PDA

View Full Version : Do You Think Pistons can win 70 games this season?



milkyway21
01-07-2006, 12:37 AM
we heard from the experts. (see the article below..)

but I'd like to hear from you.

They won again tonight.

but are they really capable of winning or copying the Bulls' best of 70+wins during the Jordan era?

if it's the Pistons, I'll say : NO.

But around 64-69 W is possible.

http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/news/story?id=2282744



Experts: Can the Pistons win 70? Will they?
ESPN.com


With the Detroit Pistons on pace to win 71 games this season and become the second team ever to reach the 70-win mark, we asked a dozen ESPN analysts to weigh in on the key questions: Can the Pistons win 70? Should they try to win 70? How many will they win? And who will win it all?

1. Are the Pistons capable of winning 70 games?

Chris Broussard, ESPN The Magazine: No. Over the course of an 82-game schedule, there are bound to be nights when the team just doesn't have it. On those nights, you need a superstar who can carry you with his sheer greatness. The Bulls of '96 had MJ. The Sixers of '67 (68-13) had Wilt. These Pistons don't have that superstar. Also, they are winning with offense, not defense and rebounding. Offense will abandon them some nights, and some of those nights will end up as L's.

Ric Bucher, ESPN The Magazine: They're certainly capable, but it's going to require coach Flip Saunders to play his starters longer minutes or dinged-up players fighting through injury even after they have the best record in the Eastern Conference sewed up. A lot of it depends on how hard the Spurs push them for the best overall record. The Pistons want home-court advantage because that may have been the difference in last year's Finals. The Spurs, traditionally, have not placed that much importance on it.

John Carroll, Scouts Inc.: They are capable, but in looking at their schedule over the last 53 games, I predict they will not. They have 27 home and 26 away. In those 53 games, they have 12 back-to-back games.

Chad Ford, ESPN Insider: Absolutely. They have the most complete starting five in the NBA. There isn't a team in the league that they don't match up with. Flip Saunders has proven that this group can light it up offensively. And if their shots aren't falling, the Pistons still know how to ramp it up on the defensive end.

John Hollinger, ESPN Insider: I don't think so. To win 70 games normally requires a victory margin in the plus-10 range. The Pistons, as well as they have played, are at plus-7.8 right now. Even if they stayed healthy and played at the same level, they'd have to get extremely lucky in close games.

Scoop Jackson, Page 2: No. The only reason is because their focus will change. With four losses already, they're on pace to have eight by March 1. Come April, they'll be in playoff mode mentally, not concerned about chasing records or winning 70. Remember, the Bulls at one time were 41-3. They were on pace for 77 wins. Their focus shifted. That's why they only won 72.

Tim Legler, ESPN Insider: I don't think the Pistons will win 70 games because the bottom half of the NBA is much better than in recent years and it is more difficult to just show up on any given night and get a win. The Pistons also have a thin bench and eventually their string of good health in that starting lineup is bound to come to an end. I don't think they can get 70 if any of their starters goes down for an extended period of time.

Jim O'Brien, ESPN Insider: No. Going 45-8 over the rest of the season is too big a task. They have some tough road games with the likes of San Antonio, Miami twice, Indiana, New Jersey and Cleveland (which already beat them in Cleveland) among others. They might approach the magic number, but as soon as they secure home-court advantage for the entire playoffs, they will probably back off some, even if it is not intended.

Will Perdue, ESPN Insider: Yes, but they hope they do not have to. This team's starters play a lot of minutes.



Chris Sheridan, ESPN Insider: Yes, they're capable, but their loss in Utah was an example of the type of game -- their third in four nights -- that the Pistons will need to routinely win to reach 70. The 1995-96 Bulls opened 12-0 and finished 24-4 playing their third in four nights. Detroit will do it 25 times, including eight straight on the road in February and March.

Ken Shouler, ESPN Insider: The Pistons are surely capable. They have the best differential in the league (plus-7.8), more than a point ahead of San Antonio's. But they need one non-statistical factor to fall their way: good health. The five teams that have won 68 or more games (the 1967 Sixers, the 1972 Lakers, the 1973 Celtics, and the 1996 and '97 Bulls) played out the regular season without injuries to their key players. The Celtics were the only one that failed to win the title. Why? Possibly because John Havlicek separated his shoulder in the Eastern Conference finals against New York.

Marc Stein, ESPN.com: Capable? Definitely. Look at the competition. Who else besides San Antonio is playing at an elite level right now? Neither conference is teeming with top teams at the moment.

2. Should the Pistons try to win 70 games?

Broussard: Yes. I don't think it should be a priority, but if they have a chance, they should push for it. That would place them in immortality, especially if they go on to win the title. The Sixers of '67 are remembered for winning 68 games, not just for the title. If they hadn't won 68, they would've been lost in the middle of all those Boston championships. The Bulls of '96 have to be regarded as the best team ever -- though they probably aren't -- simply because they won 72 games and the championship. If the Pistons win 73 and a title, going through Shaq and Duncan, their place in history would be very, very high.

Bucher: "Try"? Absolutely not. It doesn't break the Bulls' record and it leaves them open to second-guessing should they not win the championship. They should aim to have the best record in the league, because it's worth home-court advantage throughout the playoffs. Winning 70 is meaningless beyond that.

Carroll: Similar to the Colts in the NFL, the goal is to win the championship in the postseason. Going undefeated in the regular season in football or winning 70 games in basketball is not the goal. If it were to happen while resting players to get ready for the playoffs, then that is OK. Trying to get 70 at the expense of your team being fresh for the postseason is silly.

Ford: I don't think so. The Pistons aren't playing for the regular-season records. They want to win a title. The Pistons' one weakness is depth. A major injury to any of their starting five would dramatically change their chances of winning it all in June. I would let up on the gas a little, get some of the younger Pistons some experience in the right situations and not sweat a loss here or there. As long as they get home-court advantage, nothing else should matter.

Hollinger: No, if they get home-court advantage locked up they should take it easy and rest their starters. These guys have played a huge number of minutes the past three seasons, especially once you include playoffs, and Flip needs them fresh for the postseason.

Jackson: Yes. I think they should try to win 70, just to have some type of mental or psychological advantage over San Antonio if/when they meet in the Finals. Like, "Yeah, you all have the ring, but we got 70 this year. We're the team this year, this is our year!"

Legler: The decision on whether to go for 70 wins won't be addressed until much later in the season. For now, Flip Saunders has this team focused on putting as much distance between themselves and the surging Miami Heat for the top seed in the East. Eventually, decisions will have to be made regarding how much to play the starters if the East is wrapped up. If you have a chance at history, you should take it.

O'Brien: If San Antonio or Dallas keeps the pressure on Detroit in the race for home-court advantage it will give the Pistons added incentive to win. If the advantage is secured fairly early, Saunders will make sure his starters are rested and healthy for the long pull of the championship run. In the latter case, 70 wins becomes somewhat irrelevant.

Perdue: Trying to win 70 would tax these guys and have an effect on how they play in the playoffs. This team wants to accomplish three things: (1) Win the Central division. (2) Have the best record in the Eastern Conference. (3) Have the best record in the NBA. Last season, San Antonio won Game 7 of the Finals on it's home court. If the Pistons need to win 70 games to accomplish these goals, they should try. But only if it's necessary.

Sheridan: They should try to win 73 to break the Bulls' record, setting their sights as high as possible.

Shouler: Yes. Chances to make history don't come along every day. By removing Kobe Bryant after three quarters, Phil Jackson stopped him from possibly scoring 80-85 points, for the second-highest total ever. His decision robbed us of a chance to see history. If Detroit wins 70, that would also be the second-highest total ever.

Stein: The problem is you can't try not to win games. But it shouldn't be their goal … and I'm pretty sure it isn't. After losing Game 7 of the Finals in San Antonio, all these guys care about is posting the best overall record in the league and securing the home-court advantage throughout the playoffs that goes with it. If they win 70 games in the process, call it historical icing.

3. How many games will the Pistons win this season?

Broussard: 65

Bucher: 67

Carroll: 64

Ford: 70

Hollinger: 61

Jackson: 68

Legler: 64-67

O'Brien: 68

Perdue: 64

Sheridan: 66

Shouler: 67

Stein: 66

4. Who will win the Eastern Conference title?

Broussard: Pistons

Bucher: Pistons

Carroll: Pistons

Ford: Pistons

Hollinger: Pistons

Jackson: Pistons

Legler: Pistons

O'Brien: Pistons

Perdue: Pistons

Shouler: Pistons

Sheridan: Pistons

Stein: Pistons

5. Who will win the NBA title?

Broussard: Pistons

Bucher: Spurs

Carroll: Spurs

Ford: Pistons

Hollinger: Pistons

Jackson: Spurs

Legler: Spurs

O'Brien: Spurs

Perdue: Spurs

Sheridan: Spurs

Shouler: Pistons

Stein: Spurs

Buddy Holly
01-07-2006, 12:40 AM
If they do, so will the Spurs becuase last time I checked, Detroit had 4 losses and SA had 7, a mere difference of 3.

Not to mention the Pistons are about to gain another L next week. :)

ZStomp
01-07-2006, 12:48 AM
It's probable but I don't see it happening.

FreshPrince22
01-07-2006, 01:49 AM
No. It would take a lot of luck to get 70. I'd say it's about a 15% chance. Not good, but not impossible.

FreshPrince22
01-07-2006, 01:51 AM
If they do, so will the Spurs becuase last time I checked, Detroit had 4 losses and SA had 7, a mere difference of 3.

Not to mention the Pistons are about to gain another L next week. :)

3 is a lot of losses considering you can only lose 12 all season to win 70.

T Park
01-07-2006, 01:52 AM
Id love it if the Spurs and Pistons, both won, 70 games on the nose.

Tied the season series head to head.


Would set up for the best finals rematch in sports history.

Tanya
01-07-2006, 01:53 AM
It's always fun to read these articles.
I don't like the way they are having fun. None of a piston players ever think about this. They still got 53 games to play. They still got so many road games and so many back-to-back nights. They already have lost 4 games. And they don't have MJ. So that's obvious -- they won't make that record!
It's just so stupid to make those prediction. Don't give the piston players pressure please. They only want home court advantage. period. I don't wanna see any injuries caused by playing too hard for chasing the stupid record.

FreshPrince22
01-07-2006, 02:09 AM
Here's one thing I don't get. All the "Experts" like to say "they don't have a superstar to get them through tough games", but it goes the other way too. Our team is so balanced that we don't rely on 1 guy to almost always have a great game to win. Teams with superstars tend to struggle when their superstar has an "off-night". If one of the Pistons has an off night it's not a huge deal because they really have 5 players who contribute an equal amount. As I already said I don't think we'll get it, but I don't think that's the reason. I just think it takes too much luck to win that many games.

Solid D
01-07-2006, 02:16 AM
Maybe, but they might as well post a poll, "Will any Pistons starters miss time due to injury this season?" That would also impact the answer to the 70 game question.

Vinnie_Johnson
01-07-2006, 02:39 AM
No The Pistons have 21 back to back no way they turn 70 not that they want to.

Sense
01-07-2006, 02:43 AM
They'll get tired as months pass and they'll start losin more.

I don't see it happening.

They don't have a basketball god like Michael.

bdubya
01-07-2006, 02:59 AM
They're capable of it, with a little luck, but so is any other team with <13 L's. It's not about 70 regular-season wins, it's about 16 in the post-season.

milkyway21
01-07-2006, 03:17 AM
1. Billups is not MJ.
2. is Coach Flip as good as Phil Jax?
3. bench depth -in case a starter gets injured such as Billups or Rasheed Wallace.

Q, Q, & Q.........:rolleyes

Warlord23
01-07-2006, 04:00 AM
Neither the Pistons or spurs will try to win 70, unless that is what is needed for HCA. In the case of the Spurs, I'm not even sure if Pop will keep playing his big guns if the Spurs have locked up the #1 seed in the West, but need to keep winning to get HCA vs Detroit. If either of them lock it up with 65 wins or so, then the bench will take over for the remaining games to rest the starters.

RobinsontoDuncan
01-07-2006, 11:11 AM
i kind of thing home court would be important versus detroit should the two teams meet in the finals.... the spurs are 16-1 at home.

and have won 67 out of their last 71 games there (i think, ask jim)

THE X-FACTOR
01-07-2006, 11:13 AM
Funny thing is neither the Pistons players or fans care about winning 70 games, only the media.

THE X-FACTOR
01-07-2006, 11:15 AM
I rather have HCA only for the east but not for the finals, the Pistons can win one of two on the road against anyone in the west and 3 in a row at home in games 3,4, and 5.

RobinsontoDuncan
01-07-2006, 11:23 AM
^ hey didnt you used to be a pacer fan?

ChumpDumper
01-07-2006, 11:26 AM
No, this is the good X-FACTOR.

Extra Stout
01-07-2006, 11:27 AM
The Pistons only have a point differential of +8 or so. It would be extremely difficult to win 70 games with that. The law of averages eventually catches up. And, as mentioned, they have a bunch of back-to-backs coming up. The schedule catches up to them too. Thirdly, they aren't going to kill themselves to chase that record. Finals HCA may be a priority. 70 wins is not.

They'll win 60-65 games, but not 70.

ABDENOUR POWER
01-07-2006, 11:27 AM
4. Who will win the Eastern Conference title?

Broussard: Pistons

Bucher: Pistons

Carroll: Pistons

Ford: Pistons

Hollinger: Pistons

Jackson: Pistons

Legler: Pistons

O'Brien: Pistons

Perdue: Pistons

Shouler: Pistons

Sheridan: Pistons

Stein: Pistons

I just had to go post this on the Miami Heat boards, they're such morons.
:lol

About 70 games .... I'm sick of all this talk, they won't get there. If 15 games later they're still in position for it, then I'll start thinking about it. I just don't see it happening.

Trainwreck2100
01-07-2006, 12:48 PM
Bulls didn't have 4 losses till 41 wins, so no.

boutons_
01-07-2006, 01:44 PM
I don't think Pistons will get 70 W.

From today, the Pistons will have to go 44 - 8 to finish 70 - 12. Probable injuries, B2Bs, plus teams gelling in the 2nd half of the season make that very difficult.

The much more important question (but not for the media) is will the Spurs overtake the Pistons to get Finals HCA.

Look at Pistons schedule:

Jan

Sat 7 Utah

Tue 10 @NO/Okla. City

Thu 12 @San Antonio <<<<

Sat 14 Charlotte

Mon 16 Boston

Wed 18 @Atlanta
Thu 19 @New York

Sun 22 Houston

Tue 24 @Minnesota
Wed 25 Milwaukee <<<<

Fri 27 Memphis

Sun 29 L.A. Lakers

Tue 31 @New Jersey <<<<

Feb
Wed 1 Minnesota

Fri 3 @Philadelphia
Sat 4 @Indiana

Tue 7 @Atlanta
Wed 8 L.A. Clippers

Fri 10 @Orlando

Sun 12 @Miami <<<<

Tue 14 New Jersey

Tue 21 Atlanta

Thu 23 Indiana
Fri 24 @Chicago <<<<

Sun 26 Cleveland
Mon 27 @Cleveland <<<<

Mar
Wed 1 @Denver

Fri 3 @Seattle
Sat 4 @L.A. Lakers

Wed 8 Chicago

Sat 11 @Washington
Sun 12 Charlotte

Wed 15 @Toronto

Fri 17 @New York
Sat 18 @Charlotte

Mon 20 Atlanta

Wed 22 Miami

Fri 24 @Indiana

Sun 26 New Jersey

Tue 28 Dallas <<<<
Wed 29 @Philadelphia <<<<

Fri 31 Milwaukee

Apr
Sun 2 Phoenix

Tue 4 NO/Okla. City

Thu 6 @Miami <<<<
Fri 7 @Orlando <<<<

Sun 9 Indiana

Wed 12 Cleveland

Fri 14 @Toronto

Sun 16 New York
Mon 17 @Milwaukee <<<<

Wed 19 Washington

If Pistons lost all the "<<<<", they'd finish 67 - 15. But they won't lose all those games, but will lose others. 70 is possible but quite improbable.
I figure 65 - 67.

I figure the Spurs will make up the Ls to catch the Pistons, but might end up with a tie, so Spurs _MUST_ WIN next Thurs to get the split.

======================

2-way tie breaker rules:

TWO-WAY TIES

a. Results of games against each other. (spurs need split)

b. Better winning percentage within own conference. (both now have 2L in own conf)

d. Better winning percentage against playoff opponents in own conference.

e. Better winning percentage against playoff opponents in opposite conference.

f. Better point differential between offense and defense.

==============================

A problem is that Pistons have tie-breaker advantages for b and d, because of being in the weaker Confereence, so Spurs best chance is win Playoffs/Finals HCA outright with best record.

Buddy Holly
01-07-2006, 02:01 PM
3 is a lot of losses considering you can only lose 12 all season to win 70.

It'll be a difference of two come next week. :lol

bonesinaz
01-07-2006, 02:09 PM
Pistons won't win 70. They will have an injury or 2 which will cost them.

Leetonidas
01-07-2006, 02:35 PM
The Spurs were probably on pace for 65 before Timmy went down last year. Someone will get injured. They won't stay healthy all year long. They won't win 70, but they will at least win 60.

Extra Stout
01-07-2006, 05:38 PM
Right now, I have Detroit going 64-18.