PDA

View Full Version : Steve Kerr predicts a piston win.



woodseed
03-23-2006, 05:57 PM
The pros' bracket racket
By Steve Kerr, Yahoo! Sports
March 23, 2006

Steve Kerr
Yahoo! Sports Exclusive
In the spirit of the season, let's imagine for a moment what the NBA's version of March Madness might look like.

Yes, the playoffs are a month away, and there are still several teams on the bubble as they vie for the final spots in each conference. But as the season winds down, it is already apparent who the contenders, pretenders and also-rans are.

So I will be the Craig Littlepage of Yahoo! Sports and unveil my brackets for you here. Please send all complaints and arguments directly to Billy Packer and Jim Nantz.

TOURNAMENT SEEDINGS

1. San Antonio Spurs – The Spurs didn't graduate anyone and return all the key components from last year's championship team. Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili are getting healthy and Tony Parker is one of the best guards in the country. We at the committee like to look at the last 10 games on a team's schedule, and San Antonio is 7-3 over that span.

ADVERTISEMENT

2. Detroit Pistons – Pistons fans are angry at not getting the one seed, despite Detroit's better record and two wins over San Antonio in the regular season. But the committee wasn't thrilled with the Pistons' recent play, which includes four losses in their last 11 games.

3. Dallas Mavericks – The Mavericks very nearly secured a No. 1 seed, but their 1-2 record against San Antonio hurt their chances. Besides, when you don't win your conference – or the Southwest Division title, in this case – you can't be a top seed.

4. Miami Heat – The Heat, despite losing to Phoenix twice in the regular season, get the fourth seed based on a strong finish to the season. A weak conference (the Southeast) led to a poor strength of schedule, but the committee couldn't help notice that the Heat won 15 of their last 18 games.

5. Phoenix Suns – The Suns are the highest-scoring team in the country, but can they stop anyone? They'll be tested severely by their 12th-seeded opponent. Remember, this is the dreaded 12 vs. 5 matchup where there's always an upset. Look out.

6. Los Angeles Clippers – For the first time since 1997, the Clips get a ticket to the dance and a shot at glory. Elton Brand's spectacular season led to the highest seed ever for a Clipper team.

7. New Jersey Nets – The committee loved the Nets' strong late-season push and the Atlantic Division tournament championship.

8. Cleveland Cavaliers – It's been a rollercoaster season, but Cleveland plays in a power conference and has a brutal schedule, and the committee likes teams that aren't afraid to play good teams. Plus, we like watching LeBron James play.

9. Memphis Grizzlies – The committee loves irony, and remember, with a bounce of a ping-pong ball, LeBron would have been a Grizzly. But when Memphis didn't win the lottery, its pick was given to Detroit as part of a past trade, leaving the Pistons to give a scholarship to Darko Milicic.

10. Denver Nuggets – Carmelo Anthony tries to win another national championship, this time with the Nuggets. Let's hope they do better than this year's Orangemen.

11. Washington Wizards – The Wizards get shipped West to face the Clippers, but they feature an explosive trio of scorers in Gilbert Arenas, Antawn Jamison and Caron Butler. Washington could easily advance to the next round.

12. Sacramento Kings – A rowdy home-court advantage will give the Kings a shot at the upset over the Suns. The question is whether or not the team can adapt well enough to midseason transfer Ron Artest.

13. Indiana Pacers – The Hoosiers, uh, Pacers, have had an up-and-down season with injuries and academic casualties. But with great coaching from Bob Knight, I mean Rick Carlisle, Indiana is in the tourney once more.

14. Los Angeles Lakers – The longtime powerhouse has had a down season, but after an NIT appearance last season, the Lakers are just happy to get an invitation. Can senior Kobe Bryant lead his band of freshmen and sophomores to the upset of Dallas? Doubtful.

15. Milwaukee Bucks – The Bucks' record isn't good, but a fourth-place finish in a power conference – the Central Division – is a result of a difficult schedule. Milwaukee's RPI is high enough to get it into the dance, where the Bucks will try to put the slippers on and become this year's Cinderella.

16. Philadelphia 76ers – The Sixers come from a mid-major conference (aka the Atlantic Division) and therefore haven't played much of a schedule. Can they play with the big boys? No, but Allen Iverson will have a chance to show the nation what he's all about.

SWEET 16

Philadelphia (16) vs. San Antonio (1) – Spurs in five.
Memphis (9) vs. Cleveland (8) – Grizzlies in six.

Sacramento (12) vs. Phoenix (5) – Suns in seven.
Indiana (13) vs. Miami (4) – Heat in five.

L.A. Lakers (14) vs. Dallas (3) – Mavericks in five.
Washington (11) vs. L.A. Clippers (6) – Clippers in seven.

Denver (10) vs. New Jersey (7) – Nuggets in six.
Milwaukee (15) vs. Detroit (2) – Pistons in four.

ELITE EIGHT

Memphis (9) vs. San Antonio (1) – The Spurs' experience wins out over the young but improving Grizzlies. Pau Gasol has emerged as a star, but it's not enough to beat Duncan and company. Spurs in six.

Phoenix (5) vs. Miami (4) – Must-see TV. The Heat try to run with the Suns early in the series without much luck, but they eventually pound away with Shaq to get back into it. In the end, however, O'Neal can't keep up with the frenetic pace set by Steve Nash, and Phoenix's constant double-teaming bothers him enough to make a difference. Suns in seven.

L.A. Clippers (6) vs. Dallas (3) – The Clippers get great senior leadership from Sam Cassell and almost pull off the upset. But nobody on the L.A. roster can guard Dirk Nowitzki. Mavericks in seven.

Denver (10) vs. Detroit (2) – More irony. The Pistons could have drafted Carmelo, instead they took Darko. Tayshaun Prince has heard enough about Anthony, though, and he makes it his personal mission to shut 'Melo down. Pistons in five.

FINAL FOUR

Phoenix (5) vs. San Antonio (1) – The Spurs are still the best team in the West because they can beat you at any game. Phoenix tries to outrun San Antonio, but Tony Parker's penetration and the Spurs' stifling defense proves too much for the Suns. Spurs in six.

Dallas (3) vs. Detroit (2) – Avery Johnson's club has improved dramatically on defense, but this Detroit team is just too balanced for the Mavericks to stop everyone. From one game to the next, a different Piston takes care of business, and Detroit outlasts a game Dallas team. Pistons in seven.

NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP

Detroit (2) vs. San Antonio (1) – It's a rematch of last year's title matchup. These are clearly the two best teams in the NBA, and this marks a fitting ending to this year's NBA Madness. Another seven-game series goes down to the wire, but this time, the Pistons win the whole thing, using superior quickness on the front line to dominate the glass and win the championship. It's Detroit's "One Shining Moment," and as Jim Nantz waxes poetic, Richard Hamilton walks away with the Most Outstanding Player award.

Steve Kerr is Yahoo! Sports' NBA analyst. Send him a question or comment for potential use in a future column or webcast.

FreshPrince22
03-23-2006, 06:04 PM
Rip Hamilton the Finals MVP? Against a team with Bowen on it? Ha...

WayDowntownBang
03-23-2006, 06:16 PM
I just saw this article somewhere else. I like the concept, and it's fun. Having the seedings broken up like this would be an interesting way to run the playoffs. Would never happen, but we can wish.

I wouldn't take it to heart, Kerr picking the Pistons. Flip a coin at this point. You can find 1 good thing to say about the Pistons to match every 1 good thing about the Spurs, and vice versa. One bad for one bad. These two teams are so evenly matched, the Finals are going to be fun as hell... again.

Of course, it's our turn. You got it last year ;)

ShoogarBear
03-23-2006, 06:19 PM
That's the best column I've seen from Kerr (aside from the outcome). Loved the lines about 5 vs. 12 and the Atlantic Division as "mid-major".

SA-PHX and Det-Dal would be a helluva Final Four

JamStone
03-23-2006, 06:23 PM
It sounded like it might be an interesting article, but it wasn't very interesting, even though Kerr was trying to be cool with the NCAA analogy.

And, if the Pistons were fortunate enough to win a title against the Spurs, I would predict that Rasheed Wallace might get the MVP ... just because I think he would come up big against a less-than-100% Tim Duncan. Could very go to Chauncey as well.

Of course, both teams still gotta get there. And, then Pistons still gotta win before any of that other talk.

Peter
03-23-2006, 06:27 PM
Can't say I disagree. The thing to hope for at this point is that the Spurs get on a roll, go to a shorter rotation, and TD finds it within himself to raise his game.

ABDENOUR POWER
03-23-2006, 06:32 PM
Nice article.

kalikot_boy_kr
03-23-2006, 07:16 PM
:blah TRULLY, BIG MOUTH AGAIN....GO SPURS GO!

Chris Childs
03-23-2006, 07:19 PM
that article sucked!!!! where was my knicks team?

Darrin
03-23-2006, 07:35 PM
I love when a 7-4 stretch is underachieveing. That's .636 ball, a full-season pace of 52 games, and that's the rough patch. I love it.

I remember this time six years ago when George Irvine was given a 3-year contract extension for going 15-10 (.600).

Marklar MM
03-23-2006, 07:42 PM
that article sucked!!!! where was my knicks team?

Toilet bowl.

Supergirl
03-24-2006, 01:48 PM
I'm not sure Kerr would still say he picks the Pistons in the Finals as they are now. He's saying, if the NBA played by NCAA rules, ie one game and you're out, Pistons would win. I think I agree with him there. But I think in a 7 game series, all things being equal, SPurs still have the edge, because the Pistons bench is so thin.

zero signal
03-24-2006, 02:04 PM
Kerr also picked the Lakers in 6 in '04.

Marklar MM
03-24-2006, 06:52 PM
Someone on the Pistons board said that the Pistons are 36-0 when opponents score less than 90. Didn't check this out, but DAYUM.

E20
03-24-2006, 07:04 PM
I thought WayDownTown was a Spurs fan.

Marklar MM
03-24-2006, 07:12 PM
I thought WayDownTown was a Spurs fan.

FromWayDownTown or something like that is Spurs.

WayDownTownBang is Pistons.

1Parker1
03-24-2006, 07:36 PM
IF the Pistons win the title this season...Billups would win the MVP handsdown.

slayermin
03-25-2006, 08:29 PM
Kerr also picked the Lakers in 6 in '04.

Everyone, outside Michigan, thought the Lakers were going to win that series. But the Malone injury and the Showbie factor were too much for the Lakers to overcome.

Dunc
03-26-2006, 12:24 AM
Someone on the Pistons board said that the Pistons are 36-0 when opponents score less than 90. Didn't check this out, but DAYUM.

I heard that, too, when watching highlights of the Pistons game last night. Including that game, they're 37-0 when holding to less than 90. That's somethin'.