Mavs<Spurs
05-16-2008, 05:16 AM
Total = 318
The fact that this is even plausible shows his electoral strength. He has more possible ways of getting to 270 than she does. Since she isn't the nominee, it doesn't really matter if you disagree.
What you will also notice is that he can sustain a loss in Ohio without a problem. It appears that the economy there makes a democrat favored to win it.
Even Rendell conceded Barack would win PA.
CO is trending democratic. MO is a swing state and Barack appears to be in good shape in that state (Notice that this argument doesn't falsely conclude based upon the primary results that for that reason alone he is stronger than Hillary there or that Hillary can't win there for that reason alone). VA demographically and based upon his primary results looks to fall under his sway.
Again, Bush's approval rating, the soaring gas prices, the economy for main street, the unpopularity of the republican brand, the discontent of evangelicals and other Republicans with McCain, the Special Election results all portend that the democratic nominee is much more likely than not to prevail.
That nominee in this case happens to be Barack Obama. He has a unique ability to connect with voters, inspire voters, get voters to the polls, mobilize voters to become supporters and volunteer for him. His powers of persuasion is incredible. The appeal of that upon the electorate is immense. McCain will fare poorly by comparison.
In addition, it was not the ideology that was the downfall of other progressive candidates. It was their lack of the traits that Barack has in full measure which I described in my last paragraph.
Furthermore, he cannot be painted as weak on national defense and a pacifist when he supported the war in Afghanistan. He occupies the center. Supporting the war in Iraq will be the difference. That difference drives McCain out onto the fringe, (not the center occupied by those who want a strong national defense, but which is sensible and rational also).
http://www.270towin.com
Okay, my guesses:
WA + 11
OR + 7
NV + 5
CA + 55
CO + 9
NM + 5
MN +10
IA +7
MO +11
WI +10
MI +17
IL +21
HI +4
DC +3
OH +20
VA +13
MD +10
DE +3
PA +21
NJ +15
NY +31
CT +7
RI +4
MA +12
NH +4
VT +3
ME +4
:lobt:
The fact that this is even plausible shows his electoral strength. He has more possible ways of getting to 270 than she does. Since she isn't the nominee, it doesn't really matter if you disagree.
What you will also notice is that he can sustain a loss in Ohio without a problem. It appears that the economy there makes a democrat favored to win it.
Even Rendell conceded Barack would win PA.
CO is trending democratic. MO is a swing state and Barack appears to be in good shape in that state (Notice that this argument doesn't falsely conclude based upon the primary results that for that reason alone he is stronger than Hillary there or that Hillary can't win there for that reason alone). VA demographically and based upon his primary results looks to fall under his sway.
Again, Bush's approval rating, the soaring gas prices, the economy for main street, the unpopularity of the republican brand, the discontent of evangelicals and other Republicans with McCain, the Special Election results all portend that the democratic nominee is much more likely than not to prevail.
That nominee in this case happens to be Barack Obama. He has a unique ability to connect with voters, inspire voters, get voters to the polls, mobilize voters to become supporters and volunteer for him. His powers of persuasion is incredible. The appeal of that upon the electorate is immense. McCain will fare poorly by comparison.
In addition, it was not the ideology that was the downfall of other progressive candidates. It was their lack of the traits that Barack has in full measure which I described in my last paragraph.
Furthermore, he cannot be painted as weak on national defense and a pacifist when he supported the war in Afghanistan. He occupies the center. Supporting the war in Iraq will be the difference. That difference drives McCain out onto the fringe, (not the center occupied by those who want a strong national defense, but which is sensible and rational also).
http://www.270towin.com
Okay, my guesses:
WA + 11
OR + 7
NV + 5
CA + 55
CO + 9
NM + 5
MN +10
IA +7
MO +11
WI +10
MI +17
IL +21
HI +4
DC +3
OH +20
VA +13
MD +10
DE +3
PA +21
NJ +15
NY +31
CT +7
RI +4
MA +12
NH +4
VT +3
ME +4
:lobt: