Originally Posted by
Ed Helicopter Jones
The bottom line fact from the game last night is that the Spurs lost a regular season game that they didn't show up for. They played a team that is desperate to make a statement on national television. Should the Spurs have played up to their potential? Yes, but if you really expected them to do so you haven't paid much attention to their regular season trends the last few years. It's almost like the Spurs employ a "no hard feelings" rule after beating a good team, where they almost try to give one back. I think the Laker loss a couple of weeks ago was comparable to the Heat loss. I think Pop really doesn't care about the regular season enough to give any of the elite teams motivation for the post season. Lulling them into a sense of complacency seems to be the m.o.
The big problem, I believe, is that the Spurs are safely sitting on the number 1 seed and so they feel they don't have to push things right now. As it is, the Spurs are still 6 1/2 games up in the standings (6 over the east) with only 15 games to go. Let's say Dallas wins out their remaining schedule, that would force the Spurs to go 10-5 down the home stretch to secure the top spot in the West. If LA wins out, the Spurs will need a 9-6 stretch run to beat their record.
The concerning part is that the Spurs remaining schedule is definitely the toughest of the 3 remaining teams. Dallas' schedule is the easiest.
Spurs remaining opponents:
3/18 At Dallas
3/19 Charlotte
3/21 Golden State
3/23 At Denver
3/25 At Portland
3/27 At Memphis
3/28 Portland
3/31 Boston
4/1 At Houston
4/3 Phoenix
4/5 At Atlanta
4/6 Sacramento
4/9 Utah
4/12 At LAL
4/13 Phoenix
I think the Spurs will win the games bolded. I think they probably won't lock up HCA until the 4/9 game against Utah and will then rest their team in the final B2B.
In the meantime, Dallas and LA will close the gap in frightening fashion and many folks in here will take their own lives. Once the playoffs start, however, we'll see once and for all if this Spurs team is worth their mettle. As it is, I don't think we've seen the best of this team since they pull safely out in front of the pack a couple of months ago.
I'm still confident in my team, however, and I'm confident this is how you'll see the remainder of the regular season play out.
So let it be written, so let it be done.