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RG, are you aware that Hillary camp is now putting out that
the Obama delegates can change their votes at the convention?
You folks are going to have a grand old time this year at your
national convention. Yeah, baby!
For what it is worth the Democratic party is holding their county conventions this weekend to elect delegates to the state convention.
I am an alternate delegate from my precinct, and unlikely to play much of a role, but I am going nonetheless.
My precinct is a bit small and is having our delegation combined with another small precinct.
The two precincts together get one delegate and one alternate to the state convention.
We have mapped out the most likely outcome of this process as having our delegate being an Obama supporter, with the alternate, who only gets to vote should the delegate not be able to attend the state convention, being a Clinton supporter, unless the Clinton people are really disorganized.
The way the process works seems to favor the stronger organization, and I feel that statewide this will probably lead to an extra delegate or two than most have predicted going to Obama.
Just my gut feeling. We'll see how it goes.
It is a fascinating, if somewhat complicated process.
Remember that, in Texas, Democratic delegates are assigned mostly by popular vote, and partially by the caucuses. We held our popular primary vote and are in the caucus process now.
For what it is worth, in Iowa, that process yielded a net gain for Obama than what was widely predicted at the time of the precinct level caucuses. Texas is projected to be an overall Obama win after the dust settles at the state convention in terms of total pledged delegates.
RG, are you aware that Hillary camp is now putting out that
the Obama delegates can change their votes at the convention?
You folks are going to have a grand old time this year at your
national convention. Yeah, baby!
RG, have you listen to Rush this morning. You should have
is all I got to say. Some guy calls in and says he crossed over
in the past primary and voted in the democratic primary, went
to the caucus and got elected as a delegate to the county
convention. And he is a Republican......oh, it doesn't get any
better than this.
That has always been the case. There is no legal requirement to stick to your pledge.
I don't see any really switching either in Texas or nationally. That is Hillary's wishful thinking to make it appear to her supporters that her chances are better than they actually are.
I simply point to the intrade figures that point to Obama having about an 80% chance of cinching up the nomination at this point. I have a pretty fair confidence in the "wisdom of crowds" in such things.
That exact possibility has been raised at our organizational meetings, and I have no doubt that this has happened somewhere, but highly doubt that it is widespread.RG, have you listen to Rush this morning. You should have
is all I got to say. Some guy calls in and says he crossed over
in the past primary and voted in the democratic primary, went
to the caucus and got elected as a delegate to the county
convention. And he is a Republican......oh, it doesn't get any
better than this.
The thing is that out of 87000 delegates, only about 7000 go on to the state convention, and fewer still (I think maybe 70 or so from the caucuas process)go on to the national convention.
The chances of an actual dyed in the wool Republican getting that far are rather slim. (one hudredth of one percent)
At some point you HAVE to shake hands and "press the flesh" for a candidate with the other delegates in order to be elected to the next level. It would take a pretty good natural actor to get too far into the process, if your intentions were less than honorable.
That said, if he really chooses to participate in the Democratic party, good for him, he is welcome to. Maybe he might actually learn that liberals aren't quite the inhuman monsters that Rush makes them out to be.
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