Chances of us splitting in Memphis?

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Originally Posted by look_at_g_shred

I'm actually surprised that we haven't been called for more fouls. I think back to that series in 2011 and I remember getting so many calls trying to defend Z-BO at the beginning of quarters which put Memphis in the bonus early and they made us pay. This time around it's different. I still hold my breath every time we double team Randolph and am shocked to hear no whistle. I guess i'm still plagued by 2011.

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We've got better defenders. Zach has to score against 2 long 7 footers versus Bonner/Dice. TD/Splitter can block him without even jumping.

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Originally Posted by 41times

Game 3 is always the hardest especially when top seed is up 2-0. Because you are going to get the very best effort from Memphis and their fans will be crazy.

The Spurs will simply have to stay calm and take Memphis punches for the first half. LIkely the Spurs will be down at half. Hopefully not by more than 10 but don't be surpirsed if it is worse then that.

Then you just try to chip away in the 3rd and get the game to single digits by 4th qtr and try and steal it in the end when the game is not being played on Emotion but rather on talent.

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It's always better to throw the punch first like TP did in game 3 last series.

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Originally Posted by EVAY

By definition isn't it 50%?

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50% the first game, 50% the second game. So I think statistically that's 25%, ain't it ? Hell it's been years since I took statistics. I'm sure someone here knows. 1/2 x 1/2 or some such shit.

I guess 25% would be them winning them both ?

We'll definitely split in Memphis and come back here and win game 5 so we can go kick Miami's sorry ass!

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Originally Posted by bigfan

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-yvFlHtFdpN...nterocitor.jpg

According to the Interociter, exactly 53.458% chance of a split.

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fuck i love that movie.
"are you boys cooking up there?"
"no"
"are you boys building an interociter up there?"
"no!!"

No Splitter joke yet?

Gm 3 will be the game we have the best chance of winning outta the two games in Memphis. Shock the world and win them both!

Pretty good, tbh...

A more receptive home crowd won't make Tony Allen and Tayshaun Prince knockdown 3 point shooters, and as long as Hollins sticks with his rotation his team will struggle on offense - or surrender defense.

I think that an NBA team, when leading a series 2-0, is kind of like a "one-and-one" free throw situation. If you make the first one (winning Game 3,) then suddenly Game 4 is there for the taking.

Game 4 should be far easier to win when leading 3-0 than leading 2-1. Lead 2-1, and the Memphis home crowd will be fully revved up in Game 4, motivated and energetic. Lead 3-0, and that same crowd will be deflated, spiritless and depressed. Same may go for a lot of players' psyches.

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Originally Posted by sananspursfan21

Sweep anyone?

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Originally Posted by xellos88330

0% chance.

The Spurs are going to sweep these bitches!!!

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Originally Posted by szkorhetz

I truly feel that the team which will win game 3, will take the whole series. Game 3 is a must win!

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Originally Posted by FlashZo

Gm 3 will be the game we have the best chance of winning outta the two games in Memphis. Shock the world and win them both!

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I've got that 'sweeping feeling' as well lately. Or maybe it was all just a dream I had. :lol

We shall see...

I originally said Spurs in 5, 6 tops... but HELL, I wouldn't mind another sweep. :toast

I don't care if I'm right or I'm wrong about this ish, either.

FUCK Memphis!! Go SAY-TOWN!! :p:

Game 3 will be a huge challenge not just because Memphis will be looking for a counterpunch in their home gym, but because Hollins figured out that his first two starting lineups didn't work and seems likely to trot out Pondexter and Bayless from the beginning. Defensively, that should hurt them, but it's not like their defense has really slowed the Spurs down so far. The Spurs just need to continue to impose their will, and be stubborn as hell about it, because Memphis is likely to come out guns blazing in the hopes of recreating their late Game 2 run. The Spurs dicked around with Golden State plenty last series, it's about time they locked down and shifted into championship gear.

They'll split as soon as game 4 ends. Chances are high.

I'd be surprised if the Spurs don't emerge from Memphis with at least one road win.

Wow it's thick up here. Really? You think the Spurs are going to win in Memphis? Did you see their home record? It's close to ours.

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Originally Posted by DMC

Wow it's thick up here. Really? You think the Spurs are going to win in Memphis? Did you see their home record? It's close to ours.

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Roaracle was also supposed to be an impossible arena to win in, and the Spurs nearly took all 3 of their games there.

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Originally Posted by DMC

Wow it's thick up here. Really? You think the Spurs are going to win in Memphis? Did you see their home record? It's close to ours.

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Yes. Really.

We'll leave Memphis 3-1. Whether that's Saturday night, or Monday. BOOK IT

40% Spurs win both
40% Split
20% Griz win both

Confident we'll win Game 3.

http://www.google.com/url?q=http://i...rKTBYxwzts-Bbg

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Originally Posted by Budkin

Confident we'll win Game 3.

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Using statistical analysis to project the winner of a basketball game is impossible. Too many varibles. That being said you can use simple data of the past to attempt to put a value out there. ie. wins vs losses. Team strenght. Injury and who rested etc., to come up with a "WILD HAIR" guess.

My wild hair guess would be Spurs will have a 66 % chance of winning 1 of the 2 games. If they win game 3, then I would say it drops to about 40% for game 4 because of the home court advantage and the Grizz wanting to at least show their fans that they belonged in the finals.

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strong memories of blowing a 2-0 lead to Oklahoma City in the Western finals :blah:

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tired of hearing & reading the news about that 2-0 and the sweep, can we just win game 3? one at a time........