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Re: Realistically, what are our chances to win game 5?
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Originally Posted by nkdlunch
I suggest you watch the games, then post.
We controlled most of game 1. we controlled the first half of game 2. we controlled half of game 3. we controlled most of game 4.
i guess "controlling" doesn't amount to winning then. so its irrelevant. i'd give you guys a 15 % chance of winning if amare is playing. that's being generous since i really think that the suns are gonna close this series out.
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Re: Realistically, what are our chances to win game 5?
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Originally Posted by Budkin
When were we killed when the other team got a suspension? We won Game 2 against the Kings last year and Game 6 against the Mavs after the Terry suspension. What games are you referring to?
We needed OT to win on the Kings and on the games after number 2 they beat us. We barely eeked out a win on the Mavs too.
Point being, when down a big star, we have not capitalized in the past. The games were closer than they should have been and we were too close to losing them. Other people have stepped up. People said we'd win by 20 with no Artest and Terry, look what happened, almost lost.
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Re: Realistically, what are our chances to win game 5?
A Kings fan predicting a soft, non-defensive team will win a series - how consistent with their own team over the years!
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Re: Realistically, what are our chances to win game 5?
Only consolation you have is that weirdly enough, this season's Spurs are about 5 times better than they are at home. Saquandering big leads at home was a trend for them this season. On the road they appear to be more focused for 48 minutes.
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Re: Realistically, what are our chances to win game 5?
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Originally Posted by atxrocker
i guess "controlling" doesn't amount to winning then. so its irrelevant. i'd give you guys a 15 % chance of winning if amare is playing. that's being generous since i really think that the suns are gonna close this series out.
I'd say it's relevant that three of the four games have been halfcourt games and the Suns haven't been able to consistently get the tempo they want. They won last night because of Duncan's fifth foul. If he's in there, or not tentative because he's trying to stay on the court, the Spurs close it out.
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Re: Realistically, what are our chances to win game 5?
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Originally Posted by atxrocker
since i really think that the suns are gonna close this series out.
...with two straight losses.
I like the random 15% number. :rolleyes
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Re: Realistically, what are our chances to win game 5?
I'll answer when my cup has filled back up.
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Re: Realistically, what are our chances to win game 5?
I think the refs will call ticky tack fouls next game
that favors the spurs
they can not stop duncan
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Re: Realistically, what are our chances to win game 5?
On the question of who has controlled the series, SA has "won" -- i.e., scored more -- in 8 of the 16 quarters played so far, the Suns have "won" 7, and one quarter was a push. Almost as even as you can get. By game, by quarter:
Game 1
Q1 - Spurs
Q2 - Suns
Q3 - Spurs
Q4 - Spurs
Game 2
Q1 - Spurs
Q2 - Suns
Q3 - Push
Q4 - Suns
Game 3
Q1 - Suns
Q2 - Spurs
Q3 - Spurs
Q4 - Suns
Game 4
Q1 - Suns
Q2 - Spurs
Q3 - Spurs
Q4 - Suns
This has the potential to be classic, and both teams and their fans are lucky to have such a formidable opponent to match up against.
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Re: Realistically, what are our chances to win game 5?
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Originally Posted by timvp
I'll answer when my cup has filled back up.
:lmao
I'm very curious to hear what TD and Horry have to say as well as to see what the mental state of the team is right now.
Manu says the loss might encourage them to now play the full 48 minutes but considering he's only shown up once this series I'm not exactly holding my breath in hopes of a repeat game 3 performance.
It seemed like Duncan had the expression of the .4 debacle after the game and I hope the Spurs can do what the Pistons did in 2005 after a heartbreaking loss and heading out on the road - focus and win
even though they lost game 7 in SA, at least in our case we can head back home after game 5
If Amare isn't suspended I think the Spurs would be pretty big underdogs in game 5.
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Re: Realistically, what are our chances to win game 5?
I don't know why our chances to win game 5 wouldn't be just as good as our chances were to win games 1, 2, 3 and 4.
So since we have won 50% of the games and Phoenix has won 50% of the games, I would guess our chances are about 50/50.
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Re: Realistically, what are our chances to win game 5?
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Originally Posted by SAGambler
I don't know why our chances to win game 5 wouldn't be just as good as our chances were to win games 1, 2, 3 and 4.
So since we have won 50% of the games and Phoenix has won 50% of the games, I would guess our chances are about 50/50.
yeah but to lose the way we did, and to go on the road where phoenix is more fired up than ever thanks to horry.......i don't like it one bit
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Re: Realistically, what are our chances to win game 5?
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Originally Posted by ducks
I think the refs will call ticky tack fouls next game
that favors the spurs
they can not stop duncan
Yeah, but they'll also call the same ticky tack fouls on Duncan as well!
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Re: Realistically, what are our chances to win game 5?
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Re: Realistically, what are our chances to win game 5?
stoudamire and diaw play? blow out for the suns
if they are gone? Spurs eek out a win.
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Re: Realistically, what are our chances to win game 5?
the double teaming of duncan confused him
spurs will be prepared for it
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Re: Realistically, what are our chances to win game 5?
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Originally Posted by T Park
stoudamire and diaw play? blow out for the suns
if they are gone? Spurs eek out a win.
Man, you guys are so hard on your team. Assuming there isn't a boatload of suspensions, Spurs take this.
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Re: Realistically, what are our chances to win game 5?
Suns will win by 15
We had our chance, we blew it. I just don't have enough faith in the Spurs this year to bounce back. Call me a bad fan or whatever but my gut tells me we're done. Momentum is so important in basketball and they have totally seized it heading back home.
I hope to hell I'm wrong.
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Re: Realistically, what are our chances to win game 5?
nothing like capping off a playoff loss is the not suprising return of the "supposed" fan.
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Re: Realistically, what are our chances to win game 5?
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Originally Posted by Walton Buys Off Me
I hope to hell I'm wrong.
Me too.
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Re: Realistically, what are our chances to win game 5?
spurs need to come out with energy and not let the suns get an early lead. spurs need to get that killer instinct. when they've got the lead, they really need to ram it down the suns' throats. popovich needs to play manu with oberto. they play well together. but i think the spurs have a great shot. just continue doing what they've been doing, taking it at amare and getting him in foul trouble. let duncan take the scoring load. and hit the threes when they're available.
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Re: Realistically, what are our chances to win game 5?
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Originally Posted by nkdlunch
realistically we are still the favorites. we controlled most of the series. we really choked last night. But Dallas choked for 2 games when we played them last year and they still came up on top.
Spurs in 6.
didnt you call spurs in 4 before the series started? im loving watching that number climb every 2 days or so.
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Re: Realistically, what are our chances to win game 5?
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Originally Posted by Walton Buys Off Me
Suns will win by 15
We had our chance, we blew it. I just don't have enough faith in the Spurs this year to bounce back. Call me a bad fan or whatever but my gut tells me we're done. Momentum is so important in basketball and they have totally seized it heading back home.
I hope to hell I'm wrong.
But remember, Old Mo is a fickle character. He can swing back just as fast as he swung the other way.
Gotta look at it positive. Spurs play as good if not better on the road than at home.
They are probably looking at this as a "must win" type game.
They won't blow a big lead again.
I actually look for them to snatch HCA back tomorrow.
Then finish is up back here.
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Re: Realistically, what are our chances to win game 5?
I thought this series would go 6 from the get go
I did think spurs would win last night and lose wed
spurs play better on the road except for manu in playoffs
spurs win by 10
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Re: Realistically, what are our chances to win game 5?
San Antonio has controlled the tempo in this series and played the halfcourt game they've wanted. They only lost last night because of Duncan's fifth foul. That's when the Suns made their run. For three and a half quarters the game unfolded the way San Antonio wanted it to. Spurs in 6, assuming both squads are at full strength.