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Math, how does it work?It took me 10 tries today at Tankathon Simulator to get #1. TOR, CHI, DET seem to be getting multiple #1. Interesting if Tankathon uses the same algorithm, because that would suck
Took 7 tries, which is almost exactly the expected odds. Got a couple of #2s, and 3 #5s, with one #3.It took me 10 tries today at Tankathon Simulator to get #1. TOR, CHI, DET seem to be getting multiple #1. Interesting if Tankathon uses the same algorithm, because that would suck
Math, how does it work?It took me 10 tries today at Tankathon Simulator to get #1. TOR, CHI, DET seem to be getting multiple #1. Interesting if Tankathon uses the same algorithm, because that would suck
But just for kicks:
1st Spin: #1
2nd Spin: #2 (TOR #1)
3rd Spin: #1
4th Spin: #2 (CHA #1)
5th Spin: #6 (WAS #1)
6th Spin: #5 (DET #1)
7th Spin: #1
Send me to the lotto as the Spurs representative.
When they started out 5-2 I posted a now moronic take that they were a well coached hungry team that would win 35 games. 9-44 since (14-68 record extrapolated). 2-23 since the Knicks win on 12/29. In the halcyon days of early ‘00s a 22-3 run wasn’t uncommon. In 2011 they were 37-6 at one point. In 2016 SA started 38-6 and were 65-12 near the end, and 61-18 the following year.
2 more losses and Spurs will tie for 27th all time losing streak - listed here
Lucky for us the bas Rockets won’t extend the streak past 18 or 19. If the unthinkable happens Philly’s 28 consecutive L could be reachable
Damn detroit blowing another W
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander out tonight vs. PHX (hip).
Lol, Presti starting the tank.
They’re not tanking just because SGA misses a game, or a few. Presti understands as well as anyone that you have to do it from the get go. You can’t decide after the ASG to tank, and have any real hope of dropping to the bottom.
Last year they started seriously tanking late.
Right now they are four games to get out of the play in. It's better for them to roll back and get a Top 10 pick. Their GM is obsessed with drafting players. He can't help himself.
DPG21920 lamelo elevating per par
I watched him - he was really good. Fun game with him and Ant. Need LaMelo to carry CHA to some wins and cement SA in dat bottom 3
I disagree. Tanking is not a "bottom 3 or bust" thing. Dropping late season games can get you from, say, the 11th draft slot to the 7th. That more than doubles the chances of getting into the top 4 (14% to 32%) and even failing that gets you the #7-9 pick rather than having an over 80% chance at pick #11 or 12.
The bottom of the lottery is very tight right now. It wouldn't take much of a mini-tank to rise up the draft board a few slots. I expect to see a lot of this in late March and into April as some teams start to give up on hopes of making the play-in.
Please lol - that sh*t reams me every time I do it. I’ve spun like 100 times to hope it evens out statistically but I’m like 75% SA pick 5 and 6 lmao
Another win for the Hornets tonight!!
Detroit still sucking ass
Might as well!
it, at this point let's lose out and own the all time losing streak to match the forthcoming record as being the absolute worst defensive team in NBA history.
When we're good, we're really good, and when we suck, I mean WE SUCK.
they'll probably beat the Rockets twice this week.
I doubt it. Pop won't allow it.
I agree…..
At this point, Pop is shoving tanking to Silver’s ass. If HOU, OKC, ORL have blatantly done it for years, Spurs can do it too in style. I expect Spurs taking the worst record after the HOU games and never letting it go.
The Spurs are doing every single thing in their power to tank the season out, but TBH Houston is just a master of this game. I expect them to split this week's game, or worse, SA winning both of them.
We ain't catching the Rockettes, not with that dog roster & coaching. Just gotta have faith in them ping pong balls, and Silver fixing us up.
Yup. The 6th worst record (Indiana) has 27 wins, and the 17th worst record (Golden State / Atlanta) has 30 wins.
In essence, losing an extra 3 games mean compared to your rivals mean your lottery chances go from non existent to 9% 1st pick, 18.2% top 2, 27.6% top 3, 37.2% top 4. Also, your expected pick goes from 17 to 5.5. To put it in perspective, that roughly means:
- a better chance at picking top 2 (18.2%) than the worst team has at picking top 1 (14%%)
- a better chance at picking top 3 (27.6%) than the worst team has at picking top 2 (27.4%)
- a similar chance at picking top 4 (37.2%) as the worst team has at picking top 3 (40.1%)
As opposed to having no chance whatsoever at any of those spots at 17. So while it's too late if you want best possible odds, you can get yourself pretty damn good chances by committing to a tank by the All Star break. That's actually the smartest tanking way with the flattened odds for a non hopeless team, but of course it requires an active and obvious commitment by management, like Portland did last year. Since we wouldn't do that and we were significantly worst, this season we had to take the more extreme route... but aiming at 6/7 is likely the best compromise between lottery odds and youth development.
I am looking at getting the highest pick in the first round but also the highest pick in the second round..
Charlotte looks pretty nice with their pieces healthy. Mark Williams was a great pick for them. Lamello is still crazy to watch. He does everything you don't want a basketball player to do, but it works.
Can definitely see the pick conveying in the next couple years.
we need to start a Go Fund Me to send you there! Took me about 7 tries to get #1....a sad reminder of our odds, but I'll still say my prayers...and we all know how much that will help.
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