depends on who stays healthy
who in here thinks has thebest chance to get 70 Spurs or pistons?
I am confident in saying that neither team will reach 70 wins. However, both teams should be able to reach 60.
I have a gut feeling that San Antonio will finish with the better record, but I don't know. That could just me the pessimist in me coming out.![]()
Yea, pretty much. If either have a crucial starter sit out more than 5-10 games you can kiss 70 goodbye. I don't think either will get it. Both will be in the low to mid-60s.
________
The Peak Towers Prathumnak
Last edited by FreshPrince22; 09-12-2011 at 02:20 PM.
The Atlanta game shows why the Duncan Spurs won't ever get 70 games, he/they are too inconsistent, but he's also the reason why they are always candidates for 60 games.
The Bulls' 72 Ws will probably stand for a long time as the most Ws in recent history.
Not a chance that either team wins 70. I think Michael Jordan was overrated in a number of ways, but there was nobody more competetive. He wanted to win 82 games a year, and was pissed that he didn't. It's unlikely that combination of talent, compe ion, and competetive drive will show up for a long time, and I certainly don't think the Spurs or Pistons have it.
Pistons: 68-14 (.833*82=68.3)
Spurs: 66-16 (.800*82=65.6)
But I'd say that the numbers you have are more realistic...
Neither.
No way in either team get 70 wins.
But both could eclipse 60 with no problem.
Your math is a bit fuzzy there.
________
Laguna Bay II Condo Prathumnak
Last edited by FreshPrince22; 09-12-2011 at 02:21 PM.
Does your formula factor in road win percentage Stout?
As consistent as the Spurs and Pistons have been so far as opposed to the other teams in the league, I would not only be surprised but I'd actually be disappointed if both teams did not win at least 60 games each. Both should have win totals somewhere in the mid-60s this season, just based on their respective starts. If they don't, that means they seriously struggled at some point during the season. Only injury or suspension should justify either team from not winning 60.
San Antonio 66 Detroit 63. Nice photo shop, Darko dunking on shaq n Duncan but if he even plays against either it will be an upset.
My math simply is at a higher level than what you have studied.
No. I just take all the game scores and make a normal distribution of point differential.
One problem creeping up with Detroit: points allowed per game.
First 8 games: 87 ppg
Last 10 games: 96 ppg
Is Flip getting a little lax on the defensive side?
well said.Neither.
No way in either team get 70 wins.
But both could eclipse 60 with no problem.
Last 10 games average is greatly skewed by a 120 pt DOUBLE OVERTIME game against Washington and the 119 pt ass-whipping by Dallas. Consider those two games, the Pistons are closer to giving up 90 pts a game in those last 10.
But, with the more open offense, the Pistons have been running a bit more and allow for more possessions, for both teams. Also, the Pistons' main problem recently has been defensive rebounding, which leads to second chance points. It may be a bigger issue later on in the season.
I'm still standing by my preseason prediction of 68-14. With all the injuries this team has sustained they're still on pace for 66, and they always come on strong in March and later. Detroit's way better than I expected them to be. Their offense just blows away anything I saw under Brown and I wouldn't be surprised to see them around 66 wins or so.
There are currently 1 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 1 guests)