Texas response to Corona virus

[tholdren]

Best guess as to fatality rates can get a good clue. .0025-.0066 is the total population average fatality rate, best guess.

meaning if you know the number of deaths, you can know the total number of people who would have to have had the disease to produce that number of deaths. i.e. deaths divided by .0045 or so will get you that figure.

You can compare that with the total number of confirmed cases through testing. We are catching about one in four to one in seven cases through testing by this metric. This will tell you how many have, and have HAD the disease, so that always includes recoveries.

Let's start with i was right. Next let's stop with the bs. Your ignorance on testing and case counting is continuing to show. They are not missing counts when they are adding probables as deaths.

Keep flip flopping these facts you are only.now entertaining have been known for months.

[DarrinS]

Meh, we're still not keeping track.

You couldn't responded similarly here, but didn't.

https://www.spurstalk.com/forums/sho...1#post10172114

[SnakeBoy]

it's the flu

Technically it's a cold tbh

[ChumpDumper]

You couldn't responded similarly here, but didn't.

https://www.spurstalk.com/forums/sho...1#post10172114

I could've responded that way for any case in Texas from the start, but didn't.

Sorry, Darrin. I'll be more vigilant for you from now on.

[tholdren]

backlogs of patients

fake patients

fake numbers

it's the flu

math

science

I told you lololololololololol

That number means nothing to disprove me at all. Its a ulative number of people in the hospital with covid.

Its not the number of people who have cov8d so bad they have to be hospitalized .

How bad at math are you?

[ChumpDumper]

That

Blah blah blah. You're never right.

[tholdren]

Technically it's a cold tbh

Technically its less than flu for under 50 per cdc. Flu much more dangerous to everyone. Lockdown is what put all healthy persons in danger. Fact

[ChumpDumper]

[QUOTE=tholdren;10172519]Technically/QUOTE]You called it the flu. Wrong. Fact.

[tholdren]

Blah blah blah. You're never right.

Glad I could help you use logic instead of whatever it is you were doing. Omg 2k people are in the hospital!!!! IN THE STATE.. that have tested positive at sometime in their life for covid.

How long will it take for you to understand the data?

[ChumpDumper]

Glad

Glad you admit you were wrong right off the bat. You kept lying about it for months.

[tholdren]

Bring in the ships. These hospitals are overflowing!!!! Just like ny!!!!!!

[Blake]

Protest wave has arrived

You're not serious. Nobody takes you serious.

[RandomGuy]

Let's start with i was right. Next let's stop with the bs. Your ignorance on testing and case counting is continuing to show. They are not missing counts when they are adding probables as deaths.

Keep flip flopping these facts you are only.now entertaining have been known for months.

We are seeing a massive e in excess deaths above the expected rate of .0088 for the year, based on the four months of data from the CDC for Feb-May.
(edit) link to relevant dataset: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm (end edit)

If you are saying COVID is overcounted, find a better figure. Then propose a theory that explains the surge in deaths that are not COVID. The e is statistically significant for that 4 month period, especially since it is the beginning of the year. The trend is an increase by the END of the year, and my assumptions were based on that END of the year estimate, for something that starts below that figure and builds during the year.

Based on what we know about the overall population fatality rate, the math checks. Walked through it with our companies actuaries.

Unless you can find a better rate. .0066-.0025 is the range I remember from the studies I read.

Do you have a better rate? Link?

Bull has been called:
You need:
A better COVID death tally than the CDC data set. If what I am using is incorrect, get something better.
Better overall mortality rate than what I am using. If what I am using is incorrect, get something better.
A working theory that explains the statistically significant e in total deaths in excess of what was forecast for the year.

Links to support.

or.. you can some more. I expect .

[RandomGuy]

...

[RandomGuy]

Lol youre math. Bwahahahahhahahahah

LOL youre grammer.

I am math, indeed.

[RandomGuy]

Technically it's a cold tbh

Indeed.

Not all colds are equal tho.

[tholdren]

Indeed.

Not all colds are equal tho.

And statistically covid is 2x flu and less than flu for under 50. Thanks again for making that point!

[tholdren]

backlogs of patients

fake patients

fake numbers

it's the flu

math

science

I told you lololololololololol

The same fear you have about media headlines for Texas is happening in AZ and FL. Here is what doctors say.

The numbers look alarming as new COVID-19 cases e in Central Florida.

Across hospitals in Brevard, Flagler, Lake, Marion, Orange, Osceola, Seminole, Sumter and Volusia Counties, only 24 percent of beds are open, overall, and 28 percent are free in the intensive care units.

According to Orlando Health's Chief Medical Officer Dr. George Ralls, that is normal.

“We're seeing the volumes come back to where we typically see them. It's not COVID patients creating any kind of capacity constraints. We're seeing heart disease, lung disease. All of these things we're typically used to seeing,” he said

[RandomGuy]

And statistically covid is 2x flu and less than flu for under 50. Thanks again for making that point!

You haven't produced a shred of evidence to support that, and the data you did produce contradicted it.

you are worse than Cosmored. Either produce data supporting this right now, or I am putting you on ignore as well. Data or

[RandomGuy]

We are seeing a massive e in excess deaths above the expected rate of .0088 for the year, based on the four months of data from the CDC for Feb-May.
(edit) link to relevant dataset: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm (end edit)

If you are saying COVID is overcounted, find a better figure. Then propose a theory that explains the surge in deaths that are not COVID. The e is statistically significant for that 4 month period, especially since it is the beginning of the year. The trend is an increase by the END of the year, and my assumptions were based on that END of the year estimate, for something that starts below that figure and builds during the year.

Based on what we know about the overall population fatality rate, the math checks. Walked through it with our companies actuaries.

Unless you can find a better rate. .0066-.0025 is the range I remember from the studies I read.

Do you have a better rate? Link?

Bull has been called:
You need:
A better COVID death tally than the CDC data set. If what I am using is incorrect, get something better.
Better overall mortality rate than what I am using. If what I am using is incorrect, get something better.
A working theory that explains the statistically significant e in total deaths in excess of what was forecast for the year.

Links to support.

or.. you can some more. I expect .

[crickets]

I got what I expected. A less salty and lazier version of koriwhat.

[tholdren]

You haven't produced a shred of evidence to support that, and the data you did produce contradicted it.

you are worse than Cosmored. Either produce data supporting this right now, or I am putting you on ignore as well. Data or

the cdc states ifr .26 lol

Twice the flu. And this includes probable deaths.

Like i said for months you do not understand the data. Simple math

[DarrinS]

Galveston county is the only county in Texas where covid patients exceeded 10% of hospital bed capacity.

Average across the state is 6.3%

[Blake]

Galveston county is the only county in Texas where covid patients exceeded 10% of hospital bed capacity.

Average across the state is 6.3%

Trending up. It's not difficult.

[Blake]

"The number of people sickened with Covid-19 across Texas' hospitals continues to rise, with coronavirus hospitalizations now up more than 66% since Memorial Day as the state continues to reopen.

There are currently 2,518 patients hospitalized with a coronavirus infection, marking the seventh new high in the state in a little over a week, according to updated data from the Texas Department of State Health Services. That's also up roughly 66% since Memorial Day when there were 1,511 hospitalized Covid-19 patients, state data shows....."

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/16/texa...orial-day.html

[ChumpDumper]

"The number of people sickened with Covid-19 across Texas' hospitals continues to rise, with coronavirus hospitalizations now up more than 66% since Memorial Day as the state continues to reopen.

There are currently 2,518 patients hospitalized with a coronavirus infection, marking the seventh new high in the state in a little over a week, according to updated data from the Texas Department of State Health Services. That's also up roughly 66% since Memorial Day when there were 1,511 hospitalized Covid-19 patients, state data shows....."

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/16/texa...orial-day.html

Obviously that means hospitalizations are going quickly down to zero.