I don't think they have to win Game 1. But I think they have to get a split and not get crushed in either of the first two games.
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I don't think they have to win Game 1. But I think they have to get a split and not get crushed in either of the first two games.
To win one of the first two is very important. To win the first game takes the wind out of the sails of the home team. It sure would be nice if we can win that first one.
So if you loose games 1 and games 2 how important is game 3?
insert 4 Championship response here>
Wining game 1 is huge... specially in this series. We have to make a stance and prove them we can take it on their floor.
NO is playing great BBall atm, we need to destroy their confidence.
If we don't win the first game, we still have really good chances if we win game 2, but if we don't win either... I think we are doomed.
so I went back over the last 6 seasons to check this out. The Spurs played 18 series and lost game 1 5 times. Of those 5 times, they actually came back to win the next 2 games and the series 4 times. So I guess you are right -- in the recent past, the Spurs have been able to come back from a game 1 loss much more often than teams in general.
Oh I'd generally agree with this -- and Spurs fans who think that this is going to be some sort of cakewalk or that getting one of the first two is a done deal are delusional.
But I'll also add a fact.
Since 2003, the Spurs have not had home court advantage in only 2 of the 16 series they've played. But they've won both of those series. They're 12-2 in series in which they have had HCA and 2-0 in series in which they have not had HCA. It's not a huge sample, mostly because the Spurs have been so good of late that they've rarely faced a series without HCA, but it does suggest that in those rare circumstances when it's come up (both times against the Suns) the Spurs have been able to take care of their business and get early wins to steal back HCA.
Game 1 is important not for our team itself, but to kill the Hornets confidence.
i still think game seven is the most important game
n/m
Not as important as the game that gives either team 4 wins in the series.
Spurs are gonna win game 1, sending a message. That message will say:
"We ain't f*ckin Dallas"
Spurs will win game 2 which sends a second message which will say:
"There is a reason we're the god damn champions"
Game 3 and 4 are up in the air. If Spurs want to finish it, they will.
I think game 1 sets the tone for the entire series, however if Spurs dont win its not the end of the world. I do think they need to win one of the first 2 NO games.
I wonder if they have that stat broken down by record differential. For example:
If the home team wins 20 more games than the visitor, and wins game 1:
99%
If the home team wins 10 more games than the visitor, and wins game 1:
90%
etc...
That would be very illuminating.
If the Hornets win game 1, their heads will get even bigger. Thats a bad thing, giving more confidence to that group.
However, the Spurs don't need it to win the series.
I think if the spurs win game 1 they will end up sweeping them.
winning game 1 on the hornets' own floor will be likened to a heavyweight boxer sending a haymaker squarely on the jaw of the opponent. put them on their heels early and keep up the pressure. spurs did the same last year when duncan stole HCA advantage from the suns on game 1. hopefully, no blood this time.