If that's the case, they might be in luck.
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Hope Spurs miss shots?
Only thing, that comes to my mind for Grizzlies is to keep Duncan out of paint. He was +22 today. Rim was protected, despite Grizzlies attacking it all the time. Splitter, Diaw and fucking Matt Bonner were pushed.
Grizzlies made their comeback with Duncan on the bench, which is significant.
Main adjustments: Flop more since the refs are clearly willing to bail them out when they can't score, hope the refs call cheap fouls on Duncan even earlier than they did in game 2, try fouling even more often since the refs barely called any of their fouls under the basket.
That's probably the jist of their gameplan. They need Duncan and other Spurs bigs (mostly Duncan) to pick up fouls so they can score more easily. If Duncan stays out of foul trouble, they will likely continue to struggle until the refs open up the game for them by taking Duncan out of it again.
Hope the Spurs miss and that Tim Duncan fouls out. Otherwise they are fucked.
It's a good thought, but I don't really think so, and here's why:
First, Rebounding is a problem if you aren't giving the effort. It's something you shore up and focus on if you're the Spurs, but the Grizzlies can't gameplan to get 19 offensive rebounds any more than they can gameplan to get a bullshit flagrant foul call in the closing seconds of the game.
Second, a lot of the reason the Grizzlies got so many rebounds is because they were missing shots. That's a downside, but it's statistically insignificant if the Spurs are playing good inside defense. They got six offensive rebounds on a single possession, but they came away -2 as Allen fouled Duncan who hit both freebies.
Also, the first adjustment you make when you're outrebounded like that is not having Matt Bonner in for 27 minutes tbh.
Grizzlies will win 3 straight games that said the spurs will down by 2-3 , a close win will be taken by the spurs in game 6 (2 OTs) to force a Game 7 , finally the spurs will take Game 7 at home to finish the series
I just don't see this Grizzlies team being able to win three or even four against the Spurs. Sure they rallied in Game 2, but the Spurs took their best shot and the Grizzlies still fell short. This ain't a Thunder team with three very talented wing players who can go off any time. Spurs will split, then wrap this up in 5.
Pay Stern more.
Pondexter Balyess keeps us honest and limits Khawi and Green from helping. It's a significant adjustment. We should counter by relentlessly attacking the basket and getting their bigs in foul trouble. I fear we will settle for the 3.
On the same token, Memphis missed some easy put backs or layups because we had 3-4 guys in there contesting those put backs.
Credit Memphis for doing well on the glass, but credit the Spurs for contesting and not giving up on those put backs.
Hollins, some fans, and some analysts are acting like the Grizzlies are missing wide open lay-ups. That couldn't be more far from the truth. Spurs are contesting just about everything.
Spurs have to do better on the boards and I imagine they will if Duncan stays out of foul trouble.
I would agree for the most part - however, even contested, those are makeable shots - at least more than they have been. Also, Spurs were getting hammered on the glass before Tim was in foul trouble and even in Golden State series rebounding issues surfaced.