Spurs are going all out for Game 3, which they will win.
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Spurs are going all out for Game 3, which they will win.
I think we win Game 3 and close it out at home in Game 5.
Memphis won't be able to handle a Spurs team coming off 3 days rest IMO.
Spurs have a great chance to get game 3 if they come out and play smart to start the game in Memphis. If they come out, punch them in the mouth early, I think Memphis starts to pack it in. Z-Bo is already swaying, you could tell last night by his body language. I think if you come out with a great start saturday they can grab that game. If they grab that game its over in 4, cause I think Memphis partially packs it in and Pop and the Spurs will smell blood.
71.36% we win at least one game
Chance of a split? 0%
Chance of a sweep? 100%
Spurs in 4.
i think the rest pays off in Game 3 where we win close. Memphis is too good to be swept though.
Before the series, I said Spurs in 7, if Parker/Leonard looked at least reasonably close to 100% (and no other significant injury emerged at some point, of course). But that was before it was known that there would be a 3 day break between games 2 and 3. Given what we know now, I like the Spurs chances of getting a split.
We're not sweeping these guys.. They'll at least take one at home. I'll say we win a close Game 4.
We're not sweeping these guys.. They'll at least take one at home. I'll say we win a close Game 4.
Spurs will win Game three!
spurs will want to lock that one game asap so game 3 is a 90% win... followed by a letdown in the closing minutes of game 4.
oh, that happened already in round 2.
fuck it. spurs sweep.
How they played on the road versus G.S SHOULD be a good indicator of their focus, and aggressiveness. Which, was pretty damn good. But this will all depend on how the games are called in the paint. With the likelihood of seeing Duncan or Splitter in foul trouble early in both games, it's a 50/50 shot. You know they will come out super aggressive banging around looking for calls, and they will get a few. Their role players will play better naturally at home, and ours will pull back a bit naturally, on the road. A lot will depend upon those stretches when guys have sit because of said issues.
All that said, 40%.
Game 3 is always the hardest especially when top seed is up 2-0. Because you are going to get the very best effort from Memphis and their fans will be crazy.
The Spurs will simply have to stay calm and take Memphis punches for the first half. LIkely the Spurs will be down at half. Hopefully not by more than 10 but don't be surpirsed if it is worse then that.
Then you just try to chip away in the 3rd and get the game to single digits by 4th qtr and try and steal it in the end when the game is not being played on Emotion but rather on talent.
My gut says Memphis gets the calls tonight and probably gets a win. The NBA does not want a lot of dead time between now and the pre-set Finals.
But if I was a betting man I would bet the Spurs win 1 game in Memphis
I'm more focused on what the calls will be like, a flagrant foul that extends the game or gives an opponent +4 points can be a game decider in the final minutes of any game.
Imagine OT on the road, the outcome might have been different. Some have speculated that the foul troubles for Timmy was a blessing because it gave him fresh legs for OT, I call BS on that since if he was IN the game playing then the comeback would have never happened as it did.
I'll be looking at any BS calls on defense as we swarm Zbo, I have not seen many yet though you may disagree. If they allow us to continue our defense on zbo and we play like game 3 in GS then I think we'll take it. Their comebacks occur when timmy and parker are resting so if they change their lineups it could alter a possible comeback as well.
That being said, if the Grizz get +14 rebounds, +14fga, and +9 ftas in SA, like in game 2, then I can only imagine the outcome of the game if they get that at their home.
Post was not bad until you brought this up. Of the 14 rebounds and 14 fga, 7 of them came in a few seconds, and led to 0 points, and a foul. I can only hope they play that poorly again.
The one thing that bothers me is fouls. We were the best team in the league on comminting the fewest number per game. Yet, in the first 2 games, we committed more fouls than Memphis. That just doesnt add up for me. We have to stop fouling the Grizzles. Of the 3 fouls on Duncan in the 3rd, 2 were clear fouls and the 3rd wasnt. Just have to play smart.
I'm actually surprised that we haven't been called for more fouls. I think back to that series in 2011 and I remember getting so many calls trying to defend Z-BO at the beginning of quarters which put Memphis in the bonus early and they made us pay. This time around it's different. I still hold my breath every time we double team Randolph and am shocked to hear no whistle. I guess i'm still plagued by 2011.
70%
We are more focused on the road. I say it is a 70% chance we win one of the 2 at Memphis. The media has over exagerated home court advantage. At this point in the playoffs, it is more and more irrelevant.
Manu has to step up. we've got to keep our foot on their throats.
It's much better to have a letdown game in game 4. Not giving up game 3 and then hoping to win game 4. That strategy backfired on Pop last year and in '04. Play game 3 to the last second even if you're getting blown out. In the worst case you force them to use energy and prevent them from getting overconfident.