on the Lions. Walker and Douglas acting like complete idiots, Doubs with the stone hands, and Rodgers underthrowing passes and has made Kerby Joseph look like Deion Sanders this season.

[TheCultOfPersonality]

I knew if they went for it it was going to be over.

[lefty20]

“We can't lose a game like that against that team, though.” :rollin

[lefty20]

Lions not having a playoff berth at stake might've actually hurt the Packers, tbh.

I don't know if we see he screen-lateral or a 4th down pass without the Lions playing with house money.

[Robz4000]

Welp, Niners get the first game of the postseason.

[DAF86]

Niners-Seahawks
Vikings-Giants
Bucs-Cowboys

Bills-Dolphins
Bengals-Ravens
Jaguars-Chargers

Eagles-Giants (actually, I don't know if 1st seed gets worst seeded or worst record)
Niners-Bucs

Chiefs-Chargers
Bills-Bengals

Eagles-Niners
Chiefs-Bills

Eagles-Bills

[FrostKing]

Welp, Niners get the first game of the postseason.

So we're getting 1 extra day of rest?

[Robz4000]

So we're getting 1 extra day of rest?

One less

[FrostKing]

Career games

Willis - 112
Urlacher - 182
Lewis - 228
Seau - 268

:wow