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  1. #1
    NostraSpurMus phxspurfan's Avatar
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    ...begins with: Barry

    https://weather.com/storms/hurricane...oding-forecast


    SFS come in and do your thing

  2. #2
    Andrew Dufresmed Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
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    Hurricane Rita general area track with of course much weaker intensity

  3. #3
    Andrew Dufresmed Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
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    It's already mid July and we're only on the B storm, not very promising for this season, not to mention the fact that we've had zero in the way of Cape Verde/strong African wave activity. In strong years like 1995, 2005, 2008, 2017 we get strong promising waves by late June/early July, if not development, but as of now the only "threats" have been weak and close to home, forming off frontal boundaries etc.

    I'm going with::

    10 Named storms
    2 hurricanes
    0 major hurricanes


    Weakest year since 2013 and 2009 tbh. Trump deserves a break. For a two-term President, Obama got historically lucky with hurricanes. Bush had it the worst by far and Trump has already had it MUCH worse in a quarter of the time Obama was in office.

  4. #4
    Veteran SpursforSix's Avatar
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    Uh...what the is this thread

  5. #5
    NostraSpurMus phxspurfan's Avatar
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    Bend over, I...oh wait

  6. #6
    NostraSpurMus phxspurfan's Avatar
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    Uh...what the is this thread
    It's your time to come in and lay some expert rap on us about hurricanes

  7. #7
    Andrew Dufresmed Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
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    Uh...what the is this thread
    we seem to have a high population of armchair meteorologists for such a small message board.

  8. #8
    Veteran SpursforSix's Avatar
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    It's your time to come in and lay some expert rap on us about hurricanes
    What? Now I have to post in my thread, yours, and all the weather forums??
    Clambake was right...heavy is the crown.

  9. #9
    Andrew Dufresmed Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
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    What? Now I have to post in my thread, yours, and all the weather forums??
    Clambake was right...heavy is the crown.
    No weather forum on ST. I stopped posting on wunderground.com Masters blog around 10 years ago because it got way too rules-nazi and liberal. I'll still read it occasionally when there's a big hurricane threat.

  10. #10
    NostraSpurMus phxspurfan's Avatar
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    No weather forum on ST. I stopped posting on wunderground.com Masters blog around 10 years ago because it got way too rules-nazi and liberal. I'll still read it occasionally when there's a big hurricane threat.
    yo that site sucks now. It used to be intellicast right? Anyway windy.com is where it's at now

  11. #11
    Andrew Dufresmed Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
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    yo that site sucks now. It used to be intellicast right? Anyway windy.com is where it's at now
    Intellicast is/was separate. They came out with their own hurricane tracks/cones which were arguably better than both NHC and TWC with both track and intensity. They weren't the best visually but they were scarily accurate. Just like the GFDL spaghetti model which was the only model to get Katrina right from the start, but then they axed it. Wtf?

  12. #12
    NostraSpurMus phxspurfan's Avatar
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    Sat morning about to be messed up for southern LA



    NO about to take a direct hit from the Eastern wall of it

  13. #13
    Andrew Dufresmed Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
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    Sat morning about to be messed up for southern LA



    NO about to take a direct hit from the Eastern wall of it
    More Cindy 2005 than Katrina or even Isaac.

  14. #14
    We've got a job to do. Darth_Pelican's Avatar
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    Sat morning about to be messed up for southern LA



    NO about to take a direct hit from the Eastern wall of it
    There’s literally zero concern about this storm here. We know our storms. This one isn’t . Morgan City, Lafayette, & Baton Rouge have bigger concerns.

  15. #15
    NostraSpurMus phxspurfan's Avatar
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    There’s literally zero concern about this storm here. We know our storms. This one isn’t . Morgan City, Lafayette, & Baton Rouge have bigger concerns.
    It's not on Katrina/Rita level for sure. But it's going to be a of a rainmaker for early July. And the rivers will flood like a /the gulf surge will test your new levees

  16. #16
    We've got a job to do. Darth_Pelican's Avatar
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    It's not on Katrina/Rita level for sure. But it's going to be a of a rainmaker for early July. And the rivers will flood like a /the gulf surge will test your new levees
    They already revised their river level estimates. That’s no longer a concern. Sustained rain is the only possibility but the storm is landing too west of us. Lafayette and Baton Rouge are at a much bigger risk of the rain floods.

  17. #17
    NostraSpurMus phxspurfan's Avatar
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    Looks like it's getting sheared rn

  18. #18
    Andrew Dufresmed Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
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    No longer expected to become a hurricane:




    Looks like 2-0-0 will stand.

  19. #19
    Andrew Dufresmed Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
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    Last 2 years- especially 2 years ago- were great years to be a wishcaster. This year is a good year to be a downcaster, trust me.

  20. #20
    Watching the collapse benefactor's Avatar
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    Even though this one is going to remain a tropical storm, it's looking like it will turn Louisiana into a lake. Predicting up to 25 inches of rain in certain areas.

  21. #21
    Andrew Dufresmed Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
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    Even though this one is going to remain a tropical storm, it's looking like it will turn Louisiana into a lake. Predicting up to 25 inches of rain in certain areas.
    NHC can't make up its mind. Now back to a minimal "H" just before landfall:


  22. #22
    NostraSpurMus phxspurfan's Avatar
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  23. #23
    my unders, my frgn whites pgardn's Avatar
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    That chair has been down since Katrina.

  24. #24
    my unders, my frgn whites pgardn's Avatar
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    NHC can't make up its mind. Now back to a minimal "H" just before landfall:

    They can't make up their mind.
    Or the elements have conspired to keep sustained wind speeds around 70 mph.
    Or you just did not let SF6 handle it in the first place?

  25. #25
    NostraSpurMus phxspurfan's Avatar
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    They can't make up their mind.
    Or the elements have conspired to keep sustained wind speeds around 70 mph.
    Or you just did not let SF6 handle it in the first place?
    We tried to get the expert in here but all you got was the weekend weathermen. I think he's got a screw loose, or needs some tussin. Or a salt pill.

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