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Solid D
12-18-2004, 09:05 AM
Sat. 12/18/2004

The Spurs will now face a tough part of the schedule. They only face 2 opponenets with losing records going into the game with Golden State at home (tonight). Those 2 opponents are Golden State and a tough and improving Boston Celtics.

Is this a bellwether part of the schedule for the Spurs? Forecast their 10-game record.

Day/Date Opponent Time* Local TV National TV
Sat 12/18 Golden State 7:30pm KRRT NBALP
Wed 12/22 @ Orlando 6:00pm KRRT NBALP
Thu 12/23 Minnesota 7:00pm -- TNT
Sun 12/26 Boston 6:00pm FSNSW NBATVHighDef
Tue 12/28 Phoenix 7:30pm FSNSW NBALP
Thu 12/30 @ Portland 9:30pm KRRT TNT
Fri 12/31 @ L.A. Clippers 8:30pm KRRT NBALP

Sun 1/2 @ Sacramento 8:00pm KRRT NBALP
Tue 1/4 L.A. Lakers 7:30pm KENS NBATV
Thu 1/6 Indiana 8:30pm -- TNT

Johnny_Blaze_47
12-18-2004, 09:20 AM
I think the MIN, PHO and LAL games will be the toughest. Especially Minny since it's the end of a back-to-back.

Solid D
12-18-2004, 09:36 AM
Since it is still just the first half of the season, I'll say Spurs go 7-3. .700

There may be a sleeper in there, even though 6 are at the SBC Center.

T Park
12-18-2004, 09:38 AM
9-1

BronxCowboy
12-18-2004, 10:35 AM
They really shouldn't do worse than 7-3 (but they might). 7-3 is my prediction, but I'm hoping for 8-2 or better.

ducks
12-18-2004, 10:37 AM
suns only scare me
but duncan still owns amare
tp should do better on nash this year

the spurs need to do a better job at defending the 3 against suns

and hopefully q richardson is off that night

boutons
12-18-2004, 10:57 AM
Sat 12/18 Golden State W

Wed 12/22 @ Orlando W
Thu 12/23 Minnesota W

Sun 12/26 Boston W

Tue 12/28 Phoenix L (simply too tough)

Thu 12/30 @ Portland W
Fri 12/31 @ L.A. Clippers W

Sun 1/2 @ Sacramento L (SAC shoots hot, SA tired, shoots cold in 3rd game of road trip)

Tue 1/4 L.A. Lakers W

Thu 1/6 Indiana W

8 - 2, but with crappy performances like last night, and the Spurs' habit this season of completely non-playing offense and defense for one fatal quarter, 7 - 3 is more likely.

polandprzem
12-18-2004, 11:04 AM
I'll take my shot and say that they just loose in Portland.

ducks
12-18-2004, 11:08 AM
suns have no bench
it is going to catch up to them
their backup point is the only person that can do something off the bench

I think the spurs can beat them

Jimcs50
12-18-2004, 11:43 AM
Sat 12/18 Golden State W

Wed 12/22 @ Orlando
Thu 12/23 Minnesota will go 1-1 in these two, which one I do not know

Sun 12/26 Boston W

Tue 12/28 Phoenix W

Thu 12/30 @ Portland
Fri 12/31 @ L.A. Clippers - will go 1-1 again

Sun 1/2 @ Sacramento W blowout for SA

Tue 1/4 L.A. Lakers W blowout again

Thu 1/6 Indiana W blowout

A 8-2 record is good.

ducks
12-18-2004, 11:52 AM
spurs will beat suns by 10
might lose in az but will beat suns in sa

Jimcs50
12-18-2004, 12:24 PM
spurs will beat suns by 10
might lose in az but will beat suns in sa

oh, my bad, I thought they were at Phoenix...I will make a change.

SequSpur
12-18-2004, 12:26 PM
2 and 8

Hook Dem
12-18-2004, 12:27 PM
Day/Date Opponent Time* Local TV National TV
Sat 12/18 Golden State 7:30pm KRRT NBALP......
Wed 12/22 @ Orlando 6:00pm KRRT NBALP
Thu 12/23 Minnesota 7:00pm -- TNT
Sun 12/26 Boston 6:00pm FSNSW NBATVHighDef
Tue 12/28 Phoenix 7:30pm FSNSW NBALP
Thu 12/30 @ Portland 9:30pm KRRT TNT
Fri 12/31 @ L.A. Clippers 8:30pm KRRT NBALP

Sun 1/2 @ Sacramento 8:00pm KRRT NBALP
Tue 1/4 L.A. Lakers 7:30pm KENS NBATV
Thu 1/6 Indiana 8:30pm -- TNT Day/Date Opponent Time* Local TV National TV
Sat 12/18 Golden State 7:30pm KRRT NBALP......WIN
Wed 12/22 @ Orlando 6:00pm KRRT NBALP......WIN
Thu 12/23 Minnesota 7:00pm -- TNT....WIN
Sun 12/26 Boston 6:00pm FSNSW NBATVHighDef.......LOSE
Tue 12/28 Phoenix 7:30pm FSNSW NBALP.....LOSE
Thu 12/30 @ Portland 9:30pm KRRT TNT......WIN
Fri 12/31 @ L.A. Clippers 8:30pm KRRT NBALP.......WIN

Sun 1/2 @ Sacramento 8:00pm KRRT NBALP.........WIN
Tue 1/4 L.A. Lakers 7:30pm KENS NBATV......WIN
Thu 1/6 Indiana 8:30pm -- TNT.......WIN 8-2 OVERALL

ducks
12-18-2004, 12:41 PM
jim they play in az the 21 of jan I am going to be getting tickets soon

ZStomp
12-18-2004, 02:07 PM
Sat. 12/18/2004

The Spurs will now face a tough part of the schedule. They only face 2 opponenets with losing records going into the game with Golden State at home (tonight). Those 2 opponents are Golden State and a tough and improving Boston Celtics.

Is this a bellwether part of the schedule for the Spurs? Forecast their 10-game record.

Day/Date Opponent Time* Local TV National TV
Sat 12/18 Golden State 7:30pm KRRT NBALP
Wed 12/22 @ Orlando 6:00pm KRRT NBALP
Thu 12/23 Minnesota 7:00pm -- TNT
Sun 12/26 Boston 6:00pm FSNSW NBATVHighDef
Tue 12/28 Phoenix 7:30pm FSNSW NBALP
Thu 12/30 @ Portland 9:30pm KRRT TNT
Fri 12/31 @ L.A. Clippers 8:30pm KRRT NBALP

Sun 1/2 @ Sacramento 8:00pm KRRT NBALP
Tue 1/4 L.A. Lakers 7:30pm KENS NBATV
Thu 1/6 Indiana 8:30pm -- TNT



Bring it on Beatches!!


8-2...I'm calling it!

smeagol
12-18-2004, 02:42 PM
8-2

ducks
12-18-2004, 05:13 PM
2 and 8 :lol

Kori Ellis
12-18-2004, 05:15 PM
10-0

SpursWoman
12-18-2004, 05:23 PM
9-1

BronxCowboy
12-18-2004, 05:25 PM
I like your optimism, Kori :lol

pjjrfan
12-18-2004, 05:36 PM
8-2. I think they will lose in Orlando, and I also think they will lose to either Minn. or Pho. although I can see them beating both of them but then dropping a game on the road. I think the 2 losses will come on the road.

xcoriate
12-18-2004, 08:05 PM
8-2

Rummpd
12-18-2004, 09:15 PM
I had not seen Kori's prediction but I agree also:

Out on a limb hard = 10 and 0 as it has been a long time when Spurs were not in a game at end and it is about time for Horry, Barry and Rasho to upgrade.

This team could win them all easily and worst case = 8 and 2.

MadDoc

MI21
12-18-2004, 10:37 PM
6-4

baseline bum
12-18-2004, 11:03 PM
11-0, unless they sign Warm Karl.

Johnny_Blaze_47
12-23-2004, 03:50 PM
Bump for Solid D!

LakerGod
12-23-2004, 04:01 PM
[merged]

Home Minnesota
Both teams coming off losses, T'Wolves always seem to play emotional and determined when playing the spurs. KG will have another 20-20-8 game, Cassell abusing Parker, and Wally's world having a field day against Bowen, spurs will be tired after playing the Magic the night before, long flight, little rest. Wolves win by double digits.

Home Boston
The Boston Celtics are not that bad, they've been playing good basketball as of late, another ugly game but spurs win.

Home Phoenix
This team is just too much for the spursies, great shooters, excellent dunkers, spurs are a streaky team and very often run a horrendous offense with long scoring droughts, Phoenix is too fast and too athletic for San Antonio. Phoenix will win by a dozen.

Road Portland
Spurs lose there 3rd in their last 4. Zach Randolph and Shareef both outscore Duncan. Parker plays out of control, and Barry still can't hit a jumper.

Road Clippers
Spurs win over an inexperienced up and coming team.

Road Sacramento
Sacramento plays well at home, they won't have Bobby Jackson but the crowd will fire up this guys


Home LA Lakers.
The revenge factor will be the difference here, Kobe pours 40+ points on poor Bowen who can't defend the same as previous years. Lakers by 5.

Home Indiana.

Depleted Pacers do I need to say more? spurs win barely by 3 against a very shorthanded Pacer team.

Home Denver

If Melo plays they are in good shape, don't expect the Nuggets to come out they way they did when the spurs beat them early, this game is a toss up but I give the edge to the home team.

Road Utah

The 18-game winning streak against this depleted team ends here, ugly and boring game since both clubs play very similar style, final score in the late 70's with a Jazz win.

Spurs record in their next 10 games:

4-6

And you can book it!

angel_luv
12-23-2004, 07:57 PM
I think Spurs win 8 and lose 2 at worst.

Jimcs50
01-02-2005, 02:28 PM
Sat 12/18 Golden State W

Wed 12/22 @ Orlando
Thu 12/23 Minnesota will go 1-1 in these two, which one I do not know

Sun 12/26 Boston W

Tue 12/28 Phoenix W

Thu 12/30 @ Portland
Fri 12/31 @ L.A. Clippers - will go 1-1 again

Sun 1/2 @ Sacramento W blowout for SA

Tue 1/4 L.A. Lakers W blowout again

Thu 1/6 Indiana W blowout

A 8-2 record is good.

I think I underestimated...they will go 9-1, as I do not see them losing any of next three.

Jimcs50
01-02-2005, 02:29 PM
Looks like Tpark was right with his 9-1 prediction. Congrats to Tpark.

samikeyp
01-02-2005, 05:50 PM
Well done.

T Park
01-02-2005, 05:57 PM
They havent done it yet.

But I feel confident in the next 3 games.

Experiment2100
01-02-2005, 06:00 PM
Spurswoman said 9-1 as well. So nice work to the two of you

ZStomp
01-02-2005, 06:01 PM
Looks like Tpark was right with his 9-1 prediction. Congrats to Tpark.


What the hell?

There are three games left. How can you 'call' it already???? :pctoss

T Park
01-02-2005, 06:05 PM
chill out, I have said not to call it yet either.

They can loose 3 in a row and you be right too. :rolleyes

SlovenianGuy
01-02-2005, 06:16 PM
The only thing that we can be absolutely sure about at the moment is the fact that LakerFraud was wrong. But we all knew that even before the first game....

Jimcs50
01-02-2005, 09:09 PM
TPark, as much as I like to beat you all the time, I do not want to have Spurs lose a game for me to be right with my 8-2 prediction. I do not see SA losing any of these three games, to be honest.

Solid D
01-03-2005, 12:32 AM
Sat. 12/18/2004

The Spurs will now face a tough part of the schedule. They only face 2 opponenets with losing records going into the game with Golden State at home (tonight). Those 2 opponents are Golden State and a tough and improving Boston Celtics.

Is this a bellwether part of the schedule for the Spurs? Forecast their 10-game record.

Day/Date Opponent Time* Local TV National TV

Sat 12/18 Golden State 7:30pm KRRT NBALP W 104-85
Wed 12/22 @ Orlando 6:00pm KRRT NBALP L 87-93

Thu 12/23 Minnesota 7:00pm -- TNT W 96-82

Sun 12/26 Boston 6:00pm FSNSW NBATVHighDef W 107-90

Tue 12/28 Phoenix 7:30pm FSNSW NBALP W 115-94

Thu 12/30 @ Portland 9:30pm KRRT TNT W 114-80

Fri 12/31 @ L.A. Clippers 8:30pm KRRT NBALP W 98-79


Sun 1/2 @ Sacramento 8:00pm KRRT NBALP L 81-86

Tue 1/4 L.A. Lakers 7:30pm KENS NBATV
Thu 1/6 Indiana 8:30pm -- TNT

Does anyone notice any trends in the losses?

T Park
01-03-2005, 12:34 AM
Spurs not breaking 80 and they lose?

Manu20
01-03-2005, 12:35 AM
Spurs lose close games?

samikeyp
01-03-2005, 12:38 AM
Does anyone notice any trends in the losses?

I got it! Road games in cities that end in "O" shown on KRRT! :)

T Park
01-03-2005, 12:42 AM
No Sean Elliott??

My god, Sean, Ill pay for your goddamn plane ticket out there.

WHY THE FUCK DOES LANCE BLANKS STILL HAVE A JOB ON THE AIR.

His scouting reports for other teams what he does on the air are not that great either, so I dont know exactly WHAT he does good.

Solid D
01-03-2005, 12:43 AM
I got it! Road games in cities that end in "O" shown on KRRT! :)

:lol Brilliant!

http://www.adage.com/images/random/guinness1117_vid.jpg

Manu20
01-03-2005, 12:44 AM
6 of the 7 losses for the Spurs were a combine 26 points. An average of about 4 points a game. :pctoss

The only blowout loss was at Seattle. Spurs could easily have only one loss this season.

Johnny_Blaze_47
01-03-2005, 12:49 AM
Mikey may actually be on to something there.

What channel was the Chicago game on?

Solid D
01-03-2005, 12:57 AM
A few trends I see are:
1. The Spurs win when they can push the tempo and score 94+
(@ Orlando the Spurs has 19 fast break points and only 15 assists, @ Sacramento the Spurs had only 10 fast break points, 20 assists...both below their avg.)

2. The Spurs lose when they shoot .500 from the FT line
(@ Orlando the Spurs were 13-26 .500, @ Sacramento the Spurs were 9-18 .500, Spurs shot .650 or better in their wins)

3. The Spurs lose when they don't shoot at least .400 from the field on the road.
(@ Orlando the Spurs were .393, @ Sacramento the Spurs were .386, Spurs shot better than .400 in their wins)

samikeyp
01-03-2005, 12:58 AM
nahh....I still like my theory! :)

Jimcs50
01-03-2005, 08:58 AM
They lose the game after they beat a California team.

Jimcs50
01-03-2005, 08:59 AM
They lose every game I bet on the OVER. The bastards....here they score over 100 every game lately, then I bet on them and they become the Spurs of last year.

Solid D
01-03-2005, 09:17 AM
Is there a Tom Emansky instructional video on FT shooting?

It's time to go old school, Napolean Dynamite-style, and break out the old 70's "how-to" tapes.

Duncanoypi
01-03-2005, 09:19 AM
10-0...Duncan will be WC player of the month...

boutons
01-03-2005, 10:06 AM
"A few trends I see are:"

1. Getting FB and transition points has been a big improvement for the Spurs this year, as well as "motion offense" (which the Spurs adopted when Tim was hurt last season). But we insist on going stupidly, repeatedly to 4-down frozen offense, with 4 guys stand still watching Tim fuck it up, and absolutely give games away.

2. The NBA range of team FT% is 81% to 66%, with critical crunch-foul players like Shaq and Tim leading their teams' FT%'s to the bottom of the league. Haq-a-Shaq and Punk-a-Dunc work. Teams have and will do that in close games. FTs are huge stains on HoF careers of Tim and Shaq. Missing FTs will keep the Spurs from winning over 60 games, or maybe ever being able to reach even 60. ie, with the Spurs hitting the league average 75% FTs, they could win 65+. Shooting 71%, they struggle to win 60 max. Pop admitted as much last year, losing 5-7 games/year on FTs alone. Last night was a classic example of how the Spurs Do It With FTs.

3. super duh. The range of team FG% is 25-7 Miami @48% to 2-26 Nouvelle Orleans @40%. 99% of the time, the team with the higher FG% wins, that's why the Spurs holding opp FG% to league-best 41% is so fundamental to the Spurs success. But SAC hit 44%, which is mediocre vs many other teams that hit over 50% this season on hot nights. More decisively, Spurs hit New-Orleans-like 39% (mainly due to Tony not driving. Manu drove well (ie, driving on SAC was do-able, Tony just didn't do it), and got a team-leading 18 pts), while the Spurs continued to be one of the worst teams on allowed 3G%, letting SAC hit 3G @47% (SAC only avgs 35% on 3's).

The only team that can beat these Spurs is the Spurs themselves.

waly.mg
01-03-2005, 01:59 PM
9-1
Suns 5-5
Sonics 7-3

Solid D
01-03-2005, 02:04 PM
Just a reminder, ya'll -
This thread was started 8 games ago due to the stretch of games versus teams with winning records and certain tough stretches, i.e. 3 games in 4 days.

There were prognostications given and some people have guessed pretty well, at least those who were somewhat taking it seriously (exception Sequ, :) )

Solid D
01-03-2005, 02:08 PM
Limited props to boutons, for calling his shot on the SAC game...although he missed it on the Phoenix slaughter.


Sat 12/18 Golden State W

Wed 12/22 @ Orlando W
Thu 12/23 Minnesota W

Sun 12/26 Boston W

Tue 12/28 Phoenix L (simply too tough)

Thu 12/30 @ Portland W
Fri 12/31 @ L.A. Clippers W

Sun 1/2 @ Sacramento L (SAC shoots hot, SA tired, shoots cold in 3rd game of road trip)

Tue 1/4 L.A. Lakers W

Thu 1/6 Indiana W

8 - 2, but with crappy performances like last night, and the Spurs' habit this season of completely non-playing offense and defense for one fatal quarter, 7 - 3 is more likely.

T Park
01-03-2005, 02:21 PM
8-2 during a tough 10 game stretch like that is fine with me.

although, it wouldve been nice to correctly predict a team's record over a stretch of games for about the 3rd year in a row.

Im 2-0 on the guessing for the Rodeo Roadtrip, heres to this year going 3-0.

waly.mg
01-03-2005, 02:22 PM
SAN ANTONIO

Tue 4 L.A. Lakers WON
Thu 6 Indiana WON
Sat 8 Denver WON
Mon 10 @ Utah WON
Wed 12 Milwaukee WON
Fri 14 Dallas WON
Sat 15 @ Houston LOST
Mon 17 Washington WON
Wed 19 L.A. Clippers WON
Fri 21 @ Phoenix WON
9 W - 1 L: 34 - 8

Sun 23 @ Sacramento LOST
Mon 24 @ Portland WON
Thu 27 Sacramento WON
Sat 29 New Orleans WON
Mon 31 @ Seattle LOST
Thu 3 @ L.A. Lakers LOST
Tue 8 @ Charlotte WON
Wed 9 @ Washington WON
Fri 11 @ New Jersey WON
Sun 13 @ Miami LOST

6 W - 4 L: 40 Y 12
Wed 16 @ New Orleans WON

ALL STAR: 41 Y 12

Phoenix : 26 - 4

Tue 4 @ Minnesota LOST
Wed 5 @ Houston LOST
Sat 8 @ L.A. Clippers WON
Sun 9 Indiana WON
Tue 11 Miami LOST
Wed 12 @ Utah WON
Fri 14 @ Indiana LOST
Sat 15 @ Washington WON
Mon 17 @ Detroit LOST
Wed 19 Memphis WON
5 W - 5 L: 31 - 9

Fri 21 San Antonio LOST
Sun 23 New Jersey WON
Tue 25 @ New York LOST
Wed 26 @ Milwaukee WON
Fri 28 @ Boston WON
Sun 30 @ Toronto WON
Tue 1 @ Memphis LOST
Wed 2 @ Minnesota LOST
Sat 5 New York WON
Tue 8 @ Sacramento LOST
5 W Y 5 L: 36 - 14

Fri 11 Seattle WON
Sun 13 @ Golden State WON
Mon 14 Utah WON
Thu 17 Dallas WON
4 W: 40 - 14

ALL STAR RECORD: 40 W - 14 L

SEATTLE: 22 - 6

Mon 3 @ Miami LOST
Wed 5 @ Orlando LOST
Thu 6 @ Washington WON
Sun 9 Miami WON
Tue 11 L.A. Clippers WON
Wed 12 @ L.A. Clippers WON
Fri 14 Golden State WON
Sun 16 Cleveland WON
Tue 18 Denver WON
Fri 21 Minnesota LOST
7 W Y 3 L: 29 / 9

Sun 23 Utah WON
Tue 25 @ L.A. Lakers LOST
Wed 26 @ Utah WON
Fri 28 @ Golden State WON
Mon 31 San Antonio WON
Tue 1 @ Sacramento LOST
Sat 5 Charlotte WON
Tue 8 New Orleans WON
Thu 10 Sacramento WON
Fri 11 @ Phoenix LOST
7 W Y 3 L: 36 - 12

Sun 13 Dallas WON
Wed 16 Golden State WON
38 W - 12 L

STANDINGS AT ALL STAR BREACK:

SAN ANTONIO 41 - 12
SEATTLE 38 - 12
PHOENIX 40 - 14

Jimcs50
01-08-2005, 12:09 AM
I win!