UNT Eagles 2016
11-01-2024, 04:45 PM
If Trump wins and Harris loses, both the Democrat and Republican primaries will be open.
If Harris wins and Trump loses, it's likely only the GOP primary will be open.
Trump win: (and don't give me the "trump will override the 22nd/end democracy" crap) Vance is clearly the GOP front-runner, and may not face a lot of serious opposition. For the Democrats, the clear front-runners are Shapiro and Whitmer, with Newsom potentially running but getting killed on his California record, and you might have a dark horse like Mark Kelly as well.
Harris win: Harris is almost certainly running unopposed for the Democrats. For the GOP, Vance's political career beyond being a long term senator for Ohio is pretty much cooked. Trump will be long out of politics and possibly in jail or out on a plea deal or in another country, who knows. I think, clearly DeSantis and Youngkin are the front-runners, though Youngkin might be the best candidate because of the combination of him not being the abortion hawk and him being tall and tall men candidates historically do very well especially with the female vote.
If Harris wins and Trump loses, it's likely only the GOP primary will be open.
Trump win: (and don't give me the "trump will override the 22nd/end democracy" crap) Vance is clearly the GOP front-runner, and may not face a lot of serious opposition. For the Democrats, the clear front-runners are Shapiro and Whitmer, with Newsom potentially running but getting killed on his California record, and you might have a dark horse like Mark Kelly as well.
Harris win: Harris is almost certainly running unopposed for the Democrats. For the GOP, Vance's political career beyond being a long term senator for Ohio is pretty much cooked. Trump will be long out of politics and possibly in jail or out on a plea deal or in another country, who knows. I think, clearly DeSantis and Youngkin are the front-runners, though Youngkin might be the best candidate because of the combination of him not being the abortion hawk and him being tall and tall men candidates historically do very well especially with the female vote.