Well, add this to the mix:
Russia's parliament asks Putin to recognise breakaway east Ukrainian regions
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe...ns-2022-02-15/
A more limited invasion, occupying these two regions is a possibility.
The more limited and cautious use of military power is in line with his previous use of force. Invade the two breakaway regions, then stop.
It punishes Ukraine, but not so much as a full outright invasion. The massive troops on the border that will not be involved in that incursion underscore the Russian capability to with Ukraine should it decide to interfere in that occupation.
I have been puzzling over their likely course of action, but limited to "nothing" or "full invasion". this is somewhere in between.


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