40-5

[T Park]

Can you guess what team's record that is, in games of 10 points or less?

[baseline bum]

Nah... tell me

[T Park]

come on, give it a try.

Make me look somewhat intelligent for once...

[Solid D]

The Spurs are 40-5 in games decided by 10 points or less.

[Spurminator]

It was the Spurs?

Aw man, I was gonna say that.

[Solid D]

The stove is normally found in what room of the house?

Any takers?

Sorry, just playin' T Park

[FromWayDowntown]

He might as well have asked if anyone could guess how to spell "cat."

[timvp]

I'm guessing that this year's 40-5 mark is the best of the last couple years. Probably going back to the '99 run.

[adidas11]

I thought it was going to be the Clippers.

[Nikos]

Strange stat, considering how mediocre they have been in the clutch this season (at least according to the 82games.com definition).

Miami and Phoenix have excellent records in the clutch, while the Spurs were mediocre.

Perhaps its because the Spurs would be up 4-5 pts and only win by 1-2 points? Perhaps they were in a lot of clutch situations where only 5 minutes were left, but were able to put the team away into a range that was out of the clutch range according to 82games.com (less than 10, but greater than 5?)

[boutons]

I don't think 10 pts is the usual cutoff for this kind of stat. Sounds too big.

What is the Spurs record for "close" games of +/- 5 pts?

[T Park]

well boutons, afraid to break it to you.

But Eric Musselman knows more than you do jack, so that is a correct stat.

[T Park]

[QUOTE][QUOTE]

He might as well have asked if anyone could guess how to spell "cat."

Then why did it take someone so freakin long to answer.


Idiots like me can bring OK threads once in a while.

[MadDog73]

[QUOTE=T Park][QUOTE]

Then why did it take someone so freakin long to answer.


Idiots like me can bring OK threads once in a while.

Poor T-Park "I get no respect!" (for the record, I had no idea).

[scott]

What's the range for point differential within 1 standard deviation? My guess it hovers around 8 points... to me 10 points is not a good indicator of performance in close games. 4-6 points would seem like a much better cut off.

[IceColdBrewski]

Nice. Meaningless, but nice.

Let the real season begin.

[T Park]

not meaningless.

This team can win tight games.

Playoff games.

[Solid D]

Another stat I like is the Spurs led the NBA in fewest 100 point games by the opposition. 11 games all season (3-8 in those games).

The Spurs also had the highest winning % in games in which the Spurs scored 100+ points. They had 30 games, of which they won 28 and lost 2 for a .933 winning %.

[scott]

Alright, I did a quick analysis.

Average margin in the NBA this year was 10.31 points per game with +/- 1 Standard Deviation range at 2.99 to 17.34

To me, a "close" game is one at the bottom end of the range within 1 std dev, so I'd be curious to hear the Spurs record at 3 points or less.

With that said, I'm very happy to hear we are 40-5 within the mean margin.

[Solid D]

Of course, I'd like to remind you of one of the more encouraging stats...

The Spurs were 38-3 at home and they have HCA with everyone except PHX. Two of those losses were to Seattle and the third loss came without Duncan and Ginobili vs. Denver.

[T Park]

2-0 against Denver with Tim Duncan if you wanna keep goin...

[Ed Helicopter Jones]

Nice job Mr. T. No one else had pointed that out in here yet.

I like the idea that the Spurs have won 89% of their games that have been within a 10 point margin. Most of their playoff games will likely be decided within that range.

I feel better about the playoffs already.

[Solid D]

40-5 in games decided by 10 points or less...therefore

19-18 in games decided by 10 points or more? Hmmm.

Maybe that stat is not correct after all.

[FromWayDowntown]

Here are the records of playoff teams (by seed -- didn't have time to calculate percentages) in games decided by 3 points or less.

Caveat -- I got these numbers from the same place (espn.com's expanded NBA standings) that had the 40-5 number. I posted what I found, but I think some independent research is in order on both numbers.

WEST
PNX 7-2
SAS 9-7
SEA 7-5
DAL 8-4
HOU 12-6
SAC 10-7
DEN 8-4
MEM 7-11

EAST
MIA 7-8
DET 8-8
BOS 11-7
WAS 14-6
CHI 7-5
IND 9-9
PHIL 10-4
NJ 7-4

[timvp]

40-5 in games decided by 10 points or less...therefore

19-18 in games decided by 10 points or more? Hmmm.

Maybe that stat is not correct after all.

Ah ha.

Somebody solved this riddle.

It's not true.