Spurminator
06-06-2007, 10:50 AM
... Possibly by 2010.
The Spurs, as of this year, have the second best Franchise winning percentage in NBA History, behind the Lakers.
Lakers 2848-1799 .613
Spurs 1493-1017 .595 (-63)
I wanted to see when the Spurs could possibly pass the Lakers... It's obviously hard to forecast team success in five years so I assumed a few different scenarios for Laker records (vs. the Spurs record being he same as this year, which I feel may be a conservative estimate for the next few seasons but may also be unreasonable once Duncan is in his inevitable decline).
So here are the years I calculated with various forecasts, followed by the approximate records necessary to pass the Lakers by this time (give or take a couple games.)
2013-2014 ---> Lakers 52-30, Spurs 58-24
2012-2013 ---> Lakers 47-35, Spurs 58-24
2011-2012 ---> Lakers 45-37, Spurs 58-24
2010-2011 ---> Lakers 43-39, Spurs 58-24
2009-2010 ---> Lakers 37-45, Spurs 58-24
As a best case scenario, we could conceivably pass the Lakers int he 2008-2009 season if they go 30-52 in the next two seasons while we go 62-20.
Obviously, the sooner the better because we never know what is in store for the Spurs when Tim Duncan is gone. I wouldn't be that surprised if passing the Lakers in all-time records proved to be temporary.
For now, these are good times.
The Spurs, as of this year, have the second best Franchise winning percentage in NBA History, behind the Lakers.
Lakers 2848-1799 .613
Spurs 1493-1017 .595 (-63)
I wanted to see when the Spurs could possibly pass the Lakers... It's obviously hard to forecast team success in five years so I assumed a few different scenarios for Laker records (vs. the Spurs record being he same as this year, which I feel may be a conservative estimate for the next few seasons but may also be unreasonable once Duncan is in his inevitable decline).
So here are the years I calculated with various forecasts, followed by the approximate records necessary to pass the Lakers by this time (give or take a couple games.)
2013-2014 ---> Lakers 52-30, Spurs 58-24
2012-2013 ---> Lakers 47-35, Spurs 58-24
2011-2012 ---> Lakers 45-37, Spurs 58-24
2010-2011 ---> Lakers 43-39, Spurs 58-24
2009-2010 ---> Lakers 37-45, Spurs 58-24
As a best case scenario, we could conceivably pass the Lakers int he 2008-2009 season if they go 30-52 in the next two seasons while we go 62-20.
Obviously, the sooner the better because we never know what is in store for the Spurs when Tim Duncan is gone. I wouldn't be that surprised if passing the Lakers in all-time records proved to be temporary.
For now, these are good times.