SA 2020: 3,167,189 inhabitants

[Buddy Holly]

That is what this site is projecting that.

http://proximityone.com/msa41700.htm

Discuss...

[RuffnReadyOzStyle]

For me the central question is always, "will that population be sustainable in terms of water consumption, energy use, economy and society?", the classic Triple Bottom Line. I am involved in a number of projects investigating the sustainable development of the Canberra region (now 330,000, headed for 500,000... maybe, maybe not so wise).

I wonder what sort of studies are being done by your local and state governments to forecast the consequences of urban growth, and whether or not TBL sustainability is part of the framework?

[Slydragon]

Can we make more of them female? That will make my shitty % go up.

[Booharv]

I like how it's an educated guess, but they have it down to the 189. Lol.

[Buddy Holly]

All forecasted population projections come downtown to the hundreds. Not unusual.

[MoSpur]

That is a lot of people. I think its to much though. I doubt SA will grow that much in 12 1/2 years.

[Buddy Holly]

Who knows what the actual 2020 population number will be, however if you take into account that from 2006-2007 the metro added a little over 70,000 people to its population, well, that 3.1 million figure isn't looking to far off.

[MoSpur]

Its not impossible, but I doubt it for some reason. I hope it doesn't get to that 3.1 figure. Can you imagine the traffic?

[boutons_]

"water consumption, energy use, economy and society"

SAWS is already trying to buy the brackish water under Atascosa county, over the resistance the local residents, who probably think they can become "water sheiks".

http://www.searchinsa.com/story-news.cfm?story_id=53205&searchlink=showall%2Ecfm%3Fadvanced%3Dtrue%26with% 5Fwords%3Dbrackish%26with%5Fphrase%3D%26without%5F words%3D%26in%5Ftitle%3Dtrue%26in%5Fauthor%3Dtrue% 26in%5Fstory%3Dtrue%26from%5Fdate%3D01%2F01%2F1900 %26to%5Fdate%3D09%2F14%2F2007%26criteria%3D%26type %3Dnews%26searchlink%3Dhttp%253A%252F%252Fwww%252E searchinsa%252Ecom%252Fadvanced%252Findex%252Ecfm% 253Fwith%255Fwords%253Dbrackish%2526with%255Fphras e%253D%2526without%255Fwords%253D%2526in%255Ftitle %253D1%2526in%255Fauthor%253D1%2526in%255Fstory%25 3D1%2526from%255Fdate%253D01%252F01%252F1900%2526t o%255Fdate%253D09%252F14%252F2007%2526type%253Dnew s%2526searchlink%253Dhttp%25253A%25252F%25252Fwww% 25252Esearchinsa%25252Ecom%25252Findex%25252Ecfm%2 5253Fcriteria%25253Dbrackish%252526KeywordRecords% 25253D5%252526ArchiveRecords%25253D5%252526yprows% 25253D5%252526newsShowState%25253D%252526newsPage% 25253D1%252526localWebShowState%25253D%252526local WebPage%25253D1%26page%3D1

http://www.mysanantonio.com/news/environment/stories/MYSA081306.01A.water_shortages.222b032.html

For electricity, CPS will just build more dirty coal plants, which wouldn't be so much cheaper than nuclear if the coal plants were clean, which reduces efficiency by 30%.

[Mark in Austin]

A better projection would be to use 1994-2006 (latest 12 years of data) to project the next 12 years, not the six chosen that happen to be incredibly fast growth.

[samikeyp]

That's a crazy number.

[scott]

So long as they all buy beer

[Buddy Holly]

Or wouldn't it be more appropriate to use a time when SA's economics were a lot better to forecast in the future when realisitcly it'll only get better? The 90's for SA were crap compared to the last 3-4 years. It as if people finally discovered San Antonio as opposed to just knowing about it.

Or I guess you could use the flatlining 90's numbers and come out with numbers similar to the Texas state data center which put SA at just a little over 2 million at 2020. Yeah, not only have we surpassed 2 million already but we'll hit 2.15 million in 2008.