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Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Win Finals
Cleveland Cavaliers 5.3%
Toronto Raptors 2.3%
Atlanta Hawks 1.2%
Indiana Pacers 1.2%
Chicago Bulls 0.7%
Boston Celtics 0.1%
Detroit Pistons 0.1%
Miami Heat 0.2%
Charlotte Hornets 0.5%
Golden State Warriors 27.9%
San Antonio Spurs 51.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder 6.0%
Los Angeles Clippers 0.8%
http://www.basketball-reference.com/...ayoff_prob.cgi
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
I think that figure was projected pre-Cavs and Bulls getting cannibalized at home by the Dubs.
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Cavs with a free pass to the finals, and they're still at only 5.3 percent :lmao
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Spurtacular
Cavs with a free pass to the finals, and they're still at only 5.3 percent :lmao
That's overblown, tbh. Raptors have a shot to beat them and the Bulls won't be an easy out for them either.
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
SpurPadre
That's overblown, tbh. Raptors have a shot to beat them and the Bulls won't be an easy out for them either.
Cavs Finals spot is booked, tbh.
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
SpurPadre
I think that figure was projected pre-Cavs and Bulls getting cannibalized at home by the Dubs.
BBREF doesn't care about individual games. It's a stats site. According to them, our record should be one game better than it is, and GSs should be four games worse.
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
exstatic
BBREF doesn't care about individual games. It's a stats site. According to them, our record should be one game better than it is, and GSs should be four games worse.
You're right and records-wise, they do have a point.
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
SpurPadre
That's overblown, tbh. Raptors have a shot to beat them and the Bulls won't be an easy out for them either.
Raptors are never a real contender, tbh..they are always built for the regular season, same with Chicago..
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
HarlemHeat37
Raptors are never a real contender, tbh..they are always built for the regular season, same with Chicago..
Teams do break through from time to time. You can't always just refer to the past. Who knows what will happen by the trade deadline, too.
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
SpurPadre
Teams do break through from time to time. You can't always just refer to the past. Who knows what will happen by the trade deadline, too.
The NBA is by far the most predictable league, though..there are rarely years where you'll have more than 3-4 potential contenders..
Some teams will catch an injury break, or you'll have young teams that progressively improve and "pay their dues" in the playoffs, but there's nobody like that in the East, unfortunately, IMO..
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
HarlemHeat37
The NBA is by far the most predictable league, though..there are rarely years where you'll have more than 3-4 potential contenders..
Some teams will catch an injury break, or you'll have young teams that progressively improve and "pay their dues" in the playoffs, but there's nobody like that in the East, unfortunately, IMO..
I agree in that the East is still lacking in true contenders and that the NBA is the most predictable league in the U.S. However, I still think they've seen improvements there and that they're no longer intimidated by a LeBron team. I don't think an upset is out of the question. I'd even think the Pistons can give the Cavs fits.
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
HarlemHeat37
The NBA is by far the most predictable league, though..there are rarely years where you'll have more than 3-4 potential contenders..
Some teams will catch an injury break, or you'll have young teams that progressively improve and "pay their dues" in the playoffs, but there's nobody like that in the East, unfortunately, IMO..
The most predictable league is La Liga (RM/Barca)/Bundesliga (Bayern).:lol
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Kawhitstorm
The most predictable league is La Liga (RM/Barca)/Bundesliga (Bayern).:lol
Well Atletico Madrid won the league title prior to last season, but I know what you mean.
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Spurtacular
Cavs Finals spot is booked, tbh.
If LeBron gets injured, do the Cavs still glide into the finals?
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
KaiRMD1
If LeBron gets injured, do the Cavs still glide into the finals?
Not with kyrie and love as your best players. :lol
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
KaiRMD1
If LeBron gets injured, do the Cavs still glide into the finals?
It won't matter either way in that event, tbh.
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
This is what happens when there's a week between when an article is written, and when it's published.
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
SpurPadre
Teams do break through from time to time. You can't always just refer to the past. Who knows what will happen by the trade deadline, too.
Raptors won't break through playing ISOball. Just not going to happen. That's why they choke in the playoffs when the game slows down and teams start playing solid defense for more than 5 minutes per game.
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
SpurPadre
That figure was projected pre-Cavs and Bulls getting cannibalized at home by the Dubs.
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
ESPN's BPI has us as an over 50% chance of winning the title too.
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
SpurPadre
I think that figure was projected pre-Cavs and Bulls getting cannibalized at home by the Dubs.
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
GSH
This is what happens when there's a week between when an article is written, and when it's published.
It's not an article, it's a simulation run on a daily basis... 2 games are unlikely to change the outcome in a significant manner at this stage.
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
I like the Spurs' chances as long as GSW keeps wasting energy in pursuit of 73.
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
GSH
This is what happens when there's a week between when an article is written, and when it's published.
It's not an article, it's projection matrix page that is updated DAILY.
Do people even click on links before opening their pie holes and looking like fools?
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Who cares. It's all about matchups in the West. Seriously, OKC GSW and Spurs all have a shot.
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Spurtacular
Cavs Finals spot is booked, tbh.
I agree.. The Cavs will be tested at times, but they're a lock. Never sleep on LeBron.
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
will_spurs
It's not an article, it's a simulation run on a daily basis... 2 games are unlikely to change the outcome in a significant manner at this stage.
:worthy: at your Kawhi sig tbh
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
KaiRMD1
If LeBron gets injured, do the Cavs still glide into the finals?
A healthy but peak-passed Lebron can't carry the Cavs.
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
DJR210
:worthy: at your Kawhi sig tbh
Single greatest defensive play I've ever seen. Thought it deserved to be shown again and again and again.
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
will_spurs
It's not an article, it's a simulation run on a daily basis... 2 games are unlikely to change the outcome in a significant manner at this stage.
Well I, for one, am glad to know those two beat-downs of Cleveland and Chicago are meaningless.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
exstatic
It's not an article, it's projection matrix page that is updated DAILY.
Do people even click on links before opening their pie holes and looking like fools?
Ouch! Stop it! That stings.
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
GSH
Well I, for one, am glad to know those two beat-downs of Cleveland and Chicago are meaningless.
They aren't meaningless in the long run, but after 40+ games they are unlikely to suddenly bump the GSW's chance to win it all form 20% to 60%... that's just not the way it works. And statistical models have been designed exactly to be steady, unlike say Power Rankings where the flavor of the month is at the top.
Check the standings and you will see that these two epic beat-downs haven't changed much when it comes to point differential, which is still the best predictor for success. The Spurs are still 2 points over GSW, much like they have been in the last couple of months.
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Someone jinxed the Spurs, they just fell below 50%.
:hang:hang
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
will_spurs
Single greatest defensive play I've ever seen. Thought it deserved to be shown again and again and again.
That play won us the championship.. I ran out of my then apartment screaming my fucking head off was so crunk after that play
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Re: Spurs now a majority likely to win Finals, per Basketball-reference.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
DJR210
That play won us the championship.. I ran out of my then apartment screaming my fucking head off was so crunk after that play
I was certainly jumping on my couch at that point. Damn I really hate the ThunderRefs.