This is my poor imitation of a Timvp post. Hope it brings half the goods he manages to bring. Let's breakdown the Heat as we've seen them play this week, while we languish in no man's land waiting for the next round.
Watching the basketball breakdown videos are always a great way to get clued in on where the Heat can be beaten.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rwv9...e_gdata_player
In that we see a horrid Heat offense that would be evicerated by the Spurs. A lot of that looks like the Heat players are doing what they want while the coach just tags along. Their lack of off the ball movement and their disappearing three point shooting is a glaring hole right now.
Big questions?
Will their three point shooters get back on track? Two former Spurs killers are seemingly in a huge slump right now. Battier and Ray Allen have never looked this bad. I actually think that this is going to be the reason we could beat the heat. Like the grizzlies a lack of shooting destroys spacing and it can kill any team, even one with LeBron on it. If they don't hit their shots then Spurs can pack the paint and swarm the Heat to death.
Will Bosh and Wade play back to form?
LeBron stated after game 5 about the lack of help:
“I kind of just went back to my Cleveland days…"
Bosh has always been kind of a third wheel and content to take a back seat with timidity, disappearing for games at a time. The Spurs look like they can really contain Bosh right now with any number of defenders. And 2 rebounds is just uninspired and disinterested out of any "center."
Wade had been really hampered by his knee making his contribution to the big three a huge question mark. My prediction is that the Spurs can't depend on him continuing to play this bad. He's going to get a few days rest and should be able to will himself to a few good games. If the Spurs can keep that limited to just a game or two I like our chances.
Role players -
While Birdman had been playing like a wildman it seems mainly like his opportunities are coming primarily from lapses in the rotations and not blocking out. I think the spurs have the mindset to lock in on guys like birdman and shut that crap down. Spurs lose sight of him and things could go south really quickly.
Cole, Chalmers and Haslem could also contribute some damage so keeping them in check is a good idea.
The Heat's defense looks porous at best right now. With Wade hobbled and a lack of an interior shot blocker; Manu, Tony, Green, and Kawhi look like they could be the perfect combination to carve the Heat a new one. I honestly think the Pacers are a thousand times less precise and organized on offense than the Spurs can be. That should mean Parker and Manu are going to go crazy on the Heat. I know LeBron can guard Tony. But having him struggle through screens all day just seems like a good way to destroy the mvp's legs. I just don't see how the Heat are prepared to stop the Tony Parker express. It seems like this could be the weakest team ever to attempt to stop his kind of frenetic offense. Manu could see some vintage moments himself with that porous a defense. Can anyone name a team with less interior presence than the Heat, that Tony hasn't completely destroyed? Bogut was a nightmare compared to what the Heat have to offer in the middle.
What looks scary:
LeBron looks unstoppable as usual. If Pop is consistent about one thing it is throwing so many different looks at superstars that they second guess what's coming. Hopefully a lot of teamwork and perfect help defense can contain the mvp. I'm hoping Kawhi, Diaw, and Manu do an admirable job in at least frustrating the King.
Worst case: The heat in 4. We can't stop Lebron in a third quarter. Bosh makes more threes than Manu and Danny green combined. Wade gets a new set of wheels. Parker shuts himself down playing too much hero ball. And Bonner makes Lebron a sandwich instead of guarding anyone.

