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  1. #1526
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    yikes. Awful take
    yikes. lazy take.

    more from the boards biggest

  2. #1527
    Believe.
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    "based on what we know now, you were really dumb about this in march"

    Wasn't really meant to be the definitive r-naught if memory serves, merely illustrative of concept.

    Try harder. Or you know, keep
    Lol look at this guy backing up the truck. Lol your math. Now pretending R0 had something to do with it. Lololololololol

  3. #1528
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    Nothing to change. You said I called it the flu. I am correct. Its less than flu for people under 50. You will never be able to statistically prove me wrong based on the data collected by USA. But even with the overcount cdc is aligned to my stance.
    Really wondering where you get that, as their datasets don't seem to have an "under 50" cutoff. they are in ten year cutoffs that end in -4.

    https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisiona...9bhg-hcku/data

    based on what I see here under 54 covid is 7,014
    flu for the same category is shown as 1079

    quite a bit of uncategorized "pneumonia" in a different column.

    This would seem that the CDC thinks that COVID is about 7 times more deadly than the flu.

    Again, we will have a very good sense by the end of the year what effect this had, and what it is reasonable to attribute, i.e. large unexpected e in overall rate over the year end 8.8 per 1000.

  4. #1529
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisiona...9bhg-hcku/data

    Another interesting split in the data:
    Men are about two and a half times more likely to die than women, 54 and under.
    4940 vs 2074

    Guessing that has to do with some specific risk factor. Interesting to see what the science shake out on that.

  5. #1530
    Believe.
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    Really wondering where you get that, as their datasets don't seem to have an "under 50" cutoff. they are in ten year cutoffs that end in -4.

    https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisiona...9bhg-hcku/data

    based on what I see here under 54 covid is 7,014
    flu for the same category is shown as 1079

    quite a bit of uncategorized "pneumonia" in a different column.

    This would seem that the CDC thinks that COVID is about 7 times more deadly than the flu.

    Again, we will have a very good sense by the end of the year what effect this had, and what it is reasonable to attribute, i.e. large unexpected e in overall rate over the year end 8.8 per 1000.
    Ifr dumb dumb

  6. #1531
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    This dataset does provide us with some interesting datapoints.

    "All deaths" data gets us closer to figuring "excess" deaths.
    https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisiona...nd-S/9bhg-hcku

    Data set is about 4 months of data. All deaths given for US is 1091256.

    Expected 2020 death rate total should be 8.8 per 1000.

    .0088*4/12*330000000 = 968000

    actual observed deaths 1091256

    excess deaths over provisional expected (1091256-968000):
    123,256

    total COVID reported:
    95608

    It would appear that there is a good indication of the possibility that COVID is being underreported, barring some other new cause of death that we don't know about.

    We'll see if that trend holds for the remainder of the year.

    (edit)
    excess e is 27,648, or approximately 3% of total deaths reported. That would seem to get into the realm of statistically significant. I will ask our actuary on her lunch hour tho.

  7. #1532

  8. #1533
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    That isn't a link, or an alternate, better dataset.

    That is more

    If you had a better dataset, you would present the link. You are worse than the 9-11 twoofers.

  9. #1534
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    Lol look at this guy backing up the truck. Lol your math. Now pretending R0 had something to do with it. Lololololololol
    Not backtracking at all. Merely pointing out how ty your takes are.

    More fail. You suck at this.

  10. #1535

  11. #1536
    Believe.
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    That isn't a link, or an alternate, better dataset.

    That is more

    If you had a better dataset, you would present the link. You are worse than the 9-11 twoofers.
    You know so little about the data released by the cdc, yet you feel like you need to gossip? Lol

    Read

  12. #1537
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    4 more HEB employees in SA area have C19

  13. #1538
    Believe.
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    Not backtracking at all. Merely pointing out how ty your takes are.

    More fail. You suck at this.
    Lol R0 as some type of evidence with this. Hysterical

  14. #1539
    NostraSpurMus phxspurfan's Avatar
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    Cowboys, Texans players test positive for coronavirus

    https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/...19-sources-say

    None of the Cowboys players had been at The Star, the team's facility, during the offseason, per league rules. The team has been in consistent contact with the players and the club has an infectious disease consultant on its medical staff.

    It's not clear how the players contracted the virus.

  15. #1540
    Believe.
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    Nc trending down

  16. #1541
    Veteran DarrinS's Avatar
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    4 more HEB employees in SA area have C19
    South Side

  17. #1542
    R.C. Drunkford TimDunkem's Avatar
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    Guess they don't count?

  18. #1543
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    Blood donations getting covid tested. Prepare for 2nd wave... right ChumpDumper and RandomGuy

    That R0


    Lol

  19. #1544
    Believe.
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    Guess they don't count?
    You survived covid!!!!

  20. #1545
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    thldren wandering around the forums looking to start a fight he lost in March.

  21. #1546
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    You survived covid!!!!
    And even though you didn't test positive you had a symptom. You get counted as positive!!! e!!!

  22. #1547
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    Sounds like our protest wave is here then.
    My wife had a pt on Friday who's a lawyer that had been working with protest organizers all week. Ten minutes into the visit he tells her oh yeah all week I was sitting 4 feet from a protest organizer who just tested positive for covid. Mother er maybe that should be the first thing you mention, better yet say it when you called for an appt.

  23. #1548
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    My wife had a pt on Friday who's a lawyer that had been working with protest organizers all week. Ten minutes into the visit he tells her oh yeah all week I was sitting 4 feet from a protest organizer who just tested positive for covid. Mother er maybe that should be the first thing you mention, better yet say it when you called for an appt.
    What a head. At least your wife had it already though right?

  24. #1549
    Believe.
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    My wife had a pt on Friday who's a lawyer that had been working with protest organizers all week. Ten minutes into the visit he tells her oh yeah all week I was sitting 4 feet from a protest organizer who just tested positive for covid. Mother er maybe that should be the first thing you mention, better yet say it when you called for an appt.

    All health care facilities are suppose to provide a covid form before seeing patients. One of the questions:

    -Have you had close contact with or cared for someone diagnosed with Covid19 within the last 14 days?

  25. #1550
    Mr. John Wayne CosmicCowboy's Avatar
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    Cowboys, Texans players test positive for coronavirus

    https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/...19-sources-say

    None of the Cowboys players had been at The Star, the team's facility, during the offseason, per league rules. The team has been in consistent contact with the players and the club has an infectious disease consultant on its medical staff.

    It's not clear how the players contracted the virus.
    probably out chasing hoes.

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