Spur fan-how confident are you vs the heat

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Originally Posted by baseline bum

This would be an enormous upset. I wonder how the Spurs will matchup with the Heat's smallball lineup of Bosh at the 5 and LeBron at the 4. God I hate the thought of Tim out 20 feet from the basket guarding Bosh, but no way in hell you can put him on James. Do you stay put on Wade, Allen, Battier, etc. and possibly let James throw a 50-spot? Do you make everyone else beat you by going broke for the head of the snake like in 07? Obviously very different when Pavlovic is now Dwyane Wade, Ilgauskas is now Chris Bosh, Boobie Gibson is now Ray Allen, Donyell Marshall is now Shane Battier, etc. Assuming no injuries, this is a 66 win team that's probably better than their record that the Spurs are facing. The order of the day is going to be legendary series from Tim and Tony and then hot three point shooting, plus a Ginobili vintage performance or two mixed in. Can't wait to see how it all goes down.

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Pretty much. I'd say we have a 20% chance of winning. But that's still awesome.

Not very cofident, as I think this one will come down to a game 7 in Miami.

If the Spurs can take this series it would go down in NBA history the same way Russell leading his Celtics over West, Baylor, and Chamberlain in 1969 did.

Not confident - but then again, Pistons fans may not have been too confident in 2004 before Pistons-Lakers in the Finals.

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Originally Posted by Darius McCrary

Pretty much. I'd say we have a 20% chance of winning. But that's still awesome.

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Yeah, just to have one last shot, remote as it is, is fucking awesome.

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Originally Posted by emanueldavidginobili

7/10 their interior players are a joke Haslem and Bosh? then the Birdman...Duncan is going to have a HELL of a series

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That meth head will get owned by TD.

Not having home court or Stephen Jackson worries me. But Spurs can win it. I actually feared Memphis more than the Heat. It's all about Kawhi. I hate to put that pressure on him. But if he can just bother LeBron like Bowen did Kobe, Spurs have an incredible shot at it.

A few offensive keys to the Spurs winning are:

- Duncan having a great series, dominating the Heat inside and opening shit up for the rest of the offense..

- Splitter producing on the pick&roll and punishing Miami inside..

- The shooters(Bonner, Ginobili, Green, Leonard, Diaw) getting hot, not choking the open shots they'll be getting off Miami's swarming defense..

I'm confident Timmy will have a big series, but I'm not convinced that Splitter can dominate and that the shooters will get hot, tbh..

So I'm giving the Spurs a 30% chance..low probability, but still a realistic possibility..

Go Pacers.

I predict the first ever NBA "coming back from 3-0" in this series with us coming back!

At least their frontline isn't nearly as physical as Memphis's was.

Our offense will be there tbh. As good as the Heat are defensively, we're going to get good looks in the series.

My concern lies defensively for the Spurs. But they've definitely got more than a puncher's chance.

It is really hard to tell beause these two teams did not have one competitive game played against each other since Lebron got to Miami. Either there have been blow out wins by both teams or both teams rested their best players. So the last three seasons tell us not very much. But it will be very tough for the Spurs because ...

1) their PG defenders Chalmers/Cole can put much pressure on Tony and the rest of the Heat playing the passing lanes well might end up looking a lot like the first minutes of Game 3 against Memphis ... turnovers resulting in fast break points where the Heat excel

2) although Spurs have the advantage in the frontline, I never have seen Timmy be able to dominate against this Heat team ... Heat will double team and swipe at the ball in his hands a lot ... Timmy needs to bring his A passing game and be able to make quick decisions for the Spurs to be competitive

3) I am not confident in the 3pt defense of the Spurs ... they still want to pack the paint to prevent easy points by Wade and Lebron, but this will be the first series in these playoffs where the best players of the other team can dump it of to capable 3point shooters ... and make no mistake about it, Battier will make the shots he is missing right now (he like Fisher is a Spurs killer)

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Originally Posted by Mugen

Our offense will be there tbh. As good as the Heat are defensively, we're going to get good looks in the series.

My concern lies defensively for the Spurs. But they've definitely got more than a puncher's chance.

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Yeah, this, but totally opposite.

Spurs in 6

And we'll see Lebron chewing his fingernails.

Toughest challenge ever.can't stop lebron,manu will have to go beast to counter wade

I think spurs have a shot but they r the underdog .id be pleasantly surprised if spurs could grind this out

I hope Indiana can get one more stretch that series out and keep wade playing hurt

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Originally Posted by slick'81

Toughest challenge ever.can't stop lebron,manu will have to go beast to counter wade

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Wade isn't quite the same either. He has his moments but he doesn't look like he can take over a game much anymore...

It is not just Heat but also against Stern. Ref will play a bigger role.

Pop needs to be smart and better utilise his players.

Agreed. The Heat are a very good and very talented team. But people get carried away with these guys because of the names there and because of their winning streak this year (and honestly, I think the Spurs run from late-season into the playoffs was at least as impressive).

They're excellent. They're the defending champs. But I don't think they're as good as some other teams the Spurs have beaten over the years.

How these Spurs compare to the Spurs of yesteryear is the real question, IMO. The Spurs are one of the best offensive teams in the league and were 3rd in the NBA in defensive efficiency. So hopefully, this team will stack up well to prior championship teams. We'll know in a couple weeks or so, I guess.

We need all role players who stepped up during the last couple series, PLUS Manu stepping up on offense. If Manu can be Manu of old for just one series, and role players do what they did recently, we are good.

Please less Bonner/Neal combo. That is what could hurt us really bad. That shit won't fly with Miami, Pop. If they aren't hitting shots, pull them. If they are, then it's gravy but don't fall in love with it for too long. I believe :tu

Keys:

- Execution.
- Limit TO's. Unlike Memphis in this last game, Miami anticipates really well when it comes to cuts. Gotta take care of the ball. We know how good Miami is in the open court.
- Three pointers. That goes for them as for us. Could be a big factor.
- How we defend CB3. Yes, CB3.
- Last but not least: health.

If we face the heat I think the best thing about it is we start on the road. The spurs look so much better defensively on the road. I can only imagine what the the arena will sound like if the spurs come back to SA 1-1 or 2-0 in the series. Having said that, just being able to see this team try for fifth time is unbelievable. I rode w/ the team through the 90s and couldn't bear to see us come up short every year until 99. It's been one heck of a ride! Win or lose, this team has shown so much heart and consistency to get to that next level. If we can get one win in Miami within the first two games, I say the Spurs will make it interesting. I was sold on the Heat just being too good but I think the Spurs have that determination to finish Timmy's career strong and with the chip! Spurs win in 7 on the road in Miami!

We will fucking win.

I fear that Miami's scrubs like Cole,Chalmer, Battier or even Haslem will suddenly play like 2012 WCF Ibaka...