The Bush Post-Convention Bounce

[Joe Chalupa]

www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/09/06/presidential.poll/index.html

"Bush's convention bounce appeared to be 2 percentage points."--CNN

They have also stated that it is the lowest bounce from any convention.

"In bents have gotten an average bounce of slightly more than 6 points in previous elections, so Bush's apparent bounce seems small by historical standards."

"Still, the 2 percentage point bounce could be illusory, since the poll's margin of error was plus or minus 3.5 percentage points."


Where the bounce came from:

Men +6
Women -1

As usual, you can blame men. :p

--Come on Kerry!!

[Tommy Duncan]

So it moved from 50-47 Bush to 52-45 Bush. Going by the change in the margin that's a 4 point bounce in that poll.

If I recall correctly, Kerry had a negative bounce.

[Bandit2981]

kerrys bounce didnt come in the popular vote, but rather the electoral college(state by state)

[Joe Chalupa]

I agree Tommy Duncan, but it is still better then the huge 11-12 point lead Bush reportedly had last week.

[SpursWoman]

It all depends on what poll you're looking at, Joe. They really vary too widely to pay attention to them.

But if it makes you feel better.... :wink

[Joe Chalupa]

If only it did make me feel better....