RandomGuy
03-26-2008, 10:45 AM
For what it is worth the Democratic party is holding their county conventions this weekend to elect delegates to the state convention.
I am an alternate delegate from my precinct, and unlikely to play much of a role, but I am going nonetheless.
My precinct is a bit small and is having our delegation combined with another small precinct.
The two precincts together get one delegate and one alternate to the state convention.
We have mapped out the most likely outcome of this process as having our delegate being an Obama supporter, with the alternate, who only gets to vote should the delegate not be able to attend the state convention, being a Clinton supporter, unless the Clinton people are really disorganized.
The way the process works seems to favor the stronger organization, and I feel that statewide this will probably lead to an extra delegate or two than most have predicted going to Obama.
Just my gut feeling. We'll see how it goes.
It is a fascinating, if somewhat complicated process.
Remember that, in Texas, Democratic delegates are assigned mostly by popular vote, and partially by the caucuses. We held our popular primary vote and are in the caucus process now.
For what it is worth, in Iowa, that process yielded a net gain for Obama than what was widely predicted at the time of the precinct level caucuses. Texas is projected to be an overall Obama win after the dust settles at the state convention in terms of total pledged delegates.
I am an alternate delegate from my precinct, and unlikely to play much of a role, but I am going nonetheless.
My precinct is a bit small and is having our delegation combined with another small precinct.
The two precincts together get one delegate and one alternate to the state convention.
We have mapped out the most likely outcome of this process as having our delegate being an Obama supporter, with the alternate, who only gets to vote should the delegate not be able to attend the state convention, being a Clinton supporter, unless the Clinton people are really disorganized.
The way the process works seems to favor the stronger organization, and I feel that statewide this will probably lead to an extra delegate or two than most have predicted going to Obama.
Just my gut feeling. We'll see how it goes.
It is a fascinating, if somewhat complicated process.
Remember that, in Texas, Democratic delegates are assigned mostly by popular vote, and partially by the caucuses. We held our popular primary vote and are in the caucus process now.
For what it is worth, in Iowa, that process yielded a net gain for Obama than what was widely predicted at the time of the precinct level caucuses. Texas is projected to be an overall Obama win after the dust settles at the state convention in terms of total pledged delegates.