Holt's Cat
03-08-2008, 04:33 PM
59% to 40% with 78% of caucuses reporting per CNN.
Nbadan
03-08-2008, 11:42 PM
With Wyoming, Obamas magic number drops to 453
A combination of primary/caucus delegate successes(187), additional superdelegate endoursements (11), and realignment of the California Delegate distribution (2) have netted Senator Obama with a total of 200 delegates this week, reducing the number of delegates he needs for nomination from 653 to 453. An additional Mississippi (40).
Even with Clinton's victory in RI and Ohio Obama has netted a +5 in delegates from a week ago. Mississippi should add to that lead.
Senator Obama needs 46% of all the remaining pledged delegates and undeclared super delegates to get the nomination.
Senator maintains a lead of delegates by 101.
1) UpComing contests
Mar 11 Mississippi 33 delegates
Apr 22 Pennsylvania 158 delegates
May 3 Guam 4 delegates
May 6 Indiana 72 delegates
May 6 North Carolina 115 delegates
May 13 West Virginia 28 delegates
May 20 Kentucky 51 delegates /
May 20 Oregon 52 delegates
Jun 3 Montana 16 delegates
South Dakota 15 delegates
Jun 7 Puerto Rico 55 delegates
Total Remaining Pledged Delegates 599 Obama currently has 1571 Clinton currently has 1470
2)Total Remaining Super Delegates 274 Obama currently has 203 Clinton currently has 244
Total Delegates Remaining 980
3)Obama's magic number is 453
Clinton's magic number is 554
4)Obama's required percent of outstanding delegates is 46%
Clinton's required percent of outstanding delegates is 57%
5) Results from Tuesday: The allocation of delegates from March 4th primaries and caucuses
. . . . .......Obama . . . . Clinton . . .Net Gain for Obama
Vermont.... . . 9 . . . . . . .6 . ... . . . . .+3
R. Island........ 8 . . . . . . .13 . . . . . . .-5
Ohio . . ........65 .. . . . . . 74 . . . . . . .-9
Texas. . .......98 . . . . . . .95 . . . . . . .+3
NBC's projection is that Hillary will have a net of + 8 Delegates from all four states
Nbadan
03-08-2008, 11:47 PM
About +8 for Obama erasing most of Clinton gain on Super-Tuesday....
Barack Obama, the Illinois senator and Democratic presidential candidate, has won the caucus vote in the US state of Wyoming, beating Hillary Clinton, the senator from New York and campaign rival.
Obama was the projected winner, leading Clinton by a wide margin - 59 per cent to 40 per cent, or 4,459 votes to 3,081, with 96 per cent of the vote counted.
Link (http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/576195EB-FE8D-4215-BD8D-A8EC748DED67.htm)
Nbadan
03-09-2008, 12:00 AM
Traditionally rich Republican Wyoming attracts Democratic caucus voters in record numbers....anyone seeing a trend?
Obama wins Wyoming, pads delegate lead
By MEAD GRUVER, Associated Press Writer 1 hour, 1 minute ago
Clinton, buoyed by big wins in Ohio and Texas last Tuesday, said she faced an uphill fight in Wyoming. Her campaign also holds out little hope for Tuesday's primary in Mississippi, which has a large black population.
Obama had 61 percent, or 5,378 votes, to Clinton's 38 percent, or 3,312 votes, with all 23 Wyoming counties reporting.
Obama won seven delegates and Clinton won five. In the overall race for the nomination, Obama led 1,578-1,468, according to the latest tally by The Associated Press. It will take 2,025 delegates to win the Democratic nomination.
Obama campaign manager David Plouffe said the Wyoming victory speaks to the candidate's strength in the West, and that Obama is better suited to help down-ticket Democrats even in states that traditionally vote Republican in the general election.
"I think it's evidence that Senator Obama is going to be able to put more states in play because of his strength with independent voters," Plouffe said.
Clinton's campaign took heart in their ability to pick up more delegates.
"We are thrilled with this near-split in delegates and are grateful to the people of Wyoming for their support," said campaign manager Maggie Williams. "Although the Obama campaign predicted victory in Wyoming weeks ago, we worked hard to present Senator Clintons vision to the caucus-goers and we thank them for turning out today."
Both candidates were looking ahead to the bigger prize — delegate-rich Pennsylvania on April 22.
From the first caucuses of the day, it became clear the state's Democrats were showing up in large numbers. In 2004, a mere 675 people statewide took part in the caucuses.
In Sweetwater County, more than 500 people crowded into a high school auditorium and another 500 were lined up to get inside.
"I'm worried about where we're going to put them all. But I guess everybody's got the same problem," said Joyce Corcoran, a local party official. "So far we're OK. But man, they keep coming."
Party officials struggled with how to handle the overflow crowds. The start of the Converse County caucus was delayed due to long lines.
In Cheyenne, scores of late arrivers were turned away when party officials stopped allowing people to get in line at 11 a.m. EST. A party worker stood at the end of the line with a sign reading, "End of the line. Caucus rules require the voter registration process to be closed at this time."
State party spokesman Bill Luckett said they were obligated to follow its rules as well as those of the Democratic National Committee regarding caucus procedures.
"Everybody knew the registration began over an hour before the caucus was called to order. We've done everything we could to accommodate people in the long lines," Luckett said.
After initially accepting provisional ballots from about 20 people who remained behind at the caucus site, party officials said they and both campaigns had decided not to count those votes. John Millin, state party chair, said doing so would have been unfair to those who had left after being turned away.
In Casper, home of the state party's headquarters, hundreds were lined up at the site of the Natrona County caucus. The location was a hotel meeting room with a capacity of 500. Some 7,700 registered Democrats live in the county.
"We'll have to put 'em in the grass after a while," said Bob Warburton, a local party official.
About 59,000 registered Democrats are eligible to participate in Wyoming's caucuses.
Only in the last few weeks have the campaigns stepped up their presence in Wyoming, opening offices and calling voters and sending mailers.
Although a win in Wyoming may not persuade many superdelegates, it will be one more prize for the candidates as they make their case for the nomination.
Clinton has hinted recently that if she wins the nomination she would consider sharing the ticket with Obama. But in an interview Friday in Wyoming with KTVQ-TV, a CBS affiliate based in Billings, Mont., Obama shied away from that possibility.
"Well, you know, I think it's premature. You won't see me as a vice presidential candidate — you know, I'm running for president," Obama told the television station. "We have won twice as many states as Senator Clinton, and have a higher popular vote, and I think we can maintain our delegate count.
"What I am really focused on right now, because all that stuff is premature, is winning this nomination and changing the country. I think that's what people here are concerned about."
___
Associated Press writers Bob Moen in Casper and Matt Joyce and Ben Neary in Cheyenne contributed to this report.
Holt's Cat
03-09-2008, 12:20 AM
Traditionally rich Republican Wyoming attracts Democratic caucus voters in record numbers....anyone seeing a trend?
Obama wins Wyoming, pads delegate lead
By MEAD GRUVER, Associated Press Writer 1 hour, 1 minute ago
___
Associated Press writers Bob Moen in Casper and Matt Joyce and Ben Neary in Cheyenne contributed to this report.
Sure, Demos in states in which they are the minority party and states that are typically not in play by their turn in presidential primaries are excited by this race.
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