The "Limbaugh Effect" Felt in Mississippi?

[Mr. Peabody]

Reversing a trend common in the north, Clinton was dominant among the Republicans who made up 11% of the voters in this primary. In fact, Republicans were here strongest single group, giving her 85% of their votes. Elsewhere, Republicans and independents have flocked to Obama's side.

Republicans have now become Hillary's strongest voting bloc in the last four or five primaries. Is the Limbaugh Effect that strong or is it something else?

[rascal]

And limbaugh cries about the mainstream liberal media. He is mainstram media, radio is media and a much more slanted biased take than anything you get on major network news or newspapers.

Never understand how anyone could buy into the liberal media slogan and dismiss talk radio as not being a part of media.

[George Gervin's Afro]

And limbaugh cries about the mainstream liberal media. He is mainstram media, radio is media and a much more slanted biased take than anything you get on major network news or newspapers.

Never understand how anyone could buy into the liberal media slogan and dismiss talk radio as not being a part of media.


No it gets better. Talk Radio is in direct competition with the MSM so hush benefits from this perception. Most of his minions don't understand that... Hush directly benefits from the perception he regurgitates..

[Mr. Peabody]

Nice analysis courtesy of Daily Kos . . .


The exit polls indicate that an unusually high number of voters who participated in tonight's Democratic primary (12 percent) identified themselves as Republicans. What was even more surprising, however, was who they voted for: 75% of Republicans who crossed over to participate in the Democratic primary voted for Hillary Clinton, while only 25% voted for Obama. But perhaps I shouldn't have been surprised, because Rush Limbaugh has been actively encouraging his sizeable and easily duped listening audience to cross over and vote for Hillary in an attempt to drag out the contentious battle between her and Obama. The numbers from Mississippi raise a question: is the unusually high Republican crossover vote an anomaly, or part of a trend that could affect the outcome of the Democratic nomination?

In 21 races that were held prior to Romney ending his campaign on February 7, the average percentage of Republican crossover votes in these contests was 3.52% of all votes cast.* In only 5 of these states was Republican turnout higher than 5%, with the highest being 7% in Oklahoma. Only 6 of the pre-2/7 races had detailed polling data for the Republican crossover vote, but in those states, Obama won a sizeable plurality of the Republican crossover vote in all but one, with an average* of 48% for Obama to 27% for Clinton.

In 6 races that were held after Romney dropped out on 2/7, the average* percentage of Republican crossover votes was 7.5% of all votes cast, more than double the pre-2/7 average. Broken down further, the numbers get even more interesting. In 3 races that were held within a week after Romney dropped out, the average* percentage of Republican crossover votes was 5% of all votes cast, with the highest being 7% in Virginia. But in both the Texas and Ohio races on 3/4, the average* Republican crossover vote increased to 9%. And as stated previously, the crossover vote in tonight's contest was 12%. That gives us an average* Republican crossover vote of 3.71% prior to Rush Limbaugh's appeal, and 10% post-Rush.

And as Republicans have begun to cross over in increasing numbers, Hillary's take of the Republican crossover vote has likewise increased. 5 of the races held from 2/7 to tonight had detailed polling data for the Republican crossover vote. Of those states, Obama won the Republican crossover vote in 3 states, Clinton won it in 1 state, and they tied in 1 state, with an average* of 50.4% for Obama to 42% for Clinton. But 2 of those races were held in the week immediately after Romney dropped out, and before Rush's remarks: in those states, Obama took the plurality of the crossover vote in both states with an average* of 62.5% for Obama to Hillary's 20%. The other 3 were held post-Rush, and in those contests Obama and Clinton both won the Republican vote in 1 state each and tied in 1 state, with an average* of 42.33% for Obama to 56.67% for Clinton, marking a significant swing of the Republican crossover vote in Clinton's favor.

[JoeChalupa]

As much as Rush loves himself he doesn't have that much pull.

Or are conservatives really that gullible?

[spurster]

If you look at Texas, Obama won the majority of the Republican crossover vote, 53-46%.

http://politics.nytimes.com/election-guide/2008/results/vote-polls/TX.html

[boutons_]

It's official, primary + caucuses, Obama won, added delegates in TX, Hillary lost.

Hillary's only chance now is to convince enough superdelegates that her clearly losing of pledged delegates race is un-democratic and un-represenatative, while sliming and destroying this Hussein black guy.

[Yonivore]

If you look at Texas, Obama won the majority of the Republican crossover vote, 53-46%.

http://politics.nytimes.com/election-guide/2008/results/vote-polls/TX.html
According to exit polls...notoriously unreliable, particularly under the circumstances.

[xrayzebra]

Am I reading this stuff right? Rush has revalence? I thought
you considered him as "hush". Damn what one election will
do for a guy. Blasted Conservatives. You cant trust them, getting
just like the dimms.

[George Gervin's Afro]

As much as Rush loves himself he doesn't have that much pull.

Or are conservatives really that gullible?


have you seen xray's posts?

[xrayzebra]

^^Do you ever read your own??????

[Mr. Peabody]

If you look at Texas, Obama won the majority of the Republican crossover vote, 53-46%.

http://politics.nytimes.com/election-guide/2008/results/vote-polls/TX.html

Right, but those that classified themselves as "conservative" broke 2 to 1 for Clinton.

[George Gervin's Afro]

I keep telling you obama nut huggers that he has zero chance in the general election.... he has one major flaw for some folks..care to guess?

[clambake]

I keep telling you obama nut huggers that he has zero chance in the general election.... he has one major flaw for some folks..care to guess?
he drives a white bronco?

[Ocotillo]

It's not suprising that some Reps would cross over since their race has been decided for them. Other than down ticket races, there isn't anything to get too excited about for GOPers so trying to make mischief is not suprising to me. How much effect does Limbaugh have? Who knows? Is he still wailing on McCain?

[Yonivore]

I keep telling you obama nut huggers that he has zero chance in the general election.... he has one major flaw for some folks..care to guess?
He's a far-left liberal whose policies will bankrupt the country...and, he's a surrender monk...oh, wait! Can I say that?

[Ignignokt]

He's a far-left liberal whose policies will bankrupt the country...and, he's a surrender monk...oh, wait! Can I say that?


yoniwhore. Why vote for Hillary Cunton.

[Mr. Peabody]

The exit polls in Mississippi prove that these "HillPublicans" are not sudden converts to the Clinton campaign - 70% of those who have a strongly favorable opinion of McCain picked Clinton. In addition, 6% of the voters in the primary voted for Clinton and said they would be dissatisified if she won the nomination; only 1% of the primary voters went for Obama and said they would be dissatisfied if he won.

According to a Pew Research Poll in February, substantially more Republicans would support Obama (8%) rather than Clinton (5%) against McCain

[rascal]

He's a far-left liberal whose policies will bankrupt the country...and, he's a surrender monk...oh, wait! Can I say that?

Surrender ? How do you figure if the US decides to leave that its surrendering?

So how long do you want the United States in Iraq? 5 more years, 10 years Forever? Do you really think they will suddenly decide that they will accept the occupation and stop blowing up US soldiers? Or do you think we can kill every last one of them? What do you consider winning anyways over there?

[Yonivore]

Surrender ? How do you figure if the US decides to leave that its surrendering?
Leaving before the enemy has been defeated is the principal element of surrender.


So how long do you want the United States in Iraq? 5 more years, 10 years Forever? Do you really think they will suddenly decide that they will accept the occupation and stop blowing up US soldiers?
By they, you mean al Qaeda and Iranian surrogates, right?


Or do you think we can kill every last one of them?
Of those that are fighting? Yep, we can kill every last one of them, if we have to.


What do you consider winning anyways over there?
A pacified Iraq with a non-hostile government...and the absence of al Qaeda and Iranian surrogates.

What's your definition of winning?

[rascal]

Your a fool if you believe killing every one of them is a real possibility.

[Yonivore]

Your a fool if you believe killing every one of them is a real possibility.
You're a fool if you believe killing every one of them is necessary.

[smeagol]

You are both fools . . .

[Yonivore]

You are both fools . . .
You've been drinking...again. :drunk