Pessimistic View: Spurs Miss the Playoff

Assuming:
1. Spurs lose to the teams with winning record for the rest of the season, and
2. Spurs lose on back-to-backs

Spurs final record will be 37-45 and miss the playoff. I am readying myself to cry a river!

Date Opponent Win/Lose
6-Feb LAC W
8-Feb LAL L
11-Feb DEN L
17-Feb IND W
19-Feb PHI W
21-Feb DET W
24-Feb OKC L
26-Feb HOU L
28-Feb PHO L
1-Mar NOH L
5-Mar NOH L
6-Mar MEM L
8-Mar CLE L
10-Mar NYK W
12-Mar MIN W
13-Mar LAC L
16-Mar MIA L
17-Mar ORL L
19-Mar GSW W
21-Mar ATL L
22-Mar OKC L
24-Mar LAL L
26-Mar CLE L
28-Mar BOS L
29-Mar NJN L
31-Mar HOU L
2-Apr ORL L
4-Apr LAL L
6-Apr SAC W
7-Apr PHO L
9-Apr MEM L
19-Apr DEN L
12-Apr MIN W
14-Apr DAL L
Total W 9
Total L 25
Final W 37
Final L 45

it's not necessary to have a 37-45 refcirdo, for missing the play offs...probably a 45-37 record won't be enough...that's why ther's a real chance to miss the playoffs, considering our difficult schedule.

whatever happens, happens. we'll live

Things are working out to make it more likely for the Spurs to make the playoffs, even if the second half is rough.

N.O. is without Paul for 2 months, they're done.

Houston is grinding itself down and is slipping further as the season goes along. They've put up a great fight, but unless they dump McGrady for some real pieces, they're pretty much done.

The only team out of the playoffs right now is Memphis, and there's no guarantee they keep up. And OKC, now at 8, could very well falter as the season comes to a close like many young teams do.

Wow, that's a bit too pessimistic for me. We'll make the playoffs for sure, im confident.

:flag:

I'm pretty sure the Spurs can beat Minnesota and Clippers on a b2b..

Even if that does happen (worst case scenario) there's still an upside: we'll get a higher draft pick (14th or better, I think). Then next year we'll add Splitter in addition to that draft pick, Blair will be in his 2nd year as will Jefferson (even if RJ doesn't improve, he'll be a valuable expiring contract next year). The worst case scenario isn't the end of the world or of the Spurs.

Man this REALLY is a pessimistic view. Doesnt work me, I say we make the playoffs at the 4th or 5th seed. Lakers in the 2nd round!

The only problem with our team is that we lose concentration and start playing bad ball, im just hoping in the playoffs that wouldn't happen and the random flashes of greatness we see in the regular season will become the norm rather than the exception

The stretch from March 21st through April 4th is disturbing.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Thompson

Even if that does happen (worst case scenario) there's still an upside: we'll get a higher draft pick (14th or better, I think). Then next year we'll add Splitter in addition to that draft pick, Blair will be in his 2nd year as will Jefferson (even if RJ doesn't improve, he'll be a valuable expiring contract next year). The worst case scenario isn't the end of the world or of the Spurs.

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Personally, I'd rather take the higher draft pick. There's absolutely no incentive in going in as a 6th or 8th seed and enduring yet another 1st round exit. A better player via the draft would be yet another immediate infusion of talent and energy on an aging roster that needs as much as it can get.

Look at the life, energy and durability that Hill and Blair have provided. They're the only Spurs, to date, that have played in EVERY game so far.

A loss to the Nets? That IS pessimistic...

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Originally Posted by venitian navigator

it's not necessary to have a 37-45 refcirdo, for missing the play offs...probably a 45-37 record won't be enough...that's why ther's a real chance to miss the playoffs, considering our difficult schedule.

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I see the Spurs wininning around 50 games...the way they are playing currently, at the moment I think we will ba about the 5-6 seed but the west is so close this year who knows.

If we do miss the playoffs and get in the draft lottery we have had really good luck in the past with the ping-pong balls so it is not all bad.

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Originally Posted by AussieFanKurt

whatever happens, happens. we'll live

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:tu This.

Tony still gets to bang Eva, Manu still gets double duty on poop patrol, and Timmy......... is still Timmy.

And above all, none of the Spurs players are going to be wondering where their next rent check is coming from.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by MaNu4Tres

The stretch from March 21st through April 4th is disturbing.

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March 17th to April 14th is tough.

unfortunately i think they will make playoffs as the 7th or 8th seed and lose in 5 games in the first round..

The horrendous schedule and Spurs' unendingly uneven play, averaging more bad than good, mean missing the playoffs is more probable than making them.

Either they get it goin or it's over. This trip n the rest of the season is riding on them so we'll see!!!!!!!!

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Muser

I'm pretty sure the Spurs can beat Minnesota and Clippers on a b2b..

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and Nets

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Originally Posted by wijayas

Assuming:
1. Spurs lose to the teams with winning record for the rest of the season

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That's when I stopped reading....

There's a difference between pessimistic and unrealistic :rolleyes

Unless they just quit or are ravaged by injury, no way they miss the playoffs. In fact, I would be shocked if they didn't challenge for the 4th seed.

Think about it. In the Duncan era, the Spurs have been legit contenders for the title every year except last year and 2000.

This team is going to get better, not worse. When this team heads into the playoffs, they are going to be exponentially better than they are right now. Competition makes you better and they have plenty of that coming up. As TD has stated in the past, he is a competition type guy.

Believe in TD.

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Originally Posted by slayermin

Believe in TD.

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Always. :toast


Duncan is all about winning. He'll rise in the Playoffs as he always has.

I think we'll make the playoffs either way, but a nice trade would elevate us..the only seeds that aren't available are #1 and #2..let's hope the FO makes the right move though..

http://www.mountainproject.com/image...ium_0c8b62.jpg

I agree with slayermin, a lot of teams are not going to want to fuck with us during the playoffs no matter the record.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by MaNu4Tres

The stretch from March 21st through April 4th is disturbing.

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Therefore the importance early in the season to win games.

It was there. Staring at my face from the beginning of the season. The Spurs would need to have a good showing at the start of the season to help combat the end of season schedule.

I was hoping for a slightly better than .500 by the time December ended. Then hoping the team would have at least a 5-1 home stance record prior to the RRT.

This upcoming schedule is brutal for any team in the league much less one that is not above .600. And March is even worse than the RRT schedule.

If the Spurs can pull this one out with a winning record...Make the playoffs...They will have definately been battle tested more than any other team in the league prior to the playoffs starting.

37 wins... please.

The Spurs missing the playoffs could happen, though I'd give it a pretty small probability with the way this team have proved for years it gets stronger as the season closes. I know last season doesn't exactly back this up, but with no Manu and with Tim being pretty injured then, I don't think we can discredit the trend. Under no circumstance would they ever finish the season with less than 40 wins though.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by MaNu4Tres

The stretch from March 21st through April 4th is disturbing.

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The way we are playing right now we will lose most of those games :( A better Spurs team has a shot, but they have ALOT of work to do to get there.

The big 3 + Pop will not allow the Spurs to miss the playoffs.

Like Harlem said 1 and 2 seed is out of the question. 3-5 is where the Spurs should be. It's possible for the Spurs to have the 4th best record in the NBA if they really go on a huge winning streak this last half. But it's an if. and it's what I'm hoping for at least.