Nbadan
02-21-2008, 05:16 PM
Two newly released polls show a dead-heat between Clinton and Obama in Texas...
Polls Show Tight Primary Race In Texas
By Eric Kleefeld - February 21, 2008, 3:43PM
Two new polls of Texas show the Democratic primary to be a dead heat, with Hillary Clinton grabbing a narrow lead. Seattle-based Constituent Dynamics, in a poll commissioned for a local TV station, gives Hillary 46% to Barack Obama's 45%. Texas-based IVR has Hillary at 50% to Obama's 45%.
The IVR poll went one step beyond simple statewide polling, and assigned delegates based on the state Senate districts where respondents lived. The result was a bare eight-delegate edge for Hillary from the primary, hinting that she could be in trouble even if that lead holds up — one-third of the Texas delegates will be won in caucuses held later that night, a setting in which the Hillary camp has had a lot of trouble organizing effectively.
Link (http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/02/polls_show_tight_primary_race.php)
They say that chance favors the prepared mind. Had the Obama campaign floundered in Iowa or on Super Tuesday, then much of this advance work would have been for nothing (or at best, a possible 2012 run). To many people, investing so heavily must have seemed foolish and a waste of resources. The Obama campaign is reaping the harvest that they began sowing a long time back.
Meantime, the Clinton campaign appears to be trying to grow a ground operation from scratch; by their own admission, they didn't plan to be fighting in Texas until a few weeks back. I don't think that a 2-month-old state campaign is going to beat one that was started a full year ago.
Polls Show Tight Primary Race In Texas
By Eric Kleefeld - February 21, 2008, 3:43PM
Two new polls of Texas show the Democratic primary to be a dead heat, with Hillary Clinton grabbing a narrow lead. Seattle-based Constituent Dynamics, in a poll commissioned for a local TV station, gives Hillary 46% to Barack Obama's 45%. Texas-based IVR has Hillary at 50% to Obama's 45%.
The IVR poll went one step beyond simple statewide polling, and assigned delegates based on the state Senate districts where respondents lived. The result was a bare eight-delegate edge for Hillary from the primary, hinting that she could be in trouble even if that lead holds up — one-third of the Texas delegates will be won in caucuses held later that night, a setting in which the Hillary camp has had a lot of trouble organizing effectively.
Link (http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/02/polls_show_tight_primary_race.php)
They say that chance favors the prepared mind. Had the Obama campaign floundered in Iowa or on Super Tuesday, then much of this advance work would have been for nothing (or at best, a possible 2012 run). To many people, investing so heavily must have seemed foolish and a waste of resources. The Obama campaign is reaping the harvest that they began sowing a long time back.
Meantime, the Clinton campaign appears to be trying to grow a ground operation from scratch; by their own admission, they didn't plan to be fighting in Texas until a few weeks back. I don't think that a 2-month-old state campaign is going to beat one that was started a full year ago.