Harris Poll: Kerry 48%, W 47%

[Nbadan]

The most significant poll, because they called the numbers right in 2000, The Harris Poll has the race at almost a statistical tie, given the margin of error.


Only seven days before election day, President Bush and Sen. John Kerry are separated by a single percentage point, the latest Harris Poll shows.

The poll echoes other surveys from across the nation showing the two candidates are in a dead heat. The latest Reuters/Zogby poll (taken Oct. 23-25) shows Mr. Bush ahead but within the margin of error, and the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll (taken Oct. 22-24) shows Mr. Kerry ahead by a point, well within that poll's margin of error.

This survey also finds very little difference between the numbers for the popular vote as a whole and in seventeen swing states. In both cases the election is much too close to call.

Wall Strret Journal (http://online.wsj.com/public/article/0,,SB109881689996956098,00.html?mod=todays%5Ffree% 5Ffeature)

Read last week that only four polls accurately predicted Gore's win in the poplular vote: Harris had 2 of the 4 successes -- one interactive poll and one phone poll.

[AlamoSpursFan]

Big freakin' deal...even a broken watch is right twice a day.

[Nbadan]

Kinda worried about that big EBookie bet ya made on W now, huh?

[Yonivore]

Kinda worried about that big EBookie bet ya made on W now, huh?
Nope. But, when are you going to get some gonads and place your bet?

[SpursWoman]

Most Polls are very inaccuarate because of the growing number of cell phone users, people who don't answer their phones, or hang up on pollsters.

But not this one, huh!? :lol

[CosmicCowboy]

hmmm...

Do Harris and the other pollsters have to honor the nationwide "no call" list?...I know I signed myself and all my family up online as soon as they announced it...and haven't gotten a single call this election cycle from the phone banks...(nice change...:))

just curious...I suspect that conservatives are in the majority on the "no call" list as they tend to pay more attention to current events and things of this nature...

[Useruser666]

The most significant poll, because they called the numbers right in 2000, The Harris Poll has the race at almost a statistical tie, given the margin of error.



Wall Strret Journal (http://online.wsj.com/public/article/0,,SB109881689996956098,00.html?mod=todays%5Ffree% 5Ffeature)

Read last week that only four polls accurately predicted Gore's win in the poplular vote: Harris had 2 of the 4 successes -- one interactive poll and one phone poll.

I think you should change your name to PoliticalDan. It would be more appropriate. Your poll comments seem very ironic due to your total dismissal of polling just the other day.

[Marcus Bryant]

As someone in here once said about polls...


There are simply to many unknowns in this election for polls to be accurate. The substantial number of new registered voters, the 30 and under vote, and how many people actually turn out for the election are just a few factors that could swing substantial votes one way or the other.

[Hook Dem]

"Ol Dan is still out there trying to confuse the "undecided voters" with his flip flopping on the polls. Dan...there ain't that many of them and of those that do exist, they don't know who is even running. :lol

[Clandestino]

electoral-vote.com still has bush 274 to kerrys 257

[Yonivore]

I think you should change your name to PoliticalDan. It would be more appropriate. Your poll comments seem very ironic due to your total dismissal of polling just the other day.
He's a Demoncrat, User. Contradiction and hypocrisy come as easy as breathing in and breathing out.

[Shelly]

Big freakin' deal...even a broken watch is right twice a day.


:lol I never thought about that...:lol

[Useruser666]

:lol I never thought about that...:lol

I guess I can take the tape off my vcr clock now.

[Yonivore]

Big freakin' deal...even a broken watch is right twice a day.
Not if the hands are ripped off, it's not! :hat

[Shelly]

Not if the hands are ripped off, it's not! :hat

Dang...this is getting too techinical...
:oops

[Nbadan]

The second most accurate Poll in 2000, John Zogby has the race at a dead heat again also...


B48

K47

Pollster John Zogby: "Today was a big day for Kerry, with a 5 point lead in the single day of polling. Kerry has managed to consolidate a big chunk of his base just as Bush has done on his own behalf. Kerry leads 2 to 1 among Hispanics; he is getting 90% of African Americans; 84% of Democrats; 55% of union voters; 65% of singles; and well over 50% of all voters earning under $50K."


Zogby (http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=909)

Kerry is definitely on the move and the rout in on. Kerry in a land-slide.

[Useruser666]

The second most accurate Poll in 2000, John Zogby has the race at a dead heat again also...




Zogby (http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=909)


Kerry is definitely on the move and the rout in on. Kerry in a land-slide.

Ok, from this post I think we all know Dan is a troll.

[Marcus Bryant]

Funny you haven't been quoting Zogby prior to today. Also if you will notice upon re-reading what you posted that Zogby has had Bush ahead for at least the past 5 days and that he remains still ahead.

Also, if Kerry can't consolidate his base (ie losing 16% of Demos) he's fucked.

[Useruser666]

Check out the title of this thread:

"Default Harris Poll: Kerry 48%, W 47% "

No it's:

"B48 K47"

So wouldn't that mean that BUSH IS GAINING!

[Nbadan]

What are you smoking? Harris has it Kerry 48%, W 47%

Today's Washington Post Daily (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/elections/2004/charting.html) tracking poll has it Kerry 49%, W, 48%

More troubling for W is Kerry gains in swing states. Recent Polls have KERRY leading in Florida, Ohio and Penn. A perfect trifecta.

[Marcus Bryant]

Funny, recent polls have Bush leading in Florida, Ohio, Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin, New Mexico, Nevada, and motherfucking Hawaii. Also tied in New Jersey.

"Troubling" for Bush, no doubt.

[Nbadan]

Look at the trend Marcus, definetly Kerry. Now add 70% of undecided voters to Kerry.

[Marcus Bryant]

Yes, I am looking at the "trend" that has Bush up in Hawaii and tied in New Jersey.

[Yonivore]

Look at the trend Marcus, definetly Kerry. Now add 70% of undecided voters to Kerry.
Tell me Nbadanallah, when do you factor in the silent majority that don't participate in polls, most of which are Republicans? Just curious.

[Aggie Hoopsfan]

ore troubling for W is Kerry gains in swing states. Recent Polls have KERRY leading in Florida, Ohio and Penn. A perfect trifecta.

Hmm, Drudge says the LA Times will report Bush up 8 points in Florida, Kerry up 6 in Ohio, and a dead heat in Pennsylvania tomorrow.