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Reaves single handily forced OT in Denver
That's impossible with the current structure of the league. You can't relegate a multi billion dollar franchise to a developmental league, the structure of professional basketball in the US is completely different from the structure of soccer in most international countries.
Reaves single handily forced OT in Denver
Reaves out here playing like a possessed crackhead
Right. That’s why I said it would never happen here.
Good question, I'm not sure, but the lottery will be held May 17, so before that... haven't read an exact date anywhere.
I think that’s probably out of date. At one point,there were lottery ties in that area, when we were like 7 or 8.
Denver f*cked us up
ing Denver looks like they’re going to lose, and drop into a tie with Toronto. They prolly got spooked by what happened to Doncic, and pulled the plug.
It’ll still be a con flip, and we could still get 20.
The Toronto pick will go to a tie breaker with Denver to decide between 20 and 21
So its: 9 (pre-lottery) + 20/21 + 23/24/25 + 38
Yes, but you cut your chances of that happening by half. Oh well..
It's the whole play in situation that is a game changer.
They pulled all their starters before that... No Jokic, no Aaron Gordon, no Barton, no Monte Morris... plus Murray and MPJ that have been out a long time... essentially both teams scrapped the bottom of the barrel and threw on the court whatever was left. It's just that one of those guys went unconscious...
This is on NBA.com as of March 29, 2022. The Spurs have as much chance to get into the top 4 as the team that lands the 8th pick: https://www.nba.com/news/nba-draft-lottery-explainer
Last edited by Spursfanfromafar; 04-10-2022 at 11:45 PM.
I don't think so ... I just found this: https://www.hoopsrumors.com/2020/08/...tery-odds.html Tankathon's chart shows the lottery odds from 2020. The correct numbers are the ones on the NBA website, and the one from last year at DraftKings. It's pretty clear, the league flattened the odds for 8,9, and 10 two years ago.
LOL. Everyone here (including me) has been referring to Tankathon's chart for months, and it's outdated. It used to be that they got 6%, 4.5%, and 3% respectively. But now they changed it so that all 3 get the same 4.5% chance to move up. So there's really no improved chance to land a Top 4 until you get up to the 7th worst record.
Closing a game with Bryn Forbes has always been a recipe for a collapse.
Are you ing kidding me.
No wonder Pop never seemed as concerned about the intricacies of tanking as everyone here.
PATFO probably knew the true odds.
Tankathon should be forever banned from using "tank" in its name again.
No nba.com is just copy paste of last year's odds with ties. Tankathon is accurate
I think tankathon is right.
This is what the issue is. The odds are off because of the ties last year.
Not sure I'm gonna freak out cos spurs could go from 20 to 21, tbh.
Aah. I got it. There is no coin flip to determine the draft order within the lottery. The teams with the same record split the odds if they are tied. In the 2021 draft, the 8th, 9th and 10th ranked teams had the same record and so their draft odds were 4.5% each to get the 1st pick instead of 6, 4.5 and 3% respectively. The 2022 standings are similar to 2020's.. no ties within the lottery at the 8th, 9th and 10th spots. And so the Spurs will get a 4.5% chance of getting the 1st pick. Tldr, Tankathon is right.
Exactly. Same for 23 or 24.
Bottom line is they’re both meh selections, so it comes down to the quality of a teams draft scouting. Thankfully spurs have a good track record there.
Last edited by CGD; 04-11-2022 at 06:34 AM.
Yep, we've done more with less. Spurs managed to find talent picking from 25-30 for like two decades, a 21 pick probably looks golden to them at this point.
, we have a 41 pick (Tre Jones) getting regular rotation minutes and actually playing well...dude just needs to develop a jump shot and he will be a legit player.
We’ve done considerably better late first round DJ, White and Keldon than we have ~10-20 with Walker, Samanic, Vassell and Primo.
Would be nice ti actually draft an immediate impact player for once.
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