-
Re: Is it really possible for the US to default?
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2centsworth
no need to offset anything since government spending isn't constrained by tax revenues.
And you insinuate I'm the leftist. Hah!
-
Re: Is it really possible for the US to default?
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Winehole23
Ok. So you admit in your own words you're a one note johnny. Only one thing is important, full employment, and the only plausible means to acheive it is massive tax breaks.
How do plan to pay for the breaks, 2cents? Or do we just borrow more money again?
One not johnny huh?
ask yourself
What's the purpose of taxes?
a payroll tax holiday for a year or two is the only capitalist and fair way to do it. otherwise, the government has to chose winners and losers.
-
Re: Is it really possible for the US to default?
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Winehole23
Did you envision a role for government too, say infrastructure investment, or something of that sort? I'm not tryin to trip you up. I'm actually interested in what you think, fwiw.
long-term, yes, but we have immediate problems.
-
Re: Is it really possible for the US to default?
How to pay for massive tax cuts apparently isn't one of them. Fair enough.
-
Re: Is it really possible for the US to default?
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2centsworth
ask yourself
What's the purpose of taxes?
Too abstract for me. What's your pat answer for this?
-
Re: Is it really possible for the US to default?
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Winehole23
How to pay for massive tax cuts apparently isn't one of them. Fair enough.
as long as you admit tax revenue has little to do with paying anything at the federal level.
-
Re: Is it really possible for the US to default?
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Winehole23
Too abstract for me. What's your pat answer for this?
"fat answer?" For that I should leave you in the dark. :lol
http://hiwaay.net/~becraft/RUMLTAXES.html
-
Re: Is it really possible for the US to default?
Quote:
Originally Posted by
2centsworth
as long as you admit tax revenue has little to do with paying anything at the federal level.
That's your view. I respect that but I probably won't follow you there. Nothing personal. :toast
-
Re: Is it really possible for the US to default?
I also respect that you more or less admitted adding trillions more to the debt/deficit is of no concern to you right now. That's contrary to the prevailing political winds.
-
Re: Is it really possible for the US to default?
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Winehole23
That's your view. I respect that but I probably won't follow you there. Nothing personal. :toast
it's an operational reality whether you know it or not.
-
Re: Is it really possible for the US to default?
the state grows no matter what. that's been the pattern for sure.
-
Re: Is it really possible for the US to default?
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Winehole23
I also respect that you more or less admitted adding trillions more to the debt/deficit is of no concern to you right now. That's contrary to the prevailing political winds.
only if it's in the form of a payroll tax holiday.
-
Re: Is it really possible for the US to default?
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Winehole23
the state grows no matter what. that's been the pattern for sure.
hence, I applaud the efforts to shrink it.
-
Re: Is it really possible for the US to default?
on the contrary, it seems to me that by authorizing all additions to the national debt/deficit in advance, you have also apologized for the growth of the state -- only temporarily of course, as may be expedient to full employment and economic recovery.
-
Re: Is it really possible for the US to default?
when a country can print its own money, it can't default. Like the US did after WWII, it can inflate itself out of debt.
Repug deficit-hawks are only deficit hawks when the Dems are in power. St Ronnie and dubay tripled the debt, but where were the deficit hawks then? Just part of the VRWC incredibly bad-faith, political, dishonest bullshit.
-
Re: Is it really possible for the US to default?
Quote:
Originally Posted by
boutons_deux
when a country can print its own money, it can't default. Like the US did after WWII, it can inflate itself out of debt.
Repug deficit-hawks are only deficit hawks when the Dems are in power. St Ronnie and dubay tripled the debt, but where were the deficit hawks then? Just part of the VRWC incredibly bad-faith, political, dishonest bullshit.
Im not talking about inflation and after WWII the gov didn't inflate its way out of anything.
-
Re: Is it really possible for the US to default?
"after WWII the gov didn't inflate its way out of anything"
it did, you could look it up.
-
Re: Is it really possible for the US to default?
Quote:
Originally Posted by
boutons_deux
"after WWII the gov didn't inflate its way out of anything"
it did, you could look it up.
inflation didn't get us out of the war or recession. The War caused short-term inflation here and hyper-inflation in Germany.
Big Difference.
-
Re: Is it really possible for the US to default?
Many observers worry that the debt-to-GDP ratios projected over the next ten years are unsustainable. Assuming deficits can be reined in, how might the debt/GDP ratio be reduced? There are four basic mechanisms:
GDP can grow rapidly enough to reduce the ratio. This scenario requires a robust economic recovery from the financial crisis.
Inflation can rise, eroding the real value of the debt held by creditors and the effective debt ratio. With foreign creditors holding a significant share of the dollar-denominated US federal debt, they will share the burden of any higher US inflation along with domestic creditors.
The government can use tax revenue to redeem some of the debt.
The government can default on some of its debt obligations.
Over its history, the US has relied on each of these mechanisms to reduce its debt/GDP ratio. In a recent paper (Aizenman and Marion 2009), we examine the role of inflation in reducing the Federal government’s debt burden. We conclude that an inflation of 6% over four years could reduce the debt/GDP ratio by a significant 20%.
http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/4413
-
Re: Is it really possible for the US to default?
Quote:
Originally Posted by
boutons_deux
Many observers worry that the debt-to-GDP ratios projected over the next ten years are unsustainable. Assuming deficits can be reined in, how might the debt/GDP ratio be reduced? There are four basic mechanisms:
GDP can grow rapidly enough to reduce the ratio. This scenario requires a robust economic recovery from the financial crisis.
Inflation can rise, eroding the real value of the debt held by creditors and the effective debt ratio. With foreign creditors holding a significant share of the dollar-denominated US federal debt, they will share the burden of any higher US inflation along with domestic creditors.
The government can use tax revenue to redeem some of the debt.
The government can default on some of its debt obligations.
Over its history, the US has relied on each of these mechanisms to reduce its debt/GDP ratio. In a recent paper (Aizenman and Marion 2009), we examine the role of inflation in reducing the Federal government’s debt burden. We conclude that an inflation of 6% over four years could reduce the debt/GDP ratio by a significant 20%.
http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/4413
they do not understand the Monetary System.
Dangerous info in the hands of blind libs (Read Innocent Fraud #1)
-
Re: Is it really possible for the US to default?
i have the solution
pay them the money, legislate no chinamen is allowed to buy american assets :D
scrap current currency and introduced new curency.....change ratio NIL.
-
Re: Is it really possible for the US to default?
Zero is the asymptote, inflation is the race to get there. It won't be pretty.
-
Re: Is it really possible for the US to default?
Quote:
Originally Posted by
2centsworth
How do we default on debts payable in the currency we created?
To answer the question posed by the thread title: Extremely unlikely.
As for the second question: Not sure exactly what you are asking.
We could simply inflate our way out of the mess, by flooding the market with dollars (making each dollar cheaper and easing the burden of payment). US government debt is denominated in dollars exclusively.
Example:
1 dollar equals, say, 1 euro. We pay out in dollars, then the risk of currency conversion is borne by the person with the euros.
Bond payment is 100 dollars and that is translated into 100 euros by the Europeans.
Inflation happens and it takes 2 dollars to make 1 euro. This inflation has consequently increased tax revenues in dollars, making that same 100 dollar payment easier.
The person with the euros who has to pay his utilities and buy groceries in euros is pissed, because what paid out 100 euros before the inflation, now pays out 50 euros.
This would be a VERY undesirable thing on several fronts, simply because it would really raise the cost of future borrowing a LOT. It would solve the short term problem of debt payments, but create a longer term problem of lack of confidence.
That is something of a simplification. Hope it helps.
-
Re: Is it really possible for the US to default?
you clowns should do what the viet cong did after vn war, it didnt matter how much money u had or what gold bullion bars u hold, lol each family was only allowed the same amount total per household exchanging the previous currency to new currency...did you know how many ppl jump to their deaths after bring in all there savings and can only change to the same amount as the next person...
-
Re: Is it really possible for the US to default?
Currently i feel we have China over a bigger barrel with ag exports then they do with debt. Short term anyway.
You may have lots of problems but when you're hungry, you only have ONE problem.