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This shows you how much the models agree on the path.
Technically, the Emily is currently a tropical storm. However, the models are forecasting that Emily will reach at least catagory 3 on the Saffir-Simpson Scale which cons ues a major hurricane.
Dennis at landfall was a strong catagory 3 and you all saw what that did.
Thats the forecast track over the next 5 days. They usually have some room for error, but there is reason to believe that this will be fairly accurate.
All of the models at the moment are currently saying almost the same thing. Forecasters look for things of this nature when doing their job. When all the models are saying what the others are saying, there is a high probability of those models being correct.
In other words, it's probably coming this way.
If you remember in the previous hurricane thread, someone mentioned that the energy was gone from the Gulf and the Carribean due to Dennis. I said that was incorect and it seems that water temp readings are proving this.
Dennis may have made things worse.
This shows you how much the models agree on the path.
Not that I'm hoping it does for damages reasons, but we need the rain!
This thing will "ideally" hit in the SPI/Brownsville area, then work it's way NW and fill it up Falcon and Amistad before heading up through central Texas and north Texas, taking care of Canyon, Travis, and north Texas.
in' A we do. My water bill will be atrocious this month.
Well the GFS brings it way south of the RGV on wednesday july 20.
http://www.wunderground.com/modelmap...e=24&domain=CA
BTW we need the rain badly in deep south texas so hopefully it will bring us some rain.
I haven't gotten mine yet....I'm afraid to open the email when it comes. I have a gigantic yard I've desperately been trying to save.
I disagree. The best case scenario would be for it to come ashore near Kennedy County where Brent came ashore. No one there but cows. A storm hitting SPI and Port Isable - especially a strong one - would be a disaster that would far outweight any drought.
We really don't need the water that bad. We've gone through a dry month and a half, but the aquifer isn't in horrible shape by any means and neither are any of the resivoirs.
Awsome. I feel bad for those along the coast, but echoing the sentiments of everyone else, we need the rain.
Unfortunately, with hurricanes come tornados. And those are no fun to be in. Trust me.
We really do need the rain regardless of the conditions. I've heard a tornado before that was several miles away. Scariest thing I've ever heard in my whole life. Sounds like a thousand trains going in every direction.
My water bill kept going up and up and was over $100 this month. I didn't even think to check our sprinklers because last time we had a huge bill we had a pipe leak. We could tell because one area of the yard was also soaked.
Since their was no evidence of that and ours go off at 2 am, it didn't even dawn on me to check them. Sure enough, I've got a broken one that could rival Old Faithful.
My husband's new car is on the boat right now. Hopefully, it won't end up at the bottom of the Gulf!
It probably will hit us due to things evening out with the rain and all.
Dude! Car Carriers are ing MASSIVE. I'm not sure if a Hurricane could sink one or not. Those ships are incredible.My husband's new car is on the boat right now. Hopefully, it won't end up at the bottom of the Gulf!
Last edited by MannyIsGod; 07-12-2005 at 07:31 PM. Reason: I put cars instead of ships. WTF?
That's nice to know!
IF it does, that'll be one of a dive spot.
No . I bet a sunken car carrier would make for a of an artificial reef. Good fishing!
IMHO.....the Texas coast has been rather lucky, save for Bret and Claudette (a couple of years ago).
I have been hearing that the Texas coast is well overdo for a nasty hruuricane.....I have been seeing many forecast putting near Corpus.....which would be terrible.
Manny the Metereologist!
it was called Bret
Good call, there was no n.
ya this thing would be one scary mofo.
anyone wanna hit up the coast for this thing?
I've always wanted to go beach combing after one.
And Manny's right. The valley would get creamed if that thing comes ashore there. Better to blow over a few cows and come in up the coast. Of course the last Tropical Storm that hit Kennedy County brought some rough weather to my neck of the woods, so maybe it could just go to Mexico and kick some rain up north. Please?
I live in Corpus Christi so I hope it does not come this way,I hate those things.
We do need the rain though,but NOT the damage it can and will do.
Bring it!
Im a sucker for devistation caused by mother nature!
I allways wanted to be a stormchaser, and twister was allways a favorite movie of mine!!!
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