If oil companies believe their earnings from exploring for new oil will be expropriated by government – and an excise tax on profits is pure expropriation – they will surely invest less, not more. A profits tax is a sure formula to keep the future price of gas higher.
So if Exxon were to be taxed they would stop exploring for more oil? less exploration? They will invest less so they don't have to pay the increased tax on earnings? So Exxon would not invest anymore? What kind of company would rather not pay a tax than invest their earnings? I am not an economist but am I supposed to believe that Exxon would rather not make anymore money to not pay a tax?..

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