View Full Version : The Official Kamala Harris is Doing Awesome Thread
Me: Trump is going to win in 2024.
TSA: Do you know who wrote this tweet saying Harris is doing about the same with blacks as Biden did in 2020? ANSWERMEANSWERMEANSWERME!
Me: rhetorical question about Harris campaign spokesman to mock you for blindly reposting Harris campaign spin like the good social media bot you are.
Answer me, answer me, answer me!!!!! :lol
Have you decided what alt you are going to be forced to use when Trump wins?
ChumpDumper
10-17-2024, 12:10 PM
No shit. If Trump is doing better with black voters since 1960 than of course Harris is losing black voters. The several tweets I posted were comparing Harris to past Democrats.
Of course there is a reason to do that. See below.
I want to look at the numbersGood for you.
I believe the tweet had all the information you need to find the poll on your own.
If for some reason you cannot find the poll on your own using that information, please tell me you aren't capable of finding it on your own and need my help.
ChumpDumper
10-17-2024, 12:11 PM
Me: rhetorical question about Harris campaign spokesman to mock you for blindly reposting Harris campaign spin like the good social media bot you are.We all know you are only posting to try to get back at people like me for mocking you for swallowing every right wing conspiracy theory fed to you by social media for a decade.
You told us.
We understand.
Ef-man
10-17-2024, 12:14 PM
Have you decided what alt you are going to be forced to use when Trump wins?
You ready to go back to korea when Yam Tits loses?
ChumpDumper
10-17-2024, 12:15 PM
Me: Looks like Harris' support from blacks is going to be about the same as Biden's in 2020.
TSA: YOU'RE GOING TO PAY FOR MAKING FUN OF ME WHEN I SAID DEMOCRATS WERE HARVESTING ADRENOCHROME FROM FRIGHTENED CHILDREN THEY ABDUCTED THIS I SWEAR
No shit. If Trump is doing better with black voters since 1960 than of course Harris is losing black voters. The several tweets I posted were comparing Harris to past Democrats.
Of course there is a reason to do that. See below.
I want to look at the numbers, link the poll.
Nevermind...found it. Likely vs exit poll of 2020 :lol No wonder her spokesman picked this one to use for spin.
ChumpDumper
10-17-2024, 12:19 PM
Nevermind...found itI knew you could do it, champ!
I knew you could do it, champ!
It makes it even funnier now knowing why her campaign spokesman used that single poll and how you blindly used the Harris campaign spokesman's spin as a rebuttal :lol
ChumpDumper
10-17-2024, 12:28 PM
It makes it even funnier now knowing why her campaign spokesman used that single poll and how you blindly used the Harris campaign spokesman's spin as a rebuttal :lolSure.
You really showed us how a person made a tweet!
Does that make up for your believing Q was jes hanging outside Air Force One?
So much for ever seeing Nate Silver again
:lmao :lmao :lmao :lmao :lmao
https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/1846956662651080915
omg look at that Kamala collapse
:lmao :lmao :lmao :lmao :lmao
ChumpDumper
10-17-2024, 01:11 PM
Silver good again!
1846759764543340605
https://x.com/SwannMarcus89/status/1846759764543340605
I don't think that's the way it works, but Crowder's take is funny.
Doing really awesome. Morning Consult has fallen.
Doing really awesome :rollin
Morning Consult 10/6
WI: Trump+1
GA: Trump+1
NC: Trump+1
AZ: Harris+1
PA: Harris+1
MI: Harris+2
NV: Harris+4
Previous Morning Consult
WI: Harris+3
GA: Tie
NC: Harris+2
AZ: Harris+3
PA: Harris+5
MI: Harris+3
NV: Harris+7
SnakeBoy
10-17-2024, 01:31 PM
Still needs the microphone earrings
1846676668980646265
SnakeBoy
10-17-2024, 01:40 PM
The billionaire businessman will embark on a series of formal campaign appearances for Kamala Harris beginning with stops alongside the vice president later today
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/kamala-harris-has-a-new-campaign-trail-partner-mark-cuban-090033175.html
Seriously wtf are they thinking? Who are they trying to appeal to?
hater
10-17-2024, 02:12 PM
The billionaire businessman will embark on a series of formal campaign appearances for Kamala Harris beginning with stops alongside the vice president later today
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/kamala-harris-has-a-new-campaign-trail-partner-mark-cuban-090033175.html
Seriously wtf are they thinking? Who are they trying to appeal to?
White he-lesbians?
hater
10-17-2024, 02:14 PM
I dont think they can cheat their way to installing this retard tbqh :lmao
Possible? I guess. But I would be shocked
Probably WW3 or something huge will have to be done
Blake
10-17-2024, 02:32 PM
Me: Looks like Harris' support from blacks is going to be about the same as Biden's in 2020.
TSA: YOU'RE GOING TO PAY FOR MAKING FUN OF ME WHEN I SAID DEMOCRATS WERE HARVESTING ADRENOCHROME FROM FRIGHTENED CHILDREN THEY ABDUCTED THIS I SWEAR
:lol
Blake
10-17-2024, 02:33 PM
I dont think they can cheat their way to installing this retard tbqh :lmao
Possible? I guess. But I would be shocked
Probably WW3 or something huge will have to be done
Who do you think is more retarded? Trump or Harris?
Blake
10-17-2024, 02:33 PM
Still needs the microphone earrings
1846676668980646265
Trump should use one
Blake
10-17-2024, 02:35 PM
https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/1846956662651080915
omg look at that Kamala collapse
:lmao :lmao :lmao :lmao :lmao
Roflllll Nate Silver good again
hater
10-17-2024, 02:39 PM
Who do you think is more retarded? Trump or Harris?
Kamala by about 10 billion braincells :lmao
Its not even close, Nancy
SnakeBoy
10-17-2024, 02:58 PM
Trump should use one
Nah would mess up the weave
Blake
10-17-2024, 03:07 PM
Kamala by about 10 billion braincells :lmao
Its not even close, Nancy
So you think Trump doing any number of things like getting stupid felony convictions or warning about pets getting eaten is not that bad apparently.
Just wanted to confirm how retarded you are, tbh, Barbara
hater
10-17-2024, 03:11 PM
So you think Trump doing any number of things like getting stupid felony convictions or warning about pets getting eaten is not that bad apparently.
Just wanted to confirm how retarded you are, tbh, Barbara
The dumb old fat ass still runs circles around the prostitute when it comes to IQ tbqh
If you dont see it youre either blind or dumb. Im gonna go with dumb :lol
ChumpDumper
10-17-2024, 03:18 PM
Still needs the microphone earrings
1846676668980646265
:lol always a conspiracy theory
Ef-man
10-17-2024, 04:54 PM
:lol always a conspiracy theory
Did you hear the batshit crazy conspiracy about Biden not running the country as president?
What idiot would believe that? :lol
Blake
10-17-2024, 05:22 PM
The dumb old fat ass still runs circles around the prostitute when it comes to IQ tbqh
If you dont see it youre either blind or dumb. Im gonna go with dumb :lol
He's the rambling senile old fuck you claim Biden to be. If you don't see it you just don't want to.
But you're also retarded. Everyone here looks at your posts and thinks that.
Ef-man
10-17-2024, 05:47 PM
Et tu magas? Yesterday's ratings
Harris on Fox - 7.1 million viewers
Yam Tits on Fox - 3 million viewers
TimDunkem
10-17-2024, 10:10 PM
Doing really awesome :rollin
Morning Consult 10/6
WI: Trump+1
GA: Trump+1
NC: Trump+1
AZ: Harris+1
PA: Harris+1
MI: Harris+2
NV: Harris+4
Previous Morning Consult
WI: Harris+3
GA: Tie
NC: Harris+2
AZ: Harris+3
PA: Harris+5
MI: Harris+3
NV: Harris+7
Not worried about it, tbh.
velik_m
10-17-2024, 11:31 PM
https://x.com/Acyn/status/1847024907521347765
https://x.com/MaxMcGuireTX/status/1847266838243160299
even Activote? oooooooooofffff
hater
10-18-2024, 10:52 AM
:lmao
https://x.com/JackPosobiec/status/1847253295741448676
https://x.com/TimMurtaugh/status/1847285213681832131
https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1847290137618624571
PA Dems aligning with Trump :bobo
:lmao
https://x.com/JackPosobiec/status/1847253295741448676
:lol I couldn't believe some of the jokes they wrote for him. There were some Trump didn't even want to say out loud.
Blake
10-18-2024, 11:32 AM
https://x.com/MaxMcGuireTX/status/1847266838243160299
even Activote? oooooooooofffff
Polls and odds are constantly changing, but here's where each candidate stood as of 3 p.m. on Oct. 17, 2024:
ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls at 48.5% to Trump at 46.1%. In the past, Harris has led Trump by as many as 4 percentage posts, though more recent polls show them much closer.
270towin shows Harris leading the national polls by 2.2% over Trump.
Realclearpolling shows the betting odds are in Harris' favor with a spread of +1.5 over Trump.
https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/10/18/who-is-winning-presidential-election-polls/75723475007/
Keep digging though so you can keep the oof posts going. Seems like fun.
hater
10-18-2024, 11:53 AM
:lol I couldn't believe some of the jokes they wrote for him. There were some Trump didn't even want to say out loud.
Just watched some highlights and was not impressed on his speech
He didnt write most of it and was onvious it was the first time he was reading them. So his punchlines were all fucked up.
It was brutal but could have been way better.
Polls and odds are constantly changing, but here's where each candidate stood as of 3 p.m. on Oct. 17, 2024:
ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls at 48.5% to Trump at 46.1%. In the past, Harris has led Trump by as many as 4 percentage posts, though more recent polls show them much closer.
270towin shows Harris leading the national polls by 2.2% over Trump.
Realclearpolling shows the betting odds are in Harris' favor with a spread of +1.5 over Trump.
https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/10/18/who-is-winning-presidential-election-polls/75723475007/
Keep digging though so you can keep the oof posts going. Seems like fun.
You do realize that anything with Harris under 3 in a National poll is a Trump electoral college victory correct?
The recent polls I've been posting have been Harris most favorable polls the entire cycle. If you can't see why the collapses in a D+5 poll is troublesome for your candidate I don't know what more to tell you.
Just watched some highlights and was not impressed on his speech
He didnt write most of it and was onvious it was the first time he was reading them. So his punchlines were all fucked up.
It was brutal but could have been way better.
Definitely looked like he had just skimmed it for the first time last night before getting on stage as he had his head down most of the time reading the jokes given to him. Was way better when he roasted Hillary in 2016 as a lot of that seemed more off the cuff.
hater
10-18-2024, 12:00 PM
Definitely looked like he had just skimmed it for the first time last night before getting on stage as he had his head down most of the time reading the jokes given to him. Was way better when he roasted Hillary in 2016 as a lot of that seemed more off the cuff.
:tu Trump is at his best when hes himself
hater
10-18-2024, 12:00 PM
Holy shit just saw this
Is this real or AI????
The cringe is fucking apocalyptic :lmao
https://x.com/BowesChay/status/1847194256202477783
Had to stop it. Was just embarrassed at myself and all involved :lol
Blake
10-18-2024, 12:03 PM
You do realize that anything with Harris under 3 in a National poll is a Trump electoral college victory correct?
The recent polls I've been posting have been Harris most favorable polls the entire cycle. If you can't see why the collapses in a D+5 poll is troublesome for your candidate I don't know what more to tell you.
I like how you expertly break down these polls and articles that show Harris winning as her actually losing.
Blake
10-18-2024, 12:04 PM
Holy shit just saw this
Is this real or AI????
The cringe is fucking apocalyptic :lmao
https://x.com/BowesChay/status/1847194256202477783
Had to stop it. Was just embarrassed at myself and all involved :lol
Weird that makes you cringe but no sign of you cringing at Elon jumping in the air for Trump
ChumpDumper
10-18-2024, 12:05 PM
I like how the avowed non Trump voters made sure to tune in to his standup act.
hater
10-18-2024, 12:05 PM
:lmao this bitch falling appart in front of us :lol
https://x.com/PapiTrumpo/status/1847084404377534845
hater
10-18-2024, 12:06 PM
Weird that makes you cringe but no sign of you cringing at Elon jumping in the air for Trump
Melon Usk is one of the cringiest weird modafuckas in history
He starts acting like a retatded child when on stage
Hes a walking cringe fest
SnakeBoy
10-18-2024, 12:08 PM
The billionaire businessman will embark on a series of formal campaign appearances for Kamala Harris beginning with stops alongside the vice president later today
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/kamala-harris-has-a-new-campaign-trail-partner-mark-cuban-090033175.html
Seriously wtf are they thinking? Who are they trying to appeal to?
Ah now I see. They think he'll get her the crypto vote :lol
Mark Cuban Dismisses Dogecoin Founder's Concerns: Kamala Harris Is 'Night And Day Away From Biden And Far Ahead Of Trump' On Crypto Understanding
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/mark-cuban-dismisses-dogecoin-founders-231627966.html
I like how you expertly break down these polls and articles that show Harris winning as her actually losing.
538 and 270 to win are National polling aggregates. It doesn't take an expert to understand that if Harris is under 3 in a National Poll that means Trump wins the electoral college.
Real Clear Polling betting odds are not Harris +1.5---Trump 58.1 to Harris 40.4 :lmao
https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president
Betting Odds - 2024 U.S. President
2020 U.S. President Betting Odds
RCP Betting Average: U.S. President | GOP Nomination | Dem Nomination
Betting Odds Data
Betting Odds
Trump Harris
RCP Average 58.1 40.4
BetOnline 59 39
Betfair 56 39
Betsson 58 43
Bovada 59 40
Bwin 59 42
Points Bet 60 43
Polymarket 58 37
Smarkets 56 40
ChumpDumper
10-18-2024, 12:11 PM
How are betting odds and candidate winning probabilities at Polymarket determined?
Spurs Homer
10-18-2024, 12:16 PM
a whole bunch of insecure cultists trying very hard to keep hitting that "poll copium" -
I guess whatever helps you cope...
SnakeBoy
10-18-2024, 12:23 PM
Holy shit just saw this
Is this real or AI????
The cringe is fucking apocalyptic :lmao
https://x.com/BowesChay/status/1847194256202477783
Had to stop it. Was just embarrassed at myself and all involved :lol
Holy shit that was bad
Ef-man
10-18-2024, 12:24 PM
Nate Silver, oof :lol
Harris 49%
Felon 46.7%
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
Nate Silver, oof :lol
Harris 49%
Felon 46.7%
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
Now show Nate Silver's odds from 3 weeks ago and show how much she's collapsed since then. :rollin
ChumpDumper
10-18-2024, 12:34 PM
Now show Nate Silver's odds from 3 weeks ago and show how much she's collapsed since then. :rollinThe betting odds?
The probability she will win?
How are those determined?
The betting odds?
The probability she will win?
How are those determined?
Nate Silver has a whole thing written up on how he runs his model. If you are curious look it up.
ChumpDumper
10-18-2024, 12:39 PM
Nate Silver has a whole thing written up on how he runs his model. If you are curious look it up.So you don't know how any of it is calculated?
So you don't know how any of it is calculated?
I read it a while back when he left 538 and I don't remember the details. If you are curious look it up.
ChumpDumper
10-18-2024, 12:41 PM
I read it a while back when he left 538 and I don't remember the details. If you are curious look it up.So you don't know how any of it is calculated.
hater
10-18-2024, 12:42 PM
:lmao :lmao :lmao :lmao
:lol :lmao :lmao :lmao
https://x.com/catturd2/status/1847304098594381826
Nate Silver, oof :lol
Harris 49%
Felon 46.7%
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
:lol dipshit...you just posting his polling aggregate
His probability today has her dropping 3.9% over the last week
https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1847319126949179531
oof
So you don't know how any of it is calculated.
I don't remember the details. Since you are too lazy to look it up here you go. All of this was easily found in Ef-man's link.
https://www.natesilver.net/p/model-methodology-2024
There are even more links within that link to satisfy your curiosity. Enjoy :bobo
ChumpDumper
10-18-2024, 12:54 PM
I don't remember the details. Since you are too lazy to look it up here you go. All of this was easily found in Ef-man's link.
https://www.natesilver.net/p/model-methodology-2024
There are even more links within that link to satisfy your curiosity. Enjoy :boboSo you don't know how any of it is calculated. Nothing about polymarket at all. I do enjoy your getting pissy about your own ignorance :bobo
So you don't know how any of it is calculated. I do enjoy your getting pissy about your own ignorance :boboI don't care how it's calculated. You asked and you were provided the link. Was there a point to you asking how it was calculated or did you just want to do 20 questions until I get bored and ignore you and then you say I folded and you claim another imaginary victory? Your schtik is TIRED dude.
Getting pissy :lol You project more than any other poster here. It's a clear tell that you're flustered.
I'm currently enjoying watching you flail around. You're doing great keep up the good work. Looking forward to your next projections.
ChumpDumper
10-18-2024, 02:29 PM
I don't care how it's calculated.We know all you care about is getting back at us.:bobo
LkrFan
10-18-2024, 03:09 PM
1846953197622981041
:lol
Polls and odds are constantly changing, but here's where each candidate stood as of 3 p.m. on Oct. 17, 2024:
ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls at 48.5% to Trump at 46.1%. In the past, Harris has led Trump by as many as 4 percentage posts, though more recent polls show them much closer.
270towin shows Harris leading the national polls by 2.2% over Trump.
Realclearpolling shows the betting odds are in Harris' favor with a spread of +1.5 over Trump.
https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/10/18/who-is-winning-presidential-election-polls/75723475007/
Keep digging though so you can keep the oof posts going. Seems like fun.
Not only was your Real Clear Polling percentage way off but 538 forecast has Trump at 52% and Harris at 48% :rollin
https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/1847368988491469071
Time to break out your copium because your hopium article is all out of gas.
ChumpDumper
10-18-2024, 03:48 PM
Not only was your Real Clear Polling percentage way off but 538 forecast has Trump at 52% and Harris at 48% :rollin
https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/1847368988491469071
Time to break out your copium because your hopium article is all out of gas.
So Harris has a 56% chance of winning and Trump has a 44% chance of winning?
ChumpDumper
10-18-2024, 03:48 PM
Not only was your Real Clear Polling percentage way off but 538 forecast has Trump at 52% and Harris at 48% :rollin
https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/1847368988491469071
Time to break out your copium because your hopium article is all out of gas.
So Harris has a 56% chance of winning and Trump has a 44% chance of winning?
Or was that 2 days ago?
And is this all polymarket now or an actual Silver model?
This all seems to be getting intentionally comingled tbh.
Ef-man
10-18-2024, 04:08 PM
So Harris has a 56% chance of winning and Trump has a 44% chance of winning?
Or was that 2 days ago?
And is this all polymarket now or an actual Silver model?
This all seems to be getting intentionally comingled tbh.
$30 Million Is All It Took to Shift the Odds in the Felon's Favor on Polymarket
Polymarket :lol
Four different accounts have pumped $30 million into the betting site Polymarket, swaying the site’s prediction in favor of a felon's victory. The two candidates have been neck and neck since Harris entered the race in August, but the felon pulled ahead with a commanding lead in October. News that someone or someones have dumped tens of millions of dollars into the market and swayed the odds is further proof that Polymarket, and other predictive betting sites, are easy to manipulate and not a reflection of reality.
https://gizmodo.com/30-million-is-all-it-took-to-shift-the-odds-in-polymarket (https://gizmodo.com/30-million-is-all-it-took-to-shift-the-odds-in-trumps-favor-on-polymarket-2000513653)
Blake
10-18-2024, 04:11 PM
Melon Usk is one of the cringiest weird modafuckas in history
He starts acting like a retatded child when on stage
Hes a walking cringe fest
And you're nowhere to be found when everyone is making fun of him. Weird.
Blake
10-18-2024, 04:14 PM
Not only was your Real Clear Polling percentage way off but 538 forecast has Trump at 52% and Harris at 48% :rollin
https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/1847368988491469071
Time to break out your copium because your hopium article is all out of gas.
So you're saying the article lied? Interesting.
Blake
10-18-2024, 04:16 PM
So Harris has a 56% chance of winning and Trump has a 44% chance of winning?
Or was that 2 days ago?
And is this all polymarket now or an actual Silver model?
This all seems to be getting intentionally comingled tbh.
Lol
Tsa chart: Harris wins 56 times/100 Trump wins 44/100.
Tsa: BusT ouT the cOpiUm, LibTardS!
Ef-man
10-18-2024, 04:21 PM
Lol
Tsa chart: Harris wins 56 times/100 Trump wins 44/100.
Tsa: BusT ouT the cOpiUm, LibTardS!
qtsa picking both sides so he can say, see I was right! :lol
Winehole23
10-18-2024, 04:22 PM
Lol
Tsa chart: Harris wins 56 times/100 Trump wins 44/100.
Tsa: BusT ouT the cOpiUm, LibTardS!
https://www.malverntreatment.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/teenager-huffing-min.jpg
Lol
Tsa chart: Harris wins 56 times/100 Trump wins 44/100.
Tsa: BusT ouT the cOpiUm, LibTardS!
Where the fuck are you getting Harris 56% and Trump 44%?
The tweet I posted with the new 538 prediction has Trump 52% and Harris 48%.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/1847368988491469071
So you're saying the article lied? Interesting.
Lied? Not at all. 538 just completely changed their prediction model after you posted it thinking 538's prediction was good for Harris :rollin
ChumpDumper
10-18-2024, 04:28 PM
Where the fuck are you getting Harris 56% and Trump 44%?
The tweet I posted with the new 538 prediction has Trump 52% and Harris 48%.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/1847368988491469071
And that's polymarket?
And that's polymarket?
Are you drunk today trying to cope? It's literally linked in my post you quoted.
ChumpDumper
10-18-2024, 04:33 PM
Are you drunk today trying to cope? It's literally linked in my post you quoted.
Just trying to make sure about what you're basing your ownage on today. There is more than one thing you're posting.
So you're most excited about the polymarket stuff that reflects the money that has been put into it the past few days?
Just answer yes or no without all the pissiness.
Winehole23
10-18-2024, 04:37 PM
presenting things in a confusing way then clowning others for being confused is classic TSA
(so is TSA not understanding what he's posted)
ChumpDumper
10-18-2024, 04:44 PM
This thing that works in a way of which I have no knowledge whatsoever says a thing that's a little different from two days ago and it completely owns you for indeterminate reasons! Aren't you angry right now? Answer me!
Blake
10-18-2024, 04:48 PM
Lied? Not at all. 538 just completely changed their prediction model after you posted it thinking 538's prediction was good for Harris :rollin
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/
Real time right now ^
Harris +2.1
Blake
10-18-2024, 04:51 PM
Where the fuck are you getting Harris 56% and Trump 44%?
The tweet I posted with the new 538 prediction has Trump 52% and Harris 48%.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/1847368988491469071
Rofl. I'm literally posting word for word the blue line and the red line at the bottom of your chart.
You know, the part that shows Harris 278/ Trump 260?
ChumpDumper
10-18-2024, 04:53 PM
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/
Real time right now ^
Harris +2.1
NO STUPID IDIOT THAT'S THE OTHER THING THAT SAYS 538 WE'RE TALKING ABOUT THE GUY WHO USED TO BE 538 BUT ISN'T 538 BUT HAS 538 IN HIS SCREEN NAME AND MAKES MODELS BUT WE'RE NOT TALKING ABOUT HIS MODELS EITHER WE'RE TALKING ABOUT PETER THIEL'S GAMBLING WEBSITE THAT AMERICANS CAN'T LEGALLY USE AND CHANGES ACCORDING TO WHATEVER ANOYMOUS CRYPTO BETS ARE THROWN AT IT THE 538 BUT NOT 538 ANYMORE GUY WORKS FOR THAT SITE YOU'RE IN A TAILSPIN LOL
Ef-man
10-18-2024, 05:09 PM
Rofl. I'm literally posting word for word the blue line and the red line at the bottom of your chart.
You know, the part that shows Harris 278/ Trump 260?
So much for his “Answer me, answer me, answer me!!!!” :lmao
ChumpDumper
10-18-2024, 05:13 PM
Honestly the TSA & Qompany feverbuzz created by these few million dollars worth of bets is better ROI than any conventional campaign donation.
Do that and throw some comically low rated polls into closely watched averages and you can fake a tighter race until you make it.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/
Real time right now ^
Harris +2.1
Jesus Christ you’re retarded, that isn’t the 538 forecast that was in the article you thought was good for Harris and that isn’t “real time”.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
This is the 538 forecast and the graph will change once their update from TODAY that I linked is input
For the first time since 538 published our presidential election forecast for Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, Trump has taken the lead (if a very small one) over Harris. As of 3 p.m. Eastern on Oct. 18, our model gives Trump a 52-in-100 chance of winning the majority of Electoral College votes. The model gives Harris a 48-in-100 chance.
Rofl. I'm literally posting word for word the blue line and the red line at the bottom of your chart.
You know, the part that shows Harris 278/ Trump 260?
Have you never seen a tweet? Can you not read dates? :lol That’s from two days ago and the top tweet is from 538’s update today. Posted so the change can be seen.
presenting things in a confusing way then clowning others for being confused is classic TSA
(so is TSA not understanding what he's posted)
There is nothing confusing about what I posted unless you’re developmentally disabled.
Just trying to make sure about what you're basing your ownage on today. There is more than one thing you're posting.
So you're most excited about the polymarket stuff that reflects the money that has been put into it the past few days?
Just answer yes or no without all the pissiness.
I haven’t once brought up Polymarket. Seriously, are you drunk?
ChumpDumper
10-18-2024, 05:22 PM
There is nothing confusing about what I posted unless you’re developmentally disabled.You've been posting numbers produced in a way you can't explain and don't care to know. We are confused about why we are supposed to feel bad about them.
NO STUPID IDIOT THAT'S THE OTHER THING THAT SAYS 538 WE'RE TALKING ABOUT THE GUY WHO USED TO BE 538 BUT ISN'T 538 BUT HAS 538 IN HIS SCREEN NAME AND MAKES MODELS BUT WE'RE NOT TALKING ABOUT HIS MODELS EITHER WE'RE TALKING ABOUT PETER THIEL'S GAMBLING WEBSITE THAT AMERICANS CAN'T LEGALLY USE AND CHANGES ACCORDING TO WHATEVER ANOYMOUS CRYPTO BETS ARE THROWN AT IT THE 538 BUT NOT 538 ANYMORE GUY WORKS FOR THAT SITE YOU'RE IN A TAILSPIN LOL
Ef-man
10-18-2024, 05:23 PM
Rofl. I'm literally posting word for word the blue line and the red line at the bottom of your chart.
You know, the part that shows Harris 278/ Trump 260?
Ignore the 4:07PM Oct 18, 2024 time stamp :lol
ChumpDumper
10-18-2024, 05:23 PM
I haven’t once brought up Polymarket. Seriously, are you drunk?:lol the word "Polymarket" is right there in your posts. Seriously, are you drunk?
You've been posting numbers produced in a way you can't explain and don't care to know. We are confused about why we are supposed to feel bad about them.
538 is an aggregate of polls. Do you know what aggregate means or does that confuse you?
ChumpDumper
10-18-2024, 05:26 PM
538 is an aggregate of polls. Do you know what aggregate means or does that confuse you?
Honestly the TSA & Qompany feverbuzz created by these few million dollars worth of bets is better ROI than any conventional campaign donation.
Do that and throw some comically low rated polls into closely watched averages and you can fake a tighter race until you make it.
If I'm supposed to be upset by a bunch of polls that haven't moved out of the MoE, lol.
:lol the word "Polymarket" is right there in your posts. Seriously, are you drunk?
I clearly posted that with the 538 presidential update and never once referenced Polymarket and have never referenced Polymarket. And that says Polymarket senate odds at the bottom of the tweet which I’ve never once brought up. Are you drunk? I’ve never seen you flail around this desperate before.
If I'm supposed to be upset by a bunch of polls that haven't moved out of the MoE, lol.
If you weren’t upset you wouldn’t spend this much effort trying to discredit them.
ChumpDumper
10-18-2024, 05:30 PM
If you weren’t upset you wouldn’t spend this much effort trying to discredit them.There's nothing to discredit.
They're all within their MoEs.
That fact discredits you.
Enjoy your weekend Chump. Hopefully you can log off and cool down a bit before your partner gets home. Maybe try and sober up as well
:bobo
Ignore the 4:07PM Oct 18, 2024 time stamp :lol
Ignore the 10/16 date clearly at the top of the tweet and the 10/18 538 update from the tweet above it. You just keep digging a deeper hole and Blake is right down there with you helping shovel dirt :lol
ChumpDumper
10-18-2024, 05:34 PM
Enjoy your weekend Chump. Hopefully you can log off and cool down a bit before your partner gets home. Maybe try and sober up as well
:boboMaybe you can log off and cool down a bit before seeing your kids. Maybe try and sober up as well and understand what MoE means someday.
:bobo
ChumpDumper
10-18-2024, 05:40 PM
I haven’t once brought up Polymarket. Seriously, are you drunk?
538 and 270 to win are National polling aggregates. It doesn't take an expert to understand that if Harris is under 3 in a National Poll that means Trump wins the electoral college.
Real Clear Polling betting odds are not Harris +1.5---Trump 58.1 to Harris 40.4 :lmao
https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president
Betting Odds - 2024 U.S. President
2020 U.S. President Betting Odds
RCP Betting Average: U.S. President | GOP Nomination | Dem Nomination
Betting Odds Data
Betting Odds
Trump Harris
RCP Average 58.1 40.4
BetOnline 59 39
Betfair 56 39
Betsson 58 43
Bovada 59 40
Bwin 59 42
Points Bet 60 43
Polymarket 58 37
Smarkets 56 40
Were you drunk five hours ago too?
Were you drunk five hours ago too?
Blake brought up the Real Clear Polling betting odds and that was a response to him. You are so fucking desperate for a win right now. I’ve never seen you grasping this hard :lmao
Maybe you can log off and cool down a bit before seeing your kids. Maybe try and sober up as well and understand what MoE means someday.
:bobo
Having to go back and edit this post to try and get a dig in at me about my kids because you’re tailspinning so hard :lmao
ChumpDumper
10-18-2024, 07:01 PM
Having to go back and edit this post to try and get a dig in at me about my kids because you’re tailspinning so hard :lmao
Having to log back in as soon as you get home after trying to get a dig in about my partner because you're tailspinning so hard :lmao
ChumpDumper
10-18-2024, 07:01 PM
Blake brought up the Real Clear Polling betting odds and that was a response to him. You are so fucking desperate for a win right now. I’ve never seen you grasping this hard :lmao:lol you say this every single time. It's boring. Get to the exciting stuff.
ducks
10-18-2024, 08:42 PM
If Trump really were a threat to democracy, Bob Casey and Tammy Baldwin would not be featuring him favorably in ads.
Spurs Homer
10-18-2024, 09:07 PM
If Trump really were a threat to democracy, Bob Casey and Tammy Baldwin would not be featuring him favorably in ads.
https://youtu.be/fWEm-Jr212M?si=oemoAD9D7kpJlMEt
hater
10-18-2024, 09:50 PM
https://youtu.be/fWEm-Jr212M?si=oemoAD9D7kpJlMEt
:lmao
Repping a gay fag from Puerto Rico :lmao
hater
10-18-2024, 09:52 PM
:lmao
Holy shit :wow
https://x.com/unblogd/status/1847344148073890185
Is Biden the first president to develop full on Dementia in office?
ducks
10-18-2024, 10:05 PM
Rust Belt Democrats are running ads aligning themselves with Donald Trump and running away from the Biden-Harris Administration.
Tell me again about "low quality" polls.
ducks
10-18-2024, 10:06 PM
https://youtu.be/fWEm-Jr212M?si=oemoAD9D7kpJlMEt
So USA is suppose to bail other counties out ?
They are not part of the 50 states of USA !
Blake
10-18-2024, 10:17 PM
Jesus Christ you’re retarded, that isn’t the 538 forecast that was in the article you thought was good for Harris and that isn’t “real time”.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
This is the 538 forecast and the graph will change once their update from TODAY that I linked is input
For the first time since 538 published our presidential election forecast for Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, Trump has taken the lead (if a very small one) over Harris. As of 3 p.m. Eastern on Oct. 18, our model gives Trump a 52-in-100 chance of winning the majority of Electoral College votes. The model gives Harris a 48-in-100 chance.
I'd never heard of this 538 site before now. I see now what I Googled was the general vote where Kamala still has the lead. What changed today was the electoral vote where Trump finally for the FIRST time took a small lead. If that's what you were referring to, why couldn't you say that? Are you this shitty at communication or are you trying for emoji scoreboard points?
Just for future reference, is the site we're going to say is the one we're all going to refer to? Just making sure in case Harris takes a lead again and you find other polls to pick from and avoid this one.
Blake
10-18-2024, 10:19 PM
:lmao
Holy shit :wow
https://x.com/unblogd/status/1847344148073890185
Is Biden the first president to develop full on Dementia in office?
Trump would be the 2nd if elected. But you think Harris is still somehow dumber.
florige
10-19-2024, 03:46 AM
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/
Real time right now ^
Harris +2.1
I just find it kinda fishy that all these polls have magically “shifted” all of the sudden without really anything happening. It sorta made sense in 2016 with the whole Comey stuff . But Trump is literally falling apart in front of us in real time and now all of these polls are trending Trump?
FrostKing
10-19-2024, 04:37 AM
I just find it kinda fishy that all these polls have magically “shifted” all of the sudden without really anything happening. It sorta made sense in 2016 with the whole Comey stuff . But Trump is literally falling apart in front of us in real time and now all of these polls are trending Trump?
F Polls. American politics are like a American Idol presentation.
Long live my America
Winehole23
10-19-2024, 07:55 AM
I just find it kinda fishy that all these polls have magically “shifted” all of the sudden without really anything happening. It sorta made sense in 2016 with the whole Comey stuff . But Trump is literally falling apart in front of us in real time and now all of these polls are trending Trump?Dozens of red team polls have dropped this month. They did this maneuver in 2022 as well to game the polling averages, we all know how that turned out.
Winehole23
10-19-2024, 08:57 AM
The difference is, this time Rs juking the stats will become a pretext for another attempt to throw out the election and install the loser.
florige
10-19-2024, 09:24 AM
The difference is, this time Rs juking the stats will become a pretext for another attempt to throw out the election and install the loser.
Gotcha makes sense
Winehole23
10-19-2024, 10:42 AM
e.g.,
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GaQO63qXoAAIVq7?format=jpg&name=900x900
Spurs Homer
10-19-2024, 11:31 AM
I just find it kinda fishy that all these polls have magically “shifted” all of the sudden without really anything happening. It sorta made sense in 2016 with the whole Comey stuff . But Trump is literally falling apart in front of us in real time and now all of these polls are trending Trump?
its part of the GOP/Russian/Rt wing dis/misinformation election scam...
they are desperate and are flooding the polls and the internet/social media sphere with shit - among other election interference/coup attempts now and in the next few weeks until trump loses and they try to steal the office again...
plain to see if you have paid any attention...
Spurs Homer
10-19-2024, 11:33 AM
HATER not too obvious- as evidenced by his flooding the board with shit in thread after thread -
not too obvious HATER is in a panic and has received his russian marching orders ...
florige
10-19-2024, 11:45 AM
its part of the GOP/Russian/Rt wing dis/misinformation election scam...
they are desperate and are flooding the polls and the internet/social media sphere with shit - among other election interference/coup attempts now and in the next few weeks until trump loses and they try to steal the office again...
plain to see if you have paid any attention...
Well the social media thing is pretty obvious. I just didn’t know that they could sway the polls like that .
Ef-man
10-19-2024, 11:46 AM
In a close race, interesting stat from 538 (Oct 18, 2024) overlooked by shook poster:
Unfavorable view of the felon: 52.6%
Favorable view of the felon: 43.2%
oof
Unfavorable view of Harris: 47.2%
Favorable view of Harris: 46.5%
Spurs Homer
10-19-2024, 12:03 PM
TOSB needs to be replaced...
https://youtu.be/iGmA1lqTZvg?si=O-mcZQxCzi620A4E
Ef-man
10-19-2024, 12:09 PM
TOSB needs to be replaced...
https://youtu.be/iGmA1lqTZvg?si=O-mcZQxCzi620A4E
Sleepy Don :lol
ducks
10-19-2024, 12:30 PM
Donald Trump has survived multiple assassination attempts and Kamala wants to frame the closing choice around who is tougher and more resilient. Her advisors are truly morons.
ducks
10-19-2024, 12:31 PM
Despite recent cancellations, the Trump-Vance ticket has done nearly twice as many interviews (83) as the Harris-Walz ticket (45).
ducks
10-19-2024, 12:35 PM
BREAKING: Trump has a packed campaign schedule with nearly a dozen events already planned, more to come.
Detroit, Mich. rally: tonight 7 ET
Latrobe, Pa. rally: tomorrow 6 ET
Lancaster, Pa. town hall: Sunday 5 ET
Asheville, N.C. presser: Monday 12 ET
Greenville, N.C. rally: Monday 3 ET
Concord, N.C. faith leaders meeting: Monday 6:30 ET
Miami, Fla. roundtable: Tuesday 11AM ET
Duluth, Ga. rally w/ TPUSA: Wednesday 7 ET
Las Vegas, Nev. rally w/ TPUSA: Thursday 7 PT
New York, New York rally: Sunday Oct. 27 at 5 ET
ChumpDumper
10-19-2024, 12:36 PM
Donald Trump has survived multiple assassination attempts and Kamala wants to frame the closing choice around who is tougher and more resilient. Her advisors are truly morons.
Despite recent cancellations, the Trump-Vance ticket has done nearly twice as many interviews (83) as the Harris-Walz ticket (45).
Trump won't make it to January.
ducks
10-19-2024, 12:36 PM
Sleepy Don :lol
Sleeps less then you
ducks
10-19-2024, 12:38 PM
Trump won't make it to January.
You going to make sure ?
ChumpDumper
10-19-2024, 12:39 PM
You going to make sure ?Nah, it's just his time.
He's not a god, no matter how much you want to make him one.
Blake
10-19-2024, 12:53 PM
Donald Trump has survived multiple assassination attempts and Kamala wants to frame the closing choice around who is tougher and more resilient. Her advisors are truly morons.
She means the type of tough that won't kneel before Putin.
Blake
10-19-2024, 12:54 PM
Sleeps less then you
Old cranky, senile men like that should get more sleep.
ducks
10-19-2024, 12:56 PM
Donald Trump will hold a "Black Men's Barbershop Talk" event in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania with
@ByronDonalds
tomorrow at 4PM ET.
ducks
10-19-2024, 12:59 PM
She means the type of tough that won't kneel before Putin.
She is the one that said she would be on foxnews at 5 got there 15 minutes late and promised Atleast 30 minutes of a interview and her handlers told her to get the hell out of there
Do you think she is going to be stronger on Putin then Trump
She talked to Putin before he invaded under her watch not Trump
ducks
10-19-2024, 12:59 PM
Nah, it's just his time.
He's not a god, no matter how much you want to make him one.
He go when it is his time might be before the election but I doubt it
ChumpDumper
10-19-2024, 01:06 PM
He go when it is his time might be before the election but I doubt it
He'll fall asleep in public again this week.
Blake
10-19-2024, 01:16 PM
She is the one that said she would be on foxnews at 5 got there 15 minutes late and promised Atleast 30 minutes of a interview and her handlers told her to get the hell out of there
Do you think she is going to be stronger on Putin then Trump
She talked to Putin before he invaded under her watch not Trump
1000% she'll be tougher on Putin than Trump. If you don't know how much Trump loves Putin by now, then you really are just looking the other way per your par.
Ef-man
10-19-2024, 01:47 PM
Sleeps less then you
I don't take naps during my own rallies
koriwhat
10-19-2024, 02:21 PM
She is the one that said she would be on foxnews at 5 got there 15 minutes late and promised Atleast 30 minutes of a interview and her handlers told her to get the hell out of there
Do you think she is going to be stronger on Putin then Trump
She talked to Putin before he invaded under her watch not Trump
The retards like BlaKKKe keep lying about Trump's relationship with leaders, good and bad, around the world because these regressive scumbags are nothing short of dramatic, hyperbolic, shit head theater kids.
I don't remember Trump telling Putin he'd have more power, to make deals with Putin himself, if/when he is elected again. Who was that again? Who buddied up to Putin in days past other than Hillary herself and other dems too?
ChumpDumper
10-19-2024, 03:17 PM
Who buddied up to Putin in days past other than Hillary herself and other dems too?
Trump. Trump did.
Leetonidas
10-19-2024, 03:21 PM
Donald Trump will hold a "Black Men's Barbershop Talk" event in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania with
@ByronDonalds
tomorrow at 4PM ET.
:lmao this is gonna be hilarious
hater
10-19-2024, 04:26 PM
:lmao
https://x.com/JoeyMannarinoUS/status/1847704673727189154
koriwhat
10-19-2024, 04:28 PM
:lmao
https://x.com/JoeyMannarinoUS/status/1847704673727189154
Is that BlaKKKe or CumDumpster?
LkrFan
10-19-2024, 04:47 PM
1847737526800269573
:lol
Blake
10-19-2024, 04:56 PM
Trump. Trump did.
BUt TiM PoOL sayS thEsE aRe aLL LiEs abOuT TrumP
Winehole23
10-19-2024, 05:59 PM
Fox had to cut away from Trump's demented, profane rambling in Latrobe
He's sundowning, folks
1847773241969902017
https://x.com/atrupar/status/1847773241969902017
ducks
10-19-2024, 07:41 PM
Wow! Kamala Harris was slated to speak for an hour today at her Detroit rally but cut back her remarks to 6 minutes and 27 seconds. She sounded hoarse, looked pale, and was moving lethargically.
Trump looked great and energized today on his way to his Latrobe, PA rally.
florige
10-19-2024, 07:43 PM
Wow! Kamala Harris was slated to speak for an hour today at her Detroit rally but cut back her remarks to 6 minutes and 27 seconds. She sounded hoarse, looked pale, and was moving lethargically.
Trump looked great and energized today on his way to his Latrobe, PA rally.
They probably got him pumped up full of coke honestly
ducks
10-19-2024, 08:04 PM
Latest polls that show a Trump Popular Vote Lead:
-AtlasIntel (Trump +3)
-FOX News (Trump +2)
-Rasmussen (Trump +2)
-Marquette (Trump +0.4)
-NBC News (Trump +1 in full field)
-Quinnipiac (Trump +1 in full field)
Blake
10-19-2024, 08:38 PM
Lol fox News poll
Blake
10-19-2024, 08:39 PM
Wow! Kamala Harris was slated to speak for an hour today at her Detroit rally but cut back her remarks to 6 minutes and 27 seconds. She sounded hoarse, looked pale, and was moving lethargically.
Trump looked great and energized today on his way to his Latrobe, PA rally.
You guys are so into looks.
florige
10-19-2024, 08:48 PM
You guys are so into looks.
Trump was talking about his fascination on how big Arnold Palmers penis was at his rally tonight
Winehole23
10-20-2024, 12:01 PM
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GaV-FKCXoAEOwav?format=jpg&name=4096x4096
ducks
10-20-2024, 03:38 PM
Happy birthday Harris
Doug should give you a birthday spanking !
Blake
10-20-2024, 03:58 PM
Happy birthday Harris
Doug should give you a birthday spanking !
Lol what magatards dream about
LkrFan
10-20-2024, 04:13 PM
Wow! Kamala Harris was slated to speak for an hour today at her Detroit rally but cut back her remarks to 6 minutes and 27 seconds. She sounded hoarse, looked pale, and was moving lethargically.
Trump looked great and energized today on his way to his Latrobe, PA rally.
1848077772935012426
Magic Negro and 47 look good. :tu
Winehole23
10-20-2024, 05:19 PM
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GaXYATkW0AAipbP?format=jpg&name=900x900
SnakeBoy
10-21-2024, 02:19 PM
New campaign slogan
1847702334714896726
ChumpDumper
10-21-2024, 02:23 PM
I do think a lot of scared white people will flee. I don't see the downside tbh.
Spurs Homer
10-21-2024, 02:28 PM
Climate hoax….
https://youtu.be/-ZGp257JhaE?si=aJXeCd6rYpY0LERT
LkrFan
10-21-2024, 02:32 PM
You farmers showed up and showed out
1848389235541201377
:tu
SnakeBoy
10-21-2024, 02:34 PM
Not sure an anti-fracking as is what Camela needs right now
LkrFan
10-21-2024, 02:41 PM
Not sure an anti-fracking as is what Camela needs right now
Ken Paxton punkass won't be able to save Rump this time son. :downspin:
Spurs Homer
10-21-2024, 02:47 PM
You farmers showed up and showed out
1848389235541201377
:tu
sorry…but my fellow texans will vote red, re-install that kunt- cancun crooze and will also vote for a rapist convicted felon dictator
its fuckin embarrassing
SnakeBoy
10-21-2024, 03:27 PM
You farmers showed up and showed out
1848389235541201377
:tu
Copying Trumpsters :lmao
ChumpDumper
10-21-2024, 03:28 PM
Trumptards think they invented flags :lmao
ducks
10-21-2024, 03:43 PM
Trump ahead in Florida
https://flvoicenews.com/florida-ge-live-data/
ducks
10-21-2024, 03:45 PM
Trumptards think they invented flags :lmao
Did Harris invest blow jobs ?
She is really good at it (how she got where she is )
ChumpDumper
10-21-2024, 03:48 PM
Did Harris invest blow jobs ?
She is really good at it (how she got where she is )You're weirdly obsessed with dicks, just like Trump.
Why can't you guys just not talk about dicks for a day?
I'd never heard of this 538 site before now. I see now what I Googled was the general vote where Kamala still has the lead. What changed today was the electoral vote where Trump finally for the FIRST time took a small lead. If that's what you were referring to, why couldn't you say that? Are you this shitty at communication or are you trying for emoji scoreboard points?
Just for future reference, is the site we're going to say is the one we're all going to refer to? Just making sure in case Harris takes a lead again and you find other polls to pick from and avoid this one.You brought up 538 not me so don't get pissy that from the time you linked it in your article it flipped on you :lol
Dozens of red team polls have dropped this month. They did this maneuver in 2022 as well to game the polling averages, we all know how that turned out.
ABC, NBC, Quinnipac, Activote are not "red team polls" and all have been favorable to Harris the entire cycle. All of them flipped to Trump. The polling aggregates have flipped to Trump because even Harris most favorable polls can't hid her collapse anymore.
You really need to stop reading the Hopium Chronicles :lol
Winehole23
10-21-2024, 04:18 PM
ABC, NBC, Quinnipac, Activote are not "red team polls" and all have been favorable to Harris the entire cycle. All of them flipped to Trump. The polling aggregates have flipped to Trump because even Harris most favorable polls can't hid her collapse anymore.Polls are fallible and run by fallable human beings. Seems you set a lot by them, maybe you're the one huffing copium.
Polls are fallible and run by fallable human beings. Seems you set a lot by them, maybe you're the one huffing copium.
Your "red team polls" theory to explain her collapse is nothing but pure copium. Again...ABC, NBC, Quinnipac, and Activote are not "red team polls" by any stretch of the imagination.
ChumpDumper
10-21-2024, 04:23 PM
"c:lolllapse"
Winehole23
10-21-2024, 04:24 PM
Your theory of Kamala's collapse could easily turn out to be copium -- the election will tell.
Your theory of Kamala's collapse could easily turn out to be copium -- the election will tell.
Her collapse in the polls isn't a theory it's a fact.
Winehole23
10-21-2024, 04:32 PM
seems to me the margins in the swing state polls have pretty much been within the MOE the whole way -- have they not?
ChumpDumper
10-21-2024, 04:33 PM
seems to me the margins in the swing state polls have pretty much been within the MOE the whole way -- have they not?
MoE isn't a theory it's a fact.
Blake
10-21-2024, 05:20 PM
You farmers showed up and showed out
1848389235541201377
:tu
The next truck I see here with a Harris flag will be the first.
The only other ones I've seen by the hundreds are the Trump 2024 or Biden sucks flags
Blake
10-21-2024, 05:22 PM
You brought up 538 not me so don't get pissy that from the time you linked it in your article it flipped on you :lol
:lol there's no way I mentioned 538 before you did here. You're the poll digger not me.
:lol there's no way I mentioned 538 before you did here. You're the poll digger not me.
Polls and odds are constantly changing, but here's where each candidate stood as of 3 p.m. on Oct. 17, 2024:
ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls at 48.5% to Trump at 46.1%. In the past, Harris has led Trump by as many as 4 percentage posts, though more recent polls show them much closer.
270towin shows Harris leading the national polls by 2.2% over Trump.
Realclearpolling shows the betting odds are in Harris' favor with a spread of +1.5 over Trump.
https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/10/18/who-is-winning-presidential-election-polls/75723475007/
Keep digging though so you can keep the oof posts going. Seems like fun.
Oof
Blake
10-21-2024, 06:52 PM
:lmao
:lmao
:lmao
Of course you feel this way you get your information from a website called hopiumchronicles.com :lmao
"Happy Tuesday all. Got a few things for you today:
The Encouraging Polls Just Keep Coming - Vice President Harris had a modest polling lead heading into the debate. Many polls taken since last Tuesday’s debate suggest she has gained ground. It’s all very encouraging (all polls can be found on 538):"
To maximize hopium he throws out the most accurate pollsters of the 2020 election and focuses on some of the most least accurate pollsters of 2020 :lmao
I will note there have also been some post-debate polls in the battleground from Republican-aligned polling firms like Insider Advantage, Quantas and Trafalgar. Here at Hopium we do not “toss them into the averages” given what happened with the fake red polling in 2022, we take them out and dismiss them. In recent weeks we’ve seen an uptick in the tempo of polling from what I am calling these “red wave pollsters” - American Greatness, co/efficient, Insider Advantage, McLaughlin, Trafalgar, Wick - whose sole purpose appears to be to produce polls in the states 2-4 points to the right of the public independent polls to make the election look more Republican and favorable to Trump.
https://www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/more-encouraging-post-debate-polls
hopium chronicles :lmao
youch
Blake
10-21-2024, 06:54 PM
lol abc owns then 538
lol democracts own them
Abc and morning survey polling
I guess ducks watches them too
youch
That was the article from the Hopium Chronicles that Tim Dunkem tried to hide the source of that I found. If you think that is me “bringing up” 538 to discuss polls like you brought it up before you than you’re even more pathetic than I thought. :lol
Blake
10-21-2024, 08:16 PM
That was the article from the Hopium Chronicles that Tim Dunkem tried to hide the source of that I found. If you think that is me “bringing up” 538 to discuss polls like you brought it up before you than you’re even more pathetic than I thought. :lol
The tsa rodeo
The tsa rodeo
lol so desperate
Blake
10-21-2024, 09:28 PM
lol so desperate
Rofl so projecting
Winehole23
10-21-2024, 09:49 PM
so much for TSA's huffing and puffing
Blake
10-21-2024, 09:58 PM
so much for TSA's huffing and puffing
He'll be back. He's desperate.
Rofl so projecting
You’re definitely desperate right now. Instead of just admitting you brought up the 538 projections (which backfired on you immediately :lol) and being done with this you’re flailing around searching my post history coming up blank and making yourself look more pathetic. It’s mind blowing how stubborn some of you are and how deep you’ll dig holes instead of just simply admitting to something you clearly did.
Blake
10-21-2024, 10:02 PM
You’re definitely desperate right now. Instead of just admitting you brought up the 538 projections (which backfired on you immediately :lol) and being done with this you’re flailing around searching my post history coming up blank and making yourself look more pathetic. It’s mind blowing how stubborn some of you are and how deep you’ll dig holes instead of just simply admitting to something you clearly did.
Ok so when you posted about 538 earlier, you really weren't posting about 538 earlier. You were just bringing them up to make a point about someone else bringing them up. I guess.
You win :tu . Does this internet victory taste as sweet as you hoped?
Ok so when you posted about 538 earlier, you really weren't posting about 538 earlier. You were just bringing them up to make a point about someone else bringing them up. I guess.
You win :tu . Does this internet victory taste as sweet as you hoped?
This is exactly what I’m talking about with you being so desperate. You found a post of mine laughing at Tim Dunkem for posting screenshots from a website called hopiumchronicles.com and the author of said article mentioned 538. Tim Dunkem wasn’t posting about 538 and neither was I. That isn’t me posting about 538. You know that, but you’re so desperate to save face it’s all you’ve got to grasp at. You’re still reeling from getting your shit pushed after that azcentral article you posted. Get over it.
Blake
10-21-2024, 10:33 PM
:madrunThis is exactly what I’m talking about with you being so desperate. You found a post of mine laughing at Tim Dunkem for posting screenshots from a website called hopiumchronicles.com and the author of said article mentioned 538. Tim Dunkem wasn’t posting about 538 and neither was I. That isn’t me posting about 538. You know that, but you’re so desperate to save face it’s all you’ve got to grasp at. You’re still reeling from getting your shit pushed after that azcentral article you posted. Get over it. :madrun
I already said you won. How many more internet points do you need to score on that one? Do you think I might rally a comeback?
ChumpDumper
10-21-2024, 11:44 PM
Man, TSA is taking...whatever he's talking about...really seriously.
Winehole23
10-21-2024, 11:56 PM
Man, TSA is taking...whatever he's talking about...really seriously.not kidding, one of the laid pretexts of Trumpian sore loserdom in 2024 when Trump loses again, will be favorable polls before the election.
I already said you won. How many more internet points do you need to score on that one? Do you think I might rally a comeback?
I think next time you jump into the poll talk you'll double check the polls mentioned in the article you link so 2 of 3 of them don't blow up in your face again.
not kidding, one of the laid pretexts of Trumpian sore loserdom in 2024 when Trump loses again, will be favorable polls before the election.
https://x.com/KellyannePolls/status/1848402416279953523
You'd have a point if Trump had ever lost while leading in polls before the election.
not kidding, one of the laid pretexts of Trumpian sore loserdom in 2024 when Trump loses again, will be favorable polls before the election.
https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1848671106254754027
https://x.com/RealSKeshel/status/1848543147300716844
https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1848702398073553288
LkrFan
10-22-2024, 09:52 AM
Em for Kamala
1848715531173740664
How many electoral votes in Michigan? ;)
LkrFan
10-22-2024, 09:53 AM
Em got a daughter. I'm totally not surprised. :tu
LkrFan
10-22-2024, 09:59 AM
Kamala on her way to the armpit of Texas
1848731804372537463
Any of you farmers going?
LkrFan
10-22-2024, 10:00 AM
Raphael Ted Cruz may be in trouble :wow
hater
10-22-2024, 10:07 AM
:lmao 3 loser cucks pretend that ugly dude is a girl :lmao
Fucking losers :lol
https://x.com/dom_lucre/status/1848420198031991007
ChumpDumper
10-22-2024, 10:09 AM
https://x.com/KellyannePolls/status/1848402416279953523
You'd have a point if Trump had ever lost while leading in polls before the election.
Who is Kellyanne Conway and has the RCP methodology changed over time?
ducks
10-22-2024, 10:25 AM
Donald Trump is so exhausted that Kamala Harris is taking the day off.
ducks
10-22-2024, 10:36 AM
2 weeks left in the U.S. election and CNN
is reporting that “Kamala takes a break today to prepare for an interview”.
Leetonidas
10-22-2024, 10:45 AM
2 weeks left in the U.S. election and CNN
is reporting that “Kamala takes a break today to prepare for an interview”.
Interesting considering she is doing a rally in Detroit tonight
ducks
10-22-2024, 10:46 AM
CNBC just said that Kamala has left policy discussion on taxes to be handled by Mark Cuban in the final two weeks of the campaign out of fear she'll screw up and alienate people.
Who is Kellyanne Conway and has the RCP methodology changed over time?
:lol methodology copium
ChumpDumper
10-22-2024, 11:00 AM
:lol methodology copium:lmao tweet authorship and methodology are no longer important according to you after they really, really were important according to you.
Good to know.:tu
ChumpDumper
10-22-2024, 11:14 AM
The best part of this is that we all already think Trump is going to win regardless of what any poll of tweet about a poll says on any given day.
Even when Trump and his Trumptards win, they're still miserable and only know to lash out.
ChumpDumper
10-22-2024, 11:21 AM
Donald Trump is so exhausted that Kamala Harris is taking the day off.
She's doing another network interview while dude can't even do a Zoom call.
1848745453413699899
https://x.com/HCTrudo/status/1848745453413699899
SnakeBoy
10-22-2024, 11:50 AM
She's doing campaign events with Liz Cheney :lol
ChumpDumper
10-22-2024, 11:51 AM
She's doing campaign events with Liz Cheney :lol:tu
hater
10-22-2024, 11:55 AM
:lmao :lmao
This cant be real. This is AI right?????
https://x.com/RubinReport/status/1848505409608552640
hater
10-22-2024, 11:57 AM
CNBC just said that Kamala has left policy discussion on taxes to be handled by Mark Cuban in the final two weeks of the campaign out of fear she'll screw up and alienate people.
:lmao :lmao :lmao :lmao
:lmao tweet authorship and methodology are no longer important according to you after they really, really were important according to you.
Good to know.:tu
I don't care how it's calculated.More projection. Bringing up and questioning the methodology is your copium. You did it with Nate Silver a few days ago and now you're doing it with 538.
ChumpDumper
10-22-2024, 12:05 PM
More projection. Bringing up and questioning the methodology is your copium. You did it with Nate Silver a few days ago and now you're doing it with 538.There isn't much you really care about other than getting back at us for mocking you all these years.:tu
The best part of this is that we all already think Trump is going to win regardless of what any poll of tweet about a poll says on any given day.
Even when Trump and his Trumptards win, they're still miserable and only know to lash out.
:lol projection copium
There isn't much you really care about other than getting back at us for mocking you all these years.:tu
:lol projection copium
ChumpDumper
10-22-2024, 12:07 PM
:lol you admitted the only reason you're here is to get back at us, dude.
You won in 2016 and you lost your fucking mind.
Another clear sign that ChumpDumper in on tilt is when he starts using "we" and "us" to refer to other posters on ST he's never actually met. :lol
ChumpDumper
10-22-2024, 12:11 PM
Another clear sign that ChumpDumper in on tilt is when he starts using "we" and "us" to refer to other posters on ST he's never actually met. :lolMany people here have mocked you.
No one needs to meet other posters as a requirement to mock you.
This is not in dispute.
Many people here have mocked you.
This is not in dispute.
Everyone here mocks everyone. It's how this place has always been. I'm here for entertainment and have no problem laughing at myself. Difference between you and me is that you take it super personally when you're mocked, like you're doing right now.
ChumpDumper
10-22-2024, 12:18 PM
Everyone here mocks everyone. It's how this place has always been. I'm here for entertainment and have no problem laughing at myself. Difference between you and me is that you take it super personally when you're mocked, like you're doing right now.:lol projection copium
You thought you were getting special tippy-top Trump knowledge from Q, dude.
You won and you lost your mind.
hater
10-22-2024, 12:23 PM
CNBC just said that Kamala has left policy discussion on taxes to be handled by Mark Cuban in the final two weeks of the campaign out of fear she'll screw up and alienate people.
:lmao
https://x.com/LeadingReport/status/1848556377133760674
:lol projection copium
You thought you were getting special tippy-top Trump knowledge from Q, dude.
You won and you lost your mind.
I'm here for entertainment and have no problem laughing at myself. Difference between you and me is that you take it super personally when you're mocked, like you're doing right now.
ChumpDumper
10-22-2024, 12:39 PM
I'm here for entertainment and have no problem laughing at myself. Difference between you and me is that you take it super personally when you're mocked, like you're doing right now.:lol projection copium
You didn't laugh at yourself when I mocked you about Q and Air Force One. You immediately took it personally and went on the attack.
ducks
10-22-2024, 12:44 PM
he left-wing newspaper "Los Angeles Times" has decided NOT TO ENDORSE Kamala Harris for president.
The Times has endorsed *every* Democratic presidential candidate since 2008
ducks
10-22-2024, 12:45 PM
Bronx barber:
-Rent up $1,200 in past few years
-Paid $2,100 electric bill when shop opened, but in the last seven months his bill is up to $15,000.
Kamala Harris’s economy is failing!
https://x.com/Jim_Jordan/status/1848771805793669277
ducks
10-22-2024, 12:49 PM
How in the hell can the electric go up that much
New York need to fire the democracts !
ChumpDumper
10-22-2024, 12:51 PM
Bronx barber:
-Rent up $1,200 in past few years
-Paid $2,100 electric bill when shop opened, but in the last seven months his bill is up to $15,000.
Kamala Harris’s economy is failing!
https://x.com/Jim_Jordan/status/1848771805793669277
Did Trump lower his New York rents the past few years?
ducks
10-22-2024, 12:54 PM
https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1848782662028411053
Trump going on podcast lol
Harris not
ChumpDumper
10-22-2024, 12:57 PM
https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1848782662028411053
Trump going on podcast lol
Harris not
Didn't you guys just try to shit on Kamala's appearing on a popular podcast?
Pick a lane.
:lol projection copium
You didn't laugh at yourself when I mocked you about Q and Air Force One. You immediately took it personally and went on the attack.
I for sure laughed at myself. I don't take anything said here personally. I've got wrong about pizzagate under my username, if I took things personally I wouldn't have that under my username. I know it's hard for you to grasp this but I do not take things here personally like you do. Look at you right now...you are bringing something up from 5 years ago I said thinking I give a shit :lol
You spend more time here online than any other poster here and it's not even close. You take everything personally, this website is your life.
https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1848782662028411053
Trump going on podcast lol
Harris not
:wow
he left-wing newspaper "Los Angeles Times" has decided NOT TO ENDORSE Kamala Harris for president.
The Times has endorsed *every* Democratic presidential candidate since 2008
:rollin
ChumpDumper
10-22-2024, 01:09 PM
I for sure laughed at myself. I don't take anything said here personally. I've got wrong about pizzagate under my username, if I took things personally I wouldn't have that under my username. I know it's hard for you to grasp this but I do not take things here personally like you do. Look at you right now...you are bringing something up from 5 years ago I said thinking I give a shit :lol
You spend more time here online than any other poster here and it's not even close. You take everything personally, this website is your life.
Hey, a personal attack.
:lol it's so internalized, you can't even recognize it in yourself.
Leetonidas
10-22-2024, 01:14 PM
he left-wing newspaper "Los Angeles Times" has decided NOT TO ENDORSE Kamala Harris for president.
The Times has endorsed *every* Democratic presidential candidate since 2008
So basically just three people? :lol
hater
10-22-2024, 01:44 PM
So basically just three people? :lol
Sure if that makes you feel better
:lmao
hater
10-22-2024, 01:44 PM
:lmao :lmao
It all makes sense now
https://x.com/ThePatriotOasis/status/1848522326377193701
ChumpDumper
10-22-2024, 01:50 PM
:lmao :lmao
It all makes sense now
What makes sense now?
hater
10-22-2024, 01:51 PM
Please
Please tell me this is AI
https://x.com/TimRunsHisMouth/status/1848475710383657341
Blake
10-22-2024, 02:10 PM
Haterficial intelligence at work
https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1848801885010252274
oof
ducks
10-22-2024, 02:39 PM
Former President Donald Trump is taking "nothing for granted" over the final two weeks is scheduled to host 29 campaign events over the next 10 days, Lewandowski told "Wake Up America," calling it a "full court press" until Election Day.
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