Agree with 11-4, it'd be a good record, we have a lot of home games and 2 relatively easy back-to-backs. I'll be an optimist and predict 2-1 to end november and 12-3 in december , which would put us well within the pack @ 20-10.
I'm starting this early, and I reserve the right to change my predictions depending on what I see over the next few games, but having taken a look at the schedule:
http://www.nba.com/spurs/schedule/
I think we will go 10-5 to 12-3, most likely 11-4 to put us at 19-11 and well on track to being a force.
I've seen enough signs in this team now at both ends to believe that it is slowly growing and knitting together.
We shall see.
Agree with 11-4, it'd be a good record, we have a lot of home games and 2 relatively easy back-to-backs. I'll be an optimist and predict 2-1 to end november and 12-3 in december , which would put us well within the pack @ 20-10.
Call me an over-optimistic homie, I won't mind.
I am beginning to see signs of a nice streak here. And when Manu is back and slowly integrated, Spurs will be rolling.
13-2 is my call.
The 11-4 sounds pretty accurate. Boston, Denver, Utah@home, and possible Portland are the most likely losses.
10-5. Trying to be conservative.
same here
Statistically speaking (as a public health epidemiologist with too much time on my hands with the holiday approaching) the Spurs will logically go - 11 and 4 with a confidence interval of 1 game either way (but if Manu returns and gells the Spurs at some time this year are going to go on a 10+ game win streak and may as well get that out of the way even before the rodeo trip!)
My non computer generated regression to the mean analysis points to the fact the Spurs will move up seriously in the standings as teams like OC, Houston, and the Suns start coming back to reality. Logistic regression of all the variables (talent age, Manu's rate of hair loss, Parker's apparent still strong celebrity marriage, Pop's wine cellar's stock factor, motivation, "gell factor", Pop's strange rotations etc) points to still a 56 win season and 3rd best record in the West behind the Mavs and Lakers. Putting in a poor man's sensitivity analysis could take the Spurs as high still as 58 wins or as low at 54 but they will not be outside that range for the 2009-2010 season.
Book it! (in other words be confident in the Spurs based on the past and the greatness that starts with a motivated TD)
There are the 10 games on the schedule that are must-wins, so I'll go with 12-3.
pheonix,Golden State 15 and 16
and Milwaukee, New 26and 27 are the only b2b games that month
all road games
The crystal ballis saying 11-4.
There's no reason why we shouldn't take them all, with perhaps the exception being the Phoenix game on the road.
Thu 03 vs Boston W
Sat 05 vs Denver L (athletic team, let down game after beating Boston)
Mon 07 @ Utah W
Wed 09 vs Sacramento W
Fri 11 vs Charlotte W
Sun 13 @ LA Clippers W
Tues 15 @ Phoenix W
Wed 16 @ Golden State L ('bout time they beat us - 2nd of b2b on the road)
Sat 19 vs Indiana W
Mon 21 vs LA Clippers W
Wed 23 vs Portland W
Sat 26 @ Milwaukee L (they are tough at home, will have Boguts back, and Skiles will have a better plan... and I just can't believe we'll win a season series against the Bucks after so long!)
Sun 27 @ New York W
Tue 29 vs Minnesota W
Thu 31 vs Miami W
12-3 is my prediction, though I'd take 10-5. We are starting to gel, and the success of Manu's reintegration is the key variable between those two numbers... if Manu comes back to 80%+, we could have a very nice month.![]()
Just re-read the thread after posting above and realised my thinking is almost identical to the Good Doctor's, which is pretty much what I said in the OP...
And, although I'm less inclined to put overly much stock in some of the variables mentioned in his second paragraph, I agree with the general thesis of that too.![]()
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