Betting Houston -4 against Cinci is a bad bet. Pretty much every playoff team in the AFC benefited from an easy schedule this year and Houston is no exception. Meanwhile this Cinci team is different from the 05, 09, and 11 Cinci teams that were in such a state of bliss from making the playoffs that they forgot to actually try and win. They entered the year with expectations so them making the playoffs isn't the amazing story keeping them distracted like it was last year, and they're simply better now. They had a margin of victory over 12 PPG over their final 8 games while Houston got outscored in their final 8 games. Their statistically pretty close and they both have a freak #1 receiver, but Dalton has put up those stats with a mediocre offensive line and running game while Schaub put up his numbers with an elite running game and elite offensive line. As far as who I'd take in the playoffs, it's easily Dalton given how bad Schaub has historically been in the 4th quarter and how much he relies on an elite running game.